arXiv subjects

Riccardo Scattolini

Publications and source records attributed to Riccardo Scattolini.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Model Predictive Control and Moving Horizon Estimation using Statistically Weighted Data-Based Ensemble Models

This paper presents a model predictive control (MPC) framework leveraging an ensemble of data-based models to optimally control complex systems under multiple operating conditions. A novel combination rule for ensemble models is proposed, based on the statistical Mahalanobis distance, enabling the ensemble weights to suitably vary across the prediction window based on the system input. In addition, a novel state observer for ensemble models is developed using moving horizon estimation (MHE). The effectiveness of the proposed methodology is demonstrated on a benchmark energy system operating under multiple conditions.

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arXiv2026

Goal-oriented safe active learning for predictive control using Bayesian recurrent neural networks

A key challenge in learning-based model predictive control (MPC) is to collect informative data online for model adaptation while ensuring safety and without penalising control performance. In this paper, we propose an online model adaptation scheme embedded within an MPC framework in which the last-layer parameters of a recurrent neural network are recursively updated via Bayesian learning. This is achieved by means of a goal-oriented safe active learning algorithm that alternates between an exploration phase, where the MPC actively explores system dynamics to collect informative data for model adaptation while still pursuing the main control objective, and a goal-reaching phase, where it focuses exclusively on the main control objective. The algorithm is complemented with theoretical guarantees of (i) recursive feasibility, (ii) safety, (iii) termination of exploration in finite time, and (iv) close-to-optimal performance. Simulation results on a benchmark energy system demonstrate that the proposed framework achieves economic performance comparable to that of an MPC with full system knowledge, while progressively improving model accuracy and respecting operational safety constraints with high probability.

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arXiv2026

Integrated Online Monitoring and Adaptation of Process Model Predictive Controllers

This paper addresses the design of an event-triggered, data-based, and performance-oriented adaption method for model predictive control (MPC). The performance of such a strategy strongly depends on the accuracy of the prediction model, which may require online adaption to prevent performance degradation under changing operating conditions. Unlike existing methods that continuously update model and control parameters from data, potentially leading to catastrophic forgetting and unnecessary control modifications, we propose a novel approach based on statistical monitoring of closed-loop performance indicators. This framework enables the detection of performance degradation, and, when required, controller adaption is performed via reinforcement learning and identification techniques. The proposed strategy is validated on a high-fidelity simulation of a district heating system benchmark.

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arXiv2025

Learning, fast and slow: a two-fold algorithm for data-based model adaptation

This article addresses the challenge of adapting data-based models over time. We propose a novel two-fold modelling architecture designed to correct plant-model mismatch caused by two types of uncertainty. Out-of-domain uncertainty arises when the system operates under conditions not represented in the initial training dataset, while in-domain uncertainty results from real-world variability and flaws in the model structure or training process. To handle out-of-domain uncertainty, a slow learning component, inspired by the human brain's slow thinking process, learns system dynamics under unexplored operating conditions, and it is activated only when a monitoring strategy deems it necessary. This component consists of an ensemble of models, featuring (i) a combination rule that weights individual models based on the statistical proximity between their training data and the current operating condition, and (ii) a monitoring algorithm based on statistical control charts that supervises the ensemble's reliability and triggers the offline training and integration of a new model when a new operating condition is detected. To address in-domain uncertainty, a fast learning component, inspired by the human brain's fast thinking process, continuously compensates in real time for the mismatch of the slow learning model. This component is implemented as a Gaussian process (GP) model, trained online at each iteration using recent data while discarding older samples. The proposed methodology is tested on a benchmark energy system referenced in the literature, demonstrating that the combined use of slow and fast learning components improves model accuracy compared to standard adaptation approaches.

