arXiv subjects

Raul Santos-Rodriguez

Publications and source records attributed to Raul Santos-Rodriguez.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Teaching Language Models to Check Grounded Claim Factuality with Human Test-Taking Strategies

Grounded claim factuality checking is important for large language model (LLM) applications such as retrieval-augmented generation, as it helps users assess the correctness of generated outputs. Existing metrics using entailment classifiers require dataset-specific threshold tuning, while LLM-based approaches often use direct prompting, which underutilises the reasoning capabilities of LLMs. We address this by formulating grounded claim factuality checking as a true/false reading comprehension task and prompting LLMs with explicit test-taking strategies for efficient reasoning. Our method reduces token usage by over 80% compared to unguided open-ended reasoning, and achieves competitive performance to more expensive alternatives across two factuality benchmarks, setting a new state of the art on one. To further reduce inference cost, we train small language models (SLMs) to replace LLMs in the checking pipeline. Using supervised fine-tuning (SFT) and a self-revision mechanism, the SLMs learn to improve their factuality judgements. Experimental results show that the resulting SLMs perform on par with strong baselines, combining low inference costs with generating supporting rationales to support interpretability. Code and datasets will be released upon acceptance.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Optimising Factual Consistency in Summarisation via Preference Learning from Multiple Imperfect Metrics

Reinforcement learning with evaluation metrics as rewards is widely used to enhance specific capabilities of language models. However, for tasks such as factually consistent summarisation, existing metrics remain underdeveloped, limiting their effectiveness as signals for shaping model behaviour.While individual factuality metrics are unreliable, their combination can more effectively capture diverse factual errors. We leverage this insight to introduce an automated training pipeline that improves factual consistency in summaries by aggregating scores from different weak metrics. Our approach avoids the need for complex reward shaping by mapping scores to preferences and filtering out cases with high disagreement between metrics. For each source document, we generate lexically similar summary pairs by varying decoding strategies, enabling the model to learn from factual differences caused by subtle lexical differences. This approach constructs a high-quality preference dataset using only source documents.Experiments demonstrate consistent factuality gains across models, ranging from early encoder-decoder architectures to modern large language models, with smaller models reaching comparable factuality to larger ones.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Assessing VLM-Driven Semantic-Affordance Inference for Non-Humanoid Robot Morphologies

Vision-language models (VLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities in understanding human-object interactions, but their application to robotic systems with non-humanoid morphologies remains largely unexplored. This work investigates whether VLMs can effectively infer affordances for robots with fundamentally different embodiments than humans, addressing a critical gap in the deployment of these models for diverse robotic applications. We introduce a novel hybrid dataset that combines annotated real-world robotic affordance-object relations with VLM-generated synthetic scenarios, and perform an empirical analysis of VLM performance across multiple object categories and robot morphologies, revealing significant variations in affordance inference capabilities. Our experiments demonstrate that while VLMs show promising generalisation to non-humanoid robot forms, their performance is notably inconsistent across different object domains. Critically, we identify a consistent pattern of low false positive rates but high false negative rates across all morphologies and object categories, indicating that VLMs tend toward conservative affordance predictions. Our analysis reveals that this pattern is particularly pronounced for novel tool use scenarios and unconventional object manipulations, suggesting that effective integration of VLMs in robotic systems requires complementary approaches to mitigate over-conservative behaviour while preserving the inherent safety benefits of low false positive rates.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2026

Circadian Phase Locking of Epilepsy Seizures in Wearable Data: A Single-Patient Case Study

