arXiv subjects

Pierre Gaillard

Publications and source records attributed to Pierre Gaillard.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2023

Adaptive approximation of monotone functions

We study the classical problem of approximating a non-decreasing function $f: \mathcal{X} \to \mathcal{Y}$ in $L^p(μ)$ norm by sequentially querying its values, for known compact real intervals $\mathcal{X}$, $\mathcal{Y}$ and a known probability measure $μ$ on $\cX$. For any function~$f$ we characterize the minimum number of evaluations of $f$ that algorithms need to guarantee an approximation $\hat{f}$ with an $L^p(μ)$ error below $ε$ after stopping. Unlike worst-case results that hold uniformly over all $f$, our complexity measure is dependent on each specific function $f$. To address this problem, we introduce GreedyBox, a generalization of an algorithm originally proposed by Novak (1992) for numerical integration. We prove that GreedyBox achieves an optimal sample complexity for any function $f$, up to logarithmic factors. Additionally, we uncover results regarding piecewise-smooth functions. Perhaps as expected, the $L^p(μ)$ error of GreedyBox decreases much faster for piecewise-$C^2$ functions than predicted by the algorithm (without any knowledge on the smoothness of $f$). A simple modification even achieves optimal minimax approximation rates for such functions, which we compute explicitly. In particular, our findings highlight multiple performance gaps between adaptive and non-adaptive algorithms, smooth and piecewise-smooth functions, as well as monotone or non-monotone functions. Finally, we provide numerical experiments to support our theoretical results.

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arXiv2023

Reimagining Demand-Side Management with Mean Field Learning

Integrating renewable energy into the power grid while balancing supply and demand is a complex issue, given its intermittent nature. Demand side management (DSM) offers solutions to this challenge. We propose a new method for DSM, in particular the problem of controlling a large population of electrical devices to follow a desired consumption signal. We model it as a finite horizon Markovian mean field control problem. We develop a new algorithm, MD-MFC, which provides theoretical guarantees for convex and Lipschitz objective functions. What distinguishes MD-MFC from the existing load control literature is its effectiveness in directly solving the target tracking problem without resorting to regularization techniques on the main problem. A non-standard Bregman divergence on a mirror descent scheme allows dynamic programming to be used to obtain simple closed-form solutions. In addition, we show that general mean-field game algorithms can be applied to this problem, which expands the possibilities for addressing load control problems. We illustrate our claims with experiments on a realistic data set.

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arXiv2023

Sequential Counterfactual Risk Minimization

Counterfactual Risk Minimization (CRM) is a framework for dealing with the logged bandit feedback problem, where the goal is to improve a logging policy using offline data. In this paper, we explore the case where it is possible to deploy learned policies multiple times and acquire new data. We extend the CRM principle and its theory to this scenario, which we call "Sequential Counterfactual Risk Minimization (SCRM)." We introduce a novel counterfactual estimator and identify conditions that can improve the performance of CRM in terms of excess risk and regret rates, by using an analysis similar to restart strategies in accelerated optimization methods. We also provide an empirical evaluation of our method in both discrete and continuous action settings, and demonstrate the benefits of multiple deployments of CRM.

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arXiv2022

One Arrow, Two Kills: An Unified Framework for Achieving Optimal Regret Guarantees in Sleeping Bandits

We address the problem of \emph{`Internal Regret'} in \emph{Sleeping Bandits} in the fully adversarial setup, as well as draw connections between different existing notions of sleeping regrets in the multiarmed bandits (MAB) literature and consequently analyze the implications: Our first contribution is to propose the new notion of \emph{Internal Regret} for sleeping MAB. We then proposed an algorithm that yields sublinear regret in that measure, even for a completely adversarial sequence of losses and availabilities. We further show that a low sleeping internal regret always implies a low external regret, and as well as a low policy regret for iid sequence of losses. The main contribution of this work precisely lies in unifying different notions of existing regret in sleeping bandits and understand the implication of one to another. Finally, we also extend our results to the setting of \emph{Dueling Bandits} (DB)--a preference feedback variant of MAB, and proposed a reduction to MAB idea to design a low regret algorithm for sleeping dueling bandits with stochastic preferences and adversarial availabilities. The efficacy of our algorithms is justified through empirical evaluations.

