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Peggy Wu

Publications and source records attributed to Peggy Wu.

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Detecting Ambiguity Aversion in Cyberattack Behavior to Inform Cognitive Defense Strategies

Adversaries (hackers) attempting to infiltrate networks frequently face uncertainty in their operational environments. This research explores the ability to model and detect when they exhibit ambiguity aversion, a cognitive bias reflecting a preference for known (versus unknown) probabilities. We introduce a novel methodological framework that (1) leverages rich, multi-modal data from human-subjects red-team experiments, (2) employs a large language model (LLM) pipeline to parse unstructured logs into MITRE ATT&CK-mapped action sequences, and (3) applies a new computational model to infer an attacker's ambiguity aversion level in near-real time. By operationalizing this cognitive trait, our work provides a foundational component for developing adaptive cognitive defense strategies.

cs.CR

Guarding Against Malicious Biased Threats (GAMBiT): Experimental Design of Cognitive Sensors and Triggers with Behavioral Impact Analysis

This paper introduces GAMBiT (Guarding Against Malicious Biased Threats), a cognitive-informed cyber defense framework that leverages deviations from human rationality as a new defensive surface. Conventional cyber defenses assume rational, utility-maximizing attackers, yet real-world adversaries exhibit cognitive constraints and biases that shape their interactions with complex digital systems. GAMBiT embeds insights from cognitive science into cyber environments through cognitive triggers, which activate biases such as loss aversion, base-rate neglect, and sunk-cost fallacy, and through newly developed cognitive sensors that infer attackers' cognitive states from behavioral and network data. Three rounds of human-subject experiments (total n=61) in a simulated small business network demonstrate that these manipulations significantly disrupt attacker performance, reducing mission progress, diverting actions off the true attack path, and increasing detectability. These results demonstrate that cognitive biases can be systematically triggered to degrade the attacker's efficiency and enhance the defender's advantage. GAMBiT establishes a new paradigm in which the attacker's mind becomes part of the battlefield and cognitive manipulation becomes a proactive vector for cyber defense.

cs.CR

Risk Psychology & Cyber-Attack Tactics

We examine whether measured cognitive processes predict cyber-attack behavior. We analyzed data that included psychometric scale responses and labeled attack behaviors from cybersecurity professionals who conducted red-team operations against a simulated enterprise network. We employed multilevel mixed-effects Poisson regression with technique counts nested within participants to test whether cognitive processes predicted technique-specific usage. The scales significantly predicted technique use, but effects varied by technique rather than operating uniformly. Neither expertise level nor experimental treatment condition significantly predicted technique patterns, indicating that cognitive processes may be stronger drivers of technique selection than training or experience. These findings demonstrate that individual cognitive differences shape cyber-attack behavior and support the development of psychology-informed defense strategies.

cs.CR

Guarding Against Malicious Biased Threats (GAMBiT) Experiments: Revealing Cognitive Bias in Human-Subjects Red-Team Cyber Range Operations

We present three large-scale human-subjects red-team cyber range datasets from the Guarding Against Malicious Biased Threats (GAMBiT) project. Across Experiments 1-3 (July 2024-March 2025), 19-20 skilled attackers per experiment conducted two 8-hour days of self-paced operations in a simulated enterprise network (SimSpace Cyber Force Platform) while we captured multi-modal data: self-reports (background, demographics, psychometrics), operational notes, terminal histories, keylogs, network packet captures (PCAP), and NIDS alerts (Suricata). Each participant began from a standardized Kali Linux VM and pursued realistic objectives (e.g., target discovery and data exfiltration) under controlled constraints. Derivative curated logs and labels are included. The combined release supports research on attacker behavior modeling, bias-aware analytics, and method benchmarking. Data are available via IEEE Dataport entries for Experiments 1-3.

cs.CR

PsybORG+: Modeling and Simulation for Detecting Cognitive Biases in Advanced Persistent Threats

Advanced Persistent Threats (APTs) bring significant challenges to cybersecurity due to their sophisticated and stealthy nature. Traditional cybersecurity measures fail to defend against APTs. Cognitive vulnerabilities can significantly influence attackers' decision-making processes, which presents an opportunity for defenders to exploit. This work introduces PsybORG$^+$, a multi-agent cybersecurity simulation environment designed to model APT behaviors influenced by cognitive vulnerabilities. A classification model is built for cognitive vulnerability inference and a simulator is designed for synthetic data generation. Results show that PsybORG$^+$ can effectively model APT attackers with different loss aversion and confirmation bias levels. The classification model has at least a 0.83 accuracy rate in predicting cognitive vulnerabilities.

cs.CR

Analysis and Perspectives on the ANA Avatar XPRIZE Competition

The ANA Avatar XPRIZE was a four-year competition to develop a robotic "avatar" system to allow a human operator to sense, communicate, and act in a remote environment as though physically present. The competition featured a unique requirement that judges would operate the avatars after less than one hour of training on the human-machine interfaces, and avatar systems were judged on both objective and subjective scoring metrics. This paper presents a unified summary and analysis of the competition from technical, judging, and organizational perspectives. We study the use of telerobotics technologies and innovations pursued by the competing teams in their avatar systems, and correlate the use of these technologies with judges' task performance and subjective survey ratings. It also summarizes perspectives from team leads, judges, and organizers about the competition's execution and impact to inform the future development of telerobotics and telepresence.

cs.RO

Evaluating Metrics for Standardized Benchmarking of Remote Presence Systems

To reduce the need for business-related air travel and its associated energy consumption and carbon footprint, the U.S. Department of Energy's ARPA-E is supporting a research project called SCOTTIE - Systematic Communication Objectives and Telecommunications Technology Investigations and Evaluations. SCOTTIE tests virtual and augmented reality platforms in a functional comparison with face-to-face (FtF) interactions to derive travel replacement thresholds for common industrial training scenarios. The primary goal of Study 1 is to match the communication effectiveness and learning outcomes obtained from a FtF control using virtual reality (VR) training scenarios in which a local expert with physical equipment trains a remote apprentice without physical equipment immediately present. This application scenario is commonplace in industrial settings where access to expensive equipment and materials is limited and a number of apprentices must travel to a central location in order to undergo training. Supplying an empirically validated virtual training alternative constitutes a readily adoptable use-case for businesses looking to reduce time and monetary expenditures associated with travel. The technology used for three different virtual presence technologies was strategically selected for feasibility, relatively low cost, business relevance, and potential for impact through transition. The authors suggest that the results of this study might generalize to the challenge of virtual conferences.

cs.HC