arXiv subjects

Rafael Ortiz III

Publications and source records attributed to Rafael Ortiz III.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

PEARLS: NuSTAR and XMM-Newton Extragalactic Survey of the JWST North Ecliptic Pole Time-Domain Field V: Unraveling X-ray Spectral Variability

As one of the first deep time-domain surveys in the hard X-ray band, the NuSTAR campaign in the JWST North Ecliptic Pole Time Domain Field (NEP-TDF) offers a prime opportunity to measure variability in a faint population of Active Galactic Nuclei (AGN) in the medium-to-high redshift universe. In the X-ray band, AGN variability is generally caused by changes in the brightness of the corona ($F_{int}$ variability) or changes in the column density of obscuring material near the SMBH ($N_H$ variability). Broad-band spectroscopy ($\sim$0.5-24 keV) is required to reliably disentangle these two phenomena. With simultaneous NuSTAR and XMM-Newton coverage---as well as 1.8 Ms of Chandra monitoring---the X-ray surveys in the NEP-TDF are ideally situated for this purpose. This work presents the first spectral modeling of the 52 NuSTAR-identified sources discovered in the latter half of the campaign, as well as a spectroscopic variability study of the entire 112-source NuSTAR NEP-TDF catalog. Seven variable candidates are identified. We find that $\gtrsim 1000$ total counts split across many ($\gtrsim 10$) epochs are needed in order to detect variability. Additionally, variable sources are compared to the survey sensitivity in order to inform population synthesis models of how variations can affect the detectability of faint AGN, which dominate the SMBH accretion history. Lastly, the timescale of $N_H$ variability is investigated as a probe for the obscurer location. Significant variability is slightly more common on $> 100$ day timescales, suggesting that the torus may have only slight dominance in driving $N_H$ variability in faint AGN.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

Constraining the Light Curves of Magnified Stellar Events at z ~ 0.725

Extreme magnification by lensing galaxy clusters allows the detection of high-luminosity stars during cluster caustic transient events at cosmological distances. The Dragon Arc at z=0.725 is a frontier target for identifying transient events due to its high frequency of microlensing events, and so far >100 of these events have been detected. The high frequency of events and high cadence of observations allow for the measurement of minimal flux variation between epochs, and therefore the magnification evolution as a source approaches or recedes from a microcaustic can be measured from light curves. In this work, we model the light curves of 10 transient events in the Dragon Arc across eight epochs from two JWST/NIRCam medium-band filters taken over four days. Injected synthetic observations demonstrate that with additional observations, individual transient light curves allow the of apparent degeneracies between stellar characteristics and properties of motion.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

PEARLS: NuSTAR and XMM-Newton Extragalactic Survey of the JWST North Ecliptic Pole Time-Domain Field IV: X-Ray Variability Analysis

NuSTAR and XMM-Newton have observed the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) North Ecliptic Pole (NEP) Time-Domain Field (TDF) for almost five contiguous years starting in 2019. In that time, the NEP X-ray survey has accumulated 3.5 Ms and 228 ks of quasi-simultaneous NuSTAR and XMM-Newton observations, respectively. This paper presents variability results for the 112 NuSTAR and 453 XMM-Newton sources detected in this field, based solely on the X-ray photometric data. Four NuSTAR sources and 11 XMM-Newton sources varied in at least one band at >=99% confidence. The sources with redshift measurements show a relationship between luminosity and variability with 74% of variable sources brighter than 5x the sensitivity limit of the survey. This is supported by about 1/3 of sources with more than 400 counts detected being variable and only 4 sources with fewer counts showing variability. Variability timescales are not well determined, but variability amplitude tends to be larger on longer timescales.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

EPOCHS-DR2 I: Expanded data release and properties of $6.5<z<16.5$ photometrically selected galaxies across NIRCam deep fields covering $\sim700\,\rm arcmin^2$ with the galfind software

