arXiv subjects

Ram Rajagopal

Publications and source records attributed to Ram Rajagopal.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

arXiv2021

Learning Neighborhood Representation from Multi-Modal Multi-Graph: Image, Text, Mobility Graph and Beyond

Recent urbanization has coincided with the enrichment of geotagged data, such as street view and point-of-interest (POI). Region embedding enhanced by the richer data modalities has enabled researchers and city administrators to understand the built environment, socioeconomics, and the dynamics of cities better. While some efforts have been made to simultaneously use multi-modal inputs, existing methods can be improved by incorporating different measures of 'proximity' in the same embedding space - leveraging not only the data that characterizes the regions (e.g., street view, local businesses pattern) but also those that depict the relationship between regions (e.g., trips, road network). To this end, we propose a novel approach to integrate multi-modal geotagged inputs as either node or edge features of a multi-graph based on their relations with the neighborhood region (e.g., tiles, census block, ZIP code region, etc.). We then learn the neighborhood representation based on a contrastive-sampling scheme from the multi-graph. Specifically, we use street view images and POI features to characterize neighborhoods (nodes) and use human mobility to characterize the relationship between neighborhoods (directed edges). We show the effectiveness of the proposed methods with quantitative downstream tasks as well as qualitative analysis of the embedding space: The embedding we trained outperforms the ones using only unimodal data as regional inputs.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

Quick Line Outage Identification in Urban Distribution Grids via Smart Meters

The growing integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) in distribution grids raises various reliability issues due to DER's uncertain and complex behaviors. With a large-scale DER penetration in distribution grids, traditional outage detection methods, which rely on customers report and smart meters' last gasp signals, will have poor performance, because the renewable generators and storages and the mesh structure in urban distribution grids can continue supplying power after line outages. To address these challenges, we propose a data-driven outage monitoring approach based on the stochastic time series analysis with a theoretical guarantee. Specifically, we prove via power flow analysis that the dependency of time-series voltage measurements exhibits significant statistical changes after line outages. This makes the theory on optimal change-point detection suitable to identify line outages. However, existing change point detection methods require post-outage voltage distribution, which is unknown in distribution systems. Therefore, we design a maximum likelihood estimator to directly learn the distribution parameters from voltage data. We prove that the estimated parameters-based detection also achieves the optimal performance, making it extremely useful for fast distribution grid outage identifications. Furthermore, since smart meters have been widely installed in distribution grids and advanced infrastructure (e.g., PMU) has not widely been available, our approach only requires voltage magnitude for quick outage identification. Simulation results show highly accurate outage identification in eight distribution grids with 14 configurations with and without DERs using smart meter data.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2021

Activity Detection And Modeling Using Smart Meter Data: Concept And Case Studies

Electricity consumed by residential consumers counts for a significant part of global electricity consumption and utility companies can collect high-resolution load data thanks to the widely deployed advanced metering infrastructure. There has been a growing research interest toward appliance load disaggregation via nonintrusive load monitoring. As the electricity consumption of appliances is directly associated with the activities of consumers, this paper proposes a new and more effective approach, i.e., activity disaggregation. We present the concept of activity disaggregation and discuss its advantage over traditional appliance load disaggregation. We develop a framework by leverage machine learning for activity detection based on residential load data and features. We show through numerical case studies to demonstrate the effectiveness of the activity detection method and analyze consumer behaviors by time-dependent activity modeling. Last but not least, we discuss some potential use cases that can benefit from activity disaggregation and some future research directions.

cs.HC↗

arXiv2021

On the Interaction between Autonomous Mobility on Demand Systems and Power Distribution Networks -- An Optimal Power Flow Approach

In future transportation systems, the charging behavior of electric Autonomous Mobility on Demand (AMoD) fleets, i.e., fleets of electric self-driving cars that service on-demand trip requests, will likely challenge power distribution networks (PDNs), causing overloads or voltage drops. In this paper, we show that these challenges can be significantly attenuated if the PDNs' operational constraints and exogenous loads (e.g., from homes or businesses) are accounted for when operating an electric AMoD fleet. We focus on a system-level perspective, assuming full coordination between the AMoD and the PDN operators. From this single entity perspective, we assess potential coordination benefits. Specifically, we extend previous results on an optimization-based modeling approach for electric AMoD systems to jointly control an electric AMoD fleet and a series of PDNs, and analyze the benefit of coordination under load balancing constraints. For a case study of Orange County, CA, we show that the coordination between the electric AMoD fleet and the PDNs eliminates 99% of the overloads and 50% of the voltage drops that the electric AMoD fleet would cause in an uncoordinated setting. Our results show that coordinating electric AMoD and PDNs can help maintain the reliability of PDNs under added electric AMoD charging load, thus significantly mitigating or deferring the need for PDN capacity upgrades.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2020

