arXiv subjects

Richard P. Schwarz

Publications and source records attributed to Richard P. Schwarz.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Migration and Evolution of giant ExoPlanets (MEEP). III. Twenty-Nine Giant Planets from the TESS Mission

We present the discovery and characterization of 29 hot and warm Jupiter systems transiting bright ($G < 12.8$) FGK stars using TESS data and ground-based photometry and spectroscopy. Through the use of high angular resolution imaging, we discovered three bound stellar companions, named TOI-3988 B, TOI-6171 B, and TOI-7266 B. The planets that we confirmed span an orbital period range of $1.28 - 16.9$ days, a mass range of $0.35 - 8.7$ $\mathrm{M}_{\mathrm{J}}$, and an orbital eccentricity range of $0 - 0.6$, and add to the growing self-consistent sample of hot and warm Jupiter systems detected using TESS and analyzed using the Markov-Chain Monte Carlo code EXOFASTv2. By performing two-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests on a set of host star and planetary parameters, we find that this growing self-consistent sample of giant planets has a different distribution of host star masses, surface gravities, and metallicities, compared to the hot Jupiter and warm Jupiter systems in the literature, likely due to the additional constraint on the host star density from the planetary transits included in our global fits. We find that seven of the 29 newly confirmed planets have significant orbital eccentricity, and that one of these, TOI-3365 b, is in a system which likely hosts a massive outer companion. The continued confirmation of hot Jupiter and warm Jupiter systems and the follow-up RV monitoring on these systems to identify outer companions will pave the way for important investigations of giant planet migration.

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arXiv2026

Toddlers in Resonance I: low masses and eccentricities of the 17 Myr giant planets HIP 67522 bc from transit timing variations

Infant ($<$100\,Myr) transiting planet systems provide glimpses into the processes that shape the observed mature planet population. Masses for these planets are powerful data points for testing theories of planet formation and evolution. Because young systems tend to be in mean-motion resonances (MMR) and show higher rates of transit timing variations (TTVs), we can take advantage of deviations in the expected versus observed transit timings due to gravitational interactions between the planets to determine the planetary masses and orbital eccentricities. Here we report the TTV analysis of HIP\,67522, a 17\,Myr two-planet system near a 2:1 orbital resonance. The analysis is based on 55 transit observations (50 epochs) of planet b and 29 transit observations (22 epochs) of planet c, taken across 11 facilities. Assuming circular orbits, we determine masses of $M_b=25.0^{+7.6}_{-7.8}M_\oplus$ and $M_c=11.2\pm1.4M_\oplus$. Allowing for eccentric orbits, we find $M_b=23.1^{+15.4}_{-12.4}M_\oplus$ and $M_c=11.8^{+3.0}_{-2.3}M_\oplus$, and low eccentricities ($<0.1$) for both planets. Adopting a Gaussian prior on $M_b$ from the JWST transmission spectrum tightens the eccentric-solution mass for planet c to $9.7^{+1.9}_{-1.6}M_\oplus$, which is our recommended solution. The low masses and large radii are consistent with a contracting atmosphere planet formation model, such as Gas Dwarf formation. Given the challenge of radial-velocity masses and the high rate of TTVs seen in young systems, TTV-masses will be essential for testing theories of the formation and evolution of super-Earths and sub-Neptunes and determining the conditions that create the most common types of planets in the Galaxy.