Epilepsy is a common, chronic neurological disorder characterized by recurrent seizures caused by sudden bursts of abnormal electrical activity in the brain. Seizures can often be unpredictable, leading to uncertainty and anxiety for people with epilepsy. To address this problem, the Epilepsy UK Priority Setting Partnership identified research into seizure forecasting technology as a priority. Seizure onsets are recorded as discrete events embedded within continuously sampled physiological signals that exhibit strong circadian and multi-day rhythms. Standard modelling approaches often treat time as linear or rely on clock-time features, which may not explicitly capture the underlying physiological phase. In this paper, we examine whether seizure onsets exhibit phase preference relative to circadian rhythms derived from wearable inter-beat interval (IBI) data. As a proof-of-concept, using 176 days wearable and seizure diary data from a single patient, we extract oscillatory components via band-limited filtering and Hilbert-based phase estimation, and test for non-uniform seizure-phase alignment using circular statistics. We observe significant circadian phase concentration, while multiday bands do not show consistent or statistically significant phase clustering in this dataset. Exploratory logistic baselines indicate modest but detectable structure beyond simple clock-time effects. We argue that explicit physiological phase representations provide an interpretable bridge between continuous wearable sensing and sparse clinical events and may augment existing seizure forecasting pipelines. We discuss implications for multi-scale modelling, patient-facing interfaces, and future multi-patient validation

cs.HC↗

arXiv2026

HiPP-Prune: Hierarchical Preference-Conditioned Structured Pruning for Vision-Language Models

Pruning vision-language models (VLMs) for efficient deployment is challenging because compression can affect not only task utility but also visual grounding, often amplifying object hallucinations even at the same sparsity level. We present HiPP-Prune, a hierarchical preference-conditioned structured pruning framework that treats pruning as conditional resource allocation under multiple objectives. HiPP-Prune makes plan-level decisions: a single policy invocation outputs a global pruning blueprint by factorizing decisions into an overall sparsity budget and a layer-wise allocation, enabling queryable trade-offs via a user-specified preference vector. To account for VLM-specific failure modes, our policy state integrates a visual sensitivity signal derived from attention flow between vision tokens and language hidden states, discouraging over-pruning of vision-critical layers that facilitate cross-modal fusion. We optimize pruning plans with plan-level Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) under a multi-objective return that combines task utility, hallucination robustness (POPE), compression, and a synaptic-flow-inspired stability proxy to reduce unproductive exploration in high-sparsity regimes. Experiments on LLaVA with POPE and ScienceQA demonstrate that HiPP-Prune discovers diverse non-dominated pruning plans and provides controllable robustness--utility trade-offs under matched sparsity budgets.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

Learning Generation Orders for Masked Discrete Diffusion Models via Variational Inference

Masked discrete diffusion models (MDMs) are a promising new approach to generative modelling, offering the ability for parallel token generation and therefore greater efficiency than autoregressive counterparts. However, achieving an optimal balance between parallel generation and sample quality remains an open problem. Current approaches primarily address this issue through fixed, heuristic parallel sampling methods. There exist some recent learning based approaches to this problem, but its formulation from the perspective of variational inference remains underexplored. In this work, we propose a variational inference framework for learning parallel generation orders for MDMs. As part of our method, we propose a parameterisation for the approximate posterior of generation orders which facilitates parallelism and efficient sampling during training. Using this method, we conduct preliminary experiments on the GSM8K dataset, where our method performs competitively against heuristic sampling strategies in the regime of highly parallel generation. For example, our method achieves 33.1\% accuracy with an average of only only 4 generation steps, compared to 23.7-29.0\% accuracy achieved by standard competitor methods in the same number of steps. We believe further experiments and analysis of the method will yield valuable insights into the problem of parallel generation with MDMs.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

LEMON: Local Explanations via Modality-aware OptimizatioN

Multimodal models are ubiquitous, yet existing explainability methods are often single-modal, architecture-dependent, or too computationally expensive to run at scale. We introduce LEMON (Local Explanations via Modality-aware OptimizatioN), a model-agnostic framework for local explanations of multimodal predictions. LEMON fits a single modality-aware surrogate with group-structured sparsity to produce unified explanations that disentangle modality-level contributions and feature-level attributions. The approach treats the predictor as a black box and is computationally efficient, requiring relatively few forward passes while remaining faithful under repeated perturbations. We evaluate LEMON on vision-language question answering and a clinical prediction task with image, text, and tabular inputs, comparing against representative multimodal baselines. Across backbones, LEMON achieves competitive deletion-based faithfulness while reducing black-box evaluations by 35-67 times and runtime by 2-8 times compared to strong multimodal baselines.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Explainable AI for Classifying UTI Risk Groups Using a Real-World Linked EHR and Pathology Lab Dataset