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arXiv2022

Versatile Dueling Bandits: Best-of-both-World Analyses for Online Learning from Preferences

We study the problem of $K$-armed dueling bandit for both stochastic and adversarial environments, where the goal of the learner is to aggregate information through relative preferences of pair of decisions points queried in an online sequential manner. We first propose a novel reduction from any (general) dueling bandits to multi-armed bandits and despite the simplicity, it allows us to improve many existing results in dueling bandits. In particular, \emph{we give the first best-of-both world result for the dueling bandits regret minimization problem} -- a unified framework that is guaranteed to perform optimally for both stochastic and adversarial preferences simultaneously. Moreover, our algorithm is also the first to achieve an optimal $O(\sum_{i = 1}^K \frac{\log T}{Δ_i})$ regret bound against the Condorcet-winner benchmark, which scales optimally both in terms of the arm-size $K$ and the instance-specific suboptimality gaps $\{Δ_i\}_{i = 1}^K$. This resolves the long-standing problem of designing an instancewise gap-dependent order optimal regret algorithm for dueling bandits (with matching lower bounds up to small constant factors). We further justify the robustness of our proposed algorithm by proving its optimal regret rate under adversarially corrupted preferences -- this outperforms the existing state-of-the-art corrupted dueling results by a large margin. In summary, we believe our reduction idea will find a broader scope in solving a diverse class of dueling bandits setting, which are otherwise studied separately from multi-armed bandits with often more complex solutions and worse guarantees. The efficacy of our proposed algorithms is empirically corroborated against the existing dueling bandit methods.

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arXiv2022

Efficient Kernel UCB for Contextual Bandits

In this paper, we tackle the computational efficiency of kernelized UCB algorithms in contextual bandits. While standard methods require a O(CT^3) complexity where T is the horizon and the constant C is related to optimizing the UCB rule, we propose an efficient contextual algorithm for large-scale problems. Specifically, our method relies on incremental Nystrom approximations of the joint kernel embedding of contexts and actions. This allows us to achieve a complexity of O(CTm^2) where m is the number of Nystrom points. To recover the same regret as the standard kernelized UCB algorithm, m needs to be of order of the effective dimension of the problem, which is at most O(\sqrt(T)) and nearly constant in some cases.

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arXiv2021

A Continuized View on Nesterov Acceleration for Stochastic Gradient Descent and Randomized Gossip

We introduce the continuized Nesterov acceleration, a close variant of Nesterov acceleration whose variables are indexed by a continuous time parameter. The two variables continuously mix following a linear ordinary differential equation and take gradient steps at random times. This continuized variant benefits from the best of the continuous and the discrete frameworks: as a continuous process, one can use differential calculus to analyze convergence and obtain analytical expressions for the parameters; and a discretization of the continuized process can be computed exactly with convergence rates similar to those of Nesterov original acceleration. We show that the discretization has the same structure as Nesterov acceleration, but with random parameters. We provide continuized Nesterov acceleration under deterministic as well as stochastic gradients, with either additive or multiplicative noise. Finally, using our continuized framework and expressing the gossip averaging problem as the stochastic minimization of a certain energy function, we provide the first rigorous acceleration of asynchronous gossip algorithms.

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arXiv2021

Online Sign Identification: Minimization of the Number of Errors in Thresholding Bandits

In the fixed budget thresholding bandit problem, an algorithm sequentially allocates a budgeted number of samples to different distributions. It then predicts whether the mean of each distribution is larger or lower than a given threshold. We introduce a large family of algorithms (containing most existing relevant ones), inspired by the Frank-Wolfe algorithm, and provide a thorough yet generic analysis of their performance. This allowed us to construct new explicit algorithms, for a broad class of problems, whose losses are within a small constant factor of the non-adaptive oracle ones. Quite interestingly, we observed that adaptive methods empirically greatly out-perform non-adaptive oracles, an uncommon behavior in standard online learning settings, such as regret minimization. We explain this surprising phenomenon on an insightful toy problem.

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arXiv2021

Mixability made efficient: Fast online multiclass logistic regression

Mixability has been shown to be a powerful tool to obtain algorithms with optimal regret. However, the resulting methods often suffer from high computational complexity which has reduced their practical applicability. For example, in the case of multiclass logistic regression, the aggregating forecaster (Foster et al. (2018)) achieves a regret of $O(\log(Bn))$ whereas Online Newton Step achieves $O(e^B\log(n))$ obtaining a double exponential gain in $B$ (a bound on the norm of comparative functions). However, this high statistical performance is at the price of a prohibitive computational complexity $O(n^{37})$.

