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Rafael Duarte Marcelino

Publications and source records attributed to Rafael Duarte Marcelino.

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Detectability Limits for Intra-Block Temporal Drift in Finite-Key Entanglement-Based QKD

We study the statistical detectability of intra-block temporal drift in finite-key entanglement-based quantum key distribution, with particular relevance to E91-type parameter estimation and monitoring. Drift is modeled as a mean-preserving Lipschitz perturbation of Bernoulli observables, capturing structured temporal variation that is invisible to global-average tests. For a block of size $n$ and confidence levels $(α,β)$, we formulate a minimax hypothesis-testing problem and define the minimal detectable amplitude. We derive matching lower and upper bounds yielding $δ_{\min}(n,α,β)=Θ(n^{-1/2})$: if $nδ^2 \to 0$, no level-$α$ procedure can guarantee nontrivial uniform power over the admissible drift class, whereas a calibrated CUSUM statistic detects drift at the matching scale. Explicit constants for linear, sinusoidal, and step profiles, together with simulations, confirm the predicted scaling collapse. The result quantifies a finite-block monitoring-resolution limit and is distinct from composable security certification.

quant-ph

A Formal Basis for Quantum Cryptographic Exposure Measurement under HNDL Threat

An adversary copies your encrypted traffic today and waits for a quantum computer to decrypt it later. How exposed are you? We show that the functional form of the answer is not merely a calibration choice -- it is structurally justified by three assumptions about adversarial production and value-decay dynamics. Under those assumptions, the HNDL compromise probability factorises into a temporal hazard, a multiplicative cryptographic-vulnerability and operational-exposure term, and a saturation denominator governed by the defense-attack intensity ratio; the marginal sensitivity to each dimension is endogenous to the organisation's position in the vulnerability-exposure plane, not a fixed global constant. Additive scoring frameworks cannot reproduce this structure because the interaction between cryptographic vulnerability and operational exposure is absent by construction, regardless of calibration. The resulting framework provides a structurally grounded basis for operational HNDL exposure prioritisation under partial observability.

cs.CR