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Rainier Barrett

Publications and source records attributed to Rainier Barrett.

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Simulation-Based Inference with Approximately Correct Parameters via Maximum Entropy

Inferring the input parameters of simulators from observations is a crucial challenge with applications from epidemiology to molecular dynamics. Here we show a simple approach in the regime of sparse data and approximately correct models, which is common when trying to use an existing model to infer latent variables with observed data. This approach is based on the principle of maximum entropy (MaxEnt) and provably makes the smallest change in the latent joint distribution to fit new data. This method requires no likelihood or model derivatives and its fit is insensitive to prior strength, removing the need to balance observed data fit with prior belief. The method requires the ansatz that data is fit in expectation, which is true in some settings and may be reasonable in all with few data points. The method is based on sample reweighting, so its asymptotic run time is independent of prior distribution dimension. We demonstrate this MaxEnt approach and compare with other likelihood-free inference methods across three systems: a point particle moving in a gravitational field, a compartmental model of epidemic spread and finally molecular dynamics simulation of a protein.

stat.ME

Investigating Active Learning and Meta-Learning for Iterative Peptide Design

Often the development of novel functional peptides is not amenable to high throughput or purely computational screening methods. Peptides must be synthesized one at a time in a process that does not generate large amounts of data. One way this method can be improved is by ensuring that each experiment provides the best improvement in both peptide properties and predictive modeling accuracy. Here, we study the effectiveness of active learning, optimizing experiment order, and meta-learning, transferring knowledge between contexts, to reduce the number of experiments necessary to build a predictive model. We present a multi-task benchmark database of peptides designed to advance these methods for experimental design. Each task is binary classification of peptides represented as a sequence string. We find neither active learning method tested to be better than random choice. The meta-learning method Reptile was found to improve average accuracy across datasets. Combining meta-learning with active learning offers inconsistent benefits.

q-bio.BM

Classifying Antimicrobial and Multifunctional Peptides with Bayesian Network Models

Bayesian network models are finding success in characterizing enzyme-catalyzed reactions, slow conformational changes, predicting enzyme inhibition, and genomics. In this work, we apply them to statistical modeling of peptides by simultaneously identifying amino acid sequence motifs and using a motif-based model to clarify the role motifs may play in antimicrobial activity. We construct models of increasing sophistication, demonstrating how chemical knowledge of a peptide system may be embedded without requiring new derivation of model fitting equations after changing model structure. These models are used to construct classifiers with good performance (94% accuracy, Matthews correlation coefficient of 0.87) at predicting antimicrobial activity in peptides, while at the same time being built of interpretable parameters. We demonstrate use of these models to identify peptides that are potentially both antimicrobial and antifouling, and show that the background distribution of amino acids could play a greater role in activity than sequence motifs do. This provides an advancement in the type of peptide activity modeling that can be done and the ease in which models can be constructed.

stat.AP