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arXiv2025

Internal Model Control design for systems learned by Control Affine Neural Nonlinear Autoregressive Exogenous Models

This paper explores the use of Control Affine Neural Nonlinear AutoRegressive eXogenous (CA-NNARX) models for nonlinear system identification and model-based control design. The idea behind this architecture is to match the known control-affine structure of the system to achieve improved performance. Coherently with recent literature of neural networks for data-driven control, we first analyze the stability properties of CA-NNARX models, devising sufficient conditions for their incremental Input-to-State Stability ($δ$ISS) that can be enforced at the model training stage. The model's stability property is then leveraged to design a stable Internal Model Control (IMC) architecture. The proposed control scheme is tested on a real Quadruple Tank benchmark system to address the output reference tracking problem. The results achieved show that (i) the modeling accuracy of CA-NNARX is superior to the one of a standard NNARX model for given weight size and training epochs, (ii) the proposed IMC law provides performance comparable to the ones of a standard Model Predictive Controller (MPC) at a significantly lower computational burden, and (iii) the $δ$ISS of the model is beneficial to the closed-loop performance.

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arXiv2024

A Learning-based Model Predictive Control Scheme with Application to Temperature Control Units

Temperature control is a complex task due to its often unknown dynamics and disturbances. This paper explores the use of Neural Nonlinear AutoRegressive eXogenous (NNARX) models for nonlinear system identification and model predictive control of a temperature control unit. First, the NNARX model is identified from input-output data collected from the real plant, and a state-space representation with known measurable states consisting of past input and output variables is formulated. Second, a tailored model predictive controller is designed based on the trained NNARX network. The proposed control architecture is experimentally tested on the temperature control units manufactured by Tool-Temp AG. The results achieved are compared with those obtained using a PI controller and a linear MPC. The findings illustrate that the proposed scheme achieves satisfactory tracking performance while incurring the lowest energy cost among the compared controllers.

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arXiv2024

Moving horizon partition-based state estimation of large-scale systems -- Revised version

This report presents three Moving Horizon Estimation (MHE) methods for discrete-time partitioned linear systems, i.e. systems decomposed into coupled subsystems with non-overlapping states. The MHE approach is used due to its capability of exploiting physical constraints on states in the estimation process. In the proposed algorithms, each subsystem solves reduced-order MHE problems to estimate its own state and different estimators have different computational complexity, accuracy and transmission requirements among subsystems. In all cases, conditions for the convergence of the estimation error to zero are analyzed.

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arXiv2023

Nonlinear MPC design for incrementally ISS systems with application to GRU networks

This brief addresses the design of a Nonlinear Model Predictive Control (NMPC) strategy for exponentially incremental Input-to-State Stable (ISS) systems. In particular, a novel formulation is devised, which does not necessitate the onerous computation of terminal ingredients, but rather relies on the explicit definition of a minimum prediction horizon ensuring closed-loop stability. The designed methodology is particularly suited for the control of systems learned by Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), which are known for their enhanced modeling capabilities and for which the incremental ISS properties can be studied thanks to simple algebraic conditions. The approach is applied to Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) networks, providing also a method for the design of a tailored state observer with convergence guarantees. The resulting control architecture is tested on a benchmark system, demonstrating its good control performances and efficient applicability.

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arXiv2023

Physics-informed Neural Network Modelling and Predictive Control of District Heating Systems

This paper addresses the data-based modelling and optimal control of District Heating Systems (DHSs). Physical models of such large-scale networked systems are governed by complex nonlinear equations that require a large amount of parameters, leading to potential computational issues in optimizing their operation. A novel methodology is hence proposed, exploiting operational data and available physical knowledge to attain accurate and computationally efficient DHSs dynamic models. The proposed idea consists in leveraging multiple Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) and in embedding the physical topology of the DHS network in their interconnections. With respect to standard RNN approaches, the resulting modelling methodology, denoted as Physics-Informed RNN (PI-RNN), enables to achieve faster training procedures and higher modelling accuracy, even when reduced-dimension models are exploited. The developed PI-RNN modelling technique paves the way for the design of a Nonlinear Model Predictive Control (NMPC) regulation strategy, enabling, with limited computational time, to minimize production costs, to increase system efficiency and to respect operative constraints over the whole DHS network. The proposed methods are tested in simulation on a DHS benchmark referenced in the literature, showing promising results from the modelling and control perspective.

