arXiv subjects

Peter Coles

Publications and source records attributed to Peter Coles.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2011

The Statistics of Cosmological Lyman-alpha Absorption

We study the effect of the non-Gaussianity induced by gravitational evolution upon the statistical properties of absorption in quasar (QSO) spectra. Using the generic hierarchical ansatz and the lognormal approximation we derive the analytical expressions for the one-point PDF as well as for the joint two-point probability distribution (2PDF) of transmitted fluxes in two neighbouring QSOs. These flux PDFs are constructed in 3D as well as in projection (i.e. in 2D). The PDFs are constructed by relating the lower-order moments, i.e. cumulants and cumulant correlators, of the fluxes to the 3D neutral hydrogen distribution which is, in turn, expressed as a function of the underlying dark matter distribution. The lower-order moments are next modelled using a generating function formalism in the context of a {\em minimal tree-model} for the higher-order correlation hierarchy. These different approximations give nearly identical results for the range of redshifts probed, and we also find a very good agreement between our predictions and outputs of hydrodynamical simulations. The formalism developed here for the joint statistics of flux-decrements concerning two lines of sight can be extended to multiple lines of sight, which could be particularly important for the 3D reconstruction of the cosmic web from QSO spectra (e.g. in the BOSS survey). These statistics probe the underlying projected neutral hydrogen field and are thus linked to "hot-spots" of absorption. The results for the PDF and the bias presented here use the same functional forms of scaling functions that have previously been employed for the modelling of other cosmological observation such as the Sunyaev-Zel'dovich effect.

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arXiv2011

Tomography and Weak lensing Statistics

Extending previous studies, we derive generic predictions for lower order cumulants and their correlators for individual tomographic bins as well as between two different bins. We derive the corresponding one- and two-point joint probability distribution function for the tomographic convergence maps from different bins as a function of angular smoothing scale. The modelling of weak lensing statistics is obtained by adopting a detailed prescription for the underlying density contrast. In this paper we concentrate on the convergence field $κ$ and use top-hat filter; though the techniques presented can readily be extended to model the PDF of shear components or to include other windows such as the compensated filter. The functional form for the underlying PDF and bias is modelled in terms of the non-linear or the quasilinear form depending on the smoothing angular scale. Results from other semi-analytical models e.g. the lognormal distribution are also presented. Introducing a reduced convergence for individual bins, we are able to show that the tomographic PDFs and bias for each bin sample the same functional form of the underlying PDF of density contrast but with varying variance. The joint probability distribution of the convergence maps that correspond to two different tomographic bins can be constructed from individual tomographic PDF and bias. We study their dependence on cosmological parameters for source distributions corresponding to the realistic surveys such as LSST and DES. We briefly outline how photometric redshift information can be incorporated in our computation of cumulants, cumulant correlators and the PDFs. Connection of our results to the full 3D calculations is elucidated. Analytical results for inclusion of realistic noise and finite survey size are presented in detail.

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arXiv2011

Exact Extreme Value Statistics and the Halo Mass Function

Motivated by observations that suggest the presence of extremely massive clusters at uncomfortably high redshifts for the standard cosmological model to explain, we develop a theoretical framework for the study of the most massive haloes, e.g. the most massive cluster found in a given volume, based on Extreme Value Statistics (EVS). We proceed from the exact distribution of the extreme values drawn from a known underlying distribution, rather than relying on asymptotic theory (which is independent of the underlying form), arguing that the former is much more likely to furnish robust statistical results. We illustrate this argument with a discussion of the use of extreme value statistics as a probe of primordial non-Gaussianity.

