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Raffaella Schneider

Publications and source records attributed to Raffaella Schneider.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
arXiv2026

Why a Multi-Cycle Treasury Program is Essential to Maximize JWST's Scientific Contributions to Galaxy Formation

The Genesis Initiative is an extragalactic community-wide effort to coordinate white papers in response to the STScI Multi-Cycle Treasury (MCT) concept call. Two of JWST's primary science goals are to discover and characterize the first stars and galaxies, and to understand how they evolved into the galaxies we see today - questions whose fundamental importance has been affirmed by the past three decadal surveys. JWST's first five years have surpassed expectations, revealing a bounty of unexpected discoveries about the early universe. Yet these discoveries have raised as many questions as they have answered, and key mission goals remain unmet. Transforming this excitement into a quantitative physical understanding of early galaxy formation requires a uniform, statistically controlled legacy dataset that the current portfolio of smaller, heterogeneous programs cannot provide. The history of the Hubble Space Telescope offers a clear precedent. Its most transformative extragalactic results came from large, coordinated surveys far exceeding what the standard time-allocation process typically approves, and these uniform datasets remain scientifically productive decades later. We argue that JWST is now poised for the same leap. Answering the field's central open questions demands coordinated, community-led surveys of ~1000-2000 hr, with uniform and well-characterized selection functions that are structurally impossible within single-cycle programs. Such an investment is time-critical while JWST's instruments remain at peak performance, and would maximize synergy with ALMA, Euclid, Roman, Rubin, and future facilities. We therefore urge STScI to open a MCT channel, enabling the bold, ambitious surveys needed to understand how galaxies evolve from first light to the present day.

astro-ph.IM↗
arXiv2026

Cosmic merger rates and population evolution of binary black hole mergers in AGN disks

Active galactic nuclei (AGN) disks are promising sites for hierarchical binary black hole (BBH) mergers, which next-generation gravitational-wave detectors will probe out to high redshift. Predicting their contribution requires linking BBH evolution in AGN disks to the poorly constrained high-redshift evolution of active supermassive black holes (SMBHs). We introduce ARISE (AGN Rates and Intrinsic Stellar-BH Evolution), a framework that embeds semi-analytical models of BBH evolution in AGN disks into a cosmological description of the AGN number density, SMBH mass function, Eddington-ratio distribution, and nuclear metallicity. We consider a conservative AGN-abundance model anchored to observed luminosity functions, as well as Eddington-limited and super-Eddington scenarios based on the CAT cosmological model, compatible with JWST observations of high-redshift AGNs. The merger-rate density is set primarily by the disk viscosity parameter $α$: at $z = 0.2$, we find a rate of $12$--$37$ Gpc$^{-3}$ yr$^{-1}$ for $α= 0.01$ and $0.5$--$6$ Gpc$^{-3}$ yr$^{-1}$ for $α= 0.1$. The redshift evolution depends strongly on how SMBHs grow. The rate density peaks at $z \simeq 1.8$, $3.3$, and $3.9$ ($1.5$, $3.6$, and $3.9$) for $α=0.01$ ($0.1$) in the conservative, Eddington-limited, and super-Eddington models, respectively, and in the super-Eddington model it stays nearly flat out to $z \simeq 10$. For $α= 0.1$, AGN disks account for $\sim 2$--$40\%$ of the LVK-inferred merger rate, consistent with current upper limits from GW--AGN associations. For $α= 0.01$, they match or exceed it. The Einstein Telescope (ET) should detect $\sim 10^{5}$ ($\sim 10^{4}$) AGN-disk mergers per year for $α= 0.01$ ($0.1$). ET will test the AGN channel at redshifts where the AGN population models differ most strongly, providing independent constraints on the growth of early SMBHs.

astro-ph.HE↗
arXiv2026

The assembly of dusty galaxies at $z \geq 4$: grain growth and the evolutionary origin of the dust-to-stellar-mass scatter

