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Rasmus Bokrantz

Publications and source records attributed to Rasmus Bokrantz.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

A similarity-based Bayesian mixture-of-experts model

We present a new nonparametric mixture-of-experts model for multivariate regression problems, inspired by the probabilistic k-nearest neighbors algorithm. Using a conditionally specified model, predictions for out-of-sample inputs are based on similarities to each observed data point, yielding predictive distributions represented by Gaussian mixtures. Posterior inference is performed on the parameters of the mixture components as well as the distance metric using a mean-field variational Bayes algorithm accompanied with a stochastic gradient-based optimization procedure. The proposed method is especially advantageous in settings where inputs are of relatively high dimension in comparison to the data size, where input-output relationships are complex, and where predictive distributions may be skewed or multimodal. Computational studies on five datasets, of which two are synthetically generated, illustrate clear advantages of our mixture-of-experts method for high-dimensional inputs, outperforming competitor models both in terms of validation metrics and visual inspection.

stat.ML

Probabilistic Pareto plan generation for semiautomated multicriteria radiation therapy treatment planning

Objective: We propose a semiautomatic pipeline for radiation therapy treatment planning, combining ideas from machine learning-automated planning and multicriteria optimization (MCO). Approach: Using knowledge extracted from historically delivered plans, prediction models for spatial dose and dose statistics are trained and furthermore systematically modified to simulate changes in tradeoff priorities, creating a set of differently biased predictions. Based on the predictions, an MCO problem is subsequently constructed using previously developed dose mimicking functions, designed in such a way that its Pareto surface spans the range of clinically acceptable yet realistically achievable plans as exactly as possible. The result is an algorithm outputting a set of Pareto optimal plans, either fluence-based or machine parameter-based, which the user can navigate between in real time to make adjustments before a final deliverable plan is created. Main results: Numerical experiments performed on a dataset of prostate cancer patients show that one may often navigate to a better plan than one produced by a single-plan-output algorithm. Significance: We demonstrate the potential of merging MCO and a data-driven workflow to automate labor-intensive parts of the treatment planning process while maintaining a certain extent of manual control for the user.

physics.med-ph

Direct optimization of dose-volume histogram metrics in radiation therapy treatment planning

We present a method of directly optimizing on deviations in clinical goal values in radiation therapy treatment planning. Using a new mathematical framework in which metrics derived from the dose-volume histogram are regarded as functionals of an auxiliary random variable, we are able to obtain volume-at-dose and dose-at-volume as infinitely differentiable functions of the dose distribution with easily evaluable function values and gradients. Motivated by the connection to risk measures in finance, which is formalized in this framework, we also derive closed-form formulas for mean-tail-dose and demonstrate its capability of reducing extreme dose values in tail distributions. Numerical experiments performed on a prostate and a head-and-neck patient case show that the direct optimization of dose-volume histogram metrics produced marginally better results than or outperformed conventional planning objectives in terms of clinical goal fulfilment, control of low- and high-dose tails of target distributions and general plan quality defined by a pre-specified evaluation measure. The proposed framework eliminates the disconnect between optimization functions and evaluation metrics and may thus reduce the need for repetitive user interaction associated with conventional treatment planning. The method also has the potential of enhancing plan optimization in other settings such as multicriteria optimization and automated treatment planning.

physics.med-ph

Probabilistic feature extraction, dose statistic prediction and dose mimicking for automated radiation therapy treatment planning

Purpose: We propose a general framework for quantifying predictive uncertainties of dose-related quantities and leveraging this information in a dose mimicking problem in the context of automated radiation therapy treatment planning. Methods: A three-step pipeline, comprising feature extraction, dose statistic prediction and dose mimicking, is employed. In particular, the features are produced by a convolutional variational autoencoder and used as inputs in a previously developed nonparametric Bayesian statistical method, estimating the multivariate predictive distribution of a collection of predefined dose statistics. Specially developed objective functions are then used to construct a probabilistic dose mimicking problem based on the produced distributions, creating deliverable treatment plans. Results: The numerical experiments are performed using a dataset of 94 retrospective treatment plans of prostate cancer patients. We show that the features extracted by the variational autoencoder capture geometric information of substantial relevance to the dose statistic prediction problem and are related to dose statistics in a more regularized fashion than hand-crafted features. The estimated predictive distributions are reasonable and outperforms a non-input-dependent benchmark method, and the deliverable plans produced by the probabilistic dose mimicking agree better with their clinical counterparts than for a non-probabilistic formulation. Conclusions: We demonstrate that prediction of dose-related quantities may be extended to include uncertainty estimation and that such probabilistic information may be leveraged in a dose mimicking problem. The treatment plans produced by the proposed pipeline resemble their original counterparts well, illustrating the merits of a holistic approach to automated planning based on probabilistic modeling.

physics.med-ph

Dynamic conformal arcs for lung stereotactic body radiation therapy: a comparison with volumetric modulated arc therapy

This study evaluates dynamic conformal arc (DCA) therapy as an alternative to volumetric modulated arc therapy (VMAT) for stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) of lung cancer. The rationale for DCA is lower geometric complexity and hence reduced risk for interplay errors induced by respiratory motion. Forward planned DCA and inverse planned DCA based on segment-weight optimization were compared to VMAT for single arc treatments of three lung patients. Analysis of dose-volume histograms and clinical goal fulfillment revealed that DCA can generate satisfactory and near equivalent dosimetric quality to VMAT, except for complex tumor geometries. Segment-weight optimized DCA provided spatial dose distributions qualitatively similar to those for VMAT. Our results show that DCA, and particularly segment-weight optimized DCA, is an attractive alternative to VMAT for lung SBRT treatments, where errors from intrafraction motion cannot be expected to average out over the course of the treatment.

physics.med-ph

Necessary and sufficient conditions for Pareto efficiency in robust multiobjective optimization

We provide necessary and sufficient conditions for robust efficiency (in the sense of Ehrgott et al. (2014)) to multiobjective optimization problems that depend on uncertain parameters. These conditions state that a solution is robust efficient (under minimization) if it is optimal to a strongly increasing scalarizing function, and only if it is optimal to a strictly increasing scalarizing function. By counterexample, we show that the necessary condition cannot be strengthened to convex scalarizing functions, even for convex problems. We therefore define and characterize a subset of the robust efficient solutions for which an analogous necessary condition holds with respect to convex scalarizing functions. This result parallels the deterministic case where optimality to a convex and strictly increasing scalarizing function constitutes a necessary condition for efficiency. By a numerical example from the field of radiation therapy treatment plan optimization, we illustrate that the curvature of the scalarizing function influences the conservatism of an optimized solution in the uncertain case.

math.OC

The scenario-based generalization of radiation therapy margins

We give a scenario-based treatment plan optimization formulation that is equivalent to planning with geometric margins if the scenario doses are calculated using the static dose cloud approximation. If the scenario doses are instead calculated more accurately, then our formulation provides a novel robust planning method that overcomes many of the difficulties associated with previous scenario-based robust planning methods. In particular, our method protects only against uncertainties that can occur in practice, it gives a sharp dose fall-off outside high dose regions, and it avoids underdosage of the target in ``easy'' scenarios. The method shares the benefits of the previous scenario-based robust planning methods over geometric margins for applications where the static dose cloud approximation is inaccurate, such as irradiation with few fields and irradiation with ion beams. These properties are demonstrated on a suite of phantom cases planned for treatment with scanned proton beams subject to systematic setup uncertainty.

physics.med-ph