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arXiv2026

Assessing the Impact of High-Resolution Imaging on Statistical Validation of TESS Planet Candidates

High-resolution imaging is widely used to constrain false-positive scenarios in exoplanet validation, but it is a finite follow-up resource that reaches only a subset of candidates, and its population-level impact on validation outcomes has not been quantified through controlled removal experiments. Using an automated pipeline built on TRICERATOPS, we compute the false-positive probability (FPP) of 443 TESS planet candidates. For the 264 planet candidates with high-resolution imaging observations, we compute FPP with and without the corresponding contrast curves, allowing us to quantify the impact of the additional data. We find that 72% of 68 contrast-curve bearing validated planets would fail validation without their adopted contrast curves. The fraction requiring imaging decreases with increasing planet size, from 100% below $1.7~R_\oplus$ to $33\%$ above $4~R_\oplus$: within our sample and TRICERATOPS-based analysis, the availability of high-resolution imaging directly limits the yield of small-planet validation and the supply of validated targets for atmospheric characterization. Our analysis statistically validates 64 new TESS planets with sizes spanning 0.94 to 7.83 $R_\oplus$ across hosts of spectral type M through F. Four of these are highly amenable to JWST observations based on the transmission and emission spectroscopy metrics, and each achieves validation only with its imaging constraint.

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arXiv2026

Discovery and Characterization of the TOI-4468 Planetary System: A Transiting Hot Jupiter With a Lone Nearby Outer Companion

We report the discovery of two planets, a hot Jupiter and a nearby outer sub-Neptune, orbiting the star TOI-4468. This system is unique among the current exoplanet census in that it features a close outer companion to a hot Jupiter without an accompanying inner companion. By jointly fitting radial velocity measurements taken with the NEID spectrograph and transit photometry from TESS and several ground-based observatories, we constrain the orbital periods, masses, and radii of these two planets. We confirm the planetary nature of the hot Jupiter TOI-4468 b ($R = 1.01 R_J$, $m = 0.54 M_J$, $P = 2.77$ days). We also validate the outer planet TOI-4468 c ($R = 0.28 R_J$, $P = 7.01$ days) statistically, incorporating constraints from ground-based observations. We also identify, but cannot confirm, an additional radial velocity signal which may be due to an outer giant in this system with an orbital period of 624 days. From the observed geometry of this system, we argue that it must never have encountered an early secular resonance that is thought to excite the mutual inclination of other hot Jupiter/outer companion systems. We discuss the possibility of an undetected inner companion, as well as potential implications for hot Jupiter formation.

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arXiv2026

A Pair of Warm Saturn-mass Planets near the 2:1 Mean Motion Resonance around TOI-3850

Warm Jupiters, with orbital periods of $10$--$200~\rm{days}$ and radii exceeding $8~R_{\oplus}$, are a relatively understudied class of exoplanets occupying the parameter space between hot Jupiters and more widely separated, colder Jupiter analogs. In this work, we report the detection of a multi-planet warm Jupiter system around TOI-3850 (TIC-143008050), a moderately active, near-solar metallicity G0 dwarf star observed by TESS in Sectors 15, 21, 41, 48 and 75. Initially, a single candidate planet was discovered by TESS, displaying transit timing variations (TTVs) with an amplitude of $\sim 1~\rm hr$ and a super-period of $513~\rm days$. Through a combination of transit photometry, radial velocity observations with MAROON-X, and TTV modeling, we identify two planets: TOI-3850 b $(P_b=14.484\pm0.002~\mathrm{days},~ M_b =112\pm20~M_{\oplus},~e_b = 0.018\pm0.008, R_b = 12.07\pm0.09~R_{\oplus}, ~T_{\rm{eq}}=841\pm10~\rm{K})$, a transiting warm Jupiter, and TOI-3850 c $(P_c=29.85\pm0.01~\mathrm{days},~ M_c =90\pm15~M_{\oplus},~e_c < 0.015, ~T_{\rm{eq}}=661\pm7~\rm{K})$, a non-transiting, Saturn-mass companion. The two planets lie wide of the 2:1 mean motion resonance $(P_c/P_b \approx 2.06)$, consistent with a formation history involving disk-driven migration. $N$-body integrations indicate that TOI-3850 c may begin to transit on decadal timescales, while TOI-3850 b remains a promising target for follow-up atmospheric characterization.

