arXiv subjects

Prashant Garg

Publications and source records attributed to Prashant Garg.

6 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Global Automation Atlas

Automation can displace or complement labour, but this need not be constant across economies. Existing exposure measures typically assign fixed scores to tasks or occupations and capture cross-country variation through employment structure. Here we show that feasible automation depends jointly on task content and country-level conditions. We use a large language model to classify 18,797 work tasks in 124 economies by exposure, labour margin, technology channel and artificial-intelligence materiality. Construct-matched components of the measure correlate strongly with established exposure indices, observed work-related ChatGPT use, AI preparedness and firm-reported adoption. The exposed share of tasks ranges from 3.3% to 61.6%, rises with income yet remains heterogeneous within income groups. Lower-income economies are more concentrated in rule-based and labour-substituting forms of automation, whereas physical execution, planning and inference channels, together with labour-augmenting uses of artificial intelligence, become more prominent with development. Country conditioning changes occupation exposure rankings, especially in lower-income economies. Combined with employment data, we find that women are disproportionately employed in occupations with substitution-facing exposure. Machine-learning hypothesis generation identifies digital records, capital equipment, local judgement, trust-based markets and data integration as conditions associated with exposure differences.

econ.GN↗

arXiv2025

Simple contagion drives population-scale platform migration

Social media platforms mediate professional communication, political expression, and community formation, making the rare instances when users collectively abandon an incumbent platform particularly consequential. Strong network effects raise switching costs and strengthen incumbents' positions, making coordinated exit difficult. Here we link 276,431 scholars on Twitter/X to their respective new profiles among the universe of all 16.7 million Bluesky accounts, tracked from January 2023 to December 2024, using a scalable, high-precision cross-platform matching pipeline. Exploiting exogenous variation from Brazil's court-ordered suspension of Twitter/X and a dynamic matching design, we show that adoption is peer-driven, treatment effects are short-lived and dose-dependent, and contagion is simple, not complex. Three patterns characterize adoption and retention. Adoption concentrates among users deeply embedded in Twitter's social graph. Public political expression predicts migration, consistent with homophilous inflows into a largely left-of-center Bluesky information space. Early reconnection with prior contacts predicts longer tenure and engagement. Our findings provide the first population-scale causal evidence of peer influence in a social media platform migration by exploiting exogenous exposure variation in a natural experiment and using daily dynamic matching. Rather than the complex contagion mechanism often emphasized in the literature, contagion is predominantly simple. Our findings recast migration as a multi-homing strategy that insures against governance uncertainty and show that users who quickly reconnect with prior contacts remain active longer on Bluesky.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2025

How much does context affect the accuracy of AI health advice?

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to provide health advice, yet evidence on how their accuracy varies across languages, topics and information sources remains limited. We assess how linguistic and contextual factors affect the accuracy of AI-based health-claim verification. We evaluated seven widely used LLMs on two datasets: (i) 1,975 legally authorised nutrition and health claims from UK and EU regulatory registers translated into 21 languages; and (ii) 9,088 journalist-vetted public-health claims from the PUBHEALTH corpus spanning COVID-19, abortion, politics and general health, drawn from government advisories, scientific abstracts and media sources. Models classified each claim as supported or unsupported using majority voting across repeated runs. Accuracy was analysed by language, topic, source and model. Accuracy on authorised claims was highest in English and closely related European languages and declined in several widely spoken non-European languages, decreasing with syntactic distance from English. On real-world public-health claims, accuracy was substantially lower and varied systematically by topic and source. Models performed best on COVID-19 and government-attributed claims and worst on general health and scientific abstracts. High performance on English, canonical health claims masks substantial context-dependent gaps. Differences in training data exposure, editorial framing and topic-specific tuning likely contribute to these disparities, which are comparable in magnitude to cross-language differences. LLM accuracy in health-claim verification depends strongly on language, topic and information source. English-language performance does not reliably generalise across contexts, underscoring the need for multilingual, domain-specific evaluation before deployment in public-health communication.

econ.GN↗

arXiv2025

On Bob Dylan: A Computational Perspective

Cass Sunstein's essay 'On Bob Dylan' describes Dylan's 'dishabituating' style -- a constant refusal to conform to expectation and a penchant for reinventing his musical and lyrical identity. In this paper, I extend Sunstein's observations through a large-scale computational analysis of Dylan's lyrics from 1962 to 2012. Using o3-mini-high (a large language model), I extract concept-to-concept relationships from the lyrics and construct directed knowledge graphs that capture Dylan's thematic structure. I then quantify shifts in sentiment, metaphorical expression, thematic diversity, and network complexity over time. The results indicate that Dylan's lyrics increasingly rely on metaphor, display an evolving sentiment profile, and exhibit heightened dishabituation -- measured here as a growing variance in the network centrality of key concepts. I also find that references to movement, protest, and mythic imagery fluctuate in ways that align with well-known phases of Dylan's career, reflecting the dynamic and unpredictable quality of his art. These findings not only deepen our empirical understanding of Sunstein's thesis but also introduce a novel computational method for analyzing an artist's evolution-offering broader applicability to the study of cultural and creative change.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2025

Social and Genetic Ties Drive Skewed Cross-Border Media Coverage of Disasters

Climate change is increasing the frequency and severity of natural disasters worldwide. Media coverage of these events may be vital to generate empathy and mobilize global populations to address the common threat posed by climate change. Using a dataset of 466 news sources from 123 countries, covering 135 million news articles since 2016, we apply an event study framework to measure cross-border media activity following natural disasters. Our results shows that while media attention rises after disasters, it is heavily skewed towards certain events, notably earthquakes, accidents, and wildfires. In contrast, climatologically salient events such as floods, droughts, or extreme temperatures receive less coverage. This cross-border disaster reporting is strongly related to the number of deaths associated with the event, especially when the affected populations share strong social ties or genetic similarities with those in the reporting country. Achieving more balanced media coverage across different types of natural disasters may be essential to counteract skewed perceptions. Further, fostering closer social connections between countries may enhance empathy and mobilize the resources necessary to confront the global threat of climate change.

econ.GN↗

arXiv2025

Causal Claims in Economics

As economics scales, a key bottleneck is representing what papers claim in a comparable, aggregable form. We introduce evidence-annotated claim graphs that map each paper into a directed network of standardized economic concepts (nodes) and stated relationships (edges), with each edge labeled by evidentiary basis, including whether it is supported by causal inference designs or by non-causal evidence. Using a structured multi-stage AI workflow, we construct claim graphs for 44,852 economics papers from 1980-2023. The share of causal edges rises from 7.7% in 1990 to 31.7% in 2020. Measures of causal narrative structure and causal novelty are positively associated with top-five publication and long-run citations, whereas non-causal counterparts are weakly related or negative.

econ.GN↗