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Rafael S. de Souza

Publications and source records attributed to Rafael S. de Souza.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

A high occurrence of nuclear star clusters in faint Coma galaxies, and the roles of mass and environment

We use deep high resolution \textit{HST/ACS} imaging of two fields in the core of the Coma cluster to investigate the occurrence of nuclear star clusters (NSCs) in quiescent dwarf galaxies as faint as $M_{I} = -10$ mag. We employ a hierarchical Bayesian logistic regression framework to model the faint end of the nucleation fraction ($f_{n}$) as a function of both galaxy luminosity and environment. We find that $f_n$ is remarkably high in Coma: at $M_{I} \approx -13$ mag half of the cluster dwarfs still host prominent NSCs. Comparison with dwarf systems in nearby clusters and groups shows that, within the uncertainties, the rate at which the probability of nucleation varies with galaxy luminosity is nearly universal. On the other hand, the fraction of nucleated galaxies at fixed luminosity does exhibit an environmental dependence. More massive environments feature higher nucleation fractions and fainter values of the half-nucleation luminosity, which roughly scales with host halo virial mass as $L_{I,f_{n50}} \propto \mathcal{M}_{200}^{-0.2}$. Our results reinforce the role of galaxy luminosity/mass as a major driver of the efficiency of NSC formation and also indicate a clear secondary dependence on the environment, hence paving the way to more refined theoretical models.

astro-ph.GA↗

Fallopian tube anatomy predicts pregnancy and pregnancy outcomes after tubal reversal surgery

We conducted this study to determine whether fallopian tube anatomy can predict the likelihood of pregnancy and pregnancy outcomes after tubal sterilization reversal. We built a flexible, non-parametric, multivariate model via generalized additive models to assess the effects of the following tubal parameters observed during tubal reparative surgery: tubal lengths; differences in tubal segment location, and diameters at the anastomosis sites; and, fibrosis of the tubal muscularis. In this study population, age and tubal length - in that order - were the primary factors predicting the likelihood of pregnancy. For pregnancy outcomes, tubal length was the most influential predictor of birth and ectopic pregnancy, while age was the primary predictor of miscarriage. Segment location and diameters contributed slightly to the odds of miscarriage and ectopic pregnancy. Tubal muscularis fibrosis had a little apparent effect. This study is the first to show that a statistical learning predictive model based on fallopian tube anatomy can predict pregnancy and pregnancy outcome probabilities after tubal reversal surgery.

q-bio.TO↗

SPICY: The Spitzer/IRAC Candidate YSO Catalog for the Inner Galactic Midplane

We present ~120,000 Spitzer/IRAC candidate young stellar objects (YSOs) based on surveys of the Galactic midplane between l~255 deg and 110 deg, including the GLIMPSE I, II, and 3D, Vela-Carina, Cygnus X, and SMOG surveys (613 square degrees), augmented by near-infrared catalogs. We employed a classification scheme that uses the flexibility of a tailored statistical learning method and curated YSO datasets to take full advantage of IRAC's spatial resolution and sensitivity in the mid-infrared ~3-9 micron range. Multi-wavelength color/magnitude distributions provide intuition about how the classifier separates YSOs from other red IRAC sources and validate that the sample is consistent with expectations for disk/envelope-bearing pre-main-sequence stars. We also identify areas of IRAC color space associated with objects with strong silicate absorption or polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon emission. Spatial distributions and variability properties help corroborate the youthful nature of our sample. Most of the candidates are in regions with mid-IR nebulosity, associated with star-forming clouds, but others appear distributed in the field. Using Gaia DR2 distance estimates, we find groups of YSO candidates associated with the Local Arm, the Sagittarius-Carina Arm, and the Scutum-Centaurus Arm. Candidate YSOs visible to the Zwicky Transient Facility tend to exhibit higher variability amplitudes than randomly selected field stars of the same magnitude, with many high-amplitude variables having light-curve morphologies characteristic of YSOs. Given that no current or planned instruments will significantly exceed IRAC's spatial resolution while possessing its wide-area mapping capabilities, Spitzer-based catalogs such as ours will remain the main resources for mid-infrared YSOs in the Galactic midplane for the near future.

astro-ph.GA↗

Women in academia: a warning on selection bias in gender studies from the astronomical perspective