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arXiv2023

Robust offset-free nonlinear model predictive control for systems learned by neural nonlinear autoregressive exogenous models

This paper presents a robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) scheme that provides offset-free setpoint tracking for systems described by Neural Nonlinear AutoRegressive eXogenous (NNARX) models. The NNARX model learns the dynamics of the plant from input-output data, and during the training the Incremental Input-to-State Stability ($δ$ISS) property is forced to guarantee stability. The trained NNARX model is then augmented with an explicit integral action on the output tracking error, which allows the control scheme to enjoy offset-free tracking ability. A tube-based MPC is finally designed, leveraging the unique structure of the model, to ensure robust stability and robust asymptotic zero error regulation for constant reference signals in the presence of model-plant mismatch or unknown disturbances. Numerical simulations on a water heating system show the effectiveness of the proposed control algorithm.

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arXiv2023

Deep Long-Short Term Memory networks: Stability properties and Experimental validation

The aim of this work is to investigate the use of Incrementally Input-to-State Stable ($δ$ISS) deep Long Short Term Memory networks (LSTMs) for the identification of nonlinear dynamical systems. We show that suitable sufficient conditions on the weights of the network can be leveraged to setup a training procedure able to learn provenly-$δ$ISS LSTM models from data. The proposed approach is tested on a real brake-by-wire apparatus to identify a model of the system from input-output experimentally collected data. Results show satisfactory modeling performances.

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arXiv2023

An Offset-Free Nonlinear MPC scheme for systems learned by Neural NARX models

This paper deals with the design of nonlinear MPC controllers that provide offset-free setpoint tracking for models described by Neural Nonlinear AutoRegressive eXogenous (NNARX) networks. The NNARX model is identified from input-output data collected from the plant, and can be given a state-space representation with known measurable states made by past input and output variables, so that a state observer is not required. In the training phase, the Incremental Input-to-State Stability (δISS) property can be forced when consistent with the behavior of the plant. The δISS property is then leveraged to augment the model with an explicit integral action on the output tracking error, which allows to achieve offset-free tracking capabilities to the designed control scheme. The proposed control architecture is numerically tested on a water heating system and the achieved results are compared to those scored by another popular offset-free MPC method, showing that the proposed scheme attains remarkable performances even in presence of disturbances acting on the plant.

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arXiv2022

Towards lifelong learning of Recurrent Neural Networks for control design

This paper proposes a method for lifelong learning of Recurrent Neural Networks, such as NNARX, ESN, LSTM, and GRU, to be used as plant models in control system synthesis. The problem is significant because in many practical applications it is required to adapt the model when new information is available and/or the system undergoes changes, without the need to store an increasing amount of data as time proceeds. Indeed, in this context, many problems arise, such as the well known Catastrophic Forgetting and Capacity Saturation ones. We propose an adaptation algorithm inspired by Moving Horizon Estimators, deriving conditions for its convergence. The described method is applied to a simulated chemical plant, already adopted as a challenging benchmark in the existing literature. The main results achieved are discussed.

