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Peter Hou

Publications and source records attributed to Peter Hou.

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Integrated Population Balance and Multiphysics Modeling for Predicting Undesired Agglomeration in Small Molecule Manufacturing

Agitated filter dryers (AFDs) are a crucial unit operation in small molecule manufacturing that enables simultaneous filtration, washing, and drying of active pharmaceutical ingredients. One of the key challenges in AFDs is associated with undesired agglomeration, where the presence of hard agglomerates results in off-spec products, equipment damage, and additional downstream processing. This article presents a novel mechanistic model that describes the formation of soft and hard agglomerates during agitated filter drying. By integrating population balance and multiphysics modeling, the model can accurately predict the evolution of the product temperature, moisture content, and particle size distribution, and hence quantify the extend and impact of undesired agglomeration across various operating conditions. Our proposed model-based framework enables the rational design and operation of AFDs for improving the product quality and process reliability.

cs.CE

Accelerated Medicines Development using a Digital Formulator and a Self-Driving Tableting DataFactory

Pharmaceutical tablet formulation and process development, traditionally a complex and multi-dimensional decision-making process, necessitates extensive experimentation and resources, often resulting in suboptimal solutions. This study presents an integrated platform for tablet formulation and manufacturing, built around a Digital Formulator and a Self-Driving Tableting DataFactory. By combining predictive modelling, optimisation algorithms, and automation, this system offers a material-to-product approach to predict and optimise critical quality attributes for different formulations, linking raw material attributes to key blend and tablet properties, such as flowability, porosity, and tensile strength. The platform leverages the Digital Formulator, an in-silico optimisation framework that employs a hybrid system of models - melding data-driven and mechanistic models - to identify optimal formulation settings for manufacturability. Optimised formulations then proceed through the self-driving Tableting DataFactory, which includes automated powder dosing, tablet compression and performance testing, followed by iterative refinement of process parameters through Bayesian optimisation methods. This approach accelerates the timeline from material characterisation to development of an in-specification tablet within 6 hours, utilising less than 5 grams of API, and manufacturing small batch sizes of up to 1,440 tablets with augmented and mixed reality enabled real-time quality control within 24 hours. Validation across multiple APIs and drug loadings underscores the platform's capacity to reliably meet target quality attributes, positioning it as a transformative solution for accelerated and resource-efficient pharmaceutical development.

cs.CE

Counterpart Fairness -- Addressing Systematic between-group Differences in Fairness Evaluation

When using machine learning to aid decision-making, it is critical to ensure that an algorithmic decision is fair and does not discriminate against specific individuals/groups, particularly those from underprivileged populations. Existing group fairness methods aim to ensure equal outcomes (such as loan approval rates) across groups delineated by protected variables like race or gender. However, in cases where systematic differences between groups play a significant role in outcomes, these methods may overlook the influence of non-protected variables that can systematically vary across groups. These confounding factors can affect fairness evaluations, making it challenging to assess whether disparities are due to discrimination or inherent differences. Therefore, we recommend a more refined and comprehensive fairness index that accounts for both the systematic differences within groups and the multifaceted, intertwined confounding effects. The proposed index evaluates fairness on counterparts (pairs of individuals who are similar with respect to the task of interest but from different groups), whose group identities cannot be distinguished algorithmically by exploring confounding factors. To identify counterparts, we developed a two-step matching method inspired by propensity score and metric learning. In addition, we introduced a counterpart-based statistical fairness index, called Counterpart Fairness (CFair), to assess the fairness of machine learning models. Empirical results on the MIMIC and COMPAS datasets indicate that standard group-based fairness metrics may not adequately inform about the degree of unfairness present in predictions, as revealed through CFair.

cs.LG