arXiv subjects

Prajwal Padmanabha

Publications and source records attributed to Prajwal Padmanabha.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Dispersal diversity buffers species vulnerability to local extinction

Predicting species persistence within ecological communities is a fundamental challenge for both empirical and theoretical ecology. Existing methods span from mechanistic models, whose parameters are difficult to estimate from data, to statistical tools whose context-specific parameters are less interpretable. Here, we present a general framework, grounded in the statistical physics of complex systems, that integrates the key processes governing species survival into a single measurable quantity: the competitive balance. This metric quantifies a focal species' vulnerability to competitive exclusion beyond what is captured by its abundance alone by incorporating the diversity of dispersal strategies and the structure of interspecific interactions within the community. Crucially, it can be inferred from spatial abundance data, thus circumventing the need to estimate species traits or dispersal parameters. Our results reveal that greater heterogeneity in dispersal strategies reduces vulnerability to competitive exclusion for a given abundance. Although we validate the framework using tropical and temperate forest data, it can be applied to a range of different ecosystems, providing a systemic and interpretable tool for assessing a context-dependent species vulnerability that accounts for its interactions with the entire community.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2026

Habitat heterogeneity and dispersal network structure as drivers of metacommunity dynamics

Spatial structure and species interactions jointly shape the dynamics and biodiversity of ecological systems, yet most theoretical models either neglect spatial heterogeneity or sacrifice analytical tractability. Here, we provide a unified microscopic, mechanistic framework for deriving effective metapopulation and metacommunity models from individual-based ecological dynamics on arbitrary dispersal networks. The resulting coarse-grained description features an effective dispersal kernel that encodes both microscopic dynamical parameters and network topology. Based on this framework, we demonstrate exact analytical results for species persistence in both homogeneous and heterogeneous landscapes, including a generalization of the classical concept of metapopulation capacity to non-uniform local extinction rates. Incorporating stochasticity arising from finite carrying capacities, we obtain a reduced one-dimensional description that reveals universal finite-size scaling laws for extinction times and fluctuations. Extending the approach to multiple competing species, we prove that in homogeneous environments monodominance can be avoided only in a fine-tuned, marginally stable coexistence state, and that the classic metapopulation capacity gives only a necessary but not sufficient condition for persistence. We demonstrate that heterogeneous habitats can support stable coexistence, but only above a critical level of heterogeneity. Finally, we outline how additional ecological processes can be systematically incorporated within the same formalism. Together, these results provide analytical benchmarks and a general route for constructing spatially explicit ecological theories based on an interpretable underlying mechanistic foundation.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2025

A novel metric for species vulnerability and coexistence in spatially-extended ecosystems

We develop a theoretical framework to understand the persistence and coexistence of competitive species in a spatially explicit metacommunity model with a heterogeneous dispersal kernel. Our analysis, based on methods from the physics of disordered systems and non-Gaussian dynamical mean field theory, reveals that species coexistence is governed by a single key parameter, which we term competitive balance. From competitive balance, we derive a novel metric to quantitatively assess the vulnerability of a species, showing that abundance alone is not sufficient to determine it. Rather, a species' vulnerability crucially depends on the state of the metacommunity as a whole. We test our theory by analyzing two distinct tropical forest datasets, finding excellent agreement with our theoretical predictions. A key step in our analysis is the introduction of a new quantity - the competitive score - which disentangles the abundance distribution and enables us to circumvent the challenge of estimating both the colonization kernel and the joint abundance distribution. Our findings provide novel and fundamental insights into the ecosystem-level trade-offs underlying macroecological patterns and introduce a robust approach for estimating extinction risks.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2024

Finite size scaling of survival statistics in metapopulation models

Spatial metapopulation models are fundamental to theoretical ecology, enabling to study how landscape structure influences global species dynamics. Traditional models, including recent generalizations, often rely on the deterministic limit of stochastic processes, assuming large population sizes. However, stochasticity - arising from dispersal events and population fluctuations - profoundly shapes ecological dynamics. In this work, we extend the classical metapopulation framework to account for finite populations, examining the impact of stochasticity on species persistence and dynamics. Specifically, we analyze how the limited capacity of local habitats influences survival, deriving analytical expressions for the finite-size scaling of the survival probability near the critical transition between survival and extinction. Crucially, we demonstrate that the deterministic metapopulation capacity plays a fundamental role in the statistics of survival probability and extinction time moments. These results provide a robust foundation for integrating demographic stochasticity into classical metapopulation models and their extensions.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2024

Spatially disordered environments stabilize competitive metacommunities

Metapopulation models have been instrumental in demonstrating the ecological impact of landscape structure on the survival of a focal species in complex environments. However, extensions to multiple species with arbitrary dispersal networks often rely on phenomenological assumptions limiting their scope. Here, we develop a multilayer network model of competitive dispersing metacommunities to investigate how spatially structured environments impact species coexistence and ecosystem stability. We show that homogeneous environments always lead to monodominance unless all species' fitness parameters are in an exact trade-off. However, this precise fine-tuning does not guarantee coexistence in generic heterogeneous environments. By introducing general spatial disorder in the model, we solve it exactly in the mean-field limit, finding that stable coexistence becomes possible in the presence of strong disorder. Crucially, coexistence is supported by the spontaneous localization of species through the emergence of ecological niches. Our results remain qualitatively valid in arbitrary dispersal networks, where topological features can improve species coexistence. Finally, we employ our model to study how correlated disorder promotes spatial ecological patterns in realistic terrestrial and riverine landscapes. Our work provides a novel framework to understand how landscape structure enables coexistence in metacommunities by acting as the substrate for ecological interactions.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2023

Generalization of Fluctuation-Dissipation Theorem to Systems with Absorbing States

Systems that evolve towards a state from which they cannot depart are common in nature. But the fluctuation-dissipation theorem, a fundamental result in statistical mechanics, is mainly restricted to systems near-stationarity. In processes with absorbing states, the total probability decays with time, eventually reaching zero and rendering the predictions from the standard response theory invalid. In this article, we investigate how such processes respond to external perturbations and develop a new theory that extends the framework of the fluctuation-dissipation theorem. We apply our theory to two paradigmatic examples that span vastly different fields - a birth-death process in forest ecosystems and a targeted search on DNA by proteins. These systems can be affected by perturbations which increase their rate of extinction/absorption, even though the average or the variance of population sizes are left unmodified. These effects, which are not captured by the standard response theory, are exactly predicted by our framework. Our theoretical approach is general and applicable to any system with absorbing states. It can unveil important features of the path to extinction masked by standard approaches.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗

arXiv2023

Fluctuations of entropy production of a run-and-tumble particle

Out-of-equilibrium systems continuously generate entropy, with its rate of production being a fingerprint of non-equilibrium conditions. In small-scale dissipative systems subject to thermal noise, fluctuations of entropy production are significant. Hitherto, mean and variance have been abundantly studied, even if higher moments might be important to fully characterize the system of interest. Here, we introduce a graphical method to compute any moment of entropy production for a generic discrete-state system. Then, we focus on a paradigmatic model of active particles, i.e., run-and-tumble dynamics, which resembles the motion observed in several microorganisms. Employing our framework, we compute the first three cumulants of the entropy production for a discrete version of this model. We also compare our analytical results with numerical simulations. We find that as the number of states increases, the distribution of entropy production deviates from a Gaussian. Finally, we extend our framework to a continuous state-space run-and-tumble model, using an appropriate scaling of the transition rates. The approach here presented might help uncover the features of non-equilibrium fluctuations of any current in biological systems operating out-of-equilibrium.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