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arXiv2026

TOI-2147 b and TOI-6019 b: Two eccentric warm Jupiters detected and characterized with TESS and MaHPS

The population of Jupiter-sized exoplanets with orbital periods between 10 and 200 days (WJs) exhibits a broad range of orbital eccentricities and system architectures, suggesting a diversity of formation and migration pathways. In this work, we report the detection and characterization of two new eccentric WJs, TOI-2147 b and TOI-6019 b, initially identified as planet candidates by the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS). We combined TESS photometry with ground-based follow-up observations, including multiband photometry from LCOGT and MuSCAT2, high-angular-resolution speckle imaging, and high-precision radial velocity measurements from the high-resolution Manfred Hirt Planet Finder Spectrograph (MaHPS). Using these data, we were able to confirm the planetary nature of both candidates. TOI-2147 b has a radius of $10.5 \pm 0.3\,\mathrm{R}_\oplus$ and a mass of $116 \pm 22\,\mathrm{M}_\oplus$. It orbits its slightly metal-poor ($\mathrm{[Fe/H]} = -0.29^{+0.07}_{-0.08}$) G-type host star on an eccentric orbit ($e = 0.29 \pm 0.07$) with a period of 26.2 days. TOI-6019 b has a radius of $12.3 \pm 0.3\,\mathrm{R}_\oplus$ and a mass of $149 \pm 15\,\mathrm{M}_\oplus$. It orbits a slightly evolved, solar-metallicity G-type sub-giant with a period of 14.5 days on a significantly eccentric orbit ($e = 0.48^{+0.05}_{-0.04}$). Both planets have bulk densities below that of Jupiter, indicating mildly inflated radii, with interior structure modeling using GASTLI. This suggests that tidal heating from the nonzero eccentricities likely contributes to this inflation and disfavors large atmospheric metal enrichment. No significant signals from additional companions were detected in the radial velocity time series or transit timing variations. Together with the elevated eccentricities, this is consistent with a high-eccentricity migration origin for both systems.

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arXiv2026

The Orbital Eccentricity--Radius Distribution for Warm, Single Planets in TESS

We characterize the radius-dependent eccentricity distribution of 219 warm (P = 8--50 days) systems with only one transiting planetary candidate identified during Sectors 1-69 of the TESS mission. Using the ``photoeccentric effect'' in a hierarchical Bayesian framework, we first model the population using discrete planetary size bins (sub-Neptunes, sub-Saturns, and Jovians). We then develop a continuous mixture model with weights governed by a logistic sigmoid function of radius. We find that the warm-single population is best described by two components: a dominant low-eccentricity mode ( = 0.039-0.038+0.018) and a secondary dynamically excited mode ( = 0.466-0.068+0.067). The fraction of planets belonging to this high-eccentricity component increases strongly with planet radius, characterized by a transition at a break radius of R_br = 9.2-1.1+1.9 R_e. This trend places warm sub-Saturns predominantly on the same low-eccentricity track as sub-Neptunes. In contrast, warm Jovians (8--16 R_e) are frequently eccentric, with 65-12+13% of the population in the high eccentricity mode. Under the assumption of a two-component model, we see tentative evidence for a bimodal Jovian distribution at ~2.7 sigma. Finally, we identify a non-negligible tail of highly eccentric sub-Neptunes (1--4 R_e), which comprise 16.2-6.4+5.2% of the population, consistent with excitation by non-transiting external companions.