Understanding dust evolution is essential for interpreting the properties of galaxies across cosmic time. Nearby galaxies have revealed a detailed picture of dust enrichment, but whether the same picture applies in the early Universe remains unclear. Here we explore the origin of interstellar dust in simulated galaxies at $z \sim 5$. Starting from the dust-to-stellar mass relation, we select five simulated star-forming galaxies with $SFR> 1 M_\odot yr^{-1}$ and $ log(M_\star/M_\odot) > 8$. We focus on three low-mass systems with comparable stellar masses ($log(M_\star/M_\odot) \sim 8.7$) but significantly different dust masses ($log(M_{\rm dust}/M_\odot) \sim 5.1-6.2$), to investigate the origin of the scatter in the relation. Our analysis combines outputs from the cosmological hydrodynamical simulation dustyGadget, a semi-analytical model for stellar dust production, and radiative-transfer post-processing with SKIRT. We confirm that stellar dust production alone reproduces only the low-dust branch of the relation. Grain growth is required to recover both its S-shape and the observed scatter, as established for nearby galaxies. The transition to efficient grain growth occurs at lower metallicity than locally, consistent with the denser interstellar medium of high-redshift systems. Differences in dust content reflect different stages of galaxy assembly. Progressively longer star formation histories lead to greater chemical enrichment and denser ISM, promoting increasingly efficient grain growth. We therefore identify the assembly stage as the key regulator of dust growth at high redshift. Mock observations show that JWST multi-band imaging can reveal the structural diversity of galaxies within the scatter, although the reconstruction of clumpy morphologies may remain incomplete. Their dust continuum emission remains below the sensitivity of current ALMA continuum surveys.

astro-ph.GA↗
arXiv2026

The role of major mergers in triggering super-Eddington accretion

JWST observations have opened a new era in the exploration of the high-redshift Universe, revealing black holes (BHs) with masses of several million solar masses already at $z>8$, challenging our understanding of their growth mechanisms. In this context, super-Eddington (SE) accretion has emerged as a promising solution and has been widely adopted in both numerical simulations and semi-analytical models. In this work, we investigate whether a major merger between two relatively low-mass halos ($M_{\rm halo}\sim10^9\,\mathrm{M_\odot}$) at high redshift can trigger episodes of sustained SE accretion, with particular focus on the role of BH feedback. We employ state-of-the-art, high-resolution cosmological zoom-in simulations of a major merger at $z\sim11$. We explore different prescriptions for BH seeding and feedback, including physically motivated radiative and kinetic models (winds and jets) across the three main accretion regimes: advection-dominated accretion flows (ADAF), radiatively efficient sub-Eddington accretion, and SE accretion. For the relatively low-mass halos studied here, our feedback prescription efficiently suppresses gas accretion, preventing substantial BH growth. We find that, although the merger drives gas inflows towards the central regions, this is not sufficient to trigger sustained SE accretion. Post-merger SE accretion episodes are observed only when BH feedback is entirely switched off. Amongst the feedback channels considered, kinetic feedback is the primary mechanism regulating BH growth. Moreover, the only significant SE accretion episodes occur immediately after BH seeding, while the merger itself does not produce a substantial enhancement of the accretion rate.

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arXiv2026

Internal Radiative Feedback Triggers Global Collapse and Direct-Collapse Black Hole Formation in Metal-free Atomic-Cooling Haloes

The formation of heavy seed black holes from the collapse of supermassive stars (SMSs) is a promising pathway to the supermassive black holes (SMBHs). In the conventional direct-collapse scenario, however, SMS formation requires an extremely strong external far-ultraviolet (FUV) field to suppress H$_2$ cooling and fragmentation. Here, we use cosmological radiation-hydrodynamic simulations to show that SMSs can form in metal-free atomic-cooling haloes even under subcritical FUV backgrounds with $J_{21}=1$-$10^2$. We follow the evolution for $\sim1$-$2~{\rm Myr}$ after the onset of star formation, including FUV and ionizing radiation from stars formed within the halo. Star formation proceeds through a characteristic two-stage evolution. H$_2$ cooling initially induces fragmentation and the formation of ordinary Pop III stars. Internal FUV radiation from these stars then photodissociates H$_2$ and suppresses further fragmentation, while the surrounding warm gas reservoir contracts under self-gravity and undergoes global collapse through atomic cooling. This collapse drives inflow rates of $\sim0.1$-$1~{\rm M_\odot~yr^{-1}}$ and produces rapidly accreting protostars that reach $\sim2$-$6\times10^4~{\rm M_\odot}$ by the simulations end. Since rapid accretion is still ongoing, these objects are expected to grow to $\sim10^5~{\rm M_\odot}$ SMSs and then form direct-collapse black holes (DCBHs). The global collapse is accompanied by clustered star formation, producing a compact, top-heavy stellar system around the SMSs. The estimated DCBH abundance, $n_{\rm DCBH}\sim10^{-3}$-$10^{-2}~{\rm cMpc^{-3}}$, is high enough to provide a plausible progenitor population for Little Red Dots and present-day SMBHs. Our results demonstrate that internal stellar feedback can trigger, rather than prevent, SMS formation, substantially relaxing the external FUV requirement for heavy-seed formation.

