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Pengfei Duan

Publications and source records attributed to Pengfei Duan.

10 recordsLinked to original sources

MZ-Rain: Moisture-Budget-Guided Zero-Inflated Model for Station-Level Precipitation Nowcasting

Accurate station-level precipitation nowcasting is critical for agriculture, water resource management, and disaster prevention, which typically is formulated as a time series forecasting problem. However, conventional time-series modeling techniques face two major challenges in addressing station-level precipitation nowcasting: (1) Lack of Physics-Guided Modeling}, where meteorological variables are treated as a homogeneous set without accounting for their distinct roles in precipitation formation, leads to predictions that deviate from the physical processes governing precipitation. (2) Severe zero inflation in precipitation, where dry intervals dominate the dataset, obscuring meaningful precipitation patterns and complicating the predictive modeling. To address these challenges, we propose \textbf{MZ-Rain}, a moisture-budget-guided zero-inflated sLSTM framework for station-level precipitation nowcasting. Guided by the moisture budget equation, MZ-Rain decomposes the precipitation formation process into process-specific pathways corresponding to moisture storage, moisture transport, surface evaporation, and precipitation persistence, and captures their temporal evolution through dedicated sLSTM branches. To account for the zero-inflated nature of precipitation, MZ-Rain introduces an adaptive Tweedie modeling strategy that adaptively modulates the rainfall mean while jointly learning precipitation occurrence as an auxiliary task, enabling the model to better balance dry-wet discrimination and quantitative precipitation estimation. Extensive experiments across diverse geographical and climatic regimes demonstrate that MZ-Rain consistently outperforms strong baselines on multiple evaluation metrics, including CSI, FAR, MSE, and MAE. In particular, the model exhibits superior skill in forecasting heavy precipitation events, while benefiting from physically grounded process modeling.

cs.AI

FusionCast: Enhancing Precipitation Nowcasting with Asymmetric Cross-Modal Fusion and Future Radar Priors

Deep learning has significantly improved the accuracy of precipitation nowcasting. However, most existing multimodal models typically use simple channel concatenation or interpolation methods for data fusion, which often overlook the feature differences between different modalities. This paper therefore proposes a novel precipitation nowcasting optimisation framework called FusionCast. This framework incorporates three types of data: historical precipitable water vapour (PWV) data derived from global navigation satellite system (GNSS) inversions, historical radar based quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE), and forecasted radar QPE serving as a future prior. The FusionCast model comprises two core modules: the future prior radar QPE processing Module, which forecasts future radar data; and the Radar PWV Fusion (RPF) module, which uses a gate mechanism to efficiently combine features from various sources. Experimental results show that FusionCast significantly improves nowcasting performance.

cs.LG

RainBalance: Alleviating Dual Imbalance in GNSS-based Precipitation Nowcasting via Continuous Probability Modeling

Global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) station-based Precipitation Nowcasting aims to predict rainfall within the next 0-6 hours by leveraging a GNSS station's historical observations of precipitation, GNSS-PWV, and related meteorological variables, which is crucial for disaster mitigation and real-time decision-making. In recent years, time-series forecasting approaches have been extensively applied to GNSS station-based precipitation nowcasting. However, the highly imbalanced temporal distribution of precipitation, marked not only by the dominance of non-rainfall events but also by the scarcity of extreme precipitation samples, significantly limits model performance in practical applications. To address the dual imbalance problem in precipitation nowcasting, we propose a continuous probability modeling-based framework, RainBalance. This plug-and-play module performs clustering for each input sample to obtain its cluster probability distribution, which is further mapped into a continuous latent space via a variational autoencoder (VAE). By learning in this continuous probabilistic space, the task is reformulated from fitting single and imbalance-prone precipitation labels to modeling continuous probabilistic label distributions, thereby alleviating the imbalance issue. We integrate this module into multiple state-of-the-art models and observe consistent performance gains. Comprehensive statistical analysis and ablation studies further validate the effectiveness of our approach.