The use of machine learning and AI on electronic health records (EHRs) holds substantial potential for clinical insight. However, this approach faces challenges due to data heterogeneity, sparsity, temporal misalignment, and limited labeled outcomes. In this context, we leverage a linked EHR dataset of approximately one million de-identified individuals from Bristol, North Somerset, and South Gloucestershire, UK, to characterize urinary tract infections (UTIs). We implemented a data pre-processing and curation pipeline that transforms the raw EHR data into a structured format suitable for developing predictive models focused on data fairness, accountability and transparency. Given the limited availability and biases of ground truth UTI outcomes, we introduce a UTI risk estimation framework informed by clinical expertise to estimate UTI risk across individual patient timelines. Pairwise XGBoost models are trained using this framework to differentiate UTI risk categories with explainable AI techniques applied to identify key predictors and support interpretability. Our findings reveal differences in clinical and demographic predictors across risk groups. While this study highlights the potential of AI-driven insights to support UTI clinical decision-making, further investigation of patient sub-strata and extensive validation are needed to ensure robustness and applicability in clinical practice.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Machine Learning for Climate Policy: Understanding Policy Progression in the European Green Deal

Climate change demands effective legislative action to mitigate its impacts. This study explores the application of machine learning (ML) to understand the progression of climate policy from announcement to adoption, focusing on policies within the European Green Deal. We present a dataset of 165 policies, incorporating text and metadata. We aim to predict a policy's progression status, and compare text representation methods, including TF-IDF, BERT, and ClimateBERT. Metadata features are included to evaluate the impact on predictive performance. On text features alone, ClimateBERT outperforms other approaches (RMSE = 0.17, R^2 = 0.29), while BERT achieves superior performance with the addition of metadata features (RMSE = 0.16, R^2 = 0.38). Using methods from explainable AI highlights the influence of factors such as policy wording and metadata including political party and country representation. These findings underscore the potential of ML tools in supporting climate policy analysis and decision-making.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Uncertainty assessment in satellite-based greenhouse gas emissions estimates using emulated atmospheric transport

Monitoring greenhouse gas emissions and evaluating national inventories require efficient, scalable, and reliable inference methods. Top-down approaches, combined with recent advances in satellite observations, provide new opportunities to evaluate emissions at continental and global scales. However, transport models used in these methods remain a key source of uncertainty: they are computationally expensive to run at scale, and their uncertainty is difficult to characterise. Artificial intelligence offers a dual opportunity to accelerate transport simulations and to quantify their associated uncertainty. We present an ensemble-based pipeline for estimating atmospheric transport "footprints", greenhouse gas mole fraction measurements, and their uncertainties using a graph neural network emulator of a Lagrangian Particle Dispersion Model (LPDM). The approach is demonstrated with GOSAT (Greenhouse Gases Observing Satellite) observations for Brazil in 2016. The emulator achieved a ~1000x speed-up over the NAME LPDM, while reproducing large-scale footprint structures. Ensembles were calculated to quantify absolute and relative uncertainty, revealing spatial correlations with prediction error. The results show that ensemble spread highlights low-confidence spatial and temporal predictions for both atmospheric transport footprints and methane mole fractions. While demonstrated here for an LPDM emulator, the approach could be applied more generally to atmospheric transport models, supporting uncertainty-aware greenhouse gas inversion systems and improving the robustness of satellite-based emissions monitoring. With further development, ensemble-based emulators could also help explore systematic LPDM errors, offering a computationally efficient pathway towards a more comprehensive uncertainty budget in greenhouse gas flux estimates.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2025

Evaluating Perceptual Distance Models by Fitting Binomial Distributions to Two-Alternative Forced Choice Data