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arXiv2011

The Morphology of the Thermal Sunyaev-Zel'dovich Sky

At high angular frequencies the thermal Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (tSZ) effect constitutes the dominant signal in the CMB sky. The tSZ effect is caused by large scale pressure fluctuations in the baryonic distribution in the Universe so its statistical properties provide estimates of corresponding properties of the projected 3D pressure fluctuations. It's power spectrum is a sensitive probe of the density fluctuations, and the bispectrum can be used to separate the bias associated with pressure. The bispectrum is often probed with a one-point real-space analogue, the skewness. In addition to the skewness the morphological properties, as probed by the well known Minkowski Functionals (MFs), also require the generalized one-point statistics, which at the lowest order are identical to the skewness parameters. The concept of generalized skewness parameters can be extended to define a set of three associated generalized skew-spectra. We use these skew-spectra to probe the morphology of the tSZ sky or the y-sky. We show how these power spectra can be recovered from the data in the presence of arbitrary mask and noise templates using the well known Pseudo-Cl (PCL) approach for arbitrary beam shape. We also employ an approach based on the halo model to compute the tSZ bispectrum. The bispectrum from each of these models is then used to construct the generalized skew-spectra. We consider the performance of an all-sky survey with Planck-type noise and compare the results against a noise-free ideal experiment using a range of smoothing angles. We find that the skew-spectra can be estimated with very high signal-to-noise ratio from future frequency cleaned tSZ maps that will be available from experiments such as Planck. This will allow their mode by mode estimation for a wide range of angular frequencies and will help us to differentiate them from various other sources of non-Gaussianity.

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arXiv2011

From Weak Lensing to non-Gaussianity via Minkowski Functionals

We present a new harmonic-domain approach for extracting morphological information, in the form of Minkowski Functionals (MFs), from weak lensing (WL) convergence maps. Using a perturbative expansion of the MFs, which is expected to be valid for the range of angular scales probed by most current weak-lensing surveys, we show that the study of three generalized skewness parameters is equivalent to the study of the three MFs defined in two dimensions. We then extend these skewness parameters to three associated skew-spectra which carry more information about the convergence bispectrum than their one-point counterparts. We discuss various issues such as noise and incomplete sky coverage in the context of estimation of these skew-spectra from realistic data. Our technique provides an alternative to the pixel-space approaches typically used in the estimation of MFs, and it can be particularly useful in the presence of masks with non-trivial topology. Analytical modeling of weak lensing statistics relies on an accurate modeling of the statistics of underlying density distribution. We apply three different formalisms to model the underlying dark-matter bispectrum: the hierarchical ansatz, halo model and a fitting function based on numerical simulations; MFs resulting from each of these formalisms are computed and compared. We investigate the extent to witch late-time gravity-induced non-Gaussianity (to which weak lensing is primarily sensitive) can be separated from primordial non-Gaussianity and how this separation depends on source redshift and angular scale.

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arXiv2011

Understanding the WMAP Cold Spot mystery

The first and third year data releases from the WMAP provide evidence of an anomalous Cold Spot (CS) at galactic latitude b=-57deg and longitude l=209deg. We have examined the properties of the CS in some detail in order to assess its cosmological significance. We have performed a cluster analysis of the local extrema in the CMB signal to show that the CS is actually associated with a large group of extrema rather than just one. In the light of this we have re-examined the properties of the WMAP ILC and co-added "cleaned" WCM maps, which have previously been used for the analysis of the properties of the signal in the vicinity of the CS. These two maps have remarkably similar properties on equal latitude rings for |b|>30deg, as well as in the vicinity of the CS. We have also checked the idea that the CMB signal has a non-Gaussian tail, localized in the low multipole components of the signal. For each ring we apply a linear filter with characteristic scale R, dividing the CMB signal in two parts: the filtered part, with characteristic scale above that of the filter R, and the difference between the initial and filtered signal. Using the filter scale as a variable, we can maximize the skewness and kurtosis of the smoothed signal and minimize these statistics for the difference between initial and filtered signal. We have discovered that the shape of the CS is formed primarily by the components of the CMB signal represented by multipoles between 10<=L<=20, with a corresponding angular scale about 5-10 degs. This signal leads to modulation of the whole CMB sky, clearly seen at |b|>30deg in both the ILC and WCM maps, rather than a single localized feature. After subtraction of this modulation, the remaining part of the CMB signal appears to be consistent with statistical homogeneity and Gaussianity.