We present the \epochstwo\ sample of $2452$ star forming galaxies at $6.5 10.5$, $\sim85\%$ of which are without NIRSpec follow-up, including $15$ candidates at $z_{\rm phot}>13.5$ across a diverse range of proper sizes $30\,\rm pc\lesssim r_{\rm c}\lesssim1.5\,\rm kpc$ and UV slopes $-4.0\lesssimβ_{\rm UV}\lesssim-1.5$. Two very promising candidates stand out, GS-W-4608 and GN-Med-1881, with $β_{\rm UV}\lesssim-3$, $\gtrsim1.6\,\rm mag$ \lya\ break colors, and F335M and F410M detections which improve their high-redshift solution robustness. Complementary to our high-redshift sample, this public data release provides the community with optical/NIR catalogs, empirical PSFs, and \eazypy, \bagpipes, and \bdfinder\ SED fitting results, enhancing the legacy value of photometric JWST data in the upcoming era of wide-field imaging datasets with Euclid and Roman.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

Constraints on the Pop III Sky Surface Brightness from High-Redshift Caustic Transients in MACS0416

Population III (Pop III) stars are hypothetical zero-metallicity stellar structures formed from primordial hydrogen and helium. They are theorized to span a wide mass range, extending to several 100 solar masses, and may have played important roles in nucleosynthesis and reionization. Their expected fluxes are far below JWST NIRCam detection limits, making direct observation unlikely. However, extreme magnification near the caustics of massive foreground galaxy clusters may enable their detection. We search for overlooked high-redshift (7 <= z <= 17) caustic transits in the lensing cluster MACS J0416.1-2403. Using three observations spanning 126 days, we create difference images to identify potential candidates. Critical curves for sources at 7 <= z <= 17, derived from a strong-lensing model, guided visual inspection of three difference-images. No additional transits were found. The longer caustics in our model sweep a larger source-plane area, increasing the probability of detecting an event. Combining this increased statistical sensitivity with deeper imaging, we establish a fainter limit for the unresolved stellar population at z >= 7. From this null result, we constrain the 100 solar mass 2 micron Pop III sky surface brightness to >= 32.8 +/- 0.6 mag arcsec^-2. Modeling the non-detection as a Poisson process gives a posterior mean caustic-transit rate of 0.29 cluster^-1 yr^-1 and a 95 percent upper credible limit of lambda_95 = 0.86 cluster^-1 yr^-1. The inferred rate remains consistent with the adopted fiducial Pop III caustic-transit model and provides an empirical benchmark for future multi-epoch monitoring campaigns. This search exploits the fact that individual stars projected close to source-plane caustics can be briefly magnified far beyond their unlensed fluxes. These constraints provide a direct test of the abundance of luminous Pop III stars at early cosmic times.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Super-Eddington Little Blue Dots May Reionize Helium Too Early

The James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) has identified an abundant population of faint Active Galactic Nuclei (AGN) at $z \gtrsim 4$ which display broad emission lines, compact morphologies, and blue ultraviolet--optical continua. These ``Little Blue Dots' (LBDs) have been suggested to belong to the same family of objects as the more controversial ``Little Red Dots' (LRDs), with differences between the two largely owing to viewing angle effects. In this scenario, super-Eddington accretion resulting in high Extreme UV (EUV) and weak X-ray emission is invoked to explain the properties of both populations. We study the consequences of this super-Eddington scenario for the timing of Helium reionization. We find that observations which support an end to helium reionization no earlier than $z \approx 3$ disfavor scenarios in which the majority of observed $3 \lesssim z \lesssim 7$ LBDs are highly super-Eddington. For our fiducial super-Eddington accretion scenario, we find that the fraction of the LBD population in this state must be $\lesssim 10\%$, assuming LBDs make up $5\%$ of the $M_{ m UV} < -18$ galaxy population and have average escape fractions of $15\%$, comparable to recent observations. Our constraint assumes that LBDs dominate the Helium reionization budget, and would be tighter if bright quasars also contributed significantly. For a majority of LBDs to be super-Eddington, they would need to have small escape fractions ($\lesssim 1.5\%$) and/or be less abundant than observations suggest. Our conclusions are sensitive to the shape of the EUV spectra of super-Eddington black holes, motivating further study.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

The Koi Pond: A Strongly Lensed Protocluster Core hosting a Diverse Population of DSFGs