The recent paper by AlShebli et al. (2020) investigates the impact of mentorship in young scientists. Among their conclusions, they state that female protégés benefit more from male than female mentorship. We herein expose a critical flaw in their methodological design that is a common issue in Astronomy, namely "selection biases". An effect that if not treated properly may lead to unwarranted causality claims. In their analysis, selection biases seem to be present in the response rate of their survey (8.35%), the choice of database, success criterion, and the overlook of the numerous drawbacks female researchers face in academia. We discuss these issues and their implications -- one of them being the potential increase in obstacles for women in academia. Finally, we reinforce the dangers of not considering selection bias effects in studies aimed at retrieving causal relations.

physics.soc-ph↗

Active learning with RESSPECT: Resource allocation for extragalactic astronomical transients

The recent increase in volume and complexity of available astronomical data has led to a wide use of supervised machine learning techniques. Active learning strategies have been proposed as an alternative to optimize the distribution of scarce labeling resources. However, due to the specific conditions in which labels can be acquired, fundamental assumptions, such as sample representativeness and labeling cost stability cannot be fulfilled. The Recommendation System for Spectroscopic follow-up (RESSPECT) project aims to enable the construction of optimized training samples for the Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), taking into account a realistic description of the astronomical data environment. In this work, we test the robustness of active learning techniques in a realistic simulated astronomical data scenario. Our experiment takes into account the evolution of training and pool samples, different costs per object, and two different sources of budget. Results show that traditional active learning strategies significantly outperform random sampling. Nevertheless, more complex batch strategies are not able to significantly overcome simple uncertainty sampling techniques. Our findings illustrate three important points: 1) active learning strategies are a powerful tool to optimize the label-acquisition task in astronomy, 2) for upcoming large surveys like LSST, such techniques allow us to tailor the construction of the training sample for the first day of the survey, and 3) the peculiar data environment related to the detection of astronomical transients is a fertile ground that calls for the development of tailored machine learning algorithms.

astro-ph.IM↗

Periodic Astrometric Signal Recovery through Convolutional Autoencoders

Astrometric detection involves a precise measurement of stellar positions, and is widely regarded as the leading concept presently ready to find earth-mass planets in temperate orbits around nearby sun-like stars. The TOLIMAN space telescope[39] is a low-cost, agile mission concept dedicated to narrow-angle astrometric monitoring of bright binary stars. In particular the mission will be optimised to search for habitable-zone planets around Alpha Centauri AB. If the separation between these two stars can be monitored with sufficient precision, tiny perturbations due to the gravitational tug from an unseen planet can be witnessed and, given the configuration of the optical system, the scale of the shifts in the image plane are about one millionth of a pixel. Image registration at this level of precision has never been demonstrated (to our knowledge) in any setting within science. In this paper we demonstrate that a Deep Convolutional Auto-Encoder is able to retrieve such a signal from simplified simulations of the TOLIMAN data and we present the full experimental pipeline to recreate out experiments from the simulations to the signal analysis. In future works, all the more realistic sources of noise and systematic effects present in the real-world system will be injected into the simulations.

astro-ph.IM↗

21st Century Statistical and Computational Challenges in Astrophysics

Modern astronomy has been rapidly increasing our ability to see deeper into the universe, acquiring enormous samples of cosmic populations. Gaining astrophysical insights from these datasets requires a wide range of sophisticated statistical and machine learning methods. Long-standing problems in cosmology include characterization of galaxy clustering and estimation of galaxy distances from photometric colors. Bayesian inference, central to linking astronomical data to nonlinear astrophysical models, addresses problems in solar physics, properties of star clusters, and exoplanet systems. Likelihood-free methods are growing in importance. Detection of faint signals in complicated noise is needed to find periodic behaviors in stars and detect explosive gravitational wave events. Open issues concern treatment of heteroscedastic measurement errors and understanding probability distributions characterizing astrophysical systems. The field of astrostatistics needs increased collaboration with statisticians in the design and analysis stages of research projects, and to jointly develop new statistical methodologies. Together, they will draw more astrophysical insights into astronomical populations and the cosmos itself.

astro-ph.IM↗

Hierarchical Bayesian Thermonuclear Rate for the $^7$Be(n,p)$^7$Li Big Bang Nucleosynthesis Reaction