astro-ph.GA↗
arXiv2026

Gravitational Waves from Cosmic Dawn: Tracing Cosmic Black Hole Binaries with ET, LGWA, and LISA

Next-generation detectors, such as LISA, LGWA, and ET, will for the first time probe the high redshift Universe, offering unique insight into the birth, growth, and dynamics of the first black holes (BHs) during their earliest stages of formation. We aim to predict merger rates and gravitational wave (GW) signatures of "cosmic" binary BHs forming as a result of galaxy mergers at $z\geq 4$. We investigate how BH seeding, accretion physics, and dynamical delays affect their properties and detectability across cosmic epochs. We used the semi-analytic model Cosmic Archaeology Tool (CAT) to trace the evolution and delayed mergers, driven by dynamical friction, of BH binaries formed from light, medium-weight, and heavy seeds under Eddington-limited (EL) and super-Eddington (SE) accretion prescriptions. We employed the GWFish package to evaluate their GW signals and detectability by LISA, LGWA, and ET. Our results show the impact of BH accretion and seeding prescriptions on the properties and distribution of detectable sources. In the EL model, the detected populations are dominated by nearly equal-mass binaries ($\tilde{q} = 0.7$). In contrast, SE growth leads to lower mass ratios for LISA detections ($\tilde{q} \sim 0.2$) and medium ratios for ET and LGWA ($\tilde{q} \sim 0.4$ and $0.3$, respectively). We present the total detection rates predicted under the two accretion scenarios. The SE model allows BHs to grow faster, transferring a significant fraction of detectable systems from the ET band to the LISA band, compared to the EL model. As a result, the predicted LISA detection rate increases from ~ 32 yr$^{-1}$ in the EL case to ~ 64 yr$^{-1}$ in the SE scenario, and the ET detection rate reduces from ~ 64 yr$^{-1}$ in the EL model to only ~ 4 yr$^{-1}$ in the SE scenario. In both scenarios, LGWA yields comparable detection rates (~ 21 yr$^{-1}$ in EL and ~ 12 yr$^{-1}$ in SE).

astro-ph.GA↗
arXiv2026

From stardust to interstellar grain growth in the first galaxies: a cosmological transition in dust evolution near z ~ 8.9

When and how did dust begin to shape galaxies? Motivated by the identification of an apparent redshift break in galaxy dust masses, suggesting substantially lower dust masses at $z \gtrsim 9$, we investigate dust enrichment during the first billion years of cosmic history. We aim to determine whether the observed evolution marks a transition in the dominant dust-production mechanism and to identify the physical conditions under which such a transition is expected to occur. Using JWST, ALMA, and NOEMA observations, we measure ultraviolet dust attenuation and dust masses. We apply a censored change-point analysis and compare the observations with dust evolution modelling. The analysis identifies a preferred transition near redshift z ~ 8.9, corresponding to about 570 Myr after the Big Bang. The evidence for a break is strongest in dust mass and dust-to-stellar mass ratio, mostly estimated from JWST NIRSpec spectrophotometric fitting but also partly from sub-mm data. The ultraviolet attenuation measurements are consistent with a transition at the same epoch but do not independently require one. The models are consistent with the onset of efficient interstellar grain growth above a characteristic metallicity. We interpret the transition near z ~ 8.9 as the emergence of grain-growth-dominated dust evolution from an earlier regime dominated by supernova-produced grains. Population III enrichment can modify the earliest chemical-enrichment history but leaves the timing of the dust transition nearly unchanged and is not required for its emergence.

astro-ph.GA↗
arXiv2026

Episodic super-Eddington accretion as a clue to Overmassive Black Holes in the early Universe

