arXiv subjects

Peter Amorese

Publications and source records attributed to Peter Amorese.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Learning Markov Processes as Sum-of-Square Forms for Analytical Belief Propagation

Harnessing the predictive capability of Markov process models requires propagating probability density functions (beliefs) through the model. For many existing models however, belief propagation is analytically infeasible, requiring approximation or sampling to generate predictions. This paper proposes a functional modeling framework leveraging sparse Sum-of-Squares (SoS) forms for valid (conditional) density estimation. We study the theoretical restrictions of modeling conditional densities using the SoS form, and propose a novel functional form for addressing such limitations. The proposed architecture enables generalized simultaneous learning of basis functions and coefficients, while preserving analytical belief propagation. In addition, we propose a training method that allows for exact adherence to the normalization and non-negativity constraints. Our results show that the proposed method achieves accuracy comparable to state-of-the-art approaches while requiring significantly less memory in low-dimensional spaces, and it further scales to 12D systems when existing methods fail beyond 2D.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Learning Nonlinear Continuous-Time Systems for Formal Uncertainty Propagation and Probabilistic Evaluation

Nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are powerful tools for modeling real-world dynamical systems. However, propagating initial state uncertainty through nonlinear dynamics, especially when the ODE is unknown and learned from data, remains a major challenge. This paper introduces a novel continuum dynamics perspective for model learning that enables formal uncertainty propagation by constructing Taylor series approximations of probabilistic events. We establish sufficient conditions for the soundness of the approach and prove its asymptotic convergence. Empirical results demonstrate the framework's effectiveness, particularly when predicting rare events.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2025

Universal Learning of Stochastic Dynamics for Exact Belief Propagation using Bernstein Normalizing Flows

Predicting the distribution of future states in a stochastic system, known as belief propagation, is fundamental to reasoning under uncertainty. However, nonlinear dynamics often make analytical belief propagation intractable, requiring approximate methods. When the system model is unknown and must be learned from data, a key question arises: can we learn a model that (i) universally approximates general nonlinear stochastic dynamics, and (ii) supports analytical belief propagation? This paper establishes the theoretical foundations for a class of models that satisfy both properties. The proposed approach combines the expressiveness of normalizing flows for density estimation with the analytical tractability of Bernstein polynomials. Empirical results show the efficacy of our learned model over state-of-the-art data-driven methods for belief propagation, especially for highly non-linear systems with non-additive, non-Gaussian noise.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

On Polynomial Stochastic Barrier Functions: Bernstein Versus Sum-of-Squares

Stochastic Barrier Functions (SBFs) certify the safety of stochastic systems by formulating a functional optimization problem, which state-of-the-art methods solve using Sum-of-Squares (SoS) polynomials. This work focuses on polynomial SBFs and introduces a new formulation based on Bernstein polynomials and provides a comparative analysis of its theoretical and empirical performance against SoS methods. We show that the Bernstein formulation leads to a linear program (LP), in contrast to the semi-definite program (SDP) required for SoS, and that its relaxations exhibit favorable theoretical convergence properties. However, our empirical results reveal that the Bernstein approach struggles to match SoS in practical performance, exposing an intriguing gap between theoretical advantages and real-world feasibility.

math.OC↗

arXiv2024

Online Pareto-Optimal Decision-Making for Complex Tasks using Active Inference

When a robot autonomously performs a complex task, it frequently must balance competing objectives while maintaining safety. This becomes more difficult in uncertain environments with stochastic outcomes. Enhancing transparency in the robot's behavior and aligning with user preferences are also crucial. This paper introduces a novel framework for multi-objective reinforcement learning that ensures safe task execution, optimizes trade-offs between objectives, and adheres to user preferences. The framework has two main layers: a multi-objective task planner and a high-level selector. The planning layer generates a set of optimal trade-off plans that guarantee satisfaction of a temporal logic task. The selector uses active inference to decide which generated plan best complies with user preferences and aids learning. Operating iteratively, the framework updates a parameterized learning model based on collected data. Case studies and benchmarks on both manipulation and mobile robots show that our framework outperforms other methods and (i) learns multiple optimal trade-offs, (ii) adheres to a user preference, and (iii) allows the user to adjust the balance between (i) and (ii).

cs.RO↗

arXiv2023

Optimal Cost-Preference Trade-off Planning with Multiple Temporal Tasks

Autonomous robots are increasingly utilized in realistic scenarios with multiple complex tasks. In these scenarios, there may be a preferred way of completing all of the given tasks, but it is often in conflict with optimal execution. Recent work studies preference-based planning, however, they have yet to extend the notion of preference to the behavior of the robot with respect to each task. In this work, we introduce a novel notion of preference that provides a generalized framework to express preferences over individual tasks as well as their relations. Then, we perform an optimal trade-off (Pareto) analysis between behaviors that adhere to the user's preference and the ones that are resource optimal. We introduce an efficient planning framework that generates Pareto-optimal plans given user's preference by extending A* search. Further, we show a method of computing the entire Pareto front (the set of all optimal trade-offs) via an adaptation of a multi-objective A* algorithm. We also present a problem-agnostic search heuristic to enable scalability. We illustrate the power of the framework on both mobile robots and manipulators. Our benchmarks show the effectiveness of the heuristic with up to 2-orders of magnitude speedup.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2022

Let's Collaborate: Regret-based Reactive Synthesis for Robotic Manipulation

As robots gain capabilities to enter our human-centric world, they require formalism and algorithms that enable smart and efficient interactions. This is challenging, especially for robotic manipulators with complex tasks that may require collaboration with humans. Prior works approach this problem through reactive synthesis and generate strategies for the robot that guarantee task completion by assuming an adversarial human. While this assumption gives a sound solution, it leads to an "unfriendly" robot that is agnostic to the human intentions. We relax this assumption by formulating the problem using the notion of regret. We identify an appropriate definition for regret and develop regret-minimizing synthesis framework that enables the robot to seek cooperation when possible while preserving task completion guarantees. We illustrate the efficacy of our framework via various case studies.

cs.RO↗