arXiv subjects

Peter J. Rousseeuw

Publications and source records attributed to Peter J. Rousseeuw.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Least trimmed squares regression with missing values and cellwise outliers

Regression is the workhorse of statistics, and is often faced with real data that contain outliers. When these are casewise outliers, that is, cases that are entirely wrong or belong to a different population, the issue can be remedied by existing casewise robust regression methods. It is another matter when cellwise outliers occur, that is, suspicious individual entries in the data matrix containing the regressors and the response. We propose a new regression method that is robust to both casewise and cellwise outliers, and handles missing values as well. Its construction allows for skewed distributions. We show that it obeys the first breakdown result for cellwise robust regression. It is also the first such method that is geared to making robust out-of-sample predictions. Its performance is studied by simulation, and it is illustrated on a substantial real dataset.

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arXiv2026

Cellwise Outliers

In statistics and machine learning, the traditional meaning of the terms `outlier' and `anomaly' is a case in the dataset that behaves differently from the bulk of the data, which raises suspicion that it may belong to a different population. But nowadays increasing attention is being paid to so-called cellwise outliers, which are individual values somewhere in the data matrix. Depending on the dimension, even a relatively small proportion of outlying cells can pollute over half the cases, which is a problem for existing methods that work by downweighting or dropping outlying cases. It turns out that detecting cellwise outliers as well as constructing cellwise robust methods requires techniques that are quite different from the casewise setting. For instance, one has to let go of some intuitive equivariance properties. The problem is difficult, but the past decade has seen substantial progress. For high-dimensional data the cellwise approach is becoming dominant, and typically can deal with missing values as well. We review developments in the estimation of location and covariance matrices as well as regression methods, principal component analysis, methods for tensor data, and various other settings.

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arXiv2026

Cellwise and Casewise Robust Covariance in High Dimensions

The sample covariance matrix is a cornerstone of multivariate statistics, but it is highly sensitive to outliers. These can be casewise outliers, such as cases belonging to a different population, or cellwise outliers, which are deviating cells (entries) of the data matrix. Recently some robust covariance estimators have been developed that can handle both types of outliers, but their computation is only feasible up to at most 20 dimensions. To remedy this we propose the cellRCov method, a robust covariance estimator that simultaneously handles casewise outliers, cellwise outliers, and missing data. It relies on a decomposition of the covariance on principal and orthogonal subspaces, leveraging recent work on robust PCA. It also employs a ridge-type regularization to stabilize the estimated covariance matrix. We establish some theoretical properties of cellRCov, including its casewise and cellwise influence functions as well as consistency and asymptotic normality. A simulation study demonstrates the superior performance of cellRCov in contaminated and missing data scenarios. Furthermore, its practical utility is illustrated in a real-world application to anomaly detection. We also construct and illustrate the cellRCCA method for robust and regularized canonical correlation analysis.

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arXiv2026

Cellwise Robust Discriminant Analysis

Classical discriminant analysis (DA) is based on the mean and empirical covariance matrix of each class, both of which are sensitive to outliers in the data. In the past the focus was on casewise outliers, that is, datapoints that lie far away. But nowadays there is increasing interest in cellwise outliers, that are unexpected entries in the data matrix. Removing an entire case because it has one or a few outlying cells would lose much information. Cellwise robust methods aim to detect the outlying cells and to preserve the information in the other cells. We propose a DA method that is trained by estimating the location and covariance of each class by cellwise and casewise robust estimators, that can also handle NA's. The main novelty of our approach is in the prediction on test data, that may contain outlying cells and NA's themselves. The new robust discriminant function is derived from a novel statistical model by penalized maximum likelihood. We focus on quadratic DA, but also cover the setting of linear DA. The new cellQDA and cellLDA methods perform well in simulation. The approach is illustrated on real data, and the results are interpreted with the help of graphical displays.

