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Quanwang Li

Publications and source records attributed to Quanwang Li.

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MoRF-AST: Calibrated Probabilistic Virtual Sensing for Structural Monitoring under Changing Operating Conditions

Probabilistic full-field reconstruction provides uncertainty-aware response evidence for structural reliability assessment, yet inference from sparse and noisy measurements remains underdetermined. Most existing methods overlook shifts between offline training and operational distributions. Under such shifts, posterior intervals may become miscalibrated, causing the reported uncertainty to lose its probabilistic meaning. This study proposes Modal Residual Flow Matching with Context-Conditioned Affine Spread Transport (MoRF-AST) for calibrated structural virtual sensing under changing operating conditions. MoRF constructs an analytic Gaussian reference posterior in normalized modal coordinates and trains a conditional flow only on posterior-whitened residuals. At deployment, AST estimates response scale from historical measurements at installed sensors and uses gated, mean-preserving Bures-Wasserstein transport to adjust posterior spread. On a bridge-deck benchmark, MoRF achieves a posterior-mean normalized root-mean-square error (NRMSE) of 7.20%, compared with 16.1% and 17.9% for two direct conditional flows. Across eight shifted traffic domains, AST reduces MoRF's cross-domain average coverage error from 0.0535 to 0.0236, a 55.9% reduction, while preserving posterior-mean accuracy. The same transport does not improve the tested alternatives in aggregate, showing that calibration gains require its direction to match the base posterior's dispersion bias. MoRF-AST provides a data-efficient framework for probabilistic full-field reconstruction whose uncertainty remains interpretable under scale-dominated operational distribution shifts. More broadly, this work highlights the need to calibrate uncertainty under changing operational distributions, thereby supporting trustworthy probabilistic modeling and reliability-informed decision-making in civil and infrastructure engineering.

cs.CE

Data Fusion for Full-Range Response Reconstruction via Diffusion Models

Accurately capturing the full-range response of structures is crucial in structural health monitoring (SHM) for ensuring safety and operational integrity. However, limited sensor deployment due to cost, accessibility, or scale often hinders comprehensive monitoring. This paper presents a generative data fusion framework utilizing diffusion models, to reconstruct the full-range structural response from sparse and heterogeneous sensor measurements. We incorporate Diffusion Posterior Sampling (DPS) into the reconstruction framework, using sensor measurements as probabilistic constraints to guide the sampling process. Three forward models are designed: Direct Observation Mapping (DOM), Channel-based Observation Mapping (COM), and Neural Network Forward Model (NNFM), enabling flexible adaptation to different sensor placement conditions and reconstruction targets. The proposed framework is validated on a steel plate shear wall exhibiting nonlinear responses. By simultaneously sampling 100 realizations and averaging them as the ensemble prediction result, the three forward models achieve Weighted Mean Absolute Percentage Errors of 1.62% (DOM), 3.27% (COM), and 3.49% (NNFM). Sensitivity analyses further demonstrate robust performance under varying hyperparameters, sensor configurations, and noise levels. The proposed framework shows new possibilities for probabilistic modeling and decision-making in SHM by harnessing the capabilities of diffusion models, offering a novel data fusion approach for full-range monitoring of structures.

cs.CE

A robust method for reliability updating with equality information using sequential adaptive importance sampling

Reliability updating refers to a problem that integrates Bayesian updating technique with structural reliability analysis and cannot be directly solved by structural reliability methods (SRMs) when it involves equality information. The state-of-the-art approaches transform equality information into inequality information by introducing an auxiliary standard normal parameter. These methods, however, encounter the loss of computational efficiency due to the difficulty in finding the maximum of the likelihood function, the large coefficient of variation (COV) associated with the posterior failure probability and the inapplicability to dynamic updating problems where new information is constantly available. To overcome these limitations, this paper proposes an innovative method called RU-SAIS (reliability updating using sequential adaptive importance sampling), which combines elements of sequential importance sampling and K-means clustering to construct a series of important sampling densities (ISDs) using Gaussian mixture. The last ISD of the sequence is further adaptively modified through application of the cross entropy method. The performance of RU-SAIS is demonstrated by three examples. Results show that RU-SAIS achieves a more accurate and robust estimator of the posterior failure probability than the existing methods such as subset simulation.

cs.LG

Optimal monitoring location for risk tracking of geotechnical systems: theory and application to tunneling excavation risks

The maturity of structural health monitoring technology brings ever-increasing opportunities for geotechnical structures and underground infrastructure systems to track the risk of structural failure, such as settlement-induced building damage, based on the monitored data. Reliability updating techniques can offer solutions to estimate the probability of failing to meet a prescribed objective using various types of information that are inclusive of equality and inequality. However, the update in reliability can be highly sensitive to monitoring location. Therefore, there may exist optimal locations in a system for monitoring that yield the maximum value for reliability updating. This paper proposes a computational framework for optimal monitoring location based on an innovative metric called sensitivity of information (SOI) that quantifies the relative change in unconditional and conditional reliability indexes. A state-of-the-practice case of risks posed by tunneling-induced settlement to buildings is explored in-depth to demonstrate and evaluate the computational efficiency of the proposed framework.

stat.AP

Post-earthquake modelling of transportation networks using an agent-based model

Surface transportation systems are an essential part of urban transportation infrastructure and are susceptible to damage from earthquakes. This damage, along with the lack of prior warning of earthquake events, may lead to severe and unexpected disruption of normal traffic patterns, which may seriously impair post-disaster response. Accordingly, it is important to understand and model the performance of urban transportation systems immediately following an earthquake, to evaluate its capability to support emergency response, e.g., the movement of firefighters, search and rescue teams and medical personnel, and the transportation of injured people to emergency treatment facilities. For this purpose, a scenario-based methodology is developed to model the performance of a transportation network immediately following an earthquake using an agent-based model. This methodology accounts for the abrupt changes in destination, irrational behavior of drivers, unavailability of traffic information and the impairment to traffic capacity due to bridge damage and building debris. An illustration using the road network of Tangshan City, China shows that the method can capture the traffic flow characteristics immediately after an earthquake and can determine the capability of the transportation network to transfer injured people to hospitals considering the above factors. Thus, it can provide rational support for evaluating the performance of the surface transportation system under immediate post-disaster emergency conditions.

physics.soc-ph