Pawan Gupta | Searcharxiv

arXiv2024

Advancing global aerosol forecasting with artificial intelligence

Aerosol forecasting is essential for air quality warnings, health risk assessment, and climate change mitigation. However, it is more complex than weather forecasting due to the intricate interactions between aerosol physicochemical processes and atmospheric dynamics, resulting in significant uncertainty and high computational costs. Here, we develop an artificial intelligence-driven global aerosol-meteorology forecasting system (AI-GAMFS), which provides reliable 5-day, 3-hourly forecasts of aerosol optical components and surface concentrations at a 0.5{\deg} x 0.625{\deg} resolution. AI-GAMFS combines Vision Transformer and U-Net in a backbone network, robustly capturing the complex aerosol-meteorology interactions via global attention and spatiotemporal encoding. Trained on 42 years of advanced aerosol reanalysis data and initialized with GEOS Forward Processing (GEOS-FP) analyses, AI-GAMFS delivers operational 5-day forecasts in one minute. It outperforms the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) global forecasting system, GEOS-FP forecasts, and several regional dust forecasting systems in forecasting most aerosol variables including aerosol optical depth and dust components. Our results mark a significant step forward in leveraging AI to refine physics-based aerosol forecasting, facilitating more accurate global warnings for aerosol pollution events, such as dust storms and wildfires.

physics.ao-ph↗

arXiv2016

Solution of linear ill-posed problems using random dictionaries

In the present paper we consider application of overcomplete dictionaries to solution of general ill-posed linear inverse problems. In the context of regression problems, there has been enormous amount of effort to recover an unknown function using such dictionaries. One of the most popular methods, lasso and its versions, is based on minimizing empirical likelihood and unfortunately, requires stringent assumptions on the dictionary, the, so called, compatibility conditions. Though compatibility conditions are hard to satisfy, it is well known that this can be accomplished by using random dictionaries. In the present paper, we show how one can apply random dictionaries to solution of ill-posed linear inverse problems. We put a theoretical foundation under the suggested methodology and study its performance via simulations.

math.ST↗