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Rachel Steratore

Publications and source records attributed to Rachel Steratore.

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AI Security Priorities: A Field-Wide Agenda

As AI systems are rapidly integrated into critical economic, governmental, and national security functions, the gap between AI adoption and AI security readiness continues to widen. This paper presents a prioritized agenda for advancing AI security, informed by structured interviews with leaders across industry, government, and civil society, and refined through a multi-sector expert workshop. Participants identified and ranked the highest-importance and most cost-effective areas where progress could strengthen AI security - from protecting frontier AI systems and their underlying infrastructure to improving cybersecurity practices as AI reshapes the threat landscape. The resulting priorities are organized across four themes: establishing strategic foundations and policy frameworks; advancing public-private coordination and institutional infrastructure; advancing technical security engineering and assurance; and governing agentic AI under adversarial pressure. For each priority area, expert authors provide detailed analyses that define the problem, assess the current landscape, and identify actionable projects that stakeholders across sectors can pursue. The paper aims to serve as an initial practical foundation for coordinated investment and action across the AI security field. It is designed to serve both current practitioners and individuals and organizations looking to enter the field by identifying concrete, high-impact contributions suited to a range of strengths and capacities.

cs.CY

Artificial General Intelligence Forecasting and Scenario Analysis: State of the Field, Methodological Gaps, and Strategic Implications

In this report, we review the current state of methodologies to forecast the arrival of artificial general intelligence, assess their reliability, and analyze the implications for strategy and policy. We synthesize diverse forecasting approaches, document significant limitations in existing methods, and propose a research agenda for developing more-robust forecasting infrastructure. The report does not endorse a specific forecast or scenario but rather provides a framework for interpreting forecasts under conditions of deep uncertainty. We experimented with an iterative approach to human and artificial intelligence collaboration for this report. The primary drafting of the text was performed by large language models (GPT 5.1, Gemini 3 Pro, and Claude 4.5 Opus), with human researchers providing direction, peer review, fact-checking, and revision.

cs.CY