Early JWST observations are providing growing evidence for a ubiquitous population of accreting supermassive black holes (BHs) at high redshift, many of which appear overmassive compared to the empirically-derived local scaling relation between black hole mass and host galaxy stellar mass. In this study, we leverage predictions from the semi-analytical Cosmic Archaeology Tool (CAT) to reconstruct the evolutionary pathways for this overmassive BH population, investigating how they assemble over cosmic time and interact with their host galaxies. We find that the large $M_{\rm BH}-M_{\rm star}$ ratios can be explained if light and heavy BH seeds grow by short, repeated episodes of super-Eddington accretion, triggered by major galaxy mergers. On average, we find that BH-galaxy co-evolution starts in earnest only at $z < 8$, when $\simeq 30\%$ of the final galaxy stellar mass has formed outside the massive black hole host. Our model suggests that super-Eddington bursts of accretion last between $0.5-3$ Myr, resulting in a duty cycle of $1-4 \%$ for the target BH sample. The boost in luminosity of BHs undergoing super-Eddington accretion helps explaining the luminosity function of Active Galactic Nuclei observed by JWST. At the same time, a large population of these overmassive BHs are predicted to be inactive, with Eddington ratio $λ_{\rm Edd} < 0.05$, in agreement with recent observations.

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arXiv2026

How can we finally see the first light? Status and perspective in the search for Population III stars

Finding the first (Population III or Pop III) stars is one of the fundamental quests of astronomy, aiming to deliver the missing link in how stars form at early cosmic times. Yet their initial mass function, formation sites and feedback remain highly uncertain, as well as the timing and topology of the transition to metal-enriched star formation. The observability of their peculiar spectral features is also debated, due to their short lifetime and faintness. This review summarizes current theoretical expectations for Pop III star formation, and the main observational strategies that have been adopted to constrain their properties across cosmic time, including near-field cosmology studies, direct searches for extremely metal-poor star-forming complexes and/or hard-ionizing spectral signatures at high and intermediate redshifts, and prospects for identifying Pop III activity up to Cosmic Dawn. The combination of JWST spectroscopy, time-domain searches, lensing surveys, stellar archaeology, absorption-line studies, as well as improved simulations, is yielding a growing number of observational candidates and narrowing the allowed parameter space for the first stars, setting the stage for a ``golden era'' of Pop III searches.

astro-ph.GA↗
arXiv2026

Hunting the first Cosmic Giants: formation and detectability of Direct Collapse Black Holes around high-redshift quasars

The rapid emergence of supermassive black holes (SMBHs) in the early Universe poses a challenge to current models of black hole growth. One promising formation pathway is the direct collapse black hole (DCBH) scenario, in which gas in pristine, low-metallicity halos forms supermassive (or quasi-) stars leading to massive black holes seeds under specific environmental conditions. In this work, we investigate the potential host environments of DCBHs by coupling a semi-analytic model tracing BH formation and galaxy co-evolution with high-resolution N-body dark matter merger trees. This allows us to trace the population of DCBHs formed during the hierarchical assembly of a $\sim 10^{12} ~\rm M_\odot$ dark matter halo hosting a bright $10^9 ~\rm M_\odot$ quasar at redshift $z \approx 7$. We find that, when accounting for local fluctuations in the UV radiation field within this early cosmic structure, massive BH seeds can form via direct collapse as early as $z \approx 22$. Even under more stringent conditions for heavy seed formation, tens of DCBHs are predicted to emerge within the simulated overdensity down to $z \sim 14$, at which point metal enrichment of the intergalactic medium inhibits further episodes of direct collapse. A significant fraction of the massive black hole population formed at $z > 14$ is expected to survive in satellite galaxies that do not merge with the central halo down to $z \approx 7$. We show that the existence of such a population of ungrown heavy BH seeds can be probed through deep JWST observations targeting regions surrounding bright high-redshift quasars, and we discuss tailored observational strategies to detect and identify these elusive systems.

astro-ph.GA↗
arXiv2026

VENUS: A Strongly Lensed Clumpy Galaxy at $z\sim11-12$ behind the Galaxy Cluster MACS J0257.1-2325

