arXiv subjects

Philip Lubin

Publications and source records attributed to Philip Lubin.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2022

Don't Forget To Look Up

We discuss a hypothetical existential threat from a 10 km diameter bolide discovered 6 months prior to impact with one case being a comet and the other being an asteroid. We show that an extension of our work on bolide fragmentation using an array of penetrators but modified with small nuclear explosive devices (NED) in the penetrators, combined with soon-to-be-realized heavy lift launch assets with positive $C_3$ such as NASA SLS or SpaceX Starship (with in-orbit refueling) is sufficient to mitigate this existential threat. A threat of this magnitude hitting the Earth at a closing speed of 40 km/s for the comet and 20 km/s for the asteroid would have an impact energy of roughly 65 Teratons TNT, or about ten thousand times larger than the current combined nuclear arsenal of the entire world. This is similar in energy to the KT extinction event that killed the dinosaurs some 66 million years ago. Such an event, if not mitigated, would be an existential threat to humanity. We show that mitigation is conceivable using existing technology, even with the short time scale of 6 months warning, but that the efficient coupling of the NED energy is critical.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2022

A Roadmap to Interstellar Flight

In the nearly 60 years of spaceflight we have accomplished wonderful feats of exploration that have shown the incredible spirit of the human drive to explore and understand our universe. Yet in those 60 years we have barely left our solar system with the Voyager 1 spacecraft launched in 1977 finally leaving the solar system after 37 years of flight at a speed of 17 km/s or less than 0.006% the speed of light. As remarkable as this is we will never reach even the nearest stars with our current propulsion technology in even 10 millennium. We have to radically rethink our strategy or give up our dreams of reaching the stars, or wait for technology that does not currently exist. While we all dream of human spaceflight to the stars in a way romanticized in books and movies, it is not within our power to do so, nor it is clear that this is the path we should choose. We posit a technological path forward, that while not simple, it is within our technological reach. We propose a roadmap to a program that will lead to sending relativistic probes to the nearest stars and will open up a vast array of possibilities of flight both within our solar system and far beyond. Spacecraft from gram level complete spacecraft on a wafer ("wafersats") that reach more than $1/4c$ and reach the nearest star in 20 years to spacecraft with masses more than $10^5$ kg (100 tons) that can reach speeds of greater than 1000 km/s. These systems can be propelled to speeds currently unimaginable with existing propulsion technologies. To do so requires a fundamental change in our thinking of both propulsion and in many cases what a spacecraft is. In addition to larger spacecraft, some capable of transporting humans, we consider functional spacecraft on a wafer, including integrated optical communications, imaging systems, photon thrusters, power and sensors combined with directed energy propulsion.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2022

The Economics of Interstellar Flight

Large scale directed energy offers the possibility of radical transformation in a variety of areas, including the ability to achieve relativistic flight that will enable the first interstellar missions, as well as rapid interplanetary transit. In addition, the same technology will allow for long-range beamed power for ion, ablation, and thermal engines, as well as long-range recharging of distant spacecraft, long-range and ultra high bandwidth laser communications, and many additional applications that include remote composition analysis, manipulation of asteroids, and full planetary defense. Directed energy relies on photonics which, like electronics, is an exponentially expanding growth area driven by diverse economic interests that allows transformational advances in space exploration and capability. We have made enormous technological progress in the last few years to enable this long-term vision. In addition to the technological challenges, we must face the economic challenges to bring the vision to reality. The path ahead requires a fundamental change in the system designs to allow for the radical cost reductions required. To afford the full-scale realization of this vision we will need to bring to fore integrated photonics and mass production as a path forward. Fortunately, integrated photonics is a technology driven by vast consumer need for high speed data delivery. We outline the fundamental physics that drive the economics and derive an analytic cost model that allows us to logically plan the path ahead.

