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Rajarshi Guhaniyogi

Publications and source records attributed to Rajarshi Guhaniyogi.

26 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

A Divide-and-Conquer Bayesian Approach to Large-Scale Kriging

We propose a three-step divide-and-conquer strategy within the Bayesian paradigm that delivers massive scalability for any spatial process model. We partition the data into a large number of subsets, apply a readily available Bayesian spatial process model on every subset, in parallel, and optimally combine the posterior distributions estimated across all the subsets into a pseudo-posterior distribution that conditions on the entire data. The combined pseudo posterior distribution replaces the full data posterior distribution for predicting the responses at arbitrary locations and for inference on the model parameters and spatial surface. Based on distributed Bayesian inference, our approach is called "Distributed Kriging" (DISK) and offers significant advantages in massive data applications where the full data are stored across multiple machines. We show theoretically that the Bayes $L_2$-risk of the DISK posterior distribution achieves the near optimal convergence rate in estimating the true spatial surface with various types of covariance functions, and provide upper bounds for the number of subsets as a function of the full sample size. The model-free feature of DISK is demonstrated by scaling posterior computations in spatial process models with a stationary full-rank and a nonstationary low-rank Gaussian process (GP) prior. A variety of simulations and a geostatistical analysis of the Pacific Ocean sea surface temperature data validate our theoretical results.

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Bayesian Mixed Effect Sparse Tensor Response Regression Model with Joint Estimation of Activation and Connectivity

Brain activation and connectivity analyses in task-based functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) experiments with multiple subjects are currently at the forefront of data-driven neuroscience. In such experiments, interest often lies in understanding activation of brain voxels due to external stimuli and strong association or connectivity between the measurements on a set of pre-specified group of brain voxels, also known as regions of interest (ROI). This article proposes a joint Bayesian additive mixed modeling framework that simultaneously assesses brain activation and connectivity patterns from multiple subjects. In particular, fMRI measurements from each individual obtained in the form of a multi-dimensional array/tensor at each time are regressed on functions of the stimuli. We impose a low-rank PARAFAC decomposition on the tensor regression coefficients corresponding to the stimuli to achieve parsimony. Multiway stick breaking shrinkage priors are employed to infer activation patterns and associated uncertainties in each voxel. Further, the model introduces region specific random effects which are jointly modeled with a Bayesian Gaussian graphical prior to account for the connectivity among pairs of ROIs. Empirical investigations under various simulation studies demonstrate the effectiveness of the method as a tool to simultaneously assess brain activation and connectivity. The method is then applied to a multi-subject fMRI dataset from a balloon-analog risk-taking experiment in order to make inference about how the brain processes risk.

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A Case Study Competition Among Methods for Analyzing Large Spatial Data

The Gaussian process is an indispensable tool for spatial data analysts. The onset of the "big data" era, however, has lead to the traditional Gaussian process being computationally infeasible for modern spatial data. As such, various alternatives to the full Gaussian process that are more amenable to handling big spatial data have been proposed. These modern methods often exploit low rank structures and/or multi-core and multi-threaded computing environments to facilitate computation. This study provides, first, an introductory overview of several methods for analyzing large spatial data. Second, this study describes the results of a predictive competition among the described methods as implemented by different groups with strong expertise in the methodology. Specifically, each research group was provided with two training datasets (one simulated and one observed) along with a set of prediction locations. Each group then wrote their own implementation of their method to produce predictions at the given location and each which was subsequently run on a common computing environment. The methods were then compared in terms of various predictive diagnostics. Supplementary materials regarding implementation details of the methods and code are available for this article online.

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Large Multi-scale Spatial Kriging Using Tree Shrinkage Priors

We develop a multiscale spatial kernel convolution technique with higher order functions to capture fine scale local features and lower order terms to capture large scale features. To achieve parsimony, the coefficients in the multiscale kernel convolution model is assigned a new class of "Tree shrinkage prior" distributions. Tree shrinkage priors exert increasing shrinkage on the coefficients as resolution grows so as to adapt to the necessary degree of resolution at any sub-domain. Our proposed model has a number of significant features over the existing multi-scale spatial models for big data. In contrast to the existing multiscale approaches, the proposed approach auto-tunes the degree of resolution necessary to model a subregion in the domain, achieves scalability by suitable parallelization of local updating of parameters and is buttressed by theoretical support. Excellent empirical performances are illustrated using several simulation experiments and a geostatistical analysis of the sea surface temperature data from the pacific ocean.

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Bayesian Conditional Density Filtering

We propose a Conditional Density Filtering (C-DF) algorithm for efficient online Bayesian inference. C-DF adapts MCMC sampling to the online setting, sampling from approximations to conditional posterior distributions obtained by propagating surrogate conditional sufficient statistics (a function of data and parameter estimates) as new data arrive. These quantities eliminate the need to store or process the entire dataset simultaneously and offer a number of desirable features. Often, these include a reduction in memory requirements and runtime and improved mixing, along with state-of-the-art parameter inference and prediction. These improvements are demonstrated through several illustrative examples including an application to high dimensional compressed regression. Finally, we show that C-DF samples converge to the target posterior distribution asymptotically as sampling proceeds and more data arrives.

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Bayesian Tensor Regression

This article proposes a Bayesian approach to regression with a scalar response against vector and tensor covariates. Tensor covariates are commonly vectorized prior to analysis, failing to exploit the structure of the tensor, and resulting in poor estimation and predictive performance. We develop a novel class of multiway shrinkage priors for the coefficients in tensor regression models. Properties are described, including posterior consistency under mild conditions, and an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is developed for posterior computation. Simulation studies illustrate substantial gains over vectorizing or using existing tensor regression methods in terms of estimation and parameter inference. The approach is further illustrated in a neuroimaging application. Keywords: Dimension reduction; multiway shrinkage prior; magnetic resonance imaging (MRI); parafac decomposition; posterior consistency; tensor regression

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Compressed Gaussian Process

Nonparametric regression for massive numbers of samples (n) and features (p) is an increasingly important problem. In big n settings, a common strategy is to partition the feature space, and then separately apply simple models to each partition set. We propose an alternative approach, which avoids such partitioning and the associated sensitivity to neighborhood choice and distance metrics, by using random compression combined with Gaussian process regression. The proposed approach is particularly motivated by the setting in which the response is conditionally independent of the features given the projection to a low dimensional manifold. Conditionally on the random compression matrix and a smoothness parameter, the posterior distribution for the regression surface and posterior predictive distributions are available analytically. Running the analysis in parallel for many random compression matrices and smoothness parameters, model averaging is used to combine the results. The algorithm can be implemented rapidly even in very big n and p problems, has strong theoretical justification, and is found to yield state of the art predictive performance.

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Bayesian Compressed Regression

As an alternative to variable selection or shrinkage in high dimensional regression, we propose to randomly compress the predictors prior to analysis. This dramatically reduces storage and computational bottlenecks, performing well when the predictors can be projected to a low dimensional linear subspace with minimal loss of information about the response. As opposed to existing Bayesian dimensionality reduction approaches, the exact posterior distribution conditional on the compressed data is available analytically, speeding up computation by many orders of magnitude while also bypassing robustness issues due to convergence and mixing problems with MCMC. Model averaging is used to reduce sensitivity to the random projection matrix, while accommodating uncertainty in the subspace dimension. Strong theoretical support is provided for the approach by showing near parametric convergence rates for the predictive density in the large p small n asymptotic paradigm. Practical performance relative to competitors is illustrated in simulations and real data applications.

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