cs.LG

LGCC: Enhancing Flow Matching Based Text-Guided Image Editing with Local Gaussian Coupling and Context Consistency

Recent advancements have demonstrated the great potential of flow matching-based Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) in image editing. However, state-of-the-art works like BAGEL face limitations, including detail degradation, content inconsistency, and inefficiency due to their reliance on random noise initialization. To address these issues, we propose LGCC, a novel framework with two key components: Local Gaussian Noise Coupling (LGNC) and Content Consistency Loss (CCL). LGNC preserves spatial details by modeling target image embeddings and their locally perturbed counterparts as coupled pairs, while CCL ensures semantic alignment between edit instructions and image modifications, preventing unintended content removal. By integrating LGCC with the BAGEL pre-trained model via curriculum learning, we significantly reduce inference steps, improving local detail scores on I2EBench by 1.60% and overall scores by 0.53%. LGCC achieves 3x -- 5x speedup for lightweight editing and 2x for universal editing, requiring only 40% -- 50% of the inference time of BAGEL or Flux. These results demonstrate LGCC's ability to preserve detail, maintain contextual integrity, and enhance inference speed, offering a cost-efficient solution without compromising editing quality.

cs.GR

How Effective Are Time-Series Models for Precipitation Nowcasting? A Comprehensive Benchmark for GNSS-based Precipitation Nowcasting

Precipitation Nowcasting, which aims to predict precipitation within the next 0 to 6 hours, is critical for disaster mitigation and real-time response planning. However, most time series forecasting benchmarks in meteorology are evaluated on variables with strong periodicity, such as temperature and humidity, which fail to reflect model capabilities in more complex and practically meteorology scenarios like precipitation nowcasting. To address this gap, we propose RainfallBench, a benchmark designed for precipitation nowcasting, a highly challenging and practically relevant task characterized by zero inflation, temporal decay, and non-stationarity, focusing on predicting precipitation within the next 0 to 6 hours. The dataset is derived from five years of meteorological observations, recorded at hourly intervals across six essential variables, and collected from more than 140 Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) stations globally. In particular, it incorporates precipitable water vapor (PWV), a crucial indicator of rainfall that is absent in other datasets. We further design specialized evaluation protocols to assess model performance on key meteorological challenges, including multi-scale prediction, multi-resolution forecasting, and extreme rainfall events, benchmarking 17 state-of-the-art models across six major architectures on RainfallBench. Additionally, to address the zero-inflation and temporal decay issues overlooked by existing models, we introduce Bi-Focus Precipitation Forecaster (BFPF), a plug-and-play module that incorporates domain-specific priors to enhance rainfall time series forecasting. Statistical analysis and ablation studies validate the comprehensiveness of our dataset as well as the superiority of our methodology.

cs.LG

Beyond Textual Context: Structural Graph Encoding with Adaptive Space Alignment to alleviate the hallucination of LLMs

Currently, the main approach for Large Language Models (LLMs) to tackle the hallucination issue is incorporating Knowledge Graphs(KGs).However, LLMs typically treat KGs as plain text, extracting only semantic information and limiting their use of the crucial structural aspects of KGs. Another challenge is the gap between the embedding spaces of KGs encoders and LLMs text embeddings, which hinders the effective integration of structured knowledge. To overcome these obstacles, we put forward the SSKG-LLM, an innovative model architecture that is designed to efficiently integrate both the Structural and Semantic information of KGs into the reasoning processes of LLMs. SSKG-LLM incorporates the Knowledge Graph Retrieval (KGR) module and the Knowledge Graph Encoding (KGE) module to preserve semantics while utilizing structure. Then, the Knowledge Graph Adaptation (KGA) module is incorporated to enable LLMs to understand KGs embeddings. We conduct extensive experiments and provide a detailed analysis to explore how incorporating the structural information of KGs can enhance the factual reasoning abilities of LLMs. Our code are available at https://github.com/yfangZhang/SSKG-LLM.