econ.GN↗

arXiv2021

The First Interstellar Astronauts Will Not Be Human

Our ability to explore the cosmos by direct contact has been limited to a small number of lunar and interplanetary missions. However, the NASA Starlight program points a path forward to send small, relativistic spacecraft far outside our solar system via standoff directed-energy propulsion. These miniaturized spacecraft are capable of robotic exploration but can also transport seeds and organisms, marking a profound change in our ability to both characterize and expand the reach of known life. Here we explore the biological and technological challenges of interstellar space biology, focusing on radiation-tolerant microorganisms capable of cryptobiosis. Additionally, we discuss planetary protection concerns and other ethical considerations of sending life to the stars.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2021

Beam propagation simulation of phased laser arrays with atmospheric perturbations

Directed energy phased array (DEPA) systems have been proposed for novel applications such as beaming optical power for electrical use on remote sensors, rovers, spacecraft and future moon bases, as well as planetary defense against asteroids and photonic propulsion up to relativistic speeds. All such scenarios involve transmission through atmosphere and beam perturbations due to turbulence which must be quantified. Numerical beam propagation and feedback control simulations were performed using an algorithm optimized for efficient calculation of real-time beam dynamics in a Kolmogorov atmosphere. Results were used to quantify the effectiveness of the system design with different degrees of atmospheric turbulence and zenith angles, and it was found that a large aperture DEPA system placed at a high altitude site is capable of producing a stable diffraction limited spot (Strehl > 0.8) on space-based targets for Fried length r_0 > 10 cm (@500nm) and zenith angles up to 60 degrees depending on atmospheric conditions. These results are promising for the next generation of power beaming and deep space exploration applications.

physics.comp-ph↗

arXiv2021

Damage to Relativistic Interstellar Spacecraft by ISM Impact Gas Accumulation

As part of the NASA Starlight collaboration, we look at the implications of radiation effects from impacts with the interstellar medium (ISM) on a directed energy driven relativistic spacecraft. The spacecraft experiences a stream of MeV/nucleon impacts along the forward edge primarily from hydrogen and helium nuclei. The accumulation of implanted slowly diffusing gas atoms in solids drives damage through the meso-scale processes of bubble formation, blistering, and exfoliation. This results in macroscopic changes to material properties and, in the cases of blistering and exfoliation, material erosion via blister rupture and delamination. Relativistic hydrogen and helium at constant velocity will stop in the material at a similar depth, as predicted by Bethe-Bloch stopping and subsequent simulations of the implantation distribution, leading to a mixed hydrogen and helium system similar to that observed in fusion plasma-facing components (PFC's). However, the difference in location of near-surface gas atoms with respect to the direction of exposure means that previously developed empirical models of blistering cannot be used to predict bubble formation or blistering onset. In this work, we present a model of the local gas concentration threshold for material blistering from exposure to the ISM at relativistic speeds. Expected effects on the spacecraft and mitigation strategies are also discussed. The same considerations apply to the Breakthrough Starshot mission.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2020

Model Optimization for Deep Space Exploration via Simulators and Deep Learning

Machine learning, and eventually true artificial intelligence techniques, are extremely important advancements in astrophysics and astronomy. We explore the application of deep learning using neural networks in order to automate the detection of astronomical bodies for future exploration missions, such as missions to search for signatures or suitability of life. The ability to acquire images, analyze them, and send back those that are important, as determined by the deep learning algorithm, is critical in bandwidth-limited applications. Our previous foundational work solidified the concept of using simulator images and deep learning in order to detect planets. Optimization of this process is of vital importance, as even a small loss in accuracy might be the difference between capturing and completely missing a possibly-habitable nearby planet. Through computer vision, deep learning, and simulators, we introduce methods that optimize the detection of exoplanets. We show that maximum achieved accuracy can hit above 98% for multiple model architectures, even with a relatively small training set.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2020

