Estimation of the invariant measure of a multidimensional diffusion from noisy observations
We introduce a new approach for estimating the invariant density of a multidimensional diffusion when dealing with high-frequency observations blurred by independent noise. We consider the intermediate regime, where observations occur at discrete time instances $kΔ_n$ for $k=0,\dots,n$, under the conditions $Δ_n\to 0$ and $nΔ_n\to\infty$. We construct a kernel density estimator based on preaveraged observations to reduce the effect of the noise and involves a two-step bias-correction procedure to appropriately account for the bias introduced by the pre-averaging. The rate of convergence of our estimator depends on both the anisotropic regularity of the density and the intensity of the noise. We establish conditions on the intensity of the noise that ensure the recovery of convergence rates similar to those achievable without any noise. Furthermore, we prove a Bernstein concentration inequality for our estimator, from which we derive an adaptive procedure for the kernel bandwidth selection.