An Enriched Automated PV Registry: Combining Image Recognition and 3D Building Data

While photovoltaic (PV) systems are installed at an unprecedented rate, reliable information on an installation level remains scarce. As a result, automatically created PV registries are a timely contribution to optimize grid planning and operations. This paper demonstrates how aerial imagery and three-dimensional building data can be combined to create an address-level PV registry, specifying area, tilt, and orientation angles. We demonstrate the benefits of this approach for PV capacity estimation. In addition, this work presents, for the first time, a comparison between automated and officially-created PV registries. Our results indicate that our enriched automated registry proves to be useful to validate, update, and complement official registries.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2020

Generating private data with user customization

Personal devices such as mobile phones can produce and store large amounts of data that can enhance machine learning models; however, this data may contain private information specific to the data owner that prevents the release of the data. We want to reduce the correlation between user-specific private information and the data while retaining the useful information. Rather than training a large model to achieve privatization from end to end, we first decouple the creation of a latent representation, and then privatize the data that allows user-specific privatization to occur in a setting with limited computation and minimal disturbance on the utility of the data. We leverage a Variational Autoencoder (VAE) to create a compact latent representation of the data that remains fixed for all devices and all possible private labels. We then train a small generative filter to perturb the latent representation based on user specified preferences regarding the private and utility information. The small filter is trained via a GAN-type robust optimization that can take place on a distributed device such as a phone or tablet. Under special conditions of our linear filter, we disclose the connections between our generative approach and renyi differential privacy. We conduct experiments on multiple datasets including MNIST, UCI-Adult, and CelebA, and give a thorough evaluation including visualizing the geometry of the latent embeddings and estimating the empirical mutual information to show the effectiveness of our approach.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2020

Short-Term Solar Irradiance Forecasting Using Calibrated Probabilistic Models

Advancing probabilistic solar forecasting methods is essential to supporting the integration of solar energy into the electricity grid. In this work, we develop a variety of state-of-the-art probabilistic models for forecasting solar irradiance. We investigate the use of post-hoc calibration techniques for ensuring well-calibrated probabilistic predictions. We train and evaluate the models using public data from seven stations in the SURFRAD network, and demonstrate that the best model, NGBoost, achieves higher performance at an intra-hourly resolution than the best benchmark solar irradiance forecasting model across all stations. Further, we show that NGBoost with CRUDE post-hoc calibration achieves comparable performance to a numerical weather prediction model on hourly-resolution forecasting.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

DER Information Unaware Coordination via Day-ahead Dynamic Power Bounds

Reliability and voltage quality in distribution networks have been achieved via a combination of transformer power rating satisfaction and voltage management asset control. To maintain reliable operation under this paradigm, however, future grids with deep DER penetrations would require costly equipment upgrades. These upgrades can be mitigated via judicious coordination of DER operation. Earlier work has assumed a hierarchical control architecture in which a global controller (GC) uses detailed power injection and DER data and knowledge of DER owners' objectives to determine setpoints that local controllers should follow in order to achieve reliable and cost effective grid operation. Having such data and assuming knowledge of DER owners' objectives, however, are often not desirable or possible. In an earlier work, a 2-layer DER coordination architecture was shown to achieve close to optimal performance despite infrequent communication to a global controller. Motivated by this work, this paper proposes a day-ahead coordination scheme that uses forecasted power profile ranges to generate day-ahead dynamic power rating bounds at each transformer. Novel features of this scheme include: (i) the GC knows only past node power injection data and does not impose or know DER owner objectives, (ii) we use bounds that ensure reliable operation to guide the local controllers rather than setpoint tracking, and (iii) we consider electric vehicle (EV) charging in addition to storage. Simulations using the IEEE 123-bus network show that with 50% solar, 50% EVs and 10% storage penetrations, the uncoordinated approach incurs rating violations at nearly all 86 transformers and results in 10 times higher voltage deviation, while our approach incurs only 12 rating violations and maintains almost the same voltage deviations as before the addition of solar and EVs.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2020

Power and the Pandemic: Exploring Global Changes in Electricity Demand During COVID-19

