arXiv subjects

Peter J. Stuckey

Publications and source records attributed to Peter J. Stuckey.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2024

Improving the Computational Efficiency of Adaptive Audits of IRV Elections

AWAIRE is one of two extant methods for conducting risk-limiting audits of instant-runoff voting (IRV) elections. In principle AWAIRE can audit IRV contests with any number of candidates, but the original implementation incurred memory and computation costs that grew superexponentially with the number of candidates. This paper improves the algorithmic implementation of AWAIRE in three ways that make it practical to audit IRV contests with 55 candidates, compared to the previous 6 candidates. First, rather than trying from the start to rule out all candidate elimination orders that produce a different winner, the algorithm starts by considering only the final round, testing statistically whether each candidate could have won that round. For those candidates who cannot be ruled out at that stage, it expands to consider earlier and earlier rounds until either it provides strong evidence that the reported winner really won or a full hand count is conducted, revealing who really won. Second, it tests a richer collection of conditions, some of which can rule out many elimination orders at once. Third, it exploits relationships among those conditions, allowing it to abandon testing those that are unlikely to help. We provide real-world examples with up to 36 candidates and synthetic examples with up to 55 candidates, showing how audit sample size depends on the margins and on the tuning parameters. An open-source Python implementation is publicly available.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2024

Goanna: Resolving Haskell Type Errors With Minimal Correction Subsets

Statically typed languages offer significant advantages, such as bug prevention, enhanced code quality, and reduced maintenance costs. However, these benefits often come at the expense of a steep learning curve and a slower development pace. Haskell, known for its expressive and strict type system, poses challenges for inexperienced programmers in learning and using its type system, especially in debugging type errors. We introduce Goanna, a novel tool that serves as a type checker and an interactive type error debugging tool for Haskell. When encountering type errors, Goanna identifies a comprehensive list of potential causes and resolutions based on the minimum correction subsets (MCS) enumeration. We evaluated Goanna's effectiveness using 86 diverse Haskell programs from online discourse, demonstrating its ability to accurately identify and resolve type errors. Additionally, we present a collection of techniques and heuristics to enhance Goanna's suggestion-based error diagnosis and show their effectiveness from our evaluation.

cs.HC↗

arXiv2024

GeckoGraph: A Visual Language for Polymorphic Types

Polymorphic types are an important feature in most strongly typed programming languages. They allow functions to be written in a way that can be used with different data types, while still enforcing the relationship and constraints between the values. However, programmers often find polymorphic types difficult to use and understand and tend to reason using concrete types. We propose GeckoGraph, a graphical notation for types. GeckoGraph aims to accompany traditional text-based type notation and to make reading, understanding, and comparing types easier. We conducted a large-scale human study using GeckoGraph compared to text-based type notation. To our knowledge, this is the largest controlled user study on functional programming ever conducted. The results of the study show that GeckoGraph helps improve programmers' ability to succeed in the programming tasks we designed, especially for novice programmers.

cs.PL↗

arXiv2024

Efficient Weighting Schemes for Auditing Instant-Runoff Voting Elections

Various risk-limiting audit (RLA) methods have been developed for instant-runoff voting (IRV) elections. A recent method, AWAIRE, is the first efficient approach that can take advantage of but does not require cast vote records (CVRs). AWAIRE involves adaptively weighted averages of test statistics, essentially "learning" an effective set of hypotheses to test. However, the initial paper on AWAIRE only examined a few weighting schemes and parameter settings. We explore schemes and settings more extensively, to identify and recommend efficient choices for practice. We focus on the case where CVRs are not available, assessing performance using simulations based on real election data. The most effective schemes are often those that place most or all of the weight on the apparent "best" hypotheses based on already seen data. Conversely, the optimal tuning parameters tended to vary based on the election margin. Nonetheless, we quantify the performance trade-offs for different choices across varying election margins, aiding in selecting the most desirable trade-off if a default option is needed. A limitation of the current AWAIRE implementation is its restriction to a small number of candidates -- up to six in previous implementations. One path to a more computationally efficient implementation would be to use lazy evaluation and avoid considering all possible hypotheses. Our findings suggest that such an approach could be done without substantially compromising statistical performance.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2024