We present James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) and Atacama Large Millimeter Array (ALMA) observations of PJ0846+15, \textit{The Koi Pond}, a strongly lensed protocluster core at Cosmic Noon. This field offers a magnified view of 11 dusty star-forming galaxies (DSFGs) all at $z=2.67$ (within $ΔV=800$ km s$^{-1}$) spanning a projected extent of $>300$ kpc lensed by a $z=0.77$ foreground cluster. NIRCam and ALMA Band 6 continuum measurements map the stellar distribution and thermal dust emission respectively at a spatial resolution of $\sim$0.15$^{\prime\prime}$. This analysis reveals a diverse population of DSFGs, with evidence of both interacting and non-interacting systems exhibiting a wide range of morphological features including spiral arms, bars, bulges, clumps/stellar clusters, tidal tails/debris and displaced molecular gas reservoirs. Comparing the rest-frame J- band continuum (F444W) vs (i-J) color (F277W$-$F444W), we find a wide range of values, suggesting a $>$1-dex spread in stellar mass and a dust attenuation reddening of $ΔA_{\mathrm{V}} > 1$ mag. The DSFG members exhibit varying dust sizes relative to the stellar emission, ranging from compact dusty cores to galaxy-wide emission. Resolved color maps of individual sources showing a spread as high as F277W$-$F444W$=2$ mag suggesting complex stellar-to-dust geometry. Although gas-rich mergers are identified in the core, the most red and dust emitting members are disks exhibiting clumpy structure indicating secular growth can drive these starburst events. Such a remarkable range in properties within this sample suggest DSFGs in protocluster core environments follow diverse evolutionary pathways towards their transition into quiescent, elliptical cluster galaxies.

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arXiv2026

VENUS: A Strongly Lensed Clumpy Galaxy at $z\sim11-12$ behind the Galaxy Cluster MACS J0257.1-2325

We present the discovery of a strongly lensed galaxy at $z\sim11-12$, dubbed the ``Misty Moons'', identified in the JWST Treasury Survey, Vast Exploration for Nascent, Unexplored Sources (VENUS). The Misty Moons is gravitationally lensed by the galaxy cluster MACS J0257.1-2325 at $z=0.505$, and has five multiple images suggested by two independent lensing models. Two of the five images, ID1 and ID2 ($μ\sim 20-30$), are very bright (F200W$\sim26$ AB mag) and exhibit blue SEDs with prominent Ly$α$ breaks. In the source plane, the Misty Moons is a sub-$L^*$ galaxy ($M_{\rm UV}\sim-18.0$ mag) resolved into multiple stellar clumps, each of which has an effective radius of $r_\mathrm{eff}\sim 10-70$ pc and a stellar mass of $\sim10^7\ M_\odot$. These clumps dominate the stellar mass budget of the Misty Moons ($\gtrsim80\%$), similar to other high-$z$ clumps, which suggests a highly clustered mode of star formation in the early Universe, unlike seen in local dwarf galaxies. We convolve the source-plane image with the JWST/NIRCam point-spread function to produce a mock NIRCam image of the Misty Moons without lensing magnification, and find that the intrinsic galaxy has a radial surface-brightness profile comparable to those of $z\gtrsim10$ faint galaxies, such as JADES-GS-z13-0 and JADES-GS-z14-1, indicating that the Misty Moons represents a typical $z\gtrsim10$ faint galaxy. The Misty Moons, a lensed galaxy with resolved internal structures, provides an ideal laboratory for exploring the early stages of galaxy formation at $z\gtrsim10$.

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arXiv2026

PEARLS: JWST Counterparts of Micro-Jy Radio Sources in the NEP Time Domain Field. II. All Four Spokes

JWST/NIRCam observations in the North Ecliptic Pole Time Domain Field (TDF) identify 4.4 micron counterparts for 206 of 211 radio sources with S(3 GHz) \gapprox 5 micro-Jy in a 65arcmin^2 field. One of the remaining radio sources is likely to be a radio lobe of a nearby Seyfert galaxy, and the four radio sources without counterparts could be spurious. All but five counterparts are brighter than magnitude 23.5 AB at 4.4 micron. A simple position match with radius 0.3 arcsec would have identified 198 of the counterparts but only in a 4.4 micron catalog created with aggressive deblending of multiple peaks within an object's brightness distribution into distinct catalog sources. The properties of the radio-host galaxies are mostly consistent with those found in Paper 1: the median redshift is 1.14, and the radio emission, calculated taking into account the non-linear dependence of radio luminosity on star-formation rate, is consistent with a star formation origin in ~79% of the sample. For the other ~21%, the radio flux could come from star formation hidden behind dust or from an active galactic nucleus. One difference from other studies of radio-source counterparts is that 66% of the radio hosts show at least one indication of an AGN's presence. The presence of AGN and of hidden star formation could be elucidated by monitoring for source variability, and the TDF is the field most suited to such observations.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

