arXiv subjects

Petr Vorobev

Publications and source records attributed to Petr Vorobev.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Dynamic Passivity Multipliers for Plug-and-Play Stability Certificates of Converter-Dominated Grids

Ensuring small-signal stability in power systems with a high share of inverter-based resources (IBRs) is hampered by two factors: (i) device and network parameters are often uncertain or completely unknown, and (ii) brute-force enumeration of all topologies is computationally intractable. These challenges motivate plug-and-play (PnP) certificates that verify stability locally yet hold globally. Passivity is an attractive property because it guarantees stability under feedback and network interconnections; however, strict passivity rarely holds for practical controllers such as Grid Forming Inverters (GFMs) employing P-Q droop. This paper extends the passivity condition by constructing a dynamic, frequency-dependent multiplier that enables PnP stability certification of each component based solely on its admittance, without requiring any modification to the controller design. The multiplier is parameterised as a linear filter whose coefficients are tuned under a passivity goal. Numerical results for practical droop gains confirm the PnP rules, substantially enlarging the certified stability region while preserving the decentralised, model-agnostic nature of passivity-based PnP tests.

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arXiv2025

Chance-constrained Solar PV Hosting Capacity Assessment for Distribution Grids Using Gaussian Process and Logit Learning

Growing penetration of distributed generation such as solar PV can increase the risk of over-voltage in distribution grids, affecting network security. Therefore, assessment of the so-called, PV hosting capacity (HC) - the maximum amount of PV that a given grid can accommodate becomes an important practical problem. In this paper, we propose a novel chance-constrained HC estimation framework using Gaussian Process and Logit learning that can account for uncertainty and risk management. Also, we consider the assessment of HC under different voltage control strategies. Our results have demonstrated that the proposed models can achieve high accuracy levels of up to 93% in predicting nodal over-voltage events on IEEE 33-bus and 123-bus test-cases. Thus, these models can be effectively employed to estimate the chance-constrained HC with various risk levels. Moreover, our proposed methods have simple forms and low computational costs of only a few seconds.

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arXiv2025

Gaussian Processes in Power Systems: Techniques, Applications, and Future Works

The increasing integration of renewable energy sources (RESs) and distributed energy resources (DERs) has significantly heightened operational complexity and uncertainty in modern power systems. Concurrently, the widespread deployment of smart meters, phasor measurement units (PMUs) and other sensors has generated vast spatiotemporal data streams, enabling advanced data-driven analytics and decision-making in grid operations. In this context, Gaussian processes (GPs) have emerged as a powerful probabilistic framework, offering uncertainty quantification, non-parametric modeling, and predictive capabilities to enhance power system analysis and control. This paper presents a comprehensive review of GP techniques and their applications in power system operation and control. GP applications are reviewed across three key domains: GP-based modeling, risk assessment, and optimization and control. These areas serve as representative examples of how GP can be utilized in power systems. Furthermore, critical challenges in GP applications are discussed, and potential research directions are outlined to facilitate future power system operations.

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arXiv2024

Physics-Informed Building Occupancy Detection: a Switching Process with Markov Regime

Energy efficiency of buildings is considered to be one of the major means of achieving the net-zero carbon goal around the world. The big part of the energy savings are supposed to be coming from optimizing the operation of the building heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems. There is a natural trade-off between the energy efficiency and the indoor comfort level, and finding an optimal operating schedule/regime requires knowing the occupancy of different spaces inside of the building. Moreover, the COVID-19 pandemic has also revealed the need to sustain the high quality of the indoor air in order to reduce the risk of spread of infection. Occupancy detection from indoor sensors is thus an important practical problem. In the present paper, we propose detection of occupancy based on the carbon dioxide measurements inside the building. In particular, a new approach based on the, so-called, switching auto-regressive process with Markov regime is presented and justified by the physical model of the carbon dioxide concentration dynamics. We demonstrate the efficiency of the method compared to simple Hidden Markov approaches on simulated and real-life data. We also show that the model is flexible and can be generalized to account for different ventilation regimes, simultaneously detecting the occupancy and the ventilation rate.