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arXiv2026

The Occurrence Rate of Nearby Planetary Companions to Hot Jupiters

Of the > 500 confirmed transiting hot jupiters and approximately 2000 additional candidates today, only ten are known to have nearby companion planets. The survival of nearby companions means that these hot jupiters cannot have migrated to their present location via dynamically disruptive high-eccentricity migration but instead have undergone disk migration or formed in situ. The occurrence rate for these nearby companions, therefore, constrains the relative efficiency of different hot jupiter formation pathways. Here, we perform a uniform box least-squares search for nearby transiting companions to hot jupiters in the first five years of TESS data. Accounting for observational completeness and detection efficiency, we arrive at an occurrence rate of $(7.6^{+5.5}_{-3.8})\%$, which is a lower limit on the fraction of hot jupiters that underwent disk migration or in situ formation. Comparing this rate with that derived from transit-timing variation searches suggests that hot jupiters are likely mostly aligned with their nearby companions, but their apparently higher incidence of grazing transits may point to a slight preferential misalignment. We also synthesize evidence that hot jupiters with nearby companions may have cold companions at a rate similar to that of other hot jupiters. Comprehensive transit, radial velocity, and stellar obliquity measurements in hot jupiter systems with nearby companions will be necessary to fully account for the relative prevalence of proposed hot jupiter formation pathways.

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arXiv2026

TOI-6884b: A low-mass brown dwarf transiting a slightly evolved star

We report the discovery of a low-mass transiting brown dwarf orbiting TOI-6884 (TIC~156514476, $T_{\rm mag}=11.4$) from NASA's \textit{Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite} (\textit{TESS}) mission. The \textit{TESS} light curves initially suggested an orbital period of $\sim$14.42~days; however, our high-precision ground-based radial velocity measurements and multi-epoch time-series photometry reveal this to be a harmonic alias. We determine the true orbital period to be $4.808264^{+0.000015}_{-0.000014}$~days and confirm the substellar nature of the companion. TOI-6884b has a mass of $26.32^{+0.98}_{-0.93}\,M_{\mathrm{J}}$, a radius of $0.927^{+0.51}_{-0.52}\,R_{\mathrm{J}}$, and resides on a nearly circular orbit ($e=0.067^{+0.010}_{-0.012}$). Its host star is a late F-type slightly evolved star with $M_\star = 1.410^{+0.075}_{-0.069}\,M_\odot$,\msun, $R_\star = 1.840^{+0.072}_{-0.073}\,R_\odot$, $\log{g} = 4.057^{+0.045}_{-0.039}$, $[{\rm Fe/H}] = 0.094^{+0.073}_{-0.068}$~dex, and $T_{\rm eff}=6330^{+180}_{-160}$,\mathrm{K}$. TOI-6884b is a key addition to the small population of well-characterized transiting brown dwarfs orbiting host stars that have evolved off the main sequence. The detection of such systems will contribute to our understanding of the dynamical histories and structural evolution of short-period substellar companions around evolved stars.

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arXiv2026

Observing a 542-day transiting giant with large TTVs: The 2025 transit of HIP 41378 f and new constraints on the outer system

Characterizing long-period transiting exoplanets is inherently challenging due to the rarity and long duration of transit events. Yet, these systems provide unique insights into planetary formation, migration, the detection of exomoons, and primordial atmospheres by occupying a sparsely populated region of the exoplanet parameter space. The complexity increases further for long-period planets near mean-motion resonances, where transit timing variations (TTVs) can reach amplitudes of several hours to days. We present a coordinated space- and ground-based observing campaign, using photometry from NEOSSat, multiple LCOGT sites, MuSCAT, MuSCAT3, Tierras and NGTS, to capture the 19-hour transit of the long-period giant exoplanet HIP 41378 f ($P$ = 542 d, $R$ = 9.5 $R_{\oplus}$) on 31 October 2025. Our transit analysis constrains the time of inferior conjunction to $T_{\mathrm{C}} = 2460980.888 \pm 0.029~\mathrm{BJD_{TDB}}$, occurring $\sim 7$ hours earlier than predicted from its linear ephemeris. This significant offset is consistent with the previously reported TTVs of HIP 41378 f, making it the longest-period exoplanet known to exhibit measurable TTVs. By combining this new precise measurement to the transit timings of the two outer planets in the system (HIP 41378 d and HIP 41378 e), we perform a dynamical modeling of the system, using the N-body integrator TRADES, refine the ephemeris of HIP 41378 f, and predict future transit events for all three outer transiting planets.