Relaying Swarms of Low-Mass Interstellar Probes

Low-mass probes propelled by directed energy from earth are an early option for exploration of nearby star systems. A challenging aspect of such technology is returning scientific observational data to earth. We compare two configurations for achieving this. A direct configuration utilizes optical transmission from the probe to a terrestrial receiver employing a large photon collector. In a relay configuration, probes spaced at uniform intervals act as regenerative repeaters for the scientific data, which eventually arrives at a terrestrial receiver from the most recently launched probe. A number of advantages and disadvantages of the relay configuration are discussed. A numerical comparison approximates equal probe mass in the two cases by using the same optical transmit power and equivalent total transmit plus receive aperture area. When the total downlink data rate is equal, the relay configuration benefits from a smaller terrestrial receive collector, but also requires very frequent launches to achieve higher data rates due to the limitations on relay probe receive aperture area. The direct configuration can achieve higher data rates without such frequent launches by increasing terrestrial collector area. A single-point failure problem in the relay configuration can be addressed by introducing relay-bypass modes, but only at the expense of further increases in launch rate or reductions in data volume, as well as a considerable increase in design and operational complexity. Taking into account launch and collector area costs, the direct configuration is found to achieve lower overall cost by a wide margin over a range of cost parameter values and data rates.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2020

Technological Challenges in Low-mass Interstellar Probe Communication

Building on a preliminary paper design of a downlink from a swarm of low-mass interstellar probes for returning scientific data from the vicinity of Proxima Centauri, the most critical technology issues are summarized, and their significance is explained in the context of the overall system design. The primary goal is to identify major challenges or showstoppers if such a downlink were to be constructed using currently available off-the-shelf technology, and thereby provide direction and motivation to future research on the constituent design challenges and technologies. While there are not any fundamental physical limits that prevent such communication systems, currently available technologies fall significantly short in several areas and there are other major design challenges with uncertain solutions. The greatest identified challenges are in mass constraints, multiplexing simultaneous communication from multiple probes to the same target exoplanet, attitude control and pointing accuracy, and Doppler shifts due to uncertainty in probe velocity. The greatest technology challenges are electrical power, high power and wavelength-agile optical sources, very selective and wavelength-agile banks of optical bandpass filters, and single-photon detectors with extremely low dark-count rates. For a critical subset of these, we describe the nature of the difficulties we encounter and their origins in the overall system context. A receiver that limits reception to a single probe is also considered and compared to the swarm case.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2020

Advances in Deep Space Exploration via Simulators & Deep Learning

The StarLight program conceptualizes fast interstellar travel via small wafer satellites (wafersats) that are propelled by directed energy. This process is wildly different from traditional space travel and trades large and slow spacecraft for small, fast, inexpensive, and fragile ones. The main goal of these wafer satellites is to gather useful images during their deep space journey. We introduce and solve some of the main problems that accompany this concept. First, we need an object detection system that can detect planets that we have never seen before, some containing features that we may not even know exist in the universe. Second, once we have images of exoplanets, we need a way to take these images and rank them by importance. Equipment fails and data rates are slow, thus we need a method to ensure that the most important images to humankind are the ones that are prioritized for data transfer. Finally, the energy on board is minimal and must be conserved and used sparingly. No exoplanet images should be missed, but using energy erroneously would be detrimental. We introduce simulator-based methods that leverage artificial intelligence, mostly in the form of computer vision, in order to solve all three of these issues. Our results confirm that simulators provide an extremely rich training environment that surpasses that of real images, and can be used to train models on features that have yet to be observed by humans. We also show that the immersive and adaptable environment provided by the simulator, combined with deep learning, lets us navigate and save energy in an otherwise implausible way.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2020

Challenges in Scientific Data Communication from Low-Mass Interstellar Probes

A downlink for the return of scientific data from space probes at interstellar distances is studied. The context is probes moving at relativistic speed using a terrestrial directed-energy beam for propulsion, necessitating very-low mass probes. Achieving simultaneous communication from a swarm of probes launched at regular intervals to a target at the distance of Proxima Centauri is addressed. The analysis focuses on fundamental physical and statistical communication limitations on downlink performance rather than a concrete implementation. Transmission time/distance and probe mass are chosen to achieve the best data latency vs volume tradeoff. Challenges in targeting multiple probe trajectories with a single receiver are addressed, including multiplexing, parallax, and target star proper motion. Relevant sources of background radiation, including cosmic, atmospheric, and receiver dark count are identified and estimated. Direct detection enables high photon efficiency and incoherent aperture combining. A novel burst pulse-position modulation (BPPM) beneficially expands the optical bandwidth and ameliorates receiver dark counts. A canonical receive optical collector combines minimum transmit power with constrained swarm-probe coverage. Theoretical limits on reliable data recovery and sensitivity to the various BPPM model parameters are applied, including a wide range of total collector areas. Significant near-term technological obstacles are identified. Enabling innovations include a high peak-to-average power ratio, a large source extinguishing factor, the shortest atmosphere-transparent wavelength to minimize target star interference, adaptive optics for atmospheric turbulence, very selective bandpass filtering (possibly with multiple passbands), very low dark-count single-photon superconducting detectors, and very accurate attitude control and pointing mechanisms.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2019