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arXiv2021

Online nonparametric regression with Sobolev kernels

In this work we investigate the variation of the online kernelized ridge regression algorithm in the setting of $d-$dimensional adversarial nonparametric regression. We derive the regret upper bounds on the classes of Sobolev spaces $W_{p}^β(\mathcal{X})$, $p\geq 2, β>\frac{d}{p}$. The upper bounds are supported by the minimax regret analysis, which reveals that in the cases $β> \frac{d}{2}$ or $p=\infty$ these rates are (essentially) optimal. Finally, we compare the performance of the kernelized ridge regression forecaster to the known non-parametric forecasters in terms of the regret rates and their computational complexity as well as to the excess risk rates in the setting of statistical (i.i.d.) nonparametric regression.

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arXiv2021

Dueling Bandits with Adversarial Sleeping

We introduce the problem of sleeping dueling bandits with stochastic preferences and adversarial availabilities (DB-SPAA). In almost all dueling bandit applications, the decision space often changes over time; eg, retail store management, online shopping, restaurant recommendation, search engine optimization, etc. Surprisingly, this `sleeping aspect' of dueling bandits has never been studied in the literature. Like dueling bandits, the goal is to compete with the best arm by sequentially querying the preference feedback of item pairs. The non-triviality however results due to the non-stationary item spaces that allow any arbitrary subsets items to go unavailable every round. The goal is to find an optimal `no-regret' policy that can identify the best available item at each round, as opposed to the standard `fixed best-arm regret objective' of dueling bandits. We first derive an instance-specific lower bound for DB-SPAA $Ω( \sum_{i =1}^{K-1}\sum_{j=i+1}^K \frac{\log T}{Δ(i,j)})$, where $K$ is the number of items and $Δ(i,j)$ is the gap between items $i$ and $j$. This indicates that the sleeping problem with preference feedback is inherently more difficult than that for classical multi-armed bandits (MAB). We then propose two algorithms, with near optimal regret guarantees. Our results are corroborated empirically.

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arXiv2021

A Continuized View on Nesterov Acceleration

We introduce the "continuized" Nesterov acceleration, a close variant of Nesterov acceleration whose variables are indexed by a continuous time parameter. The two variables continuously mix following a linear ordinary differential equation and take gradient steps at random times. This continuized variant benefits from the best of the continuous and the discrete frameworks: as a continuous process, one can use differential calculus to analyze convergence and obtain analytical expressions for the parameters; but a discretization of the continuized process can be computed exactly with convergence rates similar to those of Nesterov original acceleration. We show that the discretization has the same structure as Nesterov acceleration, but with random parameters.

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arXiv2020

Non-stationary Online Regression

Online forecasting under a changing environment has been a problem of increasing importance in many real-world applications. In this paper, we consider the meta-algorithm presented in \citet{zhang2017dynamic} combined with different subroutines. We show that an expected cumulative error of order $\tilde{O}(n^{1/3} C_n^{2/3})$ can be obtained for non-stationary online linear regression where the total variation of parameter sequence is bounded by $C_n$. Our paper extends the result of online forecasting of one-dimensional time-series as proposed in \cite{baby2019online} to general $d$-dimensional non-stationary linear regression. We improve the rate $O(\sqrt{n C_n})$ obtained by Zhang et al. 2017 and Besbes et al. 2015. We further extend our analysis to non-stationary online kernel regression. Similar to the non-stationary online regression case, we use the meta-procedure of Zhang et al. 2017 combined with Kernel-AWV (Jezequel et al. 2020) to achieve an expected cumulative controlled by the effective dimension of the RKHS and the total variation of the sequence. To the best of our knowledge, this work is the first extension of non-stationary online regression to non-stationary kernel regression. Lastly, we evaluate our method empirically with several existing benchmarks and also compare it with the theoretical bound obtained in this paper.

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arXiv2020

Efficient improper learning for online logistic regression

We consider the setting of online logistic regression and consider the regret with respect to the 2-ball of radius B. It is known (see [Hazan et al., 2014]) that any proper algorithm which has logarithmic regret in the number of samples (denoted n) necessarily suffers an exponential multiplicative constant in B. In this work, we design an efficient improper algorithm that avoids this exponential constant while preserving a logarithmic regret. Indeed, [Foster et al., 2018] showed that the lower bound does not apply to improper algorithms and proposed a strategy based on exponential weights with prohibitive computational complexity. Our new algorithm based on regularized empirical risk minimization with surrogate losses satisfies a regret scaling as O(B log(Bn)) with a per-round time-complexity of order O(d^2).