cs.CL

Adaptive and Efficient Log Parsing as a Cloud Service

Logs are a critical data source for cloud systems, enabling advanced features like monitoring, alerting, and root cause analysis. However, the massive scale and diverse formats of unstructured logs pose challenges for adaptable, efficient, and accurate parsing methods. This paper introduces ByteBrain-LogParser, an innovative log parsing framework designed specifically for cloud environments. ByteBrain-LogParser employs a hierarchical clustering algorithm to allow real-time precision adjustments, coupled with optimizations such as positional similarity distance, deduplication, and hash encoding to enhance performance. Experiments on large-scale datasets show that it processes 229,000 logs per second on average, achieving an 840% speedup over the fastest baseline while maintaining accuracy comparable to state-of-the-art methods. Real-world evaluations further validate its efficiency and adaptability, demonstrating its potential as a robust cloud-based log parsing solution.

cs.SE

FISHING Net: Future Inference of Semantic Heatmaps In Grids

For autonomous robots to navigate a complex environment, it is crucial to understand the surrounding scene both geometrically and semantically. Modern autonomous robots employ multiple sets of sensors, including lidars, radars, and cameras. Managing the different reference frames and characteristics of the sensors, and merging their observations into a single representation complicates perception. Choosing a single unified representation for all sensors simplifies the task of perception and fusion. In this work, we present an end-to-end pipeline that performs semantic segmentation and short term prediction using a top-down representation. Our approach consists of an ensemble of neural networks which take in sensor data from different sensor modalities and transform them into a single common top-down semantic grid representation. We find this representation favorable as it is agnostic to sensor-specific reference frames and captures both the semantic and geometric information for the surrounding scene. Because the modalities share a single output representation, they can be easily aggregated to produce a fused output. In this work we predict short-term semantic grids but the framework can be extended to other tasks. This approach offers a simple, extensible, end-to-end approach for multi-modal perception and prediction.

cs.CV

Vector exceptional points with strong superchiral fields

Exceptional points(EPs), branch points of complex energy surfaces at which eigenvalues and eigenvectors coalesce, are ubiquitous in non-Hermitian systems. Many novel properties and applications have been proposed around the EPs. One of the important applications is to enhance the detection sensitivity. However, due to the lack of single-handed superchiral fields, all of the proposed EP-based sensing mechanisms are only useful for the non-chiral discrimination. Here, we propose theoretically and demonstrate experimentally a new type of EP, which is a called radiation vector EP, to fulfill the homogeneous superchiral fields for chiral sensing. This type of EP is realized by suitably tuning the coupling strength and radiation losses for a pair of orthogonal polarization modes in the photonic crystal slab. Based on the unique modal-coupling property at the vector EP, we demonstrate that the uniform superchiral fields can be generated with two beams of lights illuminating on the photonic crystal slab from opposite directions. Thus, the designed photonic crystal slab, which supports the vector EP, can be used to perform surface-enhanced chiral detection. Our findings provide a new strategy for ultrasensitive characterization and quantification of molecular chirality, a key aspect for various bioscience and biomedicine applications.

physics.optics

Doublet-triplet energy transfer dominated photon upconversion

Stable luminescent pi-radicals with doublet emission have aroused a growing interest for functional molecular materials. We have demonstrated a neutral pi-radical dye (4-N-carbazolyl-2,6-dichlorophenyl)bis(2,4,6-trichlorophenyl)-methyl (TTM-1Cz) with remarkable doublet emission, which could be used as triplet sensitizer to initiate the photophysical process of triplet-triplet annihilation photon upconversion (TTA-UC). Dexter-like excited doublet-triplet energy transfer (DTET) was confirmed by theoretical calculation. A mixed solution of TTM-1Cz and aromatic emitters could ambidextrous upconvert red light to cyan light or green light = 532 nm) to blue light. This finding of DTET phenomena provides a new perspective in designing new triplet sensitizer for TTA-UC.

physics.chem-ph