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arXiv2026

Cellwise and Casewise Robust Multivariate Regression with Inference

Multivariate linear regression is a fundamental statistical task, but classical estimators such as ordinary least squares are highly sensitive to outliers. These may occur as casewise outliers that affect entire observations, or as outlying cells, that are individual contaminated entries in the predictor and/or response matrix. Moreover, modern datasets frequently contain missing values and are high-dimensional. To address these challenges we propose the cellwise multivariate regression (cellMR) estimator, a robust regression method that simultaneously accommodates casewise and cellwise outliers, missing data, and high dimensionality. The approach builds on a cellwise robust covariance estimator and uses ridge regularization for numerical stability. We further introduce cellBoot, a novel bootstrap-based inference procedure tailored to the cellMR framework. Relying on indirect inference, cellBoot provides asymptotically valid confidence intervals that are robust to casewise and cellwise contamination. We derive influence functions of the regression estimator and prove the asymptotic validity of the cellBoot confidence intervals. Simulations and a real genomics application illustrate the strong finite-sample performance of the proposed methods.

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arXiv2026

The bixplot: A variation on the boxplot suited for bimodal data

Boxplots and related visualization methods are widely used exploratory tools for taking a first look at collections of univariate variables. In this note an extension is provided that is specifically designed to detect and display bimodality and multimodality when the data warrant it. For this purpose a univariate clustering method is constructed that ensures contiguous clusters, meaning that no cluster has members inside another cluster, and such that each cluster contains at least a given number of unique members. The resulting bixplot display facilitates the identification and interpretation of potentially meaningful subgroups underlying the data. The bixplot also displays the individual data values, which can draw attention to isolated points. Implementations of the bixplot are available in both Python and R, and their many options are illustrated on several real datasets. For instance, an external variable can be visualized by color gradations inside the display.

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arXiv2026

Robust measures of dispersion for circular data with an anomaly detection rule

Circular variables that represent directions or periodic observations arise in many fields, such as biology and environmental sciences. An important issue when dealing with circular data is how to estimate their dispersion robustly, avoiding undue effects of anomalies. This work extends three robust dispersion measures from the line to the circle. Their robustness is studied via their influence functions and relative bias curves. From these dispersion measures, robust estimators of parameters of circular distributions can be derived. This yields robust estimators for the concentration parameter of the von Mises distribution and the dispersion parameter of the wrapped normal distribution. Their breakdown values and statistical efficiencies are obtained, and they are compared in a simulation study. Building on the best performing estimator, a robust circular anomaly detection procedure is developed, and employed to visualize outliers through a circular violin plot. Three real datasets are analyzed.

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arXiv2025

Robust Principal Components by Casewise and Cellwise Weighting

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a fundamental tool for analyzing multivariate data. Here the focus is on dimension reduction to the principal subspace, characterized by its projection matrix. The classical principal subspace can be strongly affected by the presence of outliers. Traditional robust approaches consider casewise outliers, that is, cases generated by an unspecified outlier distribution that differs from that of the clean cases. But there may also be cellwise outliers, which are suspicious entries that can occur anywhere in the data matrix. Another common issue is that some cells may be missing. This paper proposes a new robust PCA method, called cellPCA, that can simultaneously deal with casewise outliers, cellwise outliers, and missing cells. Its single objective function combines two robust loss functions, that together mitigate the effect of casewise and cellwise outliers. The objective function is minimized by an iteratively reweighted least squares (IRLS) algorithm. Residual cellmaps and enhanced outlier maps are proposed for outlier detection. The casewise and cellwise influence functions of the principal subspace are derived, and its asymptotic distribution is obtained. Extensive simulations and two real data examples illustrate the performance of cellPCA.

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arXiv2025

Explainable Linear and Generalized Linear Models by the Predictions Plot

Multiple linear regression is a basic statistical tool, yielding a prediction formula with the input variables, slopes, and an intercept. But is it really easy to see which terms have the largest effect, or to explain why the prediction of a specific case is unusually high or low? To assist with this the so-called predictions plot is proposed. Its simplicity makes it easy to interpret, and it combines much information. Its main benefit is that it helps explainability of the prediction formula as it is, without depending on how the formula was derived. The input variables can be numerical or categorical. Interaction terms are also handled, and the model can be linear or generalized linear. Another display is proposed to visualize correlations and covariances between prediction terms, in a way that is tailored for this setting.