RLAs for 2-Seat STV Elections: Revisited

Single Transferable Vote (STV) elections are a principled approach to electing multiple candidates in a single election. Each ballot has a starting value of 1, and a candidate is elected if they gather a total vote value more than a defined quota. Votes over the quota have their value reduced by a transfer value so as to remove the quota, and are passed to the next candidate on the ballot. Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) are a statistically sound approach to election auditing which guarantees that failure to detect an error in the result is bounded by a limit. A first approach to RLAs for 2-seat STV elections has been defined. In this paper we show how we can improve this approach by reasoning about lower bounds on transfer values, and how we can extend the approach to partially audit an election, if the method does not support a full audit.

cs.GT↗

arXiv2024

Traffic Flow Optimisation for Lifelong Multi-Agent Path Finding

Multi-Agent Path Finding (MAPF) is a fundamental problem in robotics that asks us to compute collision-free paths for a team of agents, all moving across a shared map. Although many works appear on this topic, all current algorithms struggle as the number of agents grows. The principal reason is that existing approaches typically plan free-flow optimal paths, which creates congestion. To tackle this issue, we propose a new approach for MAPF where agents are guided to their destination by following congestion-avoiding paths. We evaluate the idea in two large-scale settings: one-shot MAPF, where each agent has a single destination, and lifelong MAPF, where agents are continuously assigned new destinations. Empirically, we report large improvements in solution quality for one-short MAPF and in overall throughput for lifelong MAPF.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2023

Anytime Approximate Formal Feature Attribution

Widespread use of artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms and machine learning (ML) models on the one hand and a number of crucial issues pertaining to them warrant the need for explainable artificial intelligence (XAI). A key explainability question is: given this decision was made, what are the input features which contributed to the decision? Although a range of XAI approaches exist to tackle this problem, most of them have significant limitations. Heuristic XAI approaches suffer from the lack of quality guarantees, and often try to approximate Shapley values, which is not the same as explaining which features contribute to a decision. A recent alternative is so-called formal feature attribution (FFA), which defines feature importance as the fraction of formal abductive explanations (AXp's) containing the given feature. This measures feature importance from the view of formally reasoning about the model's behavior. It is challenging to compute FFA using its definition because that involves counting AXp's, although one can approximate it. Based on these results, this paper makes several contributions. First, it gives compelling evidence that computing FFA is intractable, even if the set of contrastive formal explanations (CXp's) is provided, by proving that the problem is #P-hard. Second, by using the duality between AXp's and CXp's, it proposes an efficient heuristic to switch from CXp enumeration to AXp enumeration on-the-fly resulting in an adaptive explanation enumeration algorithm effectively approximating FFA in an anytime fashion. Finally, experimental results obtained on a range of widely used datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed FFA approximation approach in terms of the error of FFA approximation as well as the number of explanations computed and their diversity given a fixed time limit.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2023

Adaptively Weighted Audits of Instant-Runoff Voting Elections: AWAIRE

An election audit is risk-limiting if the audit limits (to a pre-specified threshold) the chance that an erroneous electoral outcome will be certified. Extant methods for auditing instant-runoff voting (IRV) elections are either not risk-limiting or require cast vote records (CVRs), the voting system's electronic record of the votes on each ballot. CVRs are not always available, for instance, in jurisdictions that tabulate IRV contests manually. We develop an RLA method (AWAIRE) that uses adaptively weighted averages of test supermartingales to efficiently audit IRV elections when CVRs are not available. The adaptive weighting 'learns' an efficient set of hypotheses to test to confirm the election outcome. When accurate CVRs are available, AWAIRE can use them to increase the efficiency to match the performance of existing methods that require CVRs. We provide an open-source prototype implementation that can handle elections with up to six candidates. Simulations using data from real elections show that AWAIRE is likely to be efficient in practice. We discuss how to extend the computational approach to handle elections with more candidates. Adaptively weighted averages of test supermartingales are a general tool, useful beyond election audits to test collections of hypotheses sequentially while rigorously controlling the familywise error rate.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2023

On Formal Feature Attribution and Its Approximation

Recent years have witnessed the widespread use of artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms and machine learning (ML) models. Despite their tremendous success, a number of vital problems like ML model brittleness, their fairness, and the lack of interpretability warrant the need for the active developments in explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) and formal ML model verification. The two major lines of work in XAI include feature selection methods, e.g. Anchors, and feature attribution techniques, e.g. LIME and SHAP. Despite their promise, most of the existing feature selection and attribution approaches are susceptible to a range of critical issues, including explanation unsoundness and out-of-distribution sampling. A recent formal approach to XAI (FXAI) although serving as an alternative to the above and free of these issues suffers from a few other limitations. For instance and besides the scalability limitation, the formal approach is unable to tackle the feature attribution problem. Additionally, a formal explanation despite being formally sound is typically quite large, which hampers its applicability in practical settings. Motivated by the above, this paper proposes a way to apply the apparatus of formal XAI to the case of feature attribution based on formal explanation enumeration. Formal feature attribution (FFA) is argued to be advantageous over the existing methods, both formal and non-formal. Given the practical complexity of the problem, the paper then proposes an efficient technique for approximating exact FFA. Finally, it offers experimental evidence of the effectiveness of the proposed approximate FFA in comparison to the existing feature attribution algorithms not only in terms of feature importance and but also in terms of their relative order.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2023