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arXiv2020

Tight Nonparametric Convergence Rates for Stochastic Gradient Descent under the Noiseless Linear Model

In the context of statistical supervised learning, the noiseless linear model assumes that there exists a deterministic linear relation $Y = \langle θ_*, X \rangle$ between the random output $Y$ and the random feature vector $Φ(U)$, a potentially non-linear transformation of the inputs $U$. We analyze the convergence of single-pass, fixed step-size stochastic gradient descent on the least-square risk under this model. The convergence of the iterates to the optimum $θ_*$ and the decay of the generalization error follow polynomial convergence rates with exponents that both depend on the regularities of the optimum $θ_*$ and of the feature vectors $Φ(u)$. We interpret our result in the reproducing kernel Hilbert space framework. As a special case, we analyze an online algorithm for estimating a real function on the unit interval from the noiseless observation of its value at randomly sampled points; the convergence depends on the Sobolev smoothness of the function and of a chosen kernel. Finally, we apply our analysis beyond the supervised learning setting to obtain convergence rates for the averaging process (a.k.a. gossip algorithm) on a graph depending on its spectral dimension.

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arXiv2020

Improved Sleeping Bandits with Stochastic Actions Sets and Adversarial Rewards

In this paper, we consider the problem of sleeping bandits with stochastic action sets and adversarial rewards. In this setting, in contrast to most work in bandits, the actions may not be available at all times. For instance, some products might be out of stock in item recommendation. The best existing efficient (i.e., polynomial-time) algorithms for this problem only guarantee an $O(T^{2/3})$ upper-bound on the regret. Yet, inefficient algorithms based on EXP4 can achieve $O(\sqrt{T})$. In this paper, we provide a new computationally efficient algorithm inspired by EXP3 satisfying a regret of order $O(\sqrt{T})$ when the availabilities of each action $i \in \cA$ are independent. We then study the most general version of the problem where at each round available sets are generated from some unknown arbitrary distribution (i.e., without the independence assumption) and propose an efficient algorithm with $O(\sqrt {2^K T})$ regret guarantee. Our theoretical results are corroborated with experimental evaluations.

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arXiv2020

Experimental Comparison of Semi-parametric, Parametric, and Machine Learning Models for Time-to-Event Analysis Through the Concordance Index

In this paper, we make an experimental comparison of semi-parametric (Cox proportional hazards model, Aalen's additive regression model), parametric (Weibull AFT model), and machine learning models (Random Survival Forest, Gradient Boosting with Cox Proportional Hazards Loss, DeepSurv) through the concordance index on two different datasets (PBC and GBCSG2). We present two comparisons: one with the default hyper-parameters of these models and one with the best hyper-parameters found by randomized search.

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arXiv2020

Bayesian inference and non-linear extensions of the CIRCE method for quantifying the uncertainty of closure relationships integrated into thermal-hydraulic system codes

Uncertainty Quantification of closure relationships integrated into thermal-hydraulic system codes is a critical prerequisite in applying the Best-Estimate Plus Uncertainty (BEPU) methodology for nuclear safety and licensing processes.The purpose of the CIRCE method is to estimate the (log)-Gaussian probability distribution of a multiplicative factor applied to a reference closure relationship in order to assess its uncertainty. Even though this method has been implemented with success in numerous physical scenarios, it can still suffer from substantial limitations such as the linearity assumption and the difficulty of properly taking into account the inherent statistical uncertainty. In the paper, we will extend the CIRCE method in two aspects. On the one hand, we adopt the Bayesian setting putting prior probability distributions on the parameters of the (log)-Gaussian distribution. The posterior distribution of the parameters is then computed with respect to an experimental database by means of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. On the other hand, we tackle the more general setting where the simulations do not move linearly against the multiplicative factor(s). MCMC algorithms then become time-prohibitive when the thermal-hydraulic simulations exceed a few minutes. This handicap is overcome by using Gaussian process (GP) emulators which can yield both reliable and fast predictions of the simulations. The GP-based MCMC algorithms will be applied to quantify the uncertainty of two condensation closure relationships at a safety injection with respect to a database of experimental tests. The thermal-hydraulic simulations will be run with the CATHARE 2 computer code.

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