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Phil Potter

Publications and source records attributed to Phil Potter.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Laguna M.1/XS.2 Technical Report

We present Laguna M.1 and Laguna XS.2, two Mixture-of-Experts foundation models built for long-horizon, agentic coding: M.1 has $225.8$B total parameters ($23.4$B activated per token) and XS.2 has $33.4$B total ($3$B activated). Both models were trained from scratch end-to-end inside the same internal system that we refer to as our Model Factory: a tightly-integrated stack of versioned data, training, evaluation, and inference components that turn model development into an industrial process. We describe the principles and design choices of the Model Factory and also detail the end-to-end training process of our models, throughout pre-training data and architecture, post-training stages, evaluation, and quantization. On agentic software engineering and terminal benchmarks (SWE-bench Verified, SWE-bench Multilingual, SWE-Bench Pro, and Terminal-Bench 2.0) M.1 and XS.2 are competitive with state-of-the-art open models in their respective weight classes. Laguna XS.2 weights are released under Apache~2.0 at https://huggingface.co/collections/poolside/laguna-xs2.

cs.AI

Estimating the cascading global impacts of gas disruptions in Qatar

This study examines the global impacts of a localized disruption in Qatar's gas sector using a multi-regional input-output framework and scenario-based analysis. While the direct impacts of this disruption on importing countries are clear, indirect and cascading impacts are not well understood. We use a Multiregional input-output (MRIO) model to assess the impact of this disruption and to determine whether trade reallocations and increased production can mitigate its effects. Our analysis shows that this disruption leads to significant gas supply losses in Asia and Europe, with the largest aggregate impacts observed in India, China, and South Korea. Allowing for trade reallocation partially mitigates these losses. Further expansion of production capacity among major gas-producing countries improves supply conditions and leads to broader output gains; however, these benefits remain concentrated in a few large economies. Even significant increases in production among top producers offer limited relief to economies such as India and Pakistan. Overall, the results highlight the uneven distribution of both vulnerabilities and recovery potential within global supply chains. While adaptive mechanisms such as trade reallocation and production expansion can alleviate the effects of supply shocks, their effectiveness is limited and heterogeneous. The findings underscore the importance of network structure in shaping shock propagation and resilience, offering insights for managing systemic risks in an interconnected global economy.

physics.soc-ph