We present the discovery of a strongly lensed galaxy at $z\sim11-12$, dubbed the ``Misty Moons'', identified in the JWST Treasury Survey, Vast Exploration for Nascent, Unexplored Sources (VENUS). The Misty Moons is gravitationally lensed by the galaxy cluster MACS J0257.1-2325 at $z=0.505$, and has five multiple images suggested by two independent lensing models. Two of the five images, ID1 and ID2 ($μ\sim 20-30$), are very bright (F200W$\sim26$ AB mag) and exhibit blue SEDs with prominent Ly$α$ breaks. In the source plane, the Misty Moons is a sub-$L^*$ galaxy ($M_{\rm UV}\sim-18.0$ mag) resolved into multiple stellar clumps, each of which has an effective radius of $r_\mathrm{eff}\sim 10-70$ pc and a stellar mass of $\sim10^7\ M_\odot$. These clumps dominate the stellar mass budget of the Misty Moons ($\gtrsim80\%$), similar to other high-$z$ clumps, which suggests a highly clustered mode of star formation in the early Universe, unlike seen in local dwarf galaxies. We convolve the source-plane image with the JWST/NIRCam point-spread function to produce a mock NIRCam image of the Misty Moons without lensing magnification, and find that the intrinsic galaxy has a radial surface-brightness profile comparable to those of $z\gtrsim10$ faint galaxies, such as JADES-GS-z13-0 and JADES-GS-z14-1, indicating that the Misty Moons represents a typical $z\gtrsim10$ faint galaxy. The Misty Moons, a lensed galaxy with resolved internal structures, provides an ideal laboratory for exploring the early stages of galaxy formation at $z\gtrsim10$.

astro-ph.GA↗
arXiv2026

VENUS: an ultra-faint galaxy hosting the metal-poor type II supernova at $z=5.13$ Witnessing the initial metal enrichment with extremely frequent core-collapse supernovae?

We present the first characterization of the host galaxy of a recently discovered type IIP SN at $z=5.13$ (SN Eos). SN Eos and its host galaxy are gravitationally lensed and multiply imaged. The total magnification $μ\sim53$ enables spatially resolving the system, allowing us to localize the core-collapse supernova (CCSN) position and to characterize its local environment within an early galaxy. Our observation reveals that the host is an ultra-faint ($M_{\rm UV}=-14.4\pm0.3$ mag) Lyman-$α$ emitter with a very high equivalent width. The host galaxy also shows very weak [O iii]4959,5007 lines despite an H$α$ line detection ([O iii]5007/H$β<0.7$ with case B recombination). Assuming that the weak [O iii] is due to low gas-phase metallicity given the low-metallicity of SN Eos itself, SN Eos plausibly marks the formation and explosion of a metal-poor star in an extremely metal-poor environment ($<1\ \%\ Z_\odot$), facilitating the initial stages of the chemical enrichment of the host. Finding the CCSN in such an ultra-faint galaxy at $z=5.13$ also indicates that the SN rate could be considerably higher in high-$z$, metal-poor environments, potentially implying e.g., a $Z$-dependent IMF, $Z$-dependent massive star explodability, or runaway stellar collisions in dense star clusters. Without lensing, only SN Eos would be detectable and the host would be below the detection limit in any NIRCam surveys ever performed. The Eos host galaxy can thus be representative of the origin of {\it hostless} supernovae frequently found in JWST blank field surveys.

astro-ph.GA↗
arXiv2026

BlackTHUNDER Reveals a Massive Filament around a Compact AGN at $z\simeq5.23$

Despite the growing number of compact active galactic nuclei (AGN) at $z>4$ discovered by JWST, their formation and evolution remain poorly understood. This paper investigates the large-scale environment of GN-77652, a compact AGN at $z=5.229$ observed as part of the JWST NIRSpec IFU Large Program BlackTHUNDER and complemented by deep multi-band NIRCam imaging. GN-77652 lies in close proximity to a 12 kpc-long filament composed of multiple sources at $z\simeq5.23$, spanning a remarkable range in stellar masses ($M_{\star}=0.7-13 \times 10^8$ ${M_\odot}$), gas phase metallicities (12$+$log(O/H) $=$ 7.6-8.5) and star formation rates (SFR $=0.4-6$ ${M_\odot}$ yr$^{-1}$). The [OIII]$λ$5007 kinematics reveals a smooth large-scale velocity gradient centred on the central, massive ($M_{\star}\simeq1.1\times10^9$ ${M_\odot}$) and metal rich ($Z\sim0.6$ $Z_{\odot}$) system of the group. In this source, only 2.4 kpc (projected) from GN-77652, [OIII]$λ$4363 line diagnostics provide possible evidence for a second AGN. GN-77652 exhibits a shallow ($-30$ to $+20$ km s$^{-1}$) velocity gradient that is consistent with disk rotation according to dynamical modelling. The Lyman-Werner radiation field produced by the filament is too weak for the black hole (BH) in GN-77652 to have formed recently via direct collapse. However, the required conditions may have existed at earlier epochs, or alternative scenarios (e.g. a recoiling BH ejected from the filament) could also be plausible. The whole system is expected to coalesce in $150-440$ Myr, also motivating an exploration of its future evolution through toy-model extrapolations and numerical simulations. Our analysis suggests that the compact AGN appearance of GN-77652 represents a transient evolutionary phase, consistent with the apparent decline with redshift in number density of compact AGN identified with JWST.

