Purbak Sengupta | Searcharxiv

arXiv2026

Minimum-Sufficient Knowledge and Computation for Wind Energy Predictive Analysis

Resource-constrained cyber-physical decision systems often apply fixed sensing, knowledge, and computational pipelines despite state-dependent information needs. We introduce Minimum-Sufficient Knowledge and Computation (MSKC), a resource-aware computing principle: select the least-costly route meeting decision-risk and deployment constraints, escalating only when cheaper routes are insufficient. As proof of concept, we isolate adaptive knowledge routing, the decision underlying Knowledge-Guided Machine Learning (KGML), which conventionally injects external knowledge unconditionally rather than only where needed. We instantiate this for wind ramp-event predictive analysis, an edge-oriented decision-support task, evaluating local, relational, and physics-informed routes with a state-aware gate on publicly available real data from two wind farms. We establish conditions for feasibility preservation, cost dominance, and strict expected savings over always-on routing. At a 35.9% relational-knowledge injection rate, adaptive routing is statistically indistinguishable from always-on injection on the reported metrics while reducing knowledge calls by 64%, supporting sustainable, Green-IT-aligned deployment. These results support MSKC's premise that uniformly maximal intelligence is unnecessary. This offers intelligent data analysis for big data streams: the analysis itself decides, per state, how much knowledge and computation the data warrant.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Agentic Workflow Using RBA$_θ$ for Event Prediction

Wind power ramp events are difficult to forecast due to strong variability, multi-scale dynamics, and site-specific meteorological effects. This paper proposes an event-first, frequency-aware forecasting paradigm that directly predicts ramp events and reconstructs the power trajectory thereafter, rather than inferring events from dense forecasts. The framework is built on an enhanced Ramping Behaviour Analysis (RBA$_θ$) method's event representation and progressively integrates statistical, machine-learning, and deep-learning models. Traditional forecasting models with post-hoc event extraction provides a strong interpretable baseline but exhibits limited generalisation across sites. Direct event prediction using Random Forests improves robustness over survival-based formulations, motivating fully event-aware modelling. To capture the multi-scale nature of wind ramps, we introduce an event-first deep architecture that integrates wavelet-based frequency decomposition, temporal excitation features, and adaptive feature selection. The resulting sequence models enable stable long-horizon event prediction, physically consistent trajectory reconstruction, and zero-shot transfer to previously unseen wind farms. Empirical analysis shows that ramp magnitude and duration are governed by distinct mid-frequency bands, allowing accurate signal reconstruction from sparse event forecasts. An agentic forecasting layer is proposed, in which specialised workflows are selected dynamically based on operational context. Together, the framework demonstrates that event-first, frequency-aware forecasting provides a transferable and operationally aligned alternative to trajectory-first wind-power prediction.

cs.LG↗