PEARLS: NuSTAR and XMM-Newton Extragalactic Survey of the JWST North Ecliptic Pole Time Domain Field VI: Multiwavelength SED Analysis

We model spectral energy distributions of 261 X-ray sources to $z \sim 5$ in the North Ecliptic Pole Time Domain Field, extending prior XMM-Newton and NuSTAR analyses. Using the star-forming main sequence (SFMS) and black hole accretion rate (BHAR) frameworks, we find that SFRs generally lie below the SFMS while most BHARs exceed the population average, as expected for X-ray-selected samples. There is a strong correlation ($ρ=+0.73$) between SFR relative to the SFMS and specific AGN luminosity, $L_{AGN}/M_*$; galaxies with the highest $L_{AGN}/M_*$ exist at or above the SFMS. X-ray luminosity correlates with SFR ($ρ=+0.80$), revealing a star-forming and X-ray luminous "cold quasar" population consistent with dramatic, short-timescale accretion episodes. Low-mass galaxies show BHARs well above the population averaged value for their mass whereas high-mass galaxies' SMBHs accrete at the population averaged BHAR, suggesting "growth spurt" and "maintenance-mode" accretion, respectively. Traditional AGN classifications (obscured, unobscured, or radio-loud) do not reveal these distinctions, demonstrating the X-ray perspective's unique ability to identify rare AGN phases that are critical for the instantaneous link between galaxies and their SMBHs.

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arXiv2026

We Must Preserve Hubble given its Unique Complementarity to Webb, Roman, and Euclid

We present compelling arguments -- focusing on galaxy science -- for preserving the main imagers and operational modes of the Hubble Space Telescope (HST) for as long as is technically feasible, to assure maximum complementarity to the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), Roman, and Euclid. HST was designed to work well over the 0.1-1.6 $μ$m wavelength range, and its unique UV-optical performance has fundamentally contributed to our understanding of galaxy assembly and the Cosmic Star Formation History (CSFH). While star-formation started at redshifts $z \gtrsim 10$, when the universe was less than 500 Myr old, the CSFH did not peak until $z \simeq 1.9$ (i.e., about 10 Gyr ago), and has steadily declined since that time. Hence, at least half of all stars in the universe formed it in the last 10 Gyrs where HST provides its unique rest-frame UV view of unobscured young, massive stars tracing cosmic star-formation, as well as unobscured Active Galactic Nuclei (AGN). HST thus uniquely probes (unobscured) young, hot, massive stars and AGN in galaxies, while JWST, Euclid and Roman reveal more advanced stages of older stellar populations, as well as relatively short-lived phases where galaxies produce and shed a lot of dust from intense star-formation, dusty AGN, and the very high redshift universe ($z \gtrsim 10$) not accessible by HST. HST is thus highly complementary to these other facilities, all of which took decades to build to ensure decades of operation. To maximize return on investment in these facilities, ways will need to be found to operate HST imaging instruments in all relevant modes for as long as possible into the JWST and Roman missions.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

JWST's PEARLS: A clumpy ring galaxy at $z = 4.0148$

Ring galaxies are an uncommon class of galaxies whose morphology is closely related to dynamical processes that govern galaxy evolution. Some ring galaxies, known as "collisional ring galaxies", are thought to form as a consequence of head-on collisions between galaxies, and a number of high-redshift collisional ring galaxies have been discovered and/or studied in the era of the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST). In this paper, we present HST/ACS, JWST/NIRCam, and JWST/NIRSpec observations of a candidate ring galaxy at $z_{\rm spec} = 4.0148$, previously identified as a potential gravitational lens. The galaxy exhibits a complex morphology, including three bright clumps along an apparent ring with radius $\approx 0.25$" $\simeq 1.8$ kpc. It has a total SFR $= 140^{+20}_{-30}$ ${\rm M}_{\rm \odot}$ yr$^{-1}$ and $\log(M_\ast/{\rm M}_\odot) = 10.41^{+0.11}_{-0.13}$, making it similar to other high-redshift collisional ring galaxies. Although we argue strongly in favor of the collisional ring explanation, we cannot entirely rule out a galaxy-galaxy strong lensing explanation for the system's morphology, in which a foreground galaxy at $z \simeq 1.7$ lenses a galaxy at $z \simeq 4.0$ into an Einstein ring-like configuration; to confirm the nature of this source, we require kinematic information via high spectral resolution observations. We suggest that current and future gravitational lens surveys should consider high-redshift ring galaxies as possible but significant contaminants.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