The divergence time of protein structures modelled by Markov matrices and its relation to the divergence of sequences

A complete time-parameterized statistical model quantifying the divergent evolution of protein structures in terms of the patterns of conservation of their secondary structures is inferred from a large collection of protein 3D structure alignments. This provides a better alternative to time-parameterized sequence-based models of protein relatedness, that have clear limitations dealing with twilight and midnight zones of sequence relationships. Since protein structures are far more conserved due to the selection pressure directly placed on their function, divergence time estimates can be more accurate when inferred from structures. We use the Bayesian and information-theoretic framework of Minimum Message Length to infer a time-parameterized stochastic matrix (accounting for perturbed structural states of related residues) and associated Dirichlet models (accounting for insertions and deletions during the evolution of protein domains). These are used in concert to estimate the Markov time of divergence of tertiary structures, a task previously only possible using proxies (like RMSD). By analyzing one million pairs of homologous structures, we yield a relationship between the Markov divergence time of structures and of sequences. Using these inferred models and the relationship between the divergence of sequences and structures, we demonstrate a competitive performance in secondary structure prediction against neural network architectures commonly employed for this task. The source code and supplementary information are downloadable from \url{http://lcb.infotech.monash.edu.au/sstsum}.

q-bio.QM↗

arXiv2023

Lifted Sequential Planning with Lazy Constraint Generation Solvers

This paper studies the possibilities made open by the use of Lazy Clause Generation (LCG) based approaches to Constraint Programming (CP) for tackling sequential classical planning. We propose a novel CP model based on seminal ideas on so-called lifted causal encodings for planning as satisfiability, that does not require grounding, as choosing groundings for functions and action schemas becomes an integral part of the problem of designing valid plans. This encoding does not require encoding frame axioms, and does not explicitly represent states as decision variables for every plan step. We also present a propagator procedure that illustrates the possibilities of LCG to widen the kind of inference methods considered to be feasible in planning as (iterated) CSP solving. We test encodings and propagators over classic IPC and recently proposed benchmarks for lifted planning, and report that for planning problem instances requiring fewer plan steps our methods compare very well with the state-of-the-art in optimal sequential planning.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2023

Reducing Redundant Work in Jump Point Search

JPS (Jump Point Search) is a state-of-the-art optimal algorithm for online grid-based pathfinding. Widely used in games and other navigation scenarios, JPS nevertheless can exhibit pathological behaviours which are not well studied: (i) it may repeatedly scan the same area of the map to find successors; (ii) it may generate and expand suboptimal search nodes. In this work, we examine the source of these pathological behaviours, show how they can occur in practice, and propose a purely online approach, called Constrained JPS (CJPS), to tackle them efficiently. Experimental results show that CJPS has low overheads and is often faster than JPS in dynamically changing grid environments: by up to 7x in large game maps and up to 14x in pathological scenarios.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2023

Scalable Rail Planning and Replanning with Soft Deadlines

The Flatland Challenge, which was first held in 2019 and reported in NeurIPS 2020, is designed to answer the question: How to efficiently manage dense traffic on complex rail networks? Considering the significance of punctuality in real-world railway network operation and the fact that fast passenger trains share the network with slow freight trains, Flatland version 3 introduces trains with different speeds and scheduling time windows. This paper introduces the Flatland 3 problem definitions and extends an award-winning MAPF-based software, which won the NeurIPS 2020 competition, to efficiently solve Flatland 3 problems. The resulting system won the Flatland 3 competition. We designed a new priority ordering for initial planning, a new neighbourhood selection strategy for efficient solution quality improvement with Multi-Agent Path Finding via Large Neighborhood Search(MAPF-LNS), and use MAPF-LNS for partially replanning the trains influenced by malfunction.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2023

