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R. J. Graham

Publications and source records attributed to R. J. Graham.

12 recordsLinked to original sources

White Paper on Phototrophic Biosignatures: Research Priorities for the Search for Life on Other Worlds

Photosynthesis is of prime interest in the telescopic search for life beyond the Solar System, because, on Earth, oxygenic photosynthesis produces two strong "biosignatures," global scale signs of life that can be seen from space: atmospheric oxygen and the Vegetation Red Edge (VRE). The VRE is the spectral reflectance signature of plant leaves, characterized by a step-like increase in reflectance from the red to the near-infrared. The absorption in the red is due to chlorophyll $\textit{a}$ (Chl $\textit{a}$). While Chl $\textit{a}$ dominates our planet, the Earth harbors diverse phototrophic organisms in niche environments possessing other pigments that produce edge-like spectral features across the UV-VIS-NIR, naturally suggesting diverse signatures that could be found on other planets where phototrophic life is adapted to other stars. However, the astrobiology community is very much at an early stage in its ability to constrain the probability that an observation of another planet has detected a sign of photosynthetic life. This white paper identifies critical research questions to advance to a predictive capability the search for phototrophic biosignatures. These questions pertain to the origins, key features, diversity, and potential for alternative adaptations in fundamental aspects of light harvesting; the electron transfer pathway in photosynthesis; rhodopsin-based proton-pumping; and carbon fixation. We discuss the need to constrain how evolution and ecology affect the scaling up of these molecular mechanisms to be potentially detectable by a direct imaging mission. The research questions and recommendations presented here are cross-linked to those posed by the NASA Astrobiology Strategy 2015, and to the Focus Areas of the upcoming NASA Decadal Astrobiology Exploration Strategy (DARES).

astro-ph.IM

Seafloor Weathering and Stochastic Outgassing Unlikely to Significantly Shorten the Future Lifespan of Earth's Terrestrial Biosphere

Current understanding suggests that as the Sun brightens in the far future, Earth's carbonate-silicate cycle will offset increasing temperatures by drawing CO$_2$ out of the atmosphere, ultimately leading to the extinction of all terrestrial plant life via either overheating or CO$_2$ starvation. Most previous estimates put the future lifespan of Earth's terrestrial biosphere at $\sim$1 billion yr, but recent work used a new coupled climate-continental weathering model with up-to-date parameter constraints to revise this estimate upward to 1.6-1.86 billion yr. In this study, we extend the model to examine the impacts of seafloor weathering and stochastic variations in CO$_2$ outgassing rates on the remaining lifespan of Earth's terrestrial biosphere. We find that if seafloor weathering has a stronger feedback than continental weathering and accounts for a large portion of global silicate weathering, then the remaining lifespan of the terrestrial biosphere can be shortened, but a lifespan of more than 1 billion yr (Gyr) remains likely. Similarly, stochastic fluctuations in outgassing rates can have a significant impact if the size of the fluctuations exceed those observed over the last 1 billion yr. The impact of weak seafloor weathering and lower variability stochasticity are minor. Our work provisionally supports a lengthened lifespan of Earth's terrestrial biosphere, suggests robustness of this lengthened lifespan to planetary parameters that may vary among exoplanets, and identifies seafloor weathering as a key process that requires further study and constraint.

astro-ph.EP

The Role of Tectonic Luck in Long-Term Habitability of Abiotic Earth-like Planets

Carbonate-silicate weathering feedback is thought to stabilize Earth's climate on geologic timescales. If climate warms, faster mineral dissolution and increased rainfall speed up weathering, increasing CO2 drawdown and opposing the initial warming. Limits to where this feedback might operate on terrestrial exoplanets with N2-O2-CO2-H2O atmospheres are used to define the 'habitable zone'-the range of orbits around a star where liquid water can be stable on a planet's surface. However, the impacts on long-term habitability of randomly varying volcanic outgassing, tectonic collisions, and tectonic parameters (e.g., number of continental plates, size of plates, plate velocity) remain poorly understood. In this work, we present an idealized and broadly-applicable quasi-2D model of the long-term climate stability of abiotic Earth-twins. The model tracks atmospheric CO2 as 'disks' collide, promoting uplift and supplying new weatherable minerals through erosion. Without resupply, soils become less weatherable and the feedback's strength wanes, making a planet susceptible to catastrophic warming events or hard snowballs where the surface becomes frozen over. We find that tectonic uplift spurred by continental collisions cannot be the sole supplier of weatherable minerals within our model framework, as such climates either become uninhabitably hot (for complex life) as soils become leached of weatherable minerals or experience extreme swings in temperature over short timescales. This conclusion is strengthened when taking into account the destabilizing effects of outgassing variability and increasing stellar luminosity. In addition to frequent collisions, other resupply mechanisms for weatherable minerals, such as wind-driven dust transport, glacial erosion, and/or seafloor weathering, are likely required for long-term stability on Earth-like terrestrial exoplanets.

