arXiv subjects

Qinhua Jiang

Publications and source records attributed to Qinhua Jiang.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Deep Activity Model: A Generative Approach for Human Mobility Pattern Synthesis

Human mobility plays a crucial role in transportation, urban planning, and public health, but current approaches face important limitations. Existing deep learning models tend to overlook the semantic interdependencies among activities and households and rely on restricted GPS data, while activity-based models depend on rigid assumptions and extensive data, making them costly and difficult to adapt to new regions, especially those with limited conventional travel data. To address these limitations, we propose a generative Transformer model that uses socio-demographic and household attributes to synthesize daily activity chains, with a location module assigning spatial zones to produce complete daily trajectories. Trained on open-source and widely available household travel survey data and then fine-tuned with local data, the model captures national activity patterns and transfers effectively to California, Washington, and Mexico City. This approach offers potential for advancing synthetic human mobility modeling and provides urban planners and policymakers with improved tools for simulating transportation systems and supporting decisions in urban development and public health. Its practical utility is demonstrated through large-scale traffic simulations in Los Angeles County. Compared to the SCAG Activity-Based Model (ABM), the proposed method produces consistent spatial demand patterns, achieving an activity location cosine similarity of 0.997 and a network-level vehicle-miles-traveled Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 4.97%. Compared to real-world observations from Caltrans PeMS, the simulated traffic achieves MAPE of 5.85% for traffic volume and 4.36% for speed on California's I-405 corridor, presenting the practicality of learning-based synthetic mobility for regional simulation and planning.

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arXiv2025

Learning Universal Human Mobility Patterns with a Foundation Model for Cross-domain Data Fusion

Human mobility modeling is critical for urban planning and transportation management, yet existing approaches often lack the integration capabilities needed to handle diverse data sources. We present a foundation model framework for universal human mobility patterns that leverages cross-domain data fusion and large language models to address these limitations. Our approach integrates multi-modal data of distinct nature and spatio-temporal resolution, including geographical, mobility, socio-demographic, and traffic information, to construct a privacy-preserving and semantically enriched human travel trajectory dataset. Our framework demonstrates adaptability through domain transfer techniques that ensure transferability across diverse urban contexts, as evidenced in case studies of Los Angeles (LA) and Egypt. The framework employs LLMs for semantic enrichment of trajectory data, enabling comprehensive understanding of mobility patterns. Quantitative evaluation shows that our generated synthetic dataset accurately reproduces mobility patterns observed in empirical data. The practical utility of this foundation model approach is demonstrated through large-scale traffic simulations for LA County, where results align well with observed traffic data. On California's I-405 corridor, the simulation yields a Mean Absolute Percentage Error of 5.85% for traffic volume and 4.36% for speed compared to Caltrans PeMS observations, illustrating the framework's potential for intelligent transportation systems and urban mobility applications.

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arXiv2024

NUMOSIM: A Synthetic Mobility Dataset with Anomaly Detection Benchmarks

Collecting real-world mobility data is challenging. It is often fraught with privacy concerns, logistical difficulties, and inherent biases. Moreover, accurately annotating anomalies in large-scale data is nearly impossible, as it demands meticulous effort to distinguish subtle and complex patterns. These challenges significantly impede progress in geospatial anomaly detection research by restricting access to reliable data and complicating the rigorous evaluation, comparison, and benchmarking of methodologies. To address these limitations, we introduce a synthetic mobility dataset, NUMOSIM, that provides a controlled, ethical, and diverse environment for benchmarking anomaly detection techniques. NUMOSIM simulates a wide array of realistic mobility scenarios, encompassing both typical and anomalous behaviours, generated through advanced deep learning models trained on real mobility data. This approach allows NUMOSIM to accurately replicate the complexities of real-world movement patterns while strategically injecting anomalies to challenge and evaluate detection algorithms based on how effectively they capture the interplay between demographic, geospatial, and temporal factors. Our goal is to advance geospatial mobility analysis by offering a realistic benchmark for improving anomaly detection and mobility modeling techniques. To support this, we provide open access to the NUMOSIM dataset, along with comprehensive documentation, evaluation metrics, and benchmark results.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Deploying scalable traffic prediction models for efficient management in real-world large transportation networks during hurricane evacuations

Accurate traffic prediction is vital for effective traffic management during hurricane evacuation. This paper proposes a predictive modeling system that integrates Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) models to capture both long-term congestion patterns and short-term speed patterns. Leveraging various input variables, including archived traffic data, spatial-temporal road network information, and hurricane forecast data, the framework is designed to address challenges posed by heterogeneous human behaviors, limited evacuation data, and hurricane event uncertainties. Deployed in a real-world traffic prediction system in Louisiana, the model achieved an 82% accuracy in predicting long-term congestion states over a 6-hour period during a 7-day hurricane-impacted duration. The short-term speed prediction model exhibited Mean Absolute Percentage Errors (MAPEs) ranging from 7% to 13% across evacuation horizons from 1 to 6 hours. Evaluation results underscore the model's potential to enhance traffic management during hurricane evacuations, and real-world deployment highlights its adaptability and scalability in diverse hurricane scenarios within extensive transportation networks.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

An Attention-Based Multi-Context Convolutional Encoder-Decoder Neural Network for Work Zone Traffic Impact Prediction

Work zone is one of the major causes of non-recurrent traffic congestion and road incidents. Despite the significance of its impact, studies on predicting the traffic impact of work zones remain scarce. In this paper, we propose a data integration pipeline that enhances the utilization of work zone and traffic data from diversified platforms, and introduce a novel deep learning model to predict the traffic speed and incident likelihood during planned work zone events. The proposed model transforms traffic patterns into 2D space-time images for both model input and output and employs an attention-based multi-context convolutional encoder-decoder architecture to capture the spatial-temporal dependencies between work zone events and traffic variations. Trained and validated on four years of archived work zone traffic data from Maryland, USA, the model demonstrates superior performance over baseline models in predicting traffic speed, incident likelihood, and inferred traffic attributes such as queue length and congestion timings (i.e., start time and duration). Specifically, the proposed model outperforms the baseline models by reducing the prediction error of traffic speed by 5% to 34%, queue length by 11% to 29%, congestion timing by 6% to 17%, and increasing the accuracy of incident predictions by 5% to 7%. Consequently, this model offers substantial promise for enhancing the planning and traffic management of work zones.

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