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Pietro DeLellis

Publications and source records attributed to Pietro DeLellis.

10 recordsLinked to original sources

Complex Dynamics in Psychological Data: Mapping Individual Symptom Trajectories to Group-Level Patterns

This study integrates causal inference, graph analysis, temporal complexity measures, and machine learning to examine whether individual symptom trajectories can reveal meaningful diagnostic patterns. Testing on a longitudinal dataset of N=45 individuals affected by General Anxiety Disorder (GAD) and/or Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) derived from Fisher et al. 2017, we propose a novel pipeline for the analysis of the temporal dynamics of psychopathological symptoms. First, we employ the PCMCI+ algorithm with nonparametric independence test to determine the causal network of nonlinear dependencies between symptoms in individuals with different mental disorders. We found that the PCMCI+ effectively highlights the individual peculiarities of each symptom network, which could be leveraged towards personalized therapies. At the same time, aggregating the networks by diagnosis sheds light to disorder-specific causal mechanisms, in agreement with previous psychopathological literature. Then, we enrich the dataset by computing complexity-based measures (e.g. entropy, fractal dimension, recurrence) from the symptom time series, and feed it to a suitably selected machine learning algorithm to aid the diagnosis of each individual. The new dataset yields 91% accuracy in the classification of the symptom dynamics, proving to be an effective diagnostic support tool. Overall, these findings highlight how integrating causal modeling and temporal complexity can enhance diagnostic differentiation, offering a principled, data-driven foundation for both personalized assessment in clinical psychology and structural advances in psychological research.

stat.AP

Synchronization of networks of piecewise-smooth systems

We study convergence in networks of piecewise-smooth (PWS) systems that commonly arise in applications to model dynamical systems whose evolution is affected by macroscopic events such as switches and impacts. Existing approaches were typically oriented toward guaranteeing global bounded synchronizability, local stability of the synchronization manifold, or achieving synchronization by exerting a control action on each node. Here we start by generalizing existing results on QUAD systems to the case of PWS systems, accounting for a large variety of nonlinear coupling laws. Then, we propose that a discontinuous coupling can be used to guarantee global synchronizability of a network of N PWS agents under mild assumptions on the individual dynamics. We provide extensive numerical simulations to gain insights on larger networks.

eess.SY

Convergence and Synchronization in Networks of Piecewise-Smooth Systems via Distributed Discontinuous Coupling

Complex networks are a successful framework to describe collective behaviour in many applications, but a notable gap remains in the current literature, that of proving asymptotic convergence in networks of piecewise-smooth systems. Indeed, a wide variety of physical systems display discontinuous dynamics that change abruptly, including dry friction mechanical oscillators, electrical power converters, and biological neurons. In this paper, we study how to enforce global asymptotic state-synchronization in these networks. Specifically, we propose the addition of a distributed discontinuous coupling action to the commonly used diffusive coupling protocol. Moreover, we provide analytical estimates of the thresholds on the coupling gains required for convergence, and highlight the importance of a new connectivity measure, which we named minimum density. The theoretical results are illustrated by a set of representative examples.

eess.SY

Intermittent yet coordinated regional strategies can alleviate the COVID-19 epidemic: a network model of the Italian case

The COVID-19 epidemic that emerged in Wuhan China at the end of 2019 hit Italy particularly hard, yielding the implementation of strict national lockdown rules (Phase 1). There is now a hot ongoing debate in Italy and abroad on what the best strategy is to restart a country to exit a national lockdown (Phase 2). Previous studies have focused on modelling possible restarting scenarios at the national level, overlooking the fact that Italy, as other nations around the world, is divided in administrative regions who can independently oversee their own share of the Italian National Health Service. In this study, we show that regionalism, and heterogeneity between regions, is essential to understand the spread of the epidemic and, more importantly, to design effective post Lock-Down strategies to control the disease. To achieve this, we model Italy as a network of regions and parameterize the model of each region on real data spanning almost two months from the initial outbreak. Using the model, we confirm the effectiveness at the regional level of the national lockdown strategy implemented so far by the Italian government to mitigate the spread of the disease and show its efficacy at the regional level. We also propose that differentiated, albeit coordinated, regional interventions can be effective in Phase 2 to restart the country and avoid future recurrence of the epidemic, while avoiding saturation of the regional health systems and mitigating impact on costs. Our study and methodology can be easily extended to other levels of granularity (provinces or counties in the same region or states in other federal countries, etc.) to support policy- and decision-makers.