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arXiv2022

On Recurrent Neural Networks for learning-based control: recent results and ideas for future developments

This paper aims to discuss and analyze the potentialities of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) in control design applications. The main families of RNN are considered, namely Neural Nonlinear AutoRegressive eXogenous, (NNARX), Echo State Networks (ESN), Long Short Term Memory (LSTM), and Gated Recurrent Units (GRU). The goal is twofold. Firstly, to survey recent results concerning the training of RNN that enjoy Input-to-State Stability (ISS) and Incremental Input-to-State Stability ($δ$ISS) guarantees. Secondly, to discuss the issues that still hinder the widespread use of RNN for control, namely their robustness, verifiability, and interpretability. The former properties are related to the so-called generalization capabilities of the networks, i.e. their consistency with the underlying real plants, even in presence of unseen or perturbed input trajectories. The latter is instead related to the possibility of providing a clear formal connection between the RNN model and the plant. In this context, we illustrate how ISS and $δ$ISS represent a significant step towards the robustness and verifiability of the RNN models, while the requirement of interpretability paves the way to the use of physics-based networks. The design of model predictive controllers with RNN as plant's model is also briefly discussed. Lastly, some of the main topics of the paper are illustrated on a simulated chemical system.

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arXiv2022

Robust Tube-based Model Predictive Control with Koopman Operators--Extended Version

Koopman operators are of infinite dimension and capture the characteristics of nonlinear dynamics in a lifted global linear manner. The finite data-driven approximation of Koopman operators results in a class of linear predictors, useful for formulating linear model predictive control (MPC) of nonlinear dynamical systems with reduced computational complexity. However, the robustness of the closed-loop Koopman MPC under modeling approximation errors and possible exogenous disturbances is still a crucial issue to be resolved. Aiming at the above problem, this paper presents a robust tube-based MPC solution with Koopman operators, i.e., r-KMPC, for nonlinear discrete-time dynamical systems with additive disturbances. The proposed controller is composed of a nominal MPC using a lifted Koopman model and an off-line nonlinear feedback policy. The proposed approach does not assume the convergence of the approximated Koopman operator, which allows using a Koopman model with a limited order for controller design. Fundamental properties, e.g., stabilizability, observability, of the Koopman model are derived under standard assumptions with which, the closed-loop robustness and nominal point-wise convergence are proven. Simulated examples are illustrated to verify the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

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arXiv2022

Recurrent Neural Network-based Internal Model Control design for stable nonlinear systems

Owing to their superior modeling capabilities, gated Recurrent Neural Networks, such as Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs) and Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTMs), have become popular tools for learning dynamical systems. This paper aims to discuss how these networks can be adopted for the synthesis of Internal Model Control (IMC) architectures. To this end, first a gated recurrent network is used to learn a model of the unknown input-output stable plant. Then, a controller gated recurrent network is trained to approximate the model inverse. The stability of these networks, ensured by means of a suitable training procedure, allows to guarantee the input-output closed-loop stability. The proposed scheme is able to cope with the saturation of the control variables, and can be deployed on low-power embedded controllers, as it requires limited online computations. The approach is then tested on the Quadruple Tank benchmark system and compared to alternative control laws, resulting in remarkable closed-loop performances.

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arXiv2022

Nonlinear MPC for Offset-Free Tracking of systems learned by GRU Neural Networks

The use of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) for system identification has recently gathered increasing attention, thanks to their black-box modeling capabilities.Albeit RNNs have been fruitfully adopted in many applications, only few works are devoted to provide rigorous theoretical foundations that justify their use for control purposes. The aim of this paper is to describe how stable Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs), a particular RNN architecture, can be trained and employed in a Nonlinear MPC framework to perform offset-free tracking of constant references with guaranteed closed-loop stability. The proposed approach is tested on a pH neutralization process benchmark, showing remarkable performances.

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arXiv2021

On the stability properties of Gated Recurrent Units neural networks

The goal of this paper is to provide sufficient conditions for guaranteeing the Input-to-State Stability (ISS) and the Incremental Input-to-State Stability (δISS) of Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs) neural networks. These conditions, devised for both single-layer and multi-layer architectures, consist of nonlinear inequalities on network's weights. They can be employed to check the stability of trained networks, or can be enforced as constraints during the training procedure of a GRU. The resulting training procedure is tested on a Quadruple Tank nonlinear benchmark system, showing satisfactory modeling performances.

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