astro-ph.EP

Substantial extension of the lifetime of the terrestrial biosphere

Approximately one billion years (Gyr) in the future, as the Sun brightens, Earth's carbonate-silicate cycle is expected to drive CO$_2$ below the minimum level required by vascular land plants, eliminating most macroscopic land life. Here, we couple global-mean models of temperature- and CO$_2$-dependent plant productivity for C$_3$ and C$_4$ plants, silicate weathering, and climate to re-examine the time remaining for terrestrial plants. If weathering is weakly temperature-dependent (as recent data suggest) and/or strongly CO$_2$-dependent, we find that the interplay between climate, productivity, and weathering causes the future luminosity-driven CO$_2$ decrease to slow and temporarily reverse, averting plant CO$_2$ starvation. This dramatically lengthens plant survival from 1 Gyr up to $\sim$1.6-1.86 Gyr, until extreme temperatures halt photosynthesis, suggesting a revised kill mechanism for land plants and potential doubling of the future lifespan of Earth's land macrobiota. An increased future lifespan for the complex biosphere may imply that Earth life had to achieve a smaller number of ``hard steps'' (unlikely evolutionary transitions) to produce intelligent life than previously estimated. These results also suggest that complex photosynthetic land life on Earth and exoplanets may be able to persist until the onset of the moist greenhouse transition.

astro-ph.EP

Carbon cycle instability for high-$\mathrm{CO_2}$ exoplanets: Implications for habitability

Implicit in the definition of the classical circumstellar habitable zone (HZ) is the hypothesis that the carbonate-silicate cycle can maintain clement climates on exoplanets with land and surface water across a range of instellations by adjusting atmospheric $\mathrm{CO_2}$ partial pressure ($p\mathrm{CO_2}$). This hypothesis is made by analogy to the Earth system, but it is an open question whether silicate weathering can stabilize climate on planets in the outer reaches of the HZ, where instellations are lower than those received by even the Archean Earth and $\mathrm{CO_2}$ is thought likely to dominate atmospheres. Since weathering products are carried from land to ocean by the action of water, silicate weathering is intimately coupled to the hydrologic cycle, which intensifies with hotter temperatures under Earth-like conditions. Here, we use global climate model (GCM) simulations to demonstrate that the hydrologic cycle responds counterintuitively to changes in climate on planets with $\mathrm{CO_2}$-$\mathrm{H_2O}$ atmospheres at low instellations and high $p\mathrm{CO_2}$, with global evaporation and precipitation decreasing as $p\mathrm{CO_2}$ and temperatures increase at a given instellation. Within the MAC weathering formulation, weathering then decreases with increasing $p\mathrm{CO_2}$ for a range of instellations and $p\mathrm{CO_2}$ typical of the outer reaches of the HZ, resulting in an unstable carbon cycle that may lead to either runaway $\mathrm{CO_2}$ accumulation or depletion of $\mathrm{CO_2}$ to colder (possibly Snowball) conditions. While the behavior of the system has not been completely mapped out, the results suggest that silicate weathering could fail to maintain habitable conditions in the outer reaches of the nominal HZ.

astro-ph.EP

CO$_2$ ocean bistability on terrestrial exoplanets

Cycling of carbon dioxide between the atmosphere and interior of rocky planets can stabilize global climate and enable planetary surface temperatures above freezing over geologic time. However, variations in global carbon budget and unstable feedback cycles between planetary sub-systems may destabilize the climate of rocky exoplanets toward regimes unknown in the Solar System. Here, we perform clear-sky atmospheric radiative transfer and surface weathering simulations to probe the stability of climate equilibria for rocky, ocean-bearing exoplanets at instellations relevant for planetary systems in the outer regions of the circumstellar habitable zone. Our simulations suggest that planets orbiting G- and F-type stars (but not M-type stars) may display bistability between an Earth-like climate state with efficient carbon sequestration and an alternative stable climate equilibrium where CO$_2$ condenses at the surface and forms a blanket of either clathrate hydrate or liquid CO$_2$. At increasing instellation and with ineffective weathering, the latter state oscillates between cool, surface CO$_2$-condensing and hot, non-condensing climates. CO$_2$ bistable climates may emerge early in planetary history and remain stable for billions of years. The carbon dioxide-condensing climates follow an opposite trend in $p$CO$_2$ versus instellation compared to the weathering-stabilized planet population, suggesting the possibility of observational discrimination between these distinct climate categories.

