arXiv subjects

R. Leonhardt

Publications and source records attributed to R. Leonhardt.

6 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2021

Forecasting GICs and geoelectric fields from solar wind data using LSTMs: application in Austria

The forecasting of local GIC effects has largely relied on the forecasting of dB/dt as a proxy and, to date, little attention has been paid to directly forecasting the geoelectric field or GICs themselves. We approach this problem with machine learning tools, specifically recurrent neural networks or LSTMs by taking solar wind observations as input and training the models to predict two different kinds of output: first, the geoelectric field components Ex and Ey; and second, the GICs in specific substations in Austria. The training is carried out on the geoelectric field and GICs modelled from 26 years of one-minute geomagnetic field measurements, and results are compared to GIC measurements from recent years. The GICs are generally predicted better by an LSTM trained on values from a specific substation, but only a fraction of the largest GICs are correctly predicted. This model had a correlation with measurements of around 0.6, and a root-mean-square error of 0.7 A. The probability of detecting mild activity in GICs is around 50%, and 15% for larger GICs.

physics.geo-ph↗

arXiv2020

Prediction of Dst during solar minimum using in situ measurements at L5

Geomagnetic storms resulting from high-speed streams can have significant negative impacts on modern infrastructure due to complex interactions between the solar wind and geomagnetic field. One measure of the extent of this effect is the Kyoto $Dst$ index. We present a method to predict $Dst$ from data measured at the Lagrange 5 (L5) point, which allows for forecasts of solar wind development 4.5 days in advance of the stream reaching the Earth. Using the STEREO-B satellite as a proxy, we map data measured near L5 to the near-Earth environment and make a prediction of the $Dst$ from this point using the Temerin-Li $Dst$ model enhanced from the original using a machine learning approach. We evaluate the method accuracy with both traditional point-to-point error measures and an event-based validation approach. The results show that predictions using L5 data outperform a 27-day solar wind persistence model in all validation measures but do not achieve a level similar to an L1 monitor. Offsets in timing and the rapidly-changing development of $B_z$ in comparison to $B_x$ and $B_y$ reduce the accuracy. Predictions of $Dst$ from L5 have an RMSE of $9$ nT, which is double the error of $4$ nT using measurements conducted near the Earth. The most useful application of L5 measurements is shown to be in predicting the minimum $Dst$ for the next four days. This method is being implemented in a real-time forecast setting using STEREO-A as an L5 proxy, and has implications for the usefulness of future L5 missions.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2004

Quantum and Classical Effects in the Two-Frequency Kicked Rotor with Variable Initial Phase

We present an investigation into effects exhibited by the two-frequency kicked rotor. Experiments were performed and in addition quantum and classical dynamics were simulated and compared with the experimental results. The experiments involved pulsing the optical standing wave with two pulsing periods of differing frequencies and variable initial phase offset. The ratio of pulsing periods was sampled for rational and irrational values for different experimental runs. In this paper we present these results and examine the measured momentum distributions for the cause of any structures that are seen in the energy as the initial phase offset is changed. Irrational ratios exhibit no significant quantum effects, whereas rational ratios show dynamical localisation (DL) for certain values of the initial phase. However, most of the observed structure is found to be due to classical effects, in particular KAM boundaries, and is therefore not of uniquely quantum origin.

quant-ph↗

arXiv2004

Experimental investigation of early-time diffusion in the quantum kicked rotor using a Bose-Einstein condensate

We report the experimental observation of resonances in the early-time momentum diffusion rates for the atom-optical delta-kicked rotor. In this work a Bose-Einstein condensate provides a source of ultra-cold atoms with an ultra-narow initial momentum distribution, which is then subjected to periodic pulses (or "kicks") using an intense far-detuned optical standing wave. A quantum resonance occurs when the momentum eigenstates accumulate the same phase between kicks leading to ballistic energy growth. Conversely, an anti-resonance is observed when the phase accumulated from successive kicks cancels and the system returns to its initial state. Our experimental results are compared with theoretical predictions.

cond-mat.soft↗

arXiv2003

Measurements of Diffusion Resonances for the Atom Optics Quantum Kicked Rotor

We present experimental observations of diffusion resonances for the quantum kicked rotor with weak decoherence. Cold caesium atoms are subject to a pulsed standing wave of near-resonant light, with spontaneous emission providing environmental coupling. The mean energy as a function of the pulse period is determined during the late-time diffusion regime for a constant probability of spontaneous emission per unit time. Structure in the late-time energy is seen to increase with physical kicking strength. The observed structure is related to Shepelyansky's predictions of the initial quantum diffusion rates.

quant-ph↗

arXiv2001

Diffusion Resonances in Action Space for an Atom Optics Kicked Rotor with Decoherence

We numerically investigate momentum diffusion rates for the pulse kicked rotor across the quantum to classical transition as the dynamics are made more macroscopic by increasing the total system action. For initial and late time rates we observe an enhanced diffusion peak which shifts and scales with changing kick strength, and we also observe distinctive peaks around quantum resonances. Our investigations take place in the context of a system of ultracold atoms which is coupled to its environment via spontaneous emission decoherence, and the effects should be realisable in ongoing experiments.

quant-ph↗