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arXiv2011

Statistical Characterization of Temperature Patterns in Anisotropic Cosmologies

We consider the issue of characterizing the coherent large-scale patterns from CMB temperature maps in globally anisotropic cosmologies. The methods we investigate are reasonably general; the particular models we test them on are the homogeneous but anisotropic relativistic cosmologies described by the Bianchi classification. Although the temperature variations produced in these models are not stochastic, they give rise to a "non-Gaussian" distribution of temperature fluctuations over the sky that is a partial diagnostic of the model. We explore two methods for quantifying non-Gaussian and/or non-stationary fluctuation fields in order to see how they respond to the Bianchi models.We first investigate the behavior of phase correlations between the spherical harmonic modes of the maps. Then we examine the behavior of the multipole vectors of the temperature distribution which, though defined in harmonic space, can indicate the presence of a preferred direction in real space, i.e. on the 2-sphere. These methods give extremely clear signals of the presence of anisotropy when applied to the models we discuss, suggesting that they have some promise as diagnostics of the presence of global asymmetry in the Universe.

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arXiv2011

Models for the Clustering of Far-Infrared and Sub-millimetre selected Galaxies

We discuss and compare two alternative models for the two-point angular correlation function of galaxies detected through the sub-millimetre emission using the Herschel Space Observatory. The first, now-standard Halo Model, which represents the angular correlations as arising from one-halo and two-halo contributions, is flexible but complex and rather unwieldy. The second model is based on a much simpler approach: we incorporate a fitting function method to estimate the matter correlation function with approximate model of the bias inferred from the estimated redshift distribution to find the galaxy angular correlation function. We find that both models give a good account of the shape of the correlation functions obtained from published preliminary studies of the HerMES and H-ATLAS surveys performed using Herschel, and yield consistent estimates of the minimum halo mass within which the sub-millimetre galaxies must reside. We note also that both models predict an inflection in the correlation function at intermediate angular scales, so the presence of the feature in the measured correlation function does not unambiguously indicate the presence of intra-halo correlations. The primary barrier to more detailed interpretation of these clustering measurements lies in the substantial uncertainty surrounding the redshift distribution of the sources.

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arXiv2010

Higher Order Statistics for Three-dimensional Shear and Flexion

We introduce a collection of statistics appropriate for the study of spinorial quantities defined in three dimensions, focussing on applications to cosmological weak gravitational lensing studies in 3D. In particular, we concentrate on power spectra associated with three- and four-point statistics, which have the advantage of compressing a large number of typically very noisy modes into a convenient data set. It has been shown previously by \cite{MuHe09} that, for non--Gaussianity studies in the microwave background, such compression can be lossless for certain purposes, so we expect the statistics we define here to capture the bulk of the cosmological information available in these higher-order statistics. We consider the effects of a sky mask and noise, and use Limber's approximation to show how, for high-frequency angular modes, confrontation of the statistics with theory can be achieved efficiently and accurately. We focus on scalar and spinorial fields including convergence, shear and flexion of 3D weak lensing, but many of the results apply for general spin fields.

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arXiv2010

The Herschel-SPIRE Legacy Survey (HSLS): the scientific goals of a shallow and wide submillimeter imaging survey with SPIRE

A large sub-mm survey with Herschel will enable many exciting science opportunities, especially in an era of wide-field optical and radio surveys and high resolution cosmic microwave background experiments. The Herschel-SPIRE Legacy Survey (HSLS), will lead to imaging data over 4000 sq. degrees at 250, 350, and 500 micron. Major Goals of HSLS are: (a) produce a catalog of 2.5 to 3 million galaxies down to 26, 27 and 33 mJy (50% completeness; 5 sigma confusion noise) at 250, 350 and 500 micron, respectively, in the southern hemisphere (3000 sq. degrees) and in an equatorial strip (1000 sq. degrees), areas which have extensive multi-wavelength coverage and are easily accessible from ALMA. Two thirds of the of the sources are expected to be at z > 1, one third at z > 2 and about a 1000 at z > 5. (b) Remove point source confusion in secondary anisotropy studies with Planck and ground-based CMB data. (c) Find at least 1200 strongly lensed bright sub-mm sources leading to a 2% test of general relativity. (d) Identify 200 proto-cluster regions at z of 2 and perform an unbiased study of the environmental dependence of star formation. (e) Perform an unbiased survey for star formation and dust at high Galactic latitude and make a census of debris disks and dust around AGB stars and white dwarfs.