Understanding how efforts to limit exposure to COVID-19 have altered electricity demand provides insights not only into how dramatic restrictions shape electricity demand but also about future electricity use in a post-COVID-19 world. We develop a unified modeling framework to quantify and compare electricity usage changes in 58 countries and regions around the world from January-May 2020. We find that daily electricity demand declined as much as 10% in April 2020 compared to modelled demand, controlling for weather, seasonal and temporal effects, but with significant variation. Clustering techniques show that four impact groups capture systematic differences in timing and depth of electricity usage changes, ranging from a mild decline of 2% to an extreme decline of 26%. These groupings do not align with geography, with almost every continent having at least one country or region that experienced a dramatic reduction in demand and one that did not. Instead, we find that such changes relate to government restrictions and mobility. Government restrictions have a non-linear effect on demand that generally saturates at its most restrictive levels and sustains even as restrictions ease. Mobility offers a sharper focus on electricity demand change with workplace and residential mobility strongly linked to demand changes at the daily level. Steep declines in electricity usage are associated with workday hourly load patterns that resemble pre-COVID weekend usage. Quantifying these impacts is a crucial first step in understanding the impacts of crises like the pandemic and the associated societal response on electricity demand.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2020

FedGAN: Federated Generative Adversarial Networks for Distributed Data

We propose Federated Generative Adversarial Network (FedGAN) for training a GAN across distributed sources of non-independent-and-identically-distributed data sources subject to communication and privacy constraints. Our algorithm uses local generators and discriminators which are periodically synced via an intermediary that averages and broadcasts the generator and discriminator parameters. We theoretically prove the convergence of FedGAN with both equal and two time-scale updates of generator and discriminator, under standard assumptions, using stochastic approximations and communication efficient stochastic gradient descents. We experiment FedGAN on toy examples (2D system, mixed Gaussian, and Swiss role), image datasets (MNIST, CIFAR-10, and CelebA), and time series datasets (household electricity consumption and electric vehicle charging sessions). We show FedGAN converges and has similar performance to general distributed GAN, while reduces communication complexity. We also show its robustness to reduced communications.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Effective Data Fusion with Generalized Vegetation Index: Evidence from Land Cover Segmentation in Agriculture

How can we effectively leverage the domain knowledge from remote sensing to better segment agriculture land cover from satellite images? In this paper, we propose a novel, model-agnostic, data-fusion approach for vegetation-related computer vision tasks. Motivated by the various Vegetation Indices (VIs), which are introduced by domain experts, we systematically reviewed the VIs that are widely used in remote sensing and their feasibility to be incorporated in deep neural networks. To fully leverage the Near-Infrared channel, the traditional Red-Green-Blue channels, and Vegetation Index or its variants, we propose a Generalized Vegetation Index (GVI), a lightweight module that can be easily plugged into many neural network architectures to serve as an additional information input. To smoothly train models with our GVI, we developed an Additive Group Normalization (AGN) module that does not require extra parameters of the prescribed neural networks. Our approach has improved the IoUs of vegetation-related classes by 0.9-1.3 percent and consistently improves the overall mIoU by 2 percent on our baseline.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2020

The 1st Agriculture-Vision Challenge: Methods and Results

The first Agriculture-Vision Challenge aims to encourage research in developing novel and effective algorithms for agricultural pattern recognition from aerial images, especially for the semantic segmentation task associated with our challenge dataset. Around 57 participating teams from various countries compete to achieve state-of-the-art in aerial agriculture semantic segmentation. The Agriculture-Vision Challenge Dataset was employed, which comprises of 21,061 aerial and multi-spectral farmland images. This paper provides a summary of notable methods and results in the challenge. Our submission server and leaderboard will continue to open for researchers that are interested in this challenge dataset and task; the link can be found here.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2020

Urban2Vec: Incorporating Street View Imagery and POIs for Multi-Modal Urban Neighborhood Embedding

Understanding intrinsic patterns and predicting spatiotemporal characteristics of cities require a comprehensive representation of urban neighborhoods. Existing works relied on either inter- or intra-region connectivities to generate neighborhood representations but failed to fully utilize the informative yet heterogeneous data within neighborhoods. In this work, we propose Urban2Vec, an unsupervised multi-modal framework which incorporates both street view imagery and point-of-interest (POI) data to learn neighborhood embeddings. Specifically, we use a convolutional neural network to extract visual features from street view images while preserving geospatial similarity. Furthermore, we model each POI as a bag-of-words containing its category, rating, and review information. Analog to document embedding in natural language processing, we establish the semantic similarity between neighborhood ("document") and the words from its surrounding POIs in the vector space. By jointly encoding visual, textual, and geospatial information into the neighborhood representation, Urban2Vec can achieve performances better than baseline models and comparable to fully-supervised methods in downstream prediction tasks. Extensive experiments on three U.S. metropolitan areas also demonstrate the model interpretability, generalization capability, and its value in neighborhood similarity analysis.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2019