astro-ph.EP

A multispecies pseudoadiabat for simulating condensable-rich exoplanet atmospheres

Central stages in the evolution of rocky, potentially habitable planets may play out under atmospheric conditions with a large inventory of non-dilute condensable components. Variations in condensate retention and accompanying changes in local lapse rate may substantially affect planetary climate and surface conditions, but there is currently no general theory to effectively describe such atmospheres. In this article, expanding on the work by Li et al. (2018), we generalize the single-component moist pseudoadiabat derivation in Pierrehumbert (2010) to allow for multiple condensing components of arbitrary diluteness and retained condensate fraction. The introduction of a freely tunable retained condensate fraction allows for a flexible, self-consistent treatment of atmospheres with non-dilute condensable components. To test the pseudoadiabat's capabilities for simulating a diverse range of climates, we apply the formula to planetary atmospheres with compositions, surface pressures, and temperatures representing important stages with condensable-rich atmospheres in the evolution of terrestrial planets: a magma ocean planet in a runaway greenhouse state; a post-impact, late veneer-analogue planet with a complex atmospheric composition; and an Archean Earth-like planet near the outer edge of the classical circumstellar habitable zone. We find that variations in the retention of multiple non-dilute condensable species can significantly affect the lapse rate and in turn outgoing radiation and the spectral signatures of planetary atmospheres. The presented formulation allows for a more comprehensive treatment of the climate evolution of rocky exoplanets and early Earth analogues.

astro-ph.EP

High pCO$_2$ reduces sensitivity to CO$_2$ perturbations on temperate, Earth-like planets throughout most of habitable zone

The nearly logarithmic radiative impact of CO$_2$ means that planets near the outer edge of the liquid water habitable zone (HZ) require $\sim$10$^6$x more CO$_2$ to maintain temperatures conducive to standing liquid water on the planetary surface than their counterparts near the inner edge. This logarithmic radiative response also means that atmospheric CO$_2$ changes of a given mass will have smaller temperature effects on higher pCO$_2$ planets. Ocean pH is linked to atmospheric pCO$_2$ through seawater carbonate speciation and calcium carbonate dissolution/precipitation, and the response of pH to changes in pCO$_2$ also decreases at higher initial pCO$_2$. Here, we use idealized climate and ocean chemistry models to demonstrate that CO$_2$ perturbations large enough to cause catastrophic changes to surface temperature and ocean pH on low-pCO$_2$ planets in the innermost region of the HZ are likely to have much smaller effects on planets with higher pCO$_2$. Major bouts of extraterrestrial fossil fuel combustion or volcanic CO$_2$ outgassing on high-pCO$_2$ planets in the mid-to-outer HZ should have mild or negligible impacts on surface temperature and ocean pH. Owing to low pCO$_2$, Phanerozoic Earth's surface environment may be unusually volatile compared to similar planets receiving lower instellation.

astro-ph.EP

Thermodynamic and Energetic Limits on Continental Silicate Weathering Strongly Impact the Climate and Habitability of Wet, Rocky Worlds

The "liquid water habitable zone" (HZ) concept is predicated on the ability of the silicate weathering feedback to stabilize climate across a wide range of instellations. However, representations of silicate weathering used in current estimates of the effective outer edge of the HZ do not account for the thermodynamic limit on concentration of weathering products in runoff set by clay precipitation, nor for the energetic limit on precipitation set by planetary instellation. We find that when the thermodynamic limit is included in an idealized coupled climate/weathering model, steady-state planetary climate loses sensitivity to silicate dissolution kinetics, becoming sensitive to temperature primarily through the effect of temperature on runoff and to pCO$_2$ through an effect on solute concentration mediated by pH. This increases sensitivity to land fraction, CO$_2$ outgassing, and geological factors such as soil age and lithology, all of which are found to have a profound effect on the position of the effective outer edge of the HZ. The interplay between runoff sensitivity and the energetic limit on precipitation leads to novel warm states in the outer reaches of the HZ, owing to the decoupling of temperature and precipitation. We discuss strategies for detecting the signature of silicate weathering feedback through exoplanet observations in light of insights derived from the revised picture of weathering.