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arXiv2010

Temperature and Polarization Patterns in Anisotropic Cosmologies

We study the coherent temperature and polarization patterns produced in homogeneous but anisotropic cosmological models. We show results for all Bianchi types with a Friedman-Robertson-Walker limit (i.e. Types I, V, VII$_{0}$, VII$_{h}$ and IX) to illustrate the range of possible behaviour. We discuss the role of spatial curvature, shear and rotation in the geodesic equations for each model and establish some basic results concerning the symmetries of the patterns produced. We also give examples of the time-evolution of these patterns in terms of the Stokes parameters $I$, $Q$ and $U$.

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arXiv2010

Zonal Modes of Cosmic Microwave Background Temperature Maps

All-sky maps of the cosmic microwave background temperature fluctuations are usually represented by a spherical harmonic decomposition involving modes labelled by their degree l and order m (where -l < m < +l). The zonal modes (i.e those with m = 0) are of particular interest because they vary only with galactic latitude; any anomalous behaviour in them might therefore be an indication of erroneous foreground substraction. We perform a simple statistical analysis of the modes with low l for sky maps derived via different cleaning procedures from the Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropy Probe (WMAP) and show that the zonal modes provide a useful diagnostic of possible systematics.

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arXiv2010

Higher-order Statistics of Weak Lensing Shear and Flexion

Owing to their more extensive sky coverage and tighter control on systematic errors, future deep weak lensing surveys should provide a better statistical picture of the dark matter clustering beyond the level of the power spectrum. In this context, the study of non-Gaussianity induced by gravity can help tighten constraints on the background cosmology by breaking parameter degeneracies, as well as throwing light on the nature of dark matter, dark energy or alternative gravity theories. Analysis of the shear or flexion properties of such maps is more complicated than the simpler case of the convergence due to the spinorial nature of the fields involved. Here we develop analytical tools for the study of higher-order statistics such as the bispectrum (or trispectrum) directly using such maps at different source redshift. The statistics we introduce can be constructed from cumulants of the shear or flexions, involving the cross-correlation of squared and cubic maps at different redshifts. Typically, the low signal-to-noise ratio prevents recovery of the bispectrum or trispectrum mode by mode. We define power spectra associated with each multi- spectra which compresses some of the available information of higher order multispectra. We show how these can be recovered from a noisy observational data even in the presence of arbitrary mask, which introduces mixing between Electric (E-type) and Magnetic (B-type) polarization, in an unbiased way. We also introduce higher order cross-correlators which can cross-correlate lensing shear with different tracers of large scale structures.

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arXiv2010

Primordial Non-Gaussianity from a Joint Analysis of Cosmic Microwave Background Temperature and Polarization

We explore a systematic approach to the analysis of primordial non-Gaussianity using fluctuations in temperature and polarization of the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB). Following Munshi & Heavens (2009), we define a set of power-spectra as compressed forms of the bispectrum and trispectrum derived from CMB temperature and polarization maps; these spectra compress the information content of the corresponding full multispectra and can be useful in constraining early Universe theories. We generalize the standard pseudo-C_l estimators in such a way that they apply to these spectra involving both spin-0 and spin-2 fields, developing explicit expressions which can be used in the practical implementation of these estimators. While these estimators are suboptimal, they are nevertheless unbiased and robust hence can provide useful diagnostic tests at a relatively small computational cost. We next consider approximate inverse-covariance weighting of the data and construct a set of near-optimal estimators based on that approach. Instead of combining all available information from the entire set of mixed bi- or trispectra, i.e multispectra describing both temperature and polarization information, we provide analytical constructions for individual estimators, associated with particular multispectra. The bias and scatter of these estimators can be computed using Monte-Carlo techniques. Finally, we provide estimators which are completely optimal for arbitrary scan strategies and involve inverse covariance weighting; we present the results of an error analysis performed using a Fisher-matrix formalism at both the one-point and two-point level.