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arXiv2024

Supervised Learning based Method for Condition Monitoring of Overhead Line Insulators using Leakage Current Measurement

As a new practical and economical solution to the aging problem of overhead line (OHL) assets, the technical policies of most power grid companies in the world experienced a gradual transition from scheduled preventive maintenance to a risk-based approach in asset management. Even though the accumulation of contamination is predictable within a certain degree, there are currently no effective ways to identify the risk of the insulator flashover in order to plan its replacement. This paper presents a novel machine learning (ML) based method for estimating the flashover probability of the cup-and-pin glass insulator string. The proposed method is based on the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) supervised ML model, in which the leakage current (LC) features and applied voltage are used as the inputs. The established model can estimate the critical flashover voltage (U50%) for various designs of OHL insulators with different voltage levels. The proposed method is also able to accurately determine the condition of the insulator strings and instruct asset management engineers to take appropriate actions.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

GP CC-OPF: Gaussian Process based optimization tool for Chance-Constrained Optimal Power Flow

The Gaussian Process (GP) based Chance-Constrained Optimal Power Flow (CC-OPF) is an open-source Python code developed for solving economic dispatch (ED) problem in modern power grids. In recent years, integrating a significant amount of renewables into a power grid causes high fluctuations and thus brings a lot of uncertainty to power grid operations. This fact makes the conventional model-based CC-OPF problem non-convex and computationally complex to solve. The developed tool presents a novel data-driven approach based on the GP regression model for solving the CC-OPF problem with a trade-off between complexity and accuracy. The proposed approach and developed software can help system operators to effectively perform ED optimization in the presence of large uncertainties in the power grid.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2022

Data-Driven Chance Constrained AC-OPF using Hybrid Sparse Gaussian Processes

The alternating current (AC) chance-constrained optimal power flow (CC-OPF) problem addresses the economic efficiency of electricity generation and delivery under generation uncertainty. The latter is intrinsic to modern power grids because of the high amount of renewables. Despite its academic success, the AC CC-OPF problem is highly nonlinear and computationally demanding, which limits its practical impact. For improving the AC-OPF problem complexity/accuracy trade-off, the paper proposes a fast data-driven setup that uses the sparse and hybrid Gaussian processes (GP) framework to model the power flow equations with input uncertainty. We advocate the efficiency of the proposed approach by a numerical study over multiple IEEE test cases showing up to two times faster and more accurate solutions compared to the state-of-the-art methods.

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arXiv2022

Data-Driven Stochastic AC-OPF using Gaussian Processes

In recent years, electricity generation has been responsible for more than a quarter of the greenhouse gas emissions in the US. Integrating a significant amount of renewables into a power grid is probably the most accessible way to reduce carbon emissions from power grids and slow down climate change. Unfortunately, the most accessible renewable power sources, such as wind and solar, are highly fluctuating and thus bring a lot of uncertainty to power grid operations and challenge existing optimization and control policies. The chance-constrained alternating current (AC) optimal power flow (OPF) framework finds the minimum cost generation dispatch maintaining the power grid operations within security limits with a prescribed probability. Unfortunately, the AC-OPF problem's chance-constrained extension is non-convex, computationally challenging, and requires knowledge of system parameters and additional assumptions on the behavior of renewable distribution. Known linear and convex approximations to the above problems, though tractable, are too conservative for operational practice and do not consider uncertainty in system parameters. This paper presents an alternative data-driven approach based on Gaussian process (GP) regression to close this gap. The GP approach learns a simple yet non-convex data-driven approximation to the AC power flow equations that can incorporate uncertainty inputs. The latter is then used to determine the solution of CC-OPF efficiently, by accounting for both input and parameter uncertainty. The practical efficiency of the proposed approach using different approximations for GP-uncertainty propagation is illustrated over numerous IEEE test cases.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2021