physics.soc-ph

Distributed Discontinuous Coupling for Convergence in Networks of Heterogeneous Nonlinear Systems

Synchronization is a crucial phenomenon in many natural and artificial complex network systems. Applications include neuronal networks, formation control and coordination in robotics, and frequency synchronization in electrical power grids. In this paper, we propose the use of a distributed discontinuous coupling protocol to achieve convergence and synchronization in networks of non-identical nonlinear dynamical systems. We show that the synchronous dynamics is a solution to the average of the nodes' vector fields, and derive analytical estimates of the critical coupling gains required to achieve convergence. Numerical simulations are used to illustrate and validate the theoretical results.

eess.SY

Estimation and control of oscillators through short-range noisy proximity measurements

In this paper, we present a novel estimation and control strategy to balance a formation of discrete-time oscillators on a circle. We consider the case in which each oscillator only gathers noisy proximity measurements, whose range is lower than the desired spacing along the circle, implying total disconnectedness of the balanced formation. These restrictions pose relevant challenges that are overcome through the symbiotic combination of an estimator that borrows tools from interval analysis and a three-level bang-bang controller. We prove that the formation can be balanced, with an accuracy that can be regulated by tuning a controller parameter. The effectiveness of the proposed strategy is further illustrated through a set of numerical simulations.

math.DS

Partial containment control over signed graphs

In this paper, we deal with the containment control problem in presence of antagonistic interactions. In particular, we focus on the cases in which it is not possible to contain the entire network due to a constrained number of control signals. In this scenario, we study the problem of selecting the nodes where control signals have to be injected to maximize the number of contained nodes. Leveraging graph condensations, we find a suboptimal and computationally efficient solution to this problem, which can be implemented by solving an integer linear problem. The effectiveness of the selection strategy is illustrated through representative simulations.

math.OC

Formation control on Jordan curves based on noisy proximity measurements

The paradigmatic formation control problem of steering a multi-agent system towards a balanced circular formation has been the subject of extensive studies in the control engineering community. Indeed, this is due to the fact that it shares several features with relevant applications such as distributed environmental monitoring or fence-patrolling. However, these applications may also present some relevant differences from the ideal setting such as the curve on which the formation must be achieved not being a circle, or the measurements being neither ideal nor as a continuous information flow. In this work, we attempt to fill this gap between theory and applications by considering the problem of steering a multi-agent system towards a balanced formation on a generic closed curve and under very restrictive assumptions on the information flow amongst the agents. We tackle this problem through an estimation and control strategy that borrows tools from interval analysis to guarantee the robustness that is required in the considered scenario.

eess.SY

Wealth distribution across communities of adaptive financial agents

This paper studies the trading volumes and wealth distribution of a novel agent-based model of an artificial financial market. In this model, heterogeneous agents, behaving according to the Von Neumann and Morgenstern utility theory, may mutually interact. A Tobin-like tax (TT) on successful investments and a flat tax are compared to assess the effects on the agents' wealth distribution. We carry out extensive numerical simulations in two alternative scenarios: i) a reference scenario, where the agents keep their utility function fixed, and ii) a focal scenario, where the agents are adaptive and self-organize in communities, emulating their neighbours by updating their own utility function. Specifically, the interactions among the agents are modelled through a directed scale-free network to account for the presence of community leaders, and the herding-like effect is tested against the reference scenario. We observe that our model is capable of replicating the benefits and drawbacks of the two taxation systems and that the interactions among the agents strongly affect the wealth distribution across the communities. Remarkably, the communities benefit from the presence of leaders with successful trading strategies, and are more likely to increase their average wealth. Moreover, this emulation mechanism mitigates the decrease in trading volumes, which is a typical drawback of TTs.

q-fin.GN

Convergence and synchronization in heterogeneous networks of smooth and piecewise smooth systems

This paper presents a framework for the study of convergence when the nodes' dynamics may be both piecewise smooth and/or nonidentical across the network. Specifically, we derive sufficient conditions for global convergence of all node trajectories towards the same bounded region of their state space. The analysis is based on the use of set-valued Lyapunov functions and bounds are derived on the minimum coupling strength required to make all nodes in the network converge towards each other. We also provide an estimate of the asymptotic bound $ε$ on the mismatch between the node states at steady state. The analysis is performed both for linear and nonlinear coupling protocols. The theoretical analysis is extensively illustrated and validated via its application to a set of representative numerical examples.

math.DS