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arXiv2025

Kernel Outlier Detection

A new anomaly detection method called kernel outlier detection (KOD) is proposed. It is designed to address challenges of outlier detection in high-dimensional settings. The aim is to overcome limitations of existing methods, such as dependence on distributional assumptions or on hyperparameters that are hard to tune. KOD starts with a kernel transformation, followed by a projection pursuit approach. Its novelties include a new ensemble of directions to search over, and a new way to combine results of different direction types. This provides a flexible and lightweight approach for outlier detection. Our empirical evaluations illustrate the effectiveness of KOD on three small datasets with challenging structures, and on four large benchmark datasets.

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arXiv2025

Robust Distance Covariance

Distance covariance is a popular measure of dependence between random variables. It has some robustness properties, but not all. We prove that the influence function of the usual distance covariance is bounded, but that its breakdown value is zero. Moreover, it has an unbounded sensitivity function, converging to the bounded influence function for increasing sample size. To address this sensitivity to outliers we construct a more robust version of distance correlation, which is based on a new data transformation. Simulations indicate that the resulting method is quite robust, and has good power in the presence of outliers. We illustrate the method on genetic data. Comparing the classical distance correlation with its more robust version provides additional insight.

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arXiv2025

Independent Component Analysis by Robust Distance Correlation

Independent component analysis (ICA) is a powerful tool for decomposing a multivariate signal or distribution into fully independent sources, not just uncorrelated ones. Unfortunately, most approaches to ICA are not robust against outliers. Here we propose a robust ICA method called RICA, which estimates the components by minimizing a robust measure of dependence between multivariate random variables. The dependence measure used is the distance correlation (dCor). In order to make it more robust we first apply a new transformation called the bowl transform, which is bounded, one-to-one, continuous, and maps far outliers to points close to the origin. This preserves the crucial property that a zero dCor implies independence. RICA estimates the independent sources sequentially, by looking for the component that has the smallest dCor with the remainder. RICA is strongly consistent and has the usual parametric rate of convergence. Its robustness is investigated by a simulation study, in which it generally outperforms its competitors. The method is illustrated on three applications, including the well-known cocktail party problem.

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arXiv2025

A Powerful Random Forest Featuring Linear Extensions (RaFFLE)

Random forests are widely used in regression. However, the decision trees used as base learners are poor approximators of linear relationships. To address this limitation we propose RaFFLE (Random Forest Featuring Linear Extensions), a novel framework that integrates the recently developed PILOT trees (Piecewise Linear Organic Trees) as base learners within a random forest ensemble. PILOT trees combine the computational efficiency of traditional decision trees with the flexibility of linear model trees. To ensure sufficient diversity of the individual trees, we introduce an adjustable regularization parameter and use node-level feature sampling. These modifications improve the accuracy of the forest. We establish theoretical guarantees for the consistency of RaFFLE under weak conditions, and its faster convergence when the data are generated by a linear model. Empirical evaluations on 136 regression datasets demonstrate that RaFFLE outperforms the classical CART and random forest methods, the regularized linear methods Lasso and Ridge, and the state-of-the-art XGBoost algorithm, across both linear and nonlinear datasets. By balancing predictive accuracy and computational efficiency, RaFFLE proves to be a versatile tool for tackling a wide variety of regression problems.