Big bang nucleosynthesis provides the earliest probe of standard model physics, at a time when the universe was less than a thousand seconds old. It determines the abundances of the lightest nuclides, which give rise to the subsequent history of the visible matter in the Universe. This work derives new $^7$Be(n,p)$^7$Li thermonuclear reaction rates based on all available experimental information. This reaction sensitively impacts the primordial abundances of $^{7}$Be and $^7$Li during big bang nucleosynthesis. We critically evaluate all available data and disregard experimental results that are questionable. For the nuclear model, we adopt an incoherent sum of single-level, two-channel R-matrix approximation expressions, which are implemented into a hierarchical Bayesian model, to analyze the remaining six data sets we deem most reliable. In the fitting of the data, we consistently model all known sources of uncertainty, including discrepant absolute normalizations of different data sets, and also take the variation of the neutron and proton channel radii into account, hence providing less biased estimates of the $^7$Be(n,p)$^7$Li thermonuclear rates. From the resulting posteriors, we extract R-matrix parameters ($E_r$, $γ^2_n$, $γ^2_p$) and derive excitation energies, partial and total widths. Our fit is sensitive to the contributions of the first three levels above the neutron threshold. Reaction rates were computed by integrating 10,000 samples of the reduced cross section. Our $^7$Be(n,p)$^7$Li thermonuclear rates have uncertainties between 1.5% and 2.0% at temperatures of $\leq$1 GK. We compare our rates to previous results and find that the $^7$Be(n,p)$^7$Li rates most commonly used in big bang simulations have too optimistic uncertainties.

astro-ph.CO↗

The Vanishing & Appearing Sources during a Century of Observations project: I. USNO objects missing in modern sky surveys and follow-up observations of a "missing star"

In this paper we report the current status of a new research program. The primary goal of the "Vanishing & Appearing Sources during a Century of Observations" (VASCO) project is to search for vanishing and appearing sources using existing survey data to find examples of exceptional astrophysical transients. The implications of finding such objects extend from traditional astrophysics fields to the more exotic searches for evidence of technologically advanced civilizations. In this first paper we present new, deeper observations of the tentative candidate discovered by Villarroel et al. (2016). We then perform the first searches for vanishing objects throughout the sky by comparing 600 million objects from the US Naval Observatory Catalogue (USNO) B1.0 down to a limiting magnitude of $\sim 20 - 21$ with the recent Pan-STARRS Data Release-1 (DR1) with a limiting magnitude of $\sim$ 23.4. We find about 150,000 preliminary candidates that do not have any Pan-STARRS counterpart within a 30 arcsec radius. We show that these objects are redder and have larger proper motions than typical USNO objects. We visually examine the images for a subset of about 24,000 candidates, superseding the 2016 study with a sample ten times larger. We find about $\sim$ 100 point sources visible in only one epoch in the red band of the USNO which may be of interest in searches for strong M dwarf flares, high-redshift supernovae or other catagories of unidentified red transients.

astro-ph.EP↗

Stress testing the dark energy equation of state imprint on supernova data

This work determines the degree to which a standard Lambda-CDM analysis based on type Ia supernovae can identify deviations from a cosmological constant in the form of a redshift-dependent dark energy equation of state w(z). We introduce and apply a novel random curve generator to simulate instances of w(z) from constraint families with increasing distinction from a cosmological constant. After producing a series of mock catalogs of binned type Ia supernovae corresponding to each w(z) curve, we perform a standard Lambda-CDM analysis to estimate the corresponding posterior densities of the absolute magnitude of type Ia supernovae, the present-day matter density, and the equation of state parameter. Using the Kullback-Leibler divergence between posterior densities as a difference measure, we demonstrate that a standard type Ia supernova cosmology analysis has limited sensitivity to extensive redshift dependencies of the dark energy equation of state. In addition, we report that larger redshift-dependent departures from a cosmological constant do not necessarily manifest easier-detectable incompatibilities with the Lambda-CDM model. Our results suggest that physics beyond the standard model may simply be hidden in plain sight.