Importance sampling approach to chance-constrained DC optimal power flow

Despite significant economic and ecological effects, a higher level of renewable energy generation leads to increased uncertainty and variability in power injections, thus compromising grid reliability. In order to improve power grid security, we investigate a joint chance-constrained (CC) direct current (DC) optimal power flow (OPF) problem. The problem aims to find economically optimal power generation while guaranteeing that all power generation, line flows, and voltages simultaneously remain within their bounds with a pre-defined probability. Unfortunately, the problem is computationally intractable even if the distribution of renewables fluctuations is specified. Moreover, existing approximate solutions to the joint CC OPF problem are overly conservative, and therefore have less value for the operational practice. This paper proposes an importance sampling approach to the CC DC OPF problem, which yields better complexity and accuracy than current state-of-the-art methods. The algorithm efficiently reduces the number of scenarios by generating and using only the most important of them, thus enabling real-time solutions for test cases with up to several hundred buses.

math.OC↗

arXiv2021

Identification of Stability Regions in Inverter-Based Microgrids

A new method for the stability assessment of inverter-based microgrids is presented in this paper. Directly determining stability boundaries by searching the multidimensional space of inverters' droop gains is a computationally prohibitive task. Instead, we build a certified stability region by utilizing a generalized Laplacian matrix eigenvalues, which are a measure of proximity to stability boundary. We establish an upper threshold for the eigenvalues that determines the stability boundary of the entire system and demonstrate that this value depends only on the network's R/X ratio but does not depend on the grid topology. We also provide a conservative upper threshold of the eigenvalues that are universal for any systems within a reasonable range of R/X ratios. We then construct approximate certified stability regions representing convex sets in the multidimensional space of droop gains that could be utilized for gains optimization. We show how the certified stability region can be maximized by properly choosing droop gains, and we provide closed-form analytic expressions for the certified stability regions. The computational complexity of our method is almost independent of the number of inverters. The proposed methodology has been tested using IEEE 123 node test system with 10 inverters.

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arXiv2021

Network Topology Invariant Stability Certificates for DC Microgrids with Arbitrary Load Dynamics

DC microgrids are prone to small-signal instabilities due to the presence of tightly regulated loads. This paper develops a decentralized stability certificate which is capable of certifying the small-signal stability of an islanded DC network containing such loads. Utilizing a novel homotopy approach, the proposed standards ensure that no system eigenmodes are able to cross into the unstable right half plane for a continuous range of controller gain levels. The resulting "standards" can be applied to variety of grid components which meet the specified, but non-unique, criteria. These standards thus take a step towards offering plug-and-play operability of DC microgrids. The proposed theorems are explicitly illustrated and numerically validated on multiple DC microgrid test-cases containing both buck and boost converter dynamics.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2021

Voltage Feasibility Boundaries for Power System Security Assessment

Modern power systems face a grand challenge in grid management due to increased electricity demand, imminent disturbances, and uncertainties associated with renewable generation, which can compromise grid security. The security assessment is directly connected to the robustness of the operating condition and is evaluated by analyzing proximity to the power flow solution space's boundary. Calculating location of such a boundary is a computationally challenging task, linked to the power flow equations' non-linear nature, presence of technological constraints, and complicated network topology. In this paper we introduce a general framework to characterize points on the power flow solution space boundary in terms of auxiliary variables subject to algebraic constraints. Then we develop an adaptive continuation algorithm to trace 1-dimensional sections of boundary curves which exhibits robust performance and computational tractability. Implementation of the algorithm is described in detail, and its performance is validated on different test networks.

math.NA↗

arXiv2020

Grid-forming frequency shaping control

As power systems transit to a state of high renewable penetration, little or no presence of synchronous generators makes the prerequisite of well-regulated frequency for grid-following inverters unrealistic. Thus, there is a trend to resort to grid-forming inverters which set frequency directly. We propose a novel grid-forming frequency shaping control that is able to shape the aggregate system frequency dynamics into a first-order one with the desired steady-state frequency deviation and Rate of Change of Frequency (RoCoF) after a sudden power imbalance. The no overshoot property resulting from the first-order dynamics allows the system frequency to monotonically move towards its new steady-state without experiencing frequency Nadir, which largely improves frequency security. We prove that our grid-forming frequency-shaping control renders the system internally stable under mild assumptions. The performance of the proposed control is verified via numerical simulations on a modified Icelandic Power Network test case.