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arXiv2024

RobPy: a Python Package for Robust Statistical Methods

Robust estimation provides essential tools for analyzing data that contain outliers, ensuring that statistical models remain reliable even in the presence of some anomalous data. While robust methods have long been available in R, users of Python have lacked a comprehensive package that offers these methods in a cohesive framework. RobPy addresses this gap by offering a wide range of robust methods in Python, built upon established libraries including NumPy, SciPy, and scikit-learn. This package includes tools for robust preprocessing, univariate estimation, covariance matrices, regression, and principal component analysis, which are able to detect outliers and to mitigate their effect. In addition, RobPy provides specialized diagnostic plots for visualizing casewise and cellwise outliers. This paper presents the structure of the RobPy package, demonstrates its functionality through examples, and compares its features to existing implementations in other statistical software. By bringing robust methods to Python, RobPy enables more users to perform robust data analysis in a modern and versatile programming language.

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arXiv2024

Robust discriminant analysis

Discriminant analysis (DA) is one of the most popular methods for classification due to its conceptual simplicity, low computational cost, and often solid performance. In its standard form, DA uses the arithmetic mean and sample covariance matrix to estimate the center and scatter of each class. We discuss and illustrate how this makes standard DA very sensitive to suspicious data points, such as outliers and mislabeled cases. We then present an overview of techniques for robust DA, which are more reliable in the presence of deviating cases. In particular, we review DA based on robust estimates of location and scatter, along with graphical diagnostic tools for visualizing the results of DA.

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arXiv2024

Distance Covariance, Independence, and Pairwise Differences

(To appear in The American Statistician.) Distance covariance (Székely, Rizzo, and Bakirov, 2007) is a fascinating recent notion, which is popular as a test for dependence of any type between random variables $X$ and $Y$. This approach deserves to be touched upon in modern courses on mathematical statistics. It makes use of distances of the type $|X-X'|$ and $|Y-Y'|$, where $(X',Y')$ is an independent copy of $(X,Y)$. This raises natural questions about independence of variables like $X-X'$ and $Y-Y'$, about the connection between Cov$(|X-X'|,|Y-Y'|)$ and the covariance between doubly centered distances, and about necessary and sufficient conditions for independence. We show some basic results and present a new and nontechnical counterexample to a common fallacy, which provides more insight. We also show some motivating examples involving bivariate distributions and contingency tables, which can be used as didactic material for introducing distance correlation.

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arXiv2023

The Cellwise Minimum Covariance Determinant Estimator

The usual Minimum Covariance Determinant (MCD) estimator of a covariance matrix is robust against casewise outliers. These are cases (that is, rows of the data matrix) that behave differently from the majority of cases, raising suspicion that they might belong to a different population. On the other hand, cellwise outliers are individual cells in the data matrix. When a row contains one or more outlying cells, the other cells in the same row still contain useful information that we wish to preserve. We propose a cellwise robust version of the MCD method, called cellMCD. Its main building blocks are observed likelihood and a penalty term on the number of flagged cellwise outliers. It possesses good breakdown properties. We construct a fast algorithm for cellMCD based on concentration steps (C-steps) that always lower the objective. The method performs well in simulations with cellwise outliers, and has high finite-sample efficiency on clean data. It is illustrated on real data with visualizations of the results.

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arXiv2023

Multivariate Singular Spectrum Analysis by Robust Diagonalwise Low-Rank Approximation

Multivariate Singular Spectrum Analysis (MSSA) is a powerful and widely used nonparametric method for multivariate time series, which allows the analysis of complex temporal data from diverse fields such as finance, healthcare, ecology, and engineering. However, MSSA lacks robustness against outliers because it relies on the singular value decomposition, which is very sensitive to the presence of anomalous values. MSSA can then give biased results and lead to erroneous conclusions. In this paper a new MSSA method is proposed, named RObust Diagonalwise Estimation of SSA (RODESSA), which is robust against the presence of cellwise and casewise outliers. In particular, the decomposition step of MSSA is replaced by a new robust low-rank approximation of the trajectory matrix that takes its special structure into account. A fast algorithm is constructed, and it is proved that each iteration step decreases the objective function. In order to visualize different types of outliers, a new graphical display is introduced, called an enhanced time series plot. An extensive Monte Carlo simulation study is performed to compare RODESSA with competing approaches in the literature. A real data example about temperature analysis in passenger railway vehicles demonstrates the practical utility of the proposed approach.

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