Tracking Progress in Multi-Agent Path Finding

Multi-Agent Path Finding (MAPF) is an important core problem for many new and emerging industrial applications. Many works appear on this topic each year, and a large number of substantial advancements and performance improvements have been reported. Yet measuring overall progress in MAPF is difficult: there are many potential competitors, and the computational burden for comprehensive experimentation is prohibitively large. Moreover, detailed data from past experimentation is usually unavailable. In this work, we introduce a set of methodological and visualisation tools which can help the community establish clear indicators for state-of-the-art MAPF performance and which can facilitate large-scale comparisons between MAPF solvers. Our objectives are to lower the barrier of entry for new researchers and to further promote the study of MAPF, since progress in the area and the main challenges are made much clearer.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2023

Risk-Limiting Audits for Condorcet Elections

Elections where electors rank the candidates (or a subset of the candidates) in order of preference allow the collection of more information about the electors' intent. The most widely used election of this type is Instant-Runoff Voting (IRV), where candidates are eliminated one by one, until a single candidate holds the majority of the remaining ballots. Condorcet elections treat the election as a set of simultaneous decisions about each pair of candidates. The Condorcet winner is the candidate who beats all others in these pairwise contests. There are various proposals to determine a winner if no Condorcet winner exists. In this paper we show how we can efficiently audit Condorcet elections for a number of variations. We also compare the audit efficiency (how many ballots we expect to sample) of IRV and Condorcet elections.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2023

ChameleonIDE: Untangling Type Errors Through Interactive Visualization and Exploration

Dynamically typed programming languages are popular in education and the software industry. While presenting a low barrier to entry, they suffer from run-time type errors and longer-term problems in code quality and maintainability. Statically typed languages, while showing strength in these aspects, lack in learnability and ease of use. In particular, fixing type errors poses challenges to both novice users and experts. Further, compiler-type error messages are presented in a static way that is biased toward the first occurrence of the error in the program code. To help users resolve such type errors, we introduce ChameleonIDE, a type debugging tool that presents type errors to the user in an unbiased way, allowing them to explore the full context of where the errors could occur. Programmers can interactively verify the steps of reasoning against their intention. Through three studies involving real programmers, we showed that ChameleonIDE is more effective in fixing type errors than traditional text-based error messages. This difference is more significant in harder tasks. Further, programmers actively using ChameleonIDE's interactive features are shown to be more efficient in fixing type errors than passively reading the type error output.

cs.HC↗

arXiv2023

Ballot-Polling Audits of Instant-Runoff Voting Elections with a Dirichlet-Tree Model

Instant-runoff voting (IRV) is used in several countries around the world. It requires voters to rank candidates in order of preference, and uses a counting algorithm that is more complex than systems such as first-past-the-post or scoring rules. An even more complex system, the single transferable vote (STV), is used when multiple candidates need to be elected. The complexity of these systems has made it difficult to audit the election outcomes. There is currently no known risk-limiting audit (RLA) method for STV, other than a full manual count of the ballots. A new approach to auditing these systems was recently proposed, based on a Dirichlet-tree model. We present a detailed analysis of this approach for ballot-polling Bayesian audits of IRV elections. We compared several choices for the prior distribution, including some approaches using a Bayesian bootstrap (equivalent to an improper prior). Our findings include that the bootstrap-based approaches can be adapted to perform similarly to a full Bayesian model in practice, and that an overly informative prior can give counter-intuitive results. Via carefully chosen examples, we show why creating an RLA with this model is challenging, but we also suggest ways to overcome this. As well as providing a practical and computationally feasible implementation of a Bayesian IRV audit, our work is important in laying the foundation for an RLA for STV elections.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2022

Eliminating The Impossible, Whatever Remains Must Be True

The rise of AI methods to make predictions and decisions has led to a pressing need for more explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methods. One common approach for XAI is to produce a post-hoc explanation, explaining why a black box ML model made a certain prediction. Formal approaches to post-hoc explanations provide succinct reasons for why a prediction was made, as well as why not another prediction was made. But these approaches assume that features are independent and uniformly distributed. While this means that "why" explanations are correct, they may be longer than required. It also means the "why not" explanations may be suspect as the counterexamples they rely on may not be meaningful. In this paper, we show how one can apply background knowledge to give more succinct "why" formal explanations, that are presumably easier to interpret by humans, and give more accurate "why not" explanations. In addition, we show how to use existing rule induction techniques to efficiently extract background information from a dataset, and also how to report which background information was used to make an explanation, allowing a human to examine it if they doubt the correctness of the explanation.

cs.AI↗