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arXiv2026

Catching the Nebular Needle in a Polluted Haystack: Line-emission Signatures from Population III-forming Pockets around Massive Galaxies at the End of Reionization

Finding the first generation of (Population III or Pop III) stars is one of the most ambitious and exciting challenges of astrophysics. JWST opened concrete prospects for their detection during the Epoch of Reionization (EoR), where increasing evidence suggests that residual Pop III formation may persist, even within pristine pockets of high-mass halos, due to inhomogeneous enrichment. However, the identification of Pop III stars within globally enriched environments will be challenging. We investigate the detectability of a subdominant Pop III component in/around massive ($M_\star \gtrsim 10^9 ~\mathrm{M_\odot}$) galaxies at $z \approx 6.5 - 9$ from the dustyGadget cosmological simulation suite, and the confusion arising from second-generation (Pop II) stars in their surroundings. We find that young ($\lesssim 1$ Myr), massive ($M_\mathrm{III} \sim 6 \times 10^5 ~\mathrm{M_\odot}$) Pop III clusters forming within these galaxy environments are responsible for strong HeII1640 line emission ($L_\mathrm{HeII1640} \gtrsim 10^{41} ~\mathrm{erg \, s^{-1}}$), which would be detectable with $\approx 10 (50)$ h of medium-resolution observations with NIRSpec/IFU at $z \approx 6 (10)$. These bright luminosities cannot be produced by standard Pop II populations alone. On the other hand, the dominant Pop II component within massive ``hybrid'' Pop III hosts powers strong metal line emission ($L_\mathrm{[OIII]5007} \gtrsim 10^{42} ~\mathrm{erg \, s^{-1}}$), indicating that the detection of metal lines alone cannot exclude the presence of Pop IIIs in high-$z$ galaxy environments. We further discuss candidate selection strategies based on Ly$α$, H$α$ and H$β$ emission, and how spatially resolved observations may enable the detection of isolated, pristine pockets in the outskirts of massive halos.

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arXiv2026

Grain-size evolution and rapid dust growth in high-redshift galaxies

We present a galaxy evolution model that incorporates grain-size evolution in a multiphase interstellar medium (ISM) to investigate dust attenuation in galaxies at $z \geq 5$. Our fiducial setup assumes a low dust yield of $y_{\rm d} = 10^{-4}~\rm M_\odot$ and a small characteristic size of stellar dust of $a_0 = 0.01~μ$m, motivated by efficient dust destruction by reverse shocks in dense ISM environments. Our model demonstrates that, even with such low dust yields, massive galaxies with $M_\ast > 10^9~\rm M_\odot$ reach high dust-to-stellar mass ratios of $M_{\rm d}/M_\ast \sim 10^{-2}$ by $z \sim 7$ because small grains supplied by SNe efficiently serve as seeds for metal accretion in the ISM. Because dust growth significantly lags behind star formation, the outer regions beyond the half-star-formation-rate radius remain relatively dust poor, allowing a non-negligible fraction of UV photons to escape without strong attenuation. We further find that dust growth becomes most efficient when the ISM is dominated by cold dense gas but still contains a modest warm component, as the former promotes metal accretion while the latter supplies additional small grains through shattering, thereby further enhancing subsequent grain growth. In particular, with a cold dense gas fraction of $\sim 90~\%$, our model predictions become broadly consistent with the dust-to-stellar mass ratios inferred for dust-rich galaxies at $z \sim 7$, as well as the upper limits for blue galaxies at $z \gtrsim 10$. Self-consistently, the model successfully reproduces the UV luminosity functions observed at both $z = 7$ and $z = 12$. Overall, this study demonstrates that a physically motivated treatment of grain growth in a multiphase ISM is essential for linking the dust content of high-redshift galaxies to their radiative properties during cosmic dawn.