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arXiv2026

TOI-7169 b: A Hot Jupiter Transiting a Metal-Poor Star

Most known planets are found around metal-rich host stars, which has made it difficult to determine whether a lower metallicity limit for planet formation exists and how the properties of planets born in low-metallicity environments may differ from those with metal-rich origins. We present the discovery and characterization of TOI-7169 b (TIC 372048733 b), a hot Jupiter that is orbiting a spectroscopically-confirmed metal-poor ([Fe/H] = -0.72 +/- 0.05) host star. Based on photometry from TESS and follow-up ground-based imaging, we measure an orbital period of 3.4373125 d and a planetary radius of 1.475 +/- 0.029 R_Jup. We use TRES spectroscopy to determine a mass for TOI-7169 b of 0.41 +/- 0.14 M_Jup. The planet is therefore inflated, with a low density of 0.159 +0.055/-0.054 g/cm^3. We also characterize the host star, showing that TOI-7169 is ancient (12.3 +/- 0.6 Gyr) and alpha-enhanced ([alpha/Fe] ~ 0.3), but with a Galactocentric orbit that is confined to the thin disk. TOI-7169 is perhaps the oldest and most metal-poor star currently known to host a transiting giant planet. Future transmission spectroscopy probing the atmosphere of TOI-7169 b may provide insight into the effect of metallicity on the physical properties of giant planets.

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arXiv2026

Stellar Obliquities of Young Systems, Atmospheres Undergoing Contraction and Escape (SOYSAUCE) II: a 135 Myr planet on an aligned orbit with transit timing variations

Young planets (<1 Gyr) provide opportunities to directly probe planet formation and evolution processes in action. However, due to heightened stellar activity, there is a lack of known transiting planets in adolescence (~100-500 Myr). Here we present the validation of TIC 150070085 b, a 3.6 R_E planet on a 10.47 day orbit, and report the candidate TIC 150070085 c, a 3.0 R_E planet on a 15.90 day orbit. While we are unable to validate the second signal, the proximity to mean motion resonance (3:2) and transit timing variations observed in the transits of TIC 150070085 b strongly suggest the signal is planetary. We confirm the host star as a member of Alessi 84 and combine the group's CMD, rotation, and variability properties to update the age to 135 +/- 10 Myr. We additionally use MAROON-X to observe the Rossiter-McLaughlin signal of TIC 150070085 b and measure the sky projected obliquity angle ($λ$). We find TIC 150070085 b is consistent with a near-aligned orbit with its host star (|$λ$| = 18 +/- 12$^\circ$), in line with similarly aged transiting planets with measured $λ$ values. Continued discovery and characterization of planets in this age regime are vital to link planetary infancy (<50 Myr) and maturity (>1 Gyr).

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arXiv2026

TIC-65910228 b / NGTS-38 b, a 180 day transiting warm super-Jupiter

We present the discovery of TIC-65910228 b / NGTS-38 b, a giant exoplanet with a radius of $1.081\pm0.047$ R$_\text{J}$ and a mass of $4.78_{-0.37}^{+0.39}$ M$_\text{J}$ on a long-period ($180.52797\pm0.00036$ day), moderately eccentric ($e=0.3086\pm0.010$) orbit transiting a bright (V=$10.230\pm0.020$ mag) metal rich ([Fe/H]=$0.33\pm0.09$, 'dex') F6V-F7V type host star. The planet was initially detected from a single transit in TESS Sector 33. A photometric monitoring campaign of 228 nights with NGTS detected a transit egress of the planet, which together with spectroscopic radial velocity monitoring with CORALIE and HARPS identified an orbital period of ~180.5,d. These radial velocity measurements also showed the mass of the companion to be planetary. Additional transit observations coordinated by the TESS follow-up observing program allowed further confirmation and refinement of this period. With its relatively cool equilibrium temperature of $457\pm11$ K, NGTS-38 b joins a small but growing population of well characterised transiting warm-Jupiters and has one of the longest periods of any discovered to date. The target is situated in the LOPS2 field of the upcoming PLATO mission which will allow for greater refinement of the system parameters and potential for the discovery of additional companions too small and/or too long-period to be seen by TESS or NGTS. NGTS-38 b's bright host star and wide orbital separation make it an attractive target for further study, including potential measurement of its spin-orbit alignment or targeted exomoon/ring searches.