astro-ph.EP

The Snowball Stratosphere

According to the Snowball Earth hypothesis, Earth has experienced periods of low-latitude glaciation in its deep past. Prior studies have used general circulation models (GCMs) to examine the effects such an extreme climate state might have on the structure and dynamics of Earth's troposphere, but the behavior of the stratosphere has not been studied in detail. Understanding the snowball stratosphere is important for developing an accurate account of the Earth's radiative and chemical properties during these episodes. Here we conduct the first analysis of the stratospheric circulation of the Snowball Earth using ECHAM6 general circulation model simulations. In order to understand the factors contributing to the stratospheric circulation, we extend the Statistical Transformed Eulerian Mean framework. We find that the stratosphere during a snowball with prescribed modern ozone levels exhibits a weaker meridional overturning circulation, reduced wave activity, stronger zonal jets, and is extremely cold relative to modern conditions. Notably, the snowball stratosphere displays no sudden stratospheric warmings. Without ozone, the stratosphere displays slightly weaker circulation, a complete lack of polar vortex, and even colder temperatures. We also explicitly quantify for the first time the cross-tropopause mass exchange rate and stratospheric mixing efficiency during the snowball and show that our values do not change the constraints on CO$_2$ inferred from geochemical proxies during the Marinoan glaciation ($\sim$635 Ma), unless the O$_2$ concentration during the snowball was orders of magnitude less than the CO$_2$ concentration.

physics.ao-ph

A Statistical Comparative Planetology Approach to Maximize the Scientific Return of Future Exoplanet Characterization Efforts

Provided that sufficient resources are deployed, we can look forward to an extraordinary future in which we will characterize potentially habitable planets. Until now, we have had to base interpretations of observations on habitability hypotheses that have remained untested. To test these theories observationally, we propose a statistical comparative planetology approach to questions of planetary habitability. The key objective of this approach will be to make quick and cheap measurements of critical planetary characteristics on a large sample of exoplanets, exploiting statistical marginalization to answer broad habitability questions. This relaxes the requirement of obtaining multiple types of data for a given planet, as it allows us to test a given hypothesis from only one type of measurement using the power of an ensemble. This approach contrasts with a "systems science" approach, where a few planets would be extensively studied with many types of measurements. A systems science approach is associated with a number of difficulties which may limit overall scientific return, including: the limited spectral coverage and noise of instruments, the diversity of exoplanets, and the extensive list of potential false negatives and false positives. A statistical approach could also be complementary to a systems science framework by providing context to interpret extensive measurements on planets of particular interest. We strongly recommend future missions with a focus on exoplanet characterization, and with the capability to study large numbers of planets in a homogenous way, rather than exclusively small, intense studies directed at a small sample of planets.

astro-ph.EP

Decrease in hysteresis of planetary climate for planets with long solar days

The ice-albedo feedback on rapidly-rotating terrestrial planets in the habitable zone can lead to abrupt transitions (bifurcations) between a warm and a snowball (ice-covered) state, bistability between these states, and hysteresis in planetary climate. This is important for planetary habitability because snowball events may trigger rises in the complexity of life, but could also endanger complex life that already exists. Recent work has shown that planets tidally locked in synchronous rotation states will transition smoothly into the snowball state rather than experiencing bifurcations. Here we investigate the structure of snowball bifurcations on planets that are tidally influenced, but not synchronously rotating, so that they experience long solar days. We use PlaSIM, an intermediate-complexity global climate model, with a thermodynamic mixed layer ocean and the Sun's spectrum. We find that the amount of hysteresis (range in stellar flux for which there is bistability in climate) is significantly reduced for solar days with lengths of tens of Earth days, and disappears for solar days of hundreds of Earth days. These results suggest that tidally influenced planets orbiting M and K-stars that are not synchronously rotating could have much less hysteresis associated with the snowball bifurcations than they would if they were rapidly rotating. This implies that the amount of time it takes them to escape a snowball state via CO$_2$ outgassing would be greatly reduced, as would the period of cycling between the warm and snowball state if they have a low CO$_2$ outgassing rate.

astro-ph.EP