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arXiv2010

Higher-order Convergence Statistics for Three-dimensional Weak Gravitational Lensing

Weak gravitational lensing on a cosmological scales can provide strong constraints both on the nature of dark matter and the dark energy equation of state. Most current weak lensing studies are restricted to (two-dimensional) projections, but tomographic studies with photometric redshifts have started, and future surveys offer the possibility of probing the evolution of structure with redshift. In future we will be able to probe the growth of structure in 3D and put tighter constraints on cosmological models than can be achieved by the use of galaxy redshift surveys alone. Earlier studies in this direction focused mainly on evolution of the 3D power spectrum, but extension to higher-order statistics can lift degeneracies as well as providing information on primordial non-gaussianity. We present analytical results for specific higher-order descriptors, the bispectrum and trispectrum, as well as collapsed multi-point statistics derived from them, i.e. cumulant correlators. We also compute quantities we call the power spectra associated with the bispectrum and trispectrum, the Fourier transforms of the well-known cumulant correlators. We compute the redshift dependence of these objects and study their performance in the presence of realistic noise and photometric redshift errors.

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arXiv2009

New Optimised Estimators for the Primordial Trispectrum

Cosmic microwave background studies of non-Gaussianity involving higher-order multispectra can distinguish between early universe theories that predict nearly identical power spectra. However, the recovery of higher-order multispectra is difficult from realistic data due to their complex response to inhomogeneous noise and partial sky coverage, which are often difficult to model analytically. A traditional alternative is to use one-point cumulants of various orders, which collapse the information present in a multispectrum to one number. The disadvantage of such a radical compression of the data is a loss of information as to the source of the statistical behaviour. A recent study by Munshi & Heavens (2009) has shown how to define the skew spectrum (the power spectra of a certain cubic field, related to the bispectrum) in an optimal way and how to estimate it from realistic data. The skew spectrum retains some of the information from the full configuration-dependence of the bispectrum, and can contain all the information on non-Gaussianity. In the present study, we extend the results of the skew spectrum to the case of two degenerate power-spectra related to the trispectrum. We also explore the relationship of these power-spectra and cumulant correlators previously used to study non-Gaussianity in projected galaxy surveys or weak lensing surveys. We construct nearly optimal estimators for quick tests and generalise them to estimators which can handle realistic data with all their complexity in a completely optimal manner. We show how these higher-order statistics and the related power spectra are related to the Taylor expansion coefficients of the potential in inflation models, and demonstrate how the trispectrum can constrain both the quadratic and cubic terms.

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arXiv2009

Polarized Spots in Anisotropic Open Universes

We calculate the temperature and polarization patterns generated in anisotropic cosmological models drawn from the Bianchi classification. We show that localized features in the temperature pattern, perhaps similar to the cold spot observed in the Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropy Probe (WMAP) data, can be generated in models with negative spatial curvature, i.e. Bianchi types V and VII$_{h}$. Both these models also generate coherent polarization patterns. In Bianchi VII$_h$, however, rotation of the polarization angle as light propagates along geodesics can convert E modes into B modes but in Bianchi V this is not necessarily the case. It is in principle possible, therefore, to generate localized temperature features without violating existing observational constraints on the odd-parity component of the polarization of the cosmic microwave background.

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arXiv2009

Adiabatic versus Isocurvature Non--Gaussianity

We study the extent to which one can distinguish primordial non--Gaussianity (NG) arising from adiabatic and isocurvature perturbations. We make a joint analysis of different NG models based on various inflationary scenarios: local-type and equilateral-type NG from adiabatic perturbations and local-type and quadratic-type NG from isocurvature perturbations together with a foreground contamination by point sources. We separate the Fisher information of the bispectrum of CMB temperature and polarization maps by l for the skew spectrum estimator introduced by Munshi & Heavens (2009) to study the scale dependence of the signal-to-noise ratio of different NG components and their correlations. We find that the adiabatic and the isocurvature modes are strongly correlated, though the phase difference of acoustic oscillations helps to distinguish them. The correlation between local-and equilateral-type is weak, but the two isocurvature modes are too strongly correlated to be discriminated. Point source contamination, to the extent to which it can be regarded as white noise, can be almost completely separated from the primordial components for l>100. Including correlations among the different components, we find that the errors of the NG parameters increase by 20-30% for the WMAP 5-year observation, but 5% for Planck observations.

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