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arXiv2020

Identification and Stabilization of Critical Clusters in Inverter-Based Microgrids

A new method for stability assessment of inverter-based microgrids is presented in this paper. It leverages the notion of critical clusters -- a localized group of inverters with parameters having the highest impact on the system stability. The spectrum of the weighted network admittance matrix is proposed to decompose a system into clusters and rank them based on their distances from the stability boundary. We show that each distinct eigenvalue of this matrix is associated with one cluster, and its eigenvectors reveal a set of inverters that participate most in the corresponding cluster. The least stable or unstable clusters correspond to higher values of respective eigenvalues of the weighted admittance matrix. We also establish an upper threshold for eigenvalues that determines the stability boundary of the entire system and demonstrate that this value depends only on the grid type (i.e. $R/X$ ratio of the network) and does not depend on the grid topology. Therefore, the proposed method provides the stability certificate based on this upper threshold and identifies the lines or inverter droop settings needed to be adjusted to restore or improve the stability.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2020

Storage-Based Frequency Shaping Control

With the decrease in system inertia, frequency security becomes an issue for power systems around the world. Energy storage systems (ESS), due to their excellent ramping capabilities, are considered as a natural choice for the improvement of frequency response following major contingencies. In this manuscript, we propose a new strategy for energy storage -- frequency shaping control -- that allows to completely eliminate the frequency Nadir, one of the main issue in frequency security, and at the same time tune the rate of change of frequency (RoCoF) to a desired value. With Nadir eliminated, the frequency security assessment can be performed via simple algebraic calculations, as opposed to dynamic simulations for conventional control strategies. Moreover, our proposed control is also very efficient in terms of the requirements on storage peak power, requiring up to 40% less power than conventional virtual inertia approach for the same performance.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2020

Identification of Critical Clusters in Inverter-based Microgrids

In this paper, we investigate the stability properties of inverter-based microgrids by establishing the possible presence of the so-called critical clusters - groups of inverters with their control settings being close to the stability boundary. For this, we consider the spectrum of the weighted admittance matrix of the network and show that its distinct eigenvalues correspond to inverter clusters, whose structure can be revealed by the corresponding eigenvector. We show that the maximum eigenvalue of the weighted admittance matrix corresponds to the cluster, closest to stability boundary. We also establish, that there exists a boundary on the value of this eigenvalue, that corresponds to the stability of the overall system. Thus, we make it possible to certify the stability of the system and find the groups of inverters in which control settings are closest to the stability boundary.

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arXiv2020

A Bayesian Framework for Power System Components Identification

Having actual models for power system components (such as generators and loads or auxiliary equipment) is vital to correctly assess the power system operating state and to establish stability margins. However, power system operators often have limited information about the actual values for power system component parameters. Even when a model is available, its operating parameters and control settings are time-dependent and subject to real-time identification. Ideally, these parameters should be identified from measurement data, such as phasor measurement unit (PMU) signals. However, it is challenging to do this from the ambient measurements in the absence of transient dynamics since the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) for such signals is not necessarily large. In this paper, we design a Bayesian framework for on-line identification of power system component parameters based on ambient PMU data, which has reliable performance for SNR as low as five and for certain parameters can give good estimations even for unit SNR. We support the framework with a robust and time-efficient numerical method. We illustrate the approach efficiency on a synchronous generator example.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2020

A Passivity Interpretation of Energy-Based Forced Oscillation Source Location Methods

This paper develops a systematic framework for analyzing how low frequency forced oscillations propagate in electric power systems. Using this framework, the paper shows how to mathematically justify the so-called Dissipating Energy Flow (DEF) forced oscillation source location technique. The DEF's specific deficiencies are pinpointed, and its underlying energy function is analyzed via incremental passivity theory. This analysis is then used to prove that there exists no passivity transformation (i.e. quadratic energy function) which can simultaneously render all components of a lossy classical power system passive. The paper goes on to develop a simulation-free algorithm for predicting the performance of the DEF method in a generalized power system, and it analyzes the passivity of three non-classical load and generation components. The proposed propagation framework and performance algorithm are both tested and illustrated on the IEEE 39-bus New England system and the WECC 179-bus system.

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