PEARLS: Two Distinct Populations of AGN Hosts Moving Between Star Formation and Quiescence

We present the results of AGN--host-galaxy decomposition using JWST/NIRCam, HST/ACS, and HST/WFC3 imaging of the North Ecliptic Pole Time Domain Field (NEP-TDF). The light-profiles of 36 NIRCam-selected AGN candidates are modeled for measurement of their point sources, and point source-subtracted host-galaxy emission is used in SED modeling for star formation rate (SFR) estimation. Offsets from the canonical star-forming main sequence (SFMS) show that the host galaxies form two distinct groups distinguished by their star formation: a ``bridge'' between the moderate SFRs of radio sources and low SFRs of X-ray sources, and a cleanly-separated ``branch'' above $Δ\rm SFMS = -1$ whose SFR trends positively with AGN fraction. Branch galaxies include late-type galaxies with X-ray and radio detections and more dominant point sources that are most certainly AGN, while bridge galaxies have predominantly early-type morphologies with weaker point sources that may be due to compact stellar bulges. Both groups show evidence of recent transition between star formation and quiescence, but neither group shows preference for higher or lower stellar mass or redshift, suggesting that star formation in NIRCam-selected AGN-hosts is more strongly determined by AGN activity than by stellar mass.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

SKYSURF-11: A New Zodiacal Light Model Optimized for Optical Wavelengths

We present an improved zodiacal light model, optimized for optical wavelengths, using archival Hubble Space Telescope (HST) imaging from the SKYSURF program. The Kelsall et al. 1998 model used infrared imaging from the Diffuse Infrared Background Experiment (DIRBE) on board the Cosmic Background Explorer to create a 3D structure of the interplanetary dust cloud. However, this model cannot accurately represent zodiacal light emission outside of DIRBE's nominal wavelength bandpasses, the bluest of which is 1.25 micron. We present a revision to this model (called ZodiSURF) that incorporates analytical forms of both the scattering phase function and albedo as a function of wavelength, which are empirically determined across optical wavelengths (0.3-1.6 micron) from over 5,000 HST sky surface brightness (sky-SB) measurements. This refined model results in significantly improved predictions of zodiacal light emission at these wavelengths and for Sun angles greater than 80 deg. Fits to HST data show an uncertainty in the model of ~4.5%. Remarkably, the HST sky-SB measurements show an excess of residual diffuse light (HST Sky - ZodiSURF - Diffuse Galactic Light) of 0.013 +/- 0.006 MJy/sr. We suggest that a very dim spherical dust cloud may need to be included in the zodiacal light model, which we present here as a toy model.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Hidden in Plain Sight: Searching for Globular Clusters Within JWST Observations of the PLCK G165.7+67.0 Galaxy Cluster

Although the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) has received much attention for its ability to search deeper into the cosmos than ever before, it also enhances our capability to study objects closer to us in the Universe. We apply a methodology of subtracting intracluster light to the PLCK G165.7+67.0 (G165; $z$ = 0.35) cluster, revealing a population of unresolved point-like sources including globular clusters (GCs). By applying a fitting algorithm in color space used to select galaxy cluster members, we uncover over 900 globular cluster candidates from our point source sample. We also identify candidates by estimating the contribution of interlopers to the point source sample, yielding an estimate of 793$\pm$ 83 globular cluster candidates. We find the color-selected sources to be approximately correlated spatially with the intracluster light and lensing mass of the cluster. The observed luminosity function of the sources shows a turnover point fainter than the completeness limit, so we use fixed-parameter curve fitting models to predict a K-corrected turnover point between $-9.4 \leq M_{\rm F200W} \leq -10.7$ mag, although we predict the expected K-corrected turnover point should be closer to $-7.7 \leq M_{\rm F200W} \leq -8.4$ mag. We discuss the dynamical state of this disturbed galaxy cluster with a bimodal mass distribution using the spatial distribution of GC candidates and find that the radial profiles of our color-selected GC candidates are very consistent with the lensing-derived surface mass density at $>$50 kpc.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