The Two Alternative Forced Choice (2AFC) paradigm offers advantages over the Mean Opinion Score (MOS) paradigm in psychophysics (PF), such as simplicity and robustness. However, when evaluating perceptual distance models, MOS enables direct correlation between model predictions and PF data. In contrast, 2AFC only allows pairwise comparisons to be converted into a quality ranking similar to MOS when comparisons include shared images. In large datasets, like BAPPS, where image patches and distortions are combined randomly, deriving rankings from 2AFC PF data becomes infeasible, as distorted images included in each comparisons are independent. To address this, instead of relying on MOS correlation, researchers have trained ad-hoc neural networks to reproduce 2AFC PF data based on pairs of model distances - a black-box approach with conceptual and operational limitations. This paper introduces a more robust distance-model evaluation method using a pure probabilistic approach, applying maximum likelihood estimation to a binomial decision model. Our method demonstrates superior simplicity, interpretability, flexibility, and computational efficiency, as shown through evaluations of various visual distance models on two 2AFC PF datasets.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2025

TACTFL: Temporal Contrastive Training for Multi-modal Federated Learning with Similarity-guided Model Aggregation

Real-world federated learning faces two key challenges: limited access to labelled data and the presence of heterogeneous multi-modal inputs. This paper proposes TACTFL, a unified framework for semi-supervised multi-modal federated learning. TACTFL introduces a modality-agnostic temporal contrastive training scheme that conducts representation learning from unlabelled client data by leveraging temporal alignment across modalities. However, as clients perform self-supervised training on heterogeneous data, local models may diverge semantically. To mitigate this, TACTFL incorporates a similarity-guided model aggregation strategy that dynamically weights client models based on their representational consistency, promoting global alignment. Extensive experiments across diverse benchmarks and modalities, including video, audio, and wearable sensors, demonstrate that TACTFL achieves state-of-the-art performance. For instance, on the UCF101 dataset with only 10% labelled data, TACTFL attains 68.48% top-1 accuracy, significantly outperforming the FedOpt baseline of 35.35%. Code will be released upon publication.

cs.DC↗

arXiv2025

Weight-Space Linear Recurrent Neural Networks

We introduce WARP (Weight-space Adaptive Recurrent Prediction), a simple yet powerful model that unifies weight-space learning with linear recurrence to redefine sequence modeling. Unlike conventional recurrent neural networks (RNNs) which collapse temporal dynamics into fixed-dimensional hidden states, WARP explicitly parametrizes its hidden state as the weights and biases of a distinct auxiliary neural network, and uses input differences to drive its recurrence. This brain-inspired formulation enables efficient gradient-free adaptation of the auxiliary network at test-time, in-context learning abilities, and seamless integration of domain-specific physical priors. Empirical validation shows that WARP matches or surpasses state-of-the-art baselines on diverse classification tasks, featuring in the top three in 4 out of 6 real-world challenging datasets. Furthermore, extensive experiments across sequential image completion, multivariate time series forecasting, and dynamical system reconstruction demonstrate its expressiveness and generalisation capabilities. Remarkably, a physics-informed variant of our model outperforms the next best model by more than 10x. Ablation studies confirm the architectural necessity of key components, solidifying weight-space linear RNNs as a transformative paradigm for adaptive machine intelligence.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

KnowEEG: Explainable Knowledge Driven EEG Classification

Electroencephalography (EEG) is a method of recording brain activity that shows significant promise in applications ranging from disease classification to emotion detection and brain-computer interfaces. Recent advances in deep learning have improved EEG classification performance yet model explainability remains an issue. To address this key limitation of explainability we introduce KnowEEG; a novel explainable machine learning approach for EEG classification. KnowEEG extracts a comprehensive set of per-electrode features, filters them using statistical tests, and integrates between-electrode connectivity statistics. These features are then input to our modified Random Forest model (Fusion Forest) that balances per electrode statistics with between electrode connectivity features in growing the trees of the forest. By incorporating knowledge from both the generalized time-series and EEG-specific domains, KnowEEG achieves performance comparable to or exceeding state-of-the-art deep learning models across five different classification tasks: emotion detection, mental workload classification, eyes open/closed detection, abnormal EEG classification, and event detection. In addition to high performance, KnowEEG provides inherent explainability through feature importance scores for understandable features. We demonstrate by example on the eyes closed/open classification task that this explainability can be used to discover knowledge about the classes. This discovered knowledge for eyes open/closed classification was proven to be correct by current neuroscience literature. Therefore, the impact of KnowEEG will be significant for domains where EEG explainability is critical such as healthcare.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Prototype-enhanced prediction in graph neural networks for climate applications