AR-Net: A simple Auto-Regressive Neural Network for time-series

In this paper we present a new framework for time-series modeling that combines the best of traditional statistical models and neural networks. We focus on time-series with long-range dependencies, needed for monitoring fine granularity data (e.g. minutes, seconds, milliseconds), prevalent in operational use-cases. Traditional models, such as auto-regression fitted with least squares (Classic-AR) can model time-series with a concise and interpretable model. When dealing with long-range dependencies, Classic-AR models can become intractably slow to fit for large data. Recently, sequence-to-sequence models, such as Recurrent Neural Networks, which were originally intended for natural language processing, have become popular for time-series. However, they can be overly complex for typical time-series data and lack interpretability. A scalable and interpretable model is needed to bridge the statistical and deep learning-based approaches. As a first step towards this goal, we propose modelling AR-process dynamics using a feed-forward neural network approach, termed AR-Net. We show that AR-Net is as interpretable as Classic-AR but also scales to long-range dependencies. Our results lead to three major conclusions: First, AR-Net learns identical AR-coefficients as Classic-AR, thus being equally interpretable. Second, the computational complexity with respect to the order of the AR process, is linear for AR-Net as compared to a quadratic for Classic-AR. This makes it possible to model long-range dependencies within fine granularity data. Third, by introducing regularization, AR-Net automatically selects and learns sparse AR-coefficients. This eliminates the need to know the exact order of the AR-process and allows to learn sparse weights for a model with long-range dependencies.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2019

Energy Resource Control via Privacy Preserving Data

Although the frequent monitoring of smart meters enables granular control over energy resources, it also increases the risk of leakage of private information such as income, home occupancy, and power consumption behavior that can be inferred from the data by an adversary. We propose a method of releasing modified smart meter data so specific private attributes are obscured while the utility of the data for use in an energy resource controller is preserved. The method achieves privatization by injecting noise conditional on the private attribute through a linear filter learned via a minimax optimization. The optimization contains the loss function of a classifier for the private attribute, which we maximize, and the energy resource controller's objective formulated as a canonical form optimization, which we minimize. We perform our experiment on a dataset of household consumption with solar generation and another from the Commission for Energy Regulation that contains household smart meter data with sensitive attributes such as income and home occupancy. We demonstrate that our method is able to significantly reduce the ability of an adversary to classify the private attribute while maintaining a similar objective value for an energy storage controller.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2019

Electric vehicle charging during the day or at night: a perspective on carbon emissions

We propose an emission-oriented charging scheme to evaluate the emissions of electric vehicle (EV) charging from the electricity sector at the region of Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT). We investigate both day- and night-charging scenarios combined with realistic system load demand under the emission-oriented vs direct charging schemes. Our emission-oriented charging scheme reduces carbon emissions in the day by 13.8% on average. We also find that emission-oriented charging results in a significant CO2 reduction in 30% of the days in a year compared with direct charging. Apart from offering a flat rebate for EV owners, our analysis reveals that certain policy incentives (e.g. pricing) regarding EV charging should be taken into account in order to reflect the benefits of emissions reduction that haven't been incorporated in the current market of electricity transactions.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2019

Unbalanced Multi-Phase Distribution Grid Topology Estimation and Bus Phase Identification

There is an increasing need for monitoring and controlling uncertainties brought by distributed energy resources in distribution grids. For such goal, accurate multi-phase topology is the basis for correlating measurements in unbalanced distribution networks. Unfortunately, such topology knowledge is often unavailable due to limited investment, especially for \revv{low-voltage} distribution grids. Also, the bus phase labeling information is inaccurate due to human errors or outdated records. For this challenge, this paper utilizes smart meter data for an information-theoretic approach to learn the topology of distribution grids. Specifically, multi-phase unbalanced systems are converted into symmetrical components, namely positive, negative, and zero sequences. Then, this paper proves that the Chow-Liu algorithm finds the topology by utilizing power flow equations and the conditional independence relationships implied by the radial multi-phase structure of distribution grids with the presence of incorrect bus phase labels. At last, by utilizing Carson's equation, this paper proves that the bus phase connection can be correctly identified using voltage measurements. For validation, IEEE systems are simulated using three real data sets. The simulation results demonstrate that the algorithm is highly accurate for finding multi-phase topology even with strong load unbalancing condition and DERs. This ensures close monitoring and controlling DERs in distribution grids.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2019

Generative Adversarial Privacy

We present a data-driven framework called generative adversarial privacy (GAP). Inspired by recent advancements in generative adversarial networks (GANs), GAP allows the data holder to learn the privatization mechanism directly from the data. Under GAP, finding the optimal privacy mechanism is formulated as a constrained minimax game between a privatizer and an adversary. We show that for appropriately chosen adversarial loss functions, GAP provides privacy guarantees against strong information-theoretic adversaries. We also evaluate GAP's performance on the GENKI face database.

cs.LG↗