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arXiv2026

BlackTHUNDER: Evidence of three massive black holes in a z~5 galaxy

We present observational evidence of three massive, accreting black holes (BHs) in the z=5.0167 galaxy J0148-4214 from JWST/NIRSpec-IFU spectroscopy. The BHs are revealed through broad H$α$ emission (FWHM=430-2920 km/s) without a forbidden-line counterpart in the bright [OIII] doublet. Channel maps of the asymmetric central H$α$ profile isolate two spatially distinct broad-line regions (BLRs), separated by $190\pm40$ pc, while a third BLR is found in the galaxy outskirts with a projected separation of 1.7 kpc. We discuss whether this emission could be due to supernovae, shocks, winds, or massive stars, but find the BLR origin most likely. Using single-epoch virial relations, we estimated BH masses of $\log(M_\bullet/M_\odot)=7.9\pm0.4$ (primary), $5.8\pm0.5$ (secondary), and $6.3\pm0.5$ (third off-nuclear). We argue that the two central BHs will likely rapidly merge, with a simple dynamical friction time estimate of the order of $\lesssim700$ Myr. Assuming that the third off-nuclear BH is also in the process of sinking towards the centre, it will likely lead to a second merger, and we investigated the detection probability of such mergers with LISA. Alternatively, the third BH may be the result of a previous central three-body interaction or a gravitational recoil, where our observations would provide evidence that such BHs may retain their accretion discs and BLRs even in the aftermath of such extreme dynamical interactions. The possible discovery of a BH triplet at high z, together with other recent results on distant BH pairs, indicates that multiple massive BH systems were likely common in the early Universe. Our results highlight the importance of IFU observations for the detection of massive BH multiplets in distant galaxies, the progenitors of massive BH mergers that may be detected with next-generation gravitational wave observatories.

astro-ph.GA↗
arXiv2026

Investigating the formation channel of GW231123: Population III stars or hierarchical mergers?

The gravitational wave event GW231123, with component black hole masses lying within or above the pair-instability mass gap, poses a significant challenge to current stellar evolution models. In this work, we describe how we investigated its origin by coupling the galaxy formation model GAMESH with the cluster population synthesis code RAPSTER and using two distinct binary population synthesis codes, SEVN and BSEEMP. This framework allowed us, for the first time, to reconstruct the life cycle of GW231123-like candidates within the same cosmological simulation, enabling a self-consistent comparison between different formation channels. Although both population synthesis codes can in principle produce black holes compatible with GW231123, we find that isolated binary evolution fails to reproduce the inferred merger redshift. In SEVN, massive black hole binaries form with semi-major axes > 10^3 Rsun , preventing coalescences within a Hubble time. In BSEEMP, candidates arise only at extremely low metallicities (Z = 10^{-10}), which contribute negligibly to the star formation rate density in our overdense simulated volume. Our results therefore strongly support a dynamical hierarchical origin. The observed black hole masses are naturally reproduced through successive mergers in dense globular clusters. The high dimensionless spins reported by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration are consistent with this hierarchical population. We found a local merger rate density of 0.78 Gpc^{-3} yr^{-1}, with a peak at z = 4 - 6, tracing the maximum formation rate of globular clusters in metal-poor environments (Z = 0.006). Overall, GW231123 may represent a benchmark event for a robust population of hierarchical black holes formed in the early Universe.

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arXiv2026

The LISA Astrophysics MBHcatalogues Project: A comparison of predictions of simulated massive black hole binaries

In the hierarchical paradigm of galaxy formation, central massive black holes (MBHs) are expected to coalesce after the merger of their host galaxies. One of the main goals of the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) is to constrain the origin and growth of MBHs through their merger rates and mass distribution. Predicting MBH merger rates requires not only tracing their statistical population from large to small physical scales (kpc to sub-pc) but also modelling their formation, accretion, dynamics, mergers, and their galactic physical processes across cosmic time. This project is the result of a large collaborative effort undertaken by the LISA Astrophysics Working Group, bringing together its collective expertise on MBH formation, evolution, and modelling, to build a comprehensive understanding of MBH merger rates across cosmic time. The project compares various theoretical predictions of MBH merger rates, quantifies the spread, and evaluates the global astrophysical uncertainties of the LISA event rates. To build a unique and complete view, our work is based on about 20 semi-analytical models and cosmological simulations from the literature, all employing distinct approaches to modelling MBH and galaxy physics. To compute the merger rates, we also incorporate delays arising from the dynamical phase of MBH hardening to coalescence. We present the expected LISA merger rates given current galaxy formation models and discuss how the merger rate depends on model assumptions, such as the seeding model and the resolution of cosmological simulations.

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