Opportunities for Astrophysical Science from the Inner and Outer Solar System

Astrophysical measurements away from the 1 AU orbit of Earth can enable several astrophysical science cases that are challenging or impossible to perform from Earthbound platforms, including: building a detailed understanding of the extragalactic background light throughout the electromagnetic spectrum; measurements of the properties of dust and ice in the inner and outer solar system; determinations of the mass of planets and stellar remnants far from luminous stars using gravitational microlensing; and stable time-domain astronomy. Though potentially transformative for astrophysics, opportunities to fly instrumentation capable of these measurements are rare, and a mission to the distant solar system that includes instrumentation expressly designed to perform astrophysical science, or even one primarily for a different purpose but capable of precise astronomical investigation, has not yet been flown. In this White Paper, we describe the science motivations for this kind of measurement, and advocate for future flight opportunities that permit intersectional collaboration and cooperation to make these science investigations a reality.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2019

Directed Energy Interception of Satellites

High power Earth and orbital-based directed energy (DE) systems pose a potential hazard to Earth orbiting spacecraft. The use of very high power, large aperture DE systems to propel spacecraft is being pursued as the only known, feasible method to achieve relativistic flight in our NASA Starlight and Breakthrough Starshot programs. In addition, other beamed power mission scenarios, such as orbital debris removal and our NASA program using DE for powering high performance ion engine missions, pose similar concerns. It is critical to quantify the probability and rates of interception of the DE beam with the approximately 2000 active Earth orbiting spacecraft. We have modeled the interception of the beam with satellites by using their orbital parameters and computing the likelihood of interception for many of the scenarios of the proposed systems we are working on. We are able to simulate both the absolute interception as well as the distance and angle from the beam to the spacecraft, and have modeled a number of scenarios to obtain general probabilities. We have established that the probability of beam interception of any active satellite, including its orbital position uncertainty, during any of the proposed mission scenarios is low ($\approx10^{-4}$). The outcome of this work gives us the ability to predict when to energize the beam without intercept, as well as the capability to turn off the DE as needed for extended mission scenarios. As additional satellites are launched, our work can be readily extended to accommodate them. Our work can also be used to predict interception of astronomical adaptive optics guide-star lasers as well as more general laser use.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2017

Relativistic Spacecraft Propelled by Directed Energy

Achieving relativistic flight to enable extrasolar exploration is one of the dreams of humanity and the long term goal of our NASA Starlight program. We derive a fully relativistic solution for the motion of a spacecraft propelled by radiation pressure from a directed energy system. Depending on the system parameters, low mass spacecraft can achieve relativistic speeds; thereby enabling interstellar exploration. The diffraction of the directed energy system plays an important role and limits the maximum speed of the spacecraft. We consider 'photon recycling' as a possible method to achieving higher speeds. We also discuss recent claims that our previous work on this topic is incorrect and show that these claims arise from an improper treatment of causality.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2016

The Search for Directed Intelligence

We propose a search for sources of directed energy systems such as those now becoming technologically feasible on Earth. Recent advances in our own abilities allow us to foresee our own capability that will radically change our ability to broadcast our presence. We show that systems of this type have the ability to be detected at vast distances and indeed can be detected across the entire horizon. This profoundly changes the possibilities for searches for extra-terrestrial technology advanced civilizations. We show that even modest searches can be extremely effective at detecting or limiting many civilization classes. We propose a search strategy that will observe more than 10 12 stellar and planetary systems with possible extensions to more than 10 20 systems allowing us to test the hypothesis that other similarly or more advanced civilization with this same capability, and are broadcasting, exist.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2016