astro-ph.CO↗

Photometry of high-redshift blended galaxies using deep learning

The new generation of deep photometric surveys requires unprecedentedly precise shape and photometry measurements of billions of galaxies to achieve their main science goals. At such depths, one major limiting factor is the blending of galaxies due to line-of-sight projection, with an expected fraction of blended galaxies of up to 50%. Current deblending approaches are in most cases either too slow or not accurate enough to reach the level of requirements. This work explores the use of deep neural networks to estimate the photometry of blended pairs of galaxies in monochrome space images, similar to the ones that will be delivered by the Euclid space telescope. Using a clean sample of isolated galaxies from the CANDELS survey, we artificially blend them and train two different network models to recover the photometry of the two galaxies. We show that our approach can recover the original photometry of the galaxies before being blended with $\sim$7% accuracy without any human intervention and without any assumption on the galaxy shape. This represents an improvement of at least a factor of 4 compared to the classical SExtractor approach. We also show that forcing the network to simultaneously estimate a binary segmentation map results in a slightly improved photometry. All data products and codes will be made public to ease the comparison with other approaches on a common data set.

astro-ph.GA↗

Astrophysical S-factors, thermonuclear rates, and electron screening potential for the $^3$He(d,p)$^{4}$He Big Bang reaction via a hierarchical Bayesian model

We developed a hierarchical Bayesian framework to estimate S-factors and thermonuclear rates for the $^3$He(d,p)$^{4}$He reaction, which impacts the primordial abundances of $^3$He and $^7$Li. The available data are evaluated and all direct measurements are taken into account in our analysis for which we can estimate separate uncertainties for systematic and statistical effects. For the nuclear reaction model, we adopt a single-level, two-channel approximation of R-matrix theory, suitably modified to take the effects of electron screening at lower energies into account. Apart from the usual resonance parameters (resonance location and reduced widths for the incoming and outgoing reaction channel), we include for the first time the channel radii and boundary condition in the fitting process. Our new analysis of the $^3$He(d,p)$^{4}$He S-factor data results in improved estimates for the thermonuclear rates. This work represents the first nuclear rate evaluation using the R-matrix theory embedded into a hierarchical Bayesian framework, properly accounting for all known sources of uncertainty. Therefore, it provides a test bed for future studies of more complex reactions.

astro-ph.IM↗

Thermonuclear fusion rates for tritium + deuterium using Bayesian methods

The $^3$H(d,n)$^4$He reaction has a large low-energy cross section and will likely be utilized in future commercial fusion reactors. This reaction also takes place during big bang nucleosynthesis. Studies of both scenarios require accurate and precise fusion rates. To this end, we implement a one-level, two-channel R-matrix approximation into a Bayesian model. Our main goals are to predict reliable astrophysical S-factors and to estimate R-matrix parameters using the Bayesian approach. All relevant parameters are sampled in our study, including the channel radii, boundary condition parameters, and data set normalization factors. In addition, we take uncertainties in both measured bombarding energies and S-factors rigorously into account. Thermonuclear rates and reactivities of the $^3$H(d,n)$^4$He reaction are derived by numerically integrating the Bayesian S-factor samples. The present reaction rate uncertainties at temperatures between $1.0$ MK and $1.0$ GK are in the range of 0.2% to 0.6%. Our reaction rates differ from previous results by 2.9% near 1.0 GK. Our reactivities are smaller than previous results, with a maximum deviation of 2.9% near a thermal energy of $4$ keV. The present rate or reactivity uncertainties are more reliable compared to previous studies that did not include the channel radii, boundary condition parameters, and data set normalization factors in the fitting. Finally, we investigate previous claims of electron screening effects in the published $^3$H(d,n)$^4$He data. No such effects are evident and only an upper limit for the electron screening potential can be obtained.

nucl-th↗

GLADE: A Galaxy Catalogue for Multi-Messenger Searches in the Advanced Gravitational-Wave Detector Era

We introduce a value-added full-sky catalogue of galaxies, named as Galaxy List for the Advanced Detector Era, or GLADE. The purpose of this catalogue is to (i) help identifications of host candidates for gravitational-wave events, (ii) support target selections for electromagnetic follow-up observations of gravitational-wave candidates, (iii) provide input data on the matter distribution of the local universe for astrophysical or cosmological simulations, and (iv) help identifications of host candidates for poorly localised electromagnetic transients, such as gamma-ray bursts observed with the InterPlanetary Network. Both being potential hosts of astrophysical sources of gravitational waves, GLADE includes inactive and active galaxies as well. GLADE was constructed by cross-matching and combining data from five separate (but not independent) astronomical catalogues: GWGC, 2MPZ, 2MASS XSC, HyperLEDA and SDSS-DR12Q. GLADE is complete up to $d_L = 37^{+3}_{-4}$ Mpc in terms of the cumulative B-band luminosity of galaxies within luminosity distance $d_L$, and contains all of the brightest galaxies giving half of the total B-band luminosity up to $d_L = 91$ Mpc. As B-band luminosity is expected to be a tracer of binary neutron star mergers (currently the prime targets of joint GW+EM detections), our completeness measures can be used as estimations of completeness for containing all binary neutron star merger hosts in the local universe.

