arXiv subjects

Pavlos Zoubouloglou

Publications and source records attributed to Pavlos Zoubouloglou.

8 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Breuer-Major Theorems for Hilbert Space-Valued Random Variables

Let $\{X_k\}_{k\in\mathbb Z}$ be a stationary Gaussian process with values in a separable Hilbert space $\mathcal H_1$, and let $G:\mathcal H_1\to\mathcal H_2$ be a measurable map into another separable Hilbert space $\mathcal H_2$. We derive a central limit theorem for the centered normalized partial sums of the Hilbert space-valued subordinated process $\{G[X_k]\}_{k\in\mathbb Z}$. Our result holds under either of two sets of sufficient conditions, formulated in terms of the transformation $G$ and the temporal and cross-sectional dependence structure of $\{X_k\}_{k\in\mathbb Z}$. These conditions coincide in finite dimensions but lead to genuinely different phenomena in the infinite-dimensional setting. The proof relies on the recently developed Fourth Moment Theorem on Hilbert spaces, leveraging tools from the infinite-dimensional Malliavin-Stein framework. We also provide continuous-time and quantitative versions of the central limit theorem. In a series of examples, we recover and strengthen limit theorems for a wide array of statistics relevant in functional data analysis, and present, as an application of our result, a novel limit theorem in the framework of neural operators.

math.PR↗

arXiv2026

The Fourth-Moment Theorem on Hilbert Spaces

In this work, we establish conditions ensuring convergence in distribution of a sequence admitting a Wiener-Itô chaos representation to a Gaussian measure on a separable Hilbert space. Our first main result shows that, assuming convergence of the associated covariance operators in the trace-class norm, a sequence lying in a fixed Wiener-Itô chaos converges in distribution if and only if its fourth weak moments converge to the corresponding Gaussian moments. For general sequences with infinite chaos expansions, we derive analogous sufficient conditions for convergence in distribution. A key ingredient in our approach is a Stein-Malliavin bound formulated with respect to a distance that metrizes weak convergence of probability measures on separable Hilbert spaces. The results are infinite-dimensional extensions of the classical real-valued Fourth-Moment Theorem of Nualart and Peccati [Ann. Probab. 33, 177-193 (2005)]. Our work builds upon the work by Bourguin and Campese [Electron. J. Probab. 25, 1-30 (2020)] who claimed a Fourth-Moment Theorem in separable Hilbert spaces. However, a recent work by Bassetti, Bourguin, Campese, and Peccati [Stat. Probab. Lett. 233, 110671, (2026)] showed that the distance employed in the former article does not metrize weak convergence of probability measures on separable Hilbert spaces. Consequently, the conditions stated in Bourguin and Campese are not sufficient to recover a valid Fourth-Moment Theorem in the Hilbert-space setting.

math.PR↗

arXiv2026

On the density of the supremum of nonlinear SPDEs

We study the one-dimensional stochastic partial differential equation \begin{equation*} \frac{\partial u}{\partial t}(t,x) = -κ\frac{\partial^4 u}{\partial x^4}(t,x) + ρ\frac{\partial^2 u}{\partial x^2}(t,x) + b(u(t,x)) + σ(u(t,x))\, \dot W(t,x), \end{equation*} posed on a bounded spatial domain, where $u$ is understood in the random field sense and $\dot W(t,x)$ is space-time white noise. Depending on the value of $κ$, this equation includes the nonlinear stochastic heat equation with Dirichlet or Neumann boundary conditions, as well as the linearized stochastic Cahn-Hilliard equation with Neumann boundary conditions. We prove that the supremum of the solution admits a density with respect to Lebesgue measure. Our approach is based on Malliavin calculus, and in particular on the version of the Bouleau-Hirsch criterion for suprema developed by Nualart and Vives. One of the main difficulties lies in the analysis of the argmax set of the solution and in showing that the Malliavin derivative is almost surely nondegenerate on this set. As a byproduct of our arguments, we also establish Hölder continuity properties for the Malliavin derivative of the solution as an $L^2-$valued process in the regimes considered in this work.