Data-driven emulators are increasingly being used to learn and emulate physics-based simulations, reducing computational expense and run time. Here, we present a structured way to improve the quality of these high-dimensional emulated outputs, through the use of prototypes: an approximation of the emulator's output passed as an input, which informs the model and leads to better predictions. We demonstrate our approach to emulate atmospheric dispersion, key for greenhouse gas emissions monitoring, by comparing a baseline model to models trained using prototypes as an additional input. The prototype models achieve better performance, even with few prototypes and even if they are chosen at random, but we show that choosing the prototypes through data-driven methods (k-means) can lead to almost 10\% increased performance in some metrics.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Improving Local Air Quality Predictions Using Transfer Learning on Satellite Data and Graph Neural Networks

Air pollution is a significant global health risk, contributing to millions of premature deaths annually. Nitrogen dioxide (NO2), a harmful pollutant, disproportionately affects urban areas where monitoring networks are often sparse. We propose a novel method for predicting NO2 concentrations at unmonitored locations using transfer learning with satellite and meteorological data. Leveraging the GraphSAGE framework, our approach integrates autoregression and transfer learning to enhance predictive accuracy in data-scarce regions like Bristol. Pre-trained on data from London, UK, our model achieves a 8.6% reduction in Normalised Root Mean Squared Error (NRMSE) and a 32.6% reduction in Gradient RMSE compared to a baseline model. This work demonstrates the potential of virtual sensors for cost-effective air quality monitoring, contributing to actionable insights for climate and health interventions.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2024

Exploring the Requirements of Clinicians for Explainable AI Decision Support Systems in Intensive Care

There is a growing need to understand how digital systems can support clinical decision-making, particularly as artificial intelligence (AI) models become increasingly complex and less human-interpretable. This complexity raises concerns about trustworthiness, impacting safe and effective adoption of such technologies. Improved understanding of decision-making processes and requirements for explanations coming from decision support tools is a vital component in providing effective explainable solutions. This is particularly relevant in the data-intensive, fast-paced environments of intensive care units (ICUs). To explore these issues, group interviews were conducted with seven ICU clinicians, representing various roles and experience levels. Thematic analysis revealed three core themes: (T1) ICU decision-making relies on a wide range of factors, (T2) the complexity of patient state is challenging for shared decision-making, and (T3) requirements and capabilities of AI decision support systems. We include design recommendations from clinical input, providing insights to inform future AI systems for intensive care.

cs.HC↗

arXiv2024

Evaluation of a Data Annotation Platform for Large, Time-Series Datasets in Intensive Care: Mixed Methods Study

Intensive Care Units are complex, data-rich environments where critically ill patients are treated using variety of clinical equipment. The data collected using this equipment can be used clinical staff to gain insight into the condition of the patients and provide adequate treatment, but it also provides ample opportunity for applications in machine learning and data science. While this data can frequently be used directly, complex problems may require additional annotations to provide context and meaning before it could be used to train the machine learning models. Annotating time-series datasets in clinical setting is a complex problem due to a large volume and complexity of the data, time-consuming nature of the process and the fact that clinicians' time is in both high demand and short supply. In this study, we present an evaluation of a bespoke tool designed to annotate large, clinical time-series datasets with staff from intensive care units. The software incorporates two modes for annotation: by annotating individual admissions and by generating rulesets which are applied to the entire dataset. Our study was split into two stages focusing on individual and semi-automated annotation and included 28 annotators across both stages who utilised 50 clinical parameters to guide their annotations. We experienced significant challenges in recruitment and engagement of the participants in the annotation activities and developed interventions which improved the participation over the course of the study. During the semi-automated annotation, we observed preferences for different parameter types (measured vs. observed), as well as relative agreement of participants across shared admissions to the decision-tree model trained using their rulesets.

cs.HC↗