astro-ph.HE↗

Statistical methods in astronomy

We present a review of data types and statistical methods often encountered in astronomy. The aim is to provide an introduction to statistical applications in astronomy for statisticians and computer scientists. We highlight the complex, often hierarchical, nature of many astronomy inference problems and advocate for cross-disciplinary collaborations to address these challenges.

physics.ed-ph↗

AMADA-Analysis of Multidimensional Astronomical Datasets

We present AMADA, an interactive web application to analyse multidimensional datasets. The user uploads a simple ASCII file and AMADA performs a number of exploratory analysis together with contemporary visualizations diagnostics. The package performs a hierarchical clustering in the parameter space, and the user can choose among linear, monotonic or non-linear correlation analysis. AMADA provides a number of clustering visualization diagnostics such as heatmaps, dendrograms, chord diagrams, and graphs. In addition, AMADA has the option to run a standard or robust principal components analysis, displaying the results as polar bar plots. The code is written in R and the web interface was created using the Shiny framework. AMADA source-code is freely available at https://goo.gl/KeSPue, and the shiny-app at http://goo.gl/UTnU7I.

astro-ph.IM↗

Constraints on Warm Dark Matter models from high-redshift long gamma-ray bursts

Structures in Warm Dark Matter (WDM) models are exponentially suppressed below a certain scale, characterized by the dark matter particle mass, $m_{\rm x}$. Since structures form hierarchically, the presence of collapsed objects at high-redshifts can set strong lower limits on $m_{\rm x}$. We place robust constraints on $m_{\rm x}$ using recent results from the {\it Swift} database of high-redshift gamma-ray bursts (GRBs). We parameterize the redshift evolution of the ratio between the cosmic GRB rate and star formation rate (SFR) as $\propto (1+z)^α$, thereby allowing astrophysical uncertainties to partially mimic the cosmological suppression of structures in WDM models. Using a maximum likelihood estimator on two different $z>4$ GRB subsamples (including two bursts at $z>8$), we constrain $m_{\rm x} \gtrsim 1.6$-1.8 keV at 95% C.L., when marginalized over a flat prior in $α$. We further estimate that 5 years of a SVOM-like mission would tighten these constraints to $m_{\rm x} \gtrsim 2.3 $ keV. Our results show that GRBs are a powerful probe of high-redshift structures, providing robust and competitive constraints on $m_{\rm x}$.

astro-ph.CO↗

Kernel PCA for type Ia supernovae photometric classification

In this work, we propose the use of Kernel Principal Component Analysis (KPCA) combined with k = 1 nearest neighbour algorithm (1NN) as a framework for supernovae (SNe) photometric classification. The classification is entirely based on information within the spectroscopic confirmed sample and each new light curve is classified one at a time. This allows us to update the principal component (PC) parameter space if a new spectroscopic light curve is available while also avoids the need of re-determining it for each individual new classification. We applied the method to different instances of the \textit{Supernova Photometric Classification Challenge} (SNPCC) data set. Our method provide good purity results in all data sample analysed, when SNR$\geq$5. As a consequence, we can state that if a sample as the post-SNPCC was available today, we would be able to classify $\approx 15%$ of the initial data set with purity $\gtrsim$ 90% (D$_{7}$+SNR3). Results from the original SNPCC sample, reported as a function of redshift, show that our method provides high purity (up to $\approx 97%$), specially in the range of $0.2\leq z < 0.4$, when compared to results from the SNPCC, while maintaining a moderate figure of merit ($\approx 0.25$). We also present results for SNe photometric classification using only pre-maximum epochs, obtaining 63% purity and 77% successful classification rates (SNR$\geq$5). Results are sensitive to the information contained in each light curve, as a consequence, higher quality data points lead to higher successful classification rates. The method is flexible enough to be applied to other astrophysical transients, as long as a training and a test sample are provided.

astro-ph.CO↗