math.AP↗

arXiv2025

Large Deviations for Empirical Measures of Self-Interacting Markov Chains

Let $Δ^o$ be a finite set and, for each probability measure $m$ on $Δ^o$, let $G(m)$ be a transition probability kernel on $Δ^o$. Fix $x_0 \in Δ^o$ and consider the chain $\{X_n, \; n \in \mathbb{N}_0\}$ of $Δ^o$-valued random variables such that $X_0=x$, and given $X_0, \ldots , X_n$, the conditional distribution of $X_{n+1}$ is $G(L^{n+1})(X_n, \cdot)$, where $L^{n+1} = \frac{1}{n+1} \sum_{i=0}^{n} δ_{X_i}$ is the empirical measure at instant $n$. Under conditions on $G$ we establish a large deviation principle for the empirical measure sequence $\{L^n, \; n \in \mathbb{N}\}$. As one application of this result we obtain large deviation asymptotics for the Aldous-Flannery-Palacios (1988) approximation scheme for quasistationary distributions of irreducible finite state Markov chains. The conditions on $G$ cover various other models of reinforced stochastic evolutions as well, including certain vertex reinforced and edge reinforced random walks and a variant of the PageRank algorithm. The particular case where $G(m)$ does not depend on $m$ corresponds to the classical results of Donsker and Varadhan (1975) on large deviations of empirical measures of Markov processes. However, unlike this classical setting, for the general self-interacting models considered here, the rate function takes a very different form; it is typically non-convex and is given through a dynamical variational formula with an infinite horizon discounted objective function.

math.PR↗

arXiv2025

Scaling limits for sample autocovariance operators of Hilbert space-valued linear processes

This article considers linear processes with values in a separable Hilbert space exhibiting long-range dependence. The scaling limits for the sample autocovariance operators at different time lags are investigated in the topology of their respective Hilbert spaces. Distinguishing two different regimes of long-range dependence, the limiting object is either a Hilbert space-valued Gaussian or a Hilbert space-valued non-Gaussian random variable. The latter can be represented as a unitary transformation of double Wiener-Itô integrals with sample paths in a function space. This work is the first to show weak convergence to such double stochastic integrals with sample paths in infinite dimensions. The result generalizes the well known convergence to a Hermite process in finite dimensions, introducing a new domain of attraction for probability measures in Hilbert spaces. The key technical contributions include the introduction of double Wiener-Itô integrals with values in a function space and with dependent integrators, as well as establishing sufficient conditions for their existence as limits of sample autocovariance operators.

math.PR↗

arXiv2024

Cyclical Long Memory: Decoupling, Modulation, and Modeling

A new model for general cyclical long memory is introduced, by means of random modulation of certain bivariate long memory time series. This construction essentially decouples the two key features of cyclical long memory: quasi-periodicity and long-term persistence. It further allows for a general cyclical phase in cyclical long memory time series. Several choices for suitable bivariate long memory series are discussed, including a parametric fractionally integrated vector ARMA model. The parametric models introduced in this work have explicit autocovariance functions that can be used readily in simulation, estimation, and other tasks.

math.ST↗

arXiv2023

Large Deviations for Small Noise Diffusions Over Long Time

We study two problems. First, we consider the large deviation behavior of empirical measures of certain diffusion processes as, simultaneously, the time horizon becomes large and noise becomes vanishingly small. The law of large numbers (LLN) of the empirical measure in this asymptotic regime is given by the unique equilibrium of the noiseless dynamics. Due to degeneracy of the noise in the limit, the methods of Donsker and Varadhan (1976) are not directly applicable and new ideas are needed. Second, we study a system of slow-fast diffusions where both the slow and the fast components have vanishing noise on their natural time scales. This time the LLN is governed by a degenerate averaging principle in which local equilibria of the noiseless system obtained from the fast dynamics describe the asymptotic evolution of the slow component. We establish a large deviation principle that describes probabilities of divergence from this behavior. On the one hand our methods require stronger assumptions than the nondegenerate settings, while on the other hand the rate functions take simple and explicit forms that have striking differences from their nondegenerate counterparts.

math.PR↗

arXiv2021

Scaled torus principal component analysis

A particularly challenging context for dimensionality reduction is multivariate circular data, i.e., data supported on a torus. Such kind of data appears, e.g., in the analysis of various phenomena in ecology and astronomy, as well as in molecular structures. This paper introduces Scaled Torus Principal Component Analysis (ST-PCA), a novel approach to perform dimensionality reduction with toroidal data. ST-PCA finds a data-driven map from a torus to a sphere of the same dimension and a certain radius. The map is constructed with multidimensional scaling to minimize the discrepancy between pairwise geodesic distances in both spaces. ST-PCA then resorts to principal nested spheres to obtain a nested sequence of subspheres that best fits the data, which can afterwards be inverted back to the torus. Numerical experiments illustrate how ST-PCA can be used to achieve meaningful dimensionality reduction on low-dimensional torii, particularly with the purpose of clusters separation, while two data applications in astronomy (three-dimensional torus) and molecular biology (on a seven-dimensional torus) show that ST-PCA outperforms existing methods for the investigated datasets.

stat.ME↗