Circular polarization of the CMB: Foregrounds and detection prospects

The cosmic microwave background (CMB) is one of the finest probes of cosmology. Its all-sky temperature and linear polarization (LP) fluctuations have been measured precisely at a level of deltaT/TCMB ~10^{-6}. In comparison, circular polarization (CP) of the CMB, however, has not been precisely explored. Current upper limit on the CP of the CMB is at a level of deltaV/TCMB ~10^{-4} and is limited on large scales. Some of the cosmologically important sources which can induce a CP in the CMB include early universe symmetry breaking, primordial magnetic field, galaxy clusters and Pop III stars (also known as the First stars). Among these sources, Pop III stars are expected to induce the strongest signal with levels strongly dependent on the frequency of observation and on the number, Np, of the Pop III stars per halo. Optimistically, a CP signal in the CMB due to the Pop III stars could be at a level of deltaV/TCMB ~ 2x10^{-7} in scales of 1 degree at 10 GHz, which is much smaller than the currently existing upper limits on the CP measurements. Primary foregrounds in the cosmological CP detection will come from the galactic synchrotron emission (GSE), which is naturally (intrinsically) circularly polarized. We use data-driven models of the galactic magnetic field (GMF), thermal electron density and relativistic electron density to simulate all-sky maps of the galactic CP in different frequencies. This work also points out that the galactic CP levels are important below 50 GHz and is an important factor for telescopes aiming to detect primordial B-modes using CP as a systematics rejection channel. Final results on detectability are summarized in Fig (11-13).

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2016

Directed Energy Missions for Planetary Defense

Directed energy for planetary defense is now a viable option and is superior in many ways to other proposed technologies, being able to defend the Earth against all known threats. This paper presents basic ideas behind a directed energy planetary defense system that utilizes laser ablation of an asteroid to impart a deflecting force on the target. A conceptual philosophy called DE-STAR, which stands for Directed Energy System for Targeting of Asteroids and exploRation, is an orbiting stand-off system, which has been described in other papers. This paper describes a smaller, stand-on system known as DE-STARLITE as a reduced-scale version of DE-STAR. Both share the same basic heritage of a directed energy array that heats the surface of the target to the point of high surface vapor pressure that causes significant mass ejection thus forming an ejection plume of material from the target that acts as a rocket to deflect the object. This is generally classified as laser ablation. DE-STARLITE uses conventional propellant for launch to LEO and then ion engines to propel the spacecraft from LEO to the near-Earth asteroid (NEA). During laser ablation, the asteroid itself provides the propellant source material; thus a very modest spacecraft can deflect an asteroid much larger than would be possible with a system of similar mission mass using ion beam deflection (IBD) or a gravity tractor. DE- STARLITE is capable of deflecting an Apophis-class (325 m diameter) asteroid with a 1- to 15-year targeting time (laser on time) depending on the system design. The mission fits within the rough mission parameters of the Asteroid Redirect Mission (ARM) program in terms of mass and size. DE-STARLITE also has much greater capability for planetary defense than current proposals and is readily scalable to match the threat. It can deflect all known threats with sufficient warning.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2013

Destriping Cosmic Microwave Background Polarimeter data

Destriping is a well-established technique for removing low-frequency correlated noise from Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) survey data. In this paper we present a destriping algorithm tailored to data from a polarimeter, i.e. an instrument where each channel independently measures the polarization of the input signal. We also describe a fully parallel implementation in Python released as Free Software and analyze its results and performance on simulated datasets, both the design case of signal and correlated noise, and with additional systematic effects. Finally we apply the algorithm to 30 days of 37.5 GHz polarized microwave data gathered from the B-Machine experiment, developed at UCSB. The B-Machine data and destriped maps are made publicly available. The purpose is the development of a scalable software tool to be applied to the upcoming 12 months of temperature and polarization data from LATTE (Low frequency All sky TemperaTure Experiment) at 8 GHz and to even larger datasets.

astro-ph.IM↗