PEARLS: 21 Transients Found in the Three-Epoch NIRCam Observations in the Continuous Viewing Zone of the James Webb Space Telescope

We present 21 transients from our three-epoch, four-band NIRCam observations covering 14.16 arcmin^2 in the Spitzer IRAC Dark Field (IDF), taken by the JWST Prime Extragalactic Areas for Reionization and Lensing Science program with a time cadence of ~6 months. A separate Hubble Space Telescope program provided Advanced Camera for Surveys optical imaging contemporaneous with the second and third epochs of the NIRCam observations. The NIRSpec spectroscopy on three transients confirmed a Type Ia supernova at z=1.63 and the host galaxies of the other two at z=2.64 and 1.90, respectively. Combining these with the photometric redshifts (z_ph) of the host galaxies in the rest of the sample, we find that the transients are in either a "mid-z" group at z>1.6 with M_V < -16.0 mag or a "low-z" group at z < 0.4 with M_H > -14.0 mag. The mid-z transients are consistent with supernovae. In contrast, the low-z transients' luminosities fall in the range of the so-called "gap transients" between supernovae and novae. However, this latter conclusion is only tentative due to possible catastrophic failures in z_ph that could bias them to low-z. Conversely, if they are indeed at z < 0.4, it would be worth studying similar transients in the future. Our work further demonstrates the power of NIRCam in transient science and also shows that it would be more fruitful to carry out a long-term monitoring program with more passbands, a higher cadence and prompt follw-up spectroscopy. Being in the continuous viewing zone of the JWST, the IDF is an ideal field for this purpose.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2025

Little red dot variability over a century reveals black hole envelope via a giant Einstein cross

"Little red dots" (LRDs) represent a new population of astronomical objects uncovered by JWST whose nature remains debated. Although many LRDs are suspected as active galactic nuclei (AGN), they show little variability on days-years timescales. We report the discovery of two gravitationally lensed LRDs at redshift $\sim$4.3 behind the cluster RXCJ2211-0350, one of which (RX1) is quadruply imaged with time delays spanning $\sim$130 years. RX1 exhibits intrinsic color and brightness variations of up to 0.7 magnitude among its images. These changes are consistent with blackbody-temperature variations of a photosphere, indicating long-term variability analogous to Cepheid-like pulsations but in a far more extended ($R \sim 2000$ AU) and massive ($M \gtrsim 10^6 \, M_{\odot}$) systems. These results suggest LRDs as a distinct class of AGN with stellar-like envelopes.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2025

Dissecting Reionisation with the Cosmic Star Formation and Active Galactic Nuclei Luminosity History

The combination of the $z=0-13.5$ cosmic star formation history and active galactic nuclei (AGN) luminosity history as inferred by the James Webb Space Telescope is connected to the cosmic spectral energy distribution (CSED) to explore the sources of reionisation. We compute the redshift evolution of the corresponding cosmic ionising photon emissivity, the neutral fraction and the cosmic microwave background optical depth. We use the generative SED modelling code ProSpect to bracket the ionising emissivity between escape fractions of $f_{\mathrm{esc}} = 1 - 100\%$ for both the stars and AGN. Stars alone could have achieved reionisation by $z\approx 6$ with $f_{\mathrm{esc}} \gtrsim 30\%$ for solar metallicity ($Z=0.02$) stars or $f_{\mathrm{esc}} \gtrsim 10\%$ for metal-poor ($Z=10^{-4}$) stars. On the other hand, AGN by themselves would have struggled to produce sufficiently many ionising photons even with $f_{\mathrm{esc}} = 100\%$. A hybrid model containing both stars and AGN is explored where we find best fit (median$\pm 1σ$) $f_{\mathrm{esc}}=$ $12\%$ ($14^{+9}_{-7}\%$) for the stars and $f_{\mathrm{esc}}=$ $63\%$ ($60^{+28}_{-32}\%$) for the AGN, maintained at all redshifts. In essence, the joint growth of stellar mass and supermassive black holes produces neither more nor fewer ionising photons than needed to reionise $\gtrsim 99\%$ of the intergalactic medium by $z\approx 6$.

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