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arXiv2026

High five from ASTEP: Three validated planets and two eclipsing binaries in a diverse set of long-period candidates

We present the analysis of five long-period TESS Objects of Interest (TOIs), all orbiting Sun-like stars, with orbital periods exceeding one month. Initially identified by the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS), we extensively monitored these targets with the Antarctic Search for Transiting Exoplanets (ASTEP), supported by other facilities in the TESS Follow-up Observing Program (TFOP) network. These targets occupy a relatively underexplored region of the period-radius parameter space, offering valuable primordial probes for planetary formation and migration as warm planets better maintain their evolutionary fingerprints. To characterise these systems, we leveraged high-resolution speckle imaging to search for nearby stellar companions, and refine stellar parameters using both reconnaissance spectroscopy and spectral energy distribution (SED) fitting. We combined TESS photometry with high-precision ground-based observations from ASTEP, and when available, included additional photometry and radial velocity data. We applied statistical validation to assess the planetary nature of each candidate and used Allesfitter to jointly model the photometric and spectroscopic datasets. We validate the planetary nature of three TOIs, including the two warm Saturns TOI-4507b (8.2 Earth radii, 104d) and TOI-3457b (10.0 Earth radii, 32.6d), as well as the warm sub-Neptune TOI-707b (2.4 Earth radii, 52.8d). The remaining two candidates are most consistent with eclipsing binaries, namely TOI-2404 and TOI-4404. These results help populate the sparse regime of warm planets, which serve as key tracers of planetary evolution, and demonstrate ASTEP's effectiveness as a ground-based follow-up instrument for long-period systems.

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arXiv2026

JWST unveils a high mean molecular weight atmosphere for mini-Neptune TOI-1130b: Evidence for formation beyond the water ice line

We present the combined JWST/NIRSpec G395H and NIRISS SOSS transmission spectrum of a warm mini-Neptune, TOI-1130b (3.66 R$_{\oplus}$, 19.8 M$_{\oplus}$, $T_{eq}\sim825$ K). It is part of a rare and unique multi-planet system TOI-1130, which hosts an inner mini-Neptune and an outer hot Jupiter locked in a 2:1 mean motion resonance. From the transmission spectrum of TOI-1130b we detect multiple molecules -- H$_2$O (7.5$σ$), CO$_2$ (3.3$σ$), and SO$_2$ (3.6$σ$), as well as a tentative detection of CH$_4$ ($\sim$2$σ$). We find a strong optical slope in the NIRISS/SOSS spectrum, which is consistent with TESS and CHEOPS transit depth measurements. From equilibrium chemistry retrievals we measure the atmospheric metallicity ($\log{Z/Z_{\odot}}=1.8^{+0.4}_{-0.3}$) and C/O ratio ($<$0.75 at 3$σ$ level confidence) and constrain the atmospheric mean molecular weight, $μ$ = 5.5$^{+1.3}_{-0.8}$ amu. These constraints are consistent with self-consistent forward model grids. We detect no significant He I 1.083$μ$m absorption signal and put a mass-loss rate upper limit of $10^{11}$g\s$^{-1}$. The volatile-rich high mean molecular weight atmosphere of TOI-1130b along with the `pebble-filtering' effect of the outer hot Jupiter supports the ex-situ formation scenario beyond the water ice line and subsequent migration, coherent with its present orbital architecture. A volatile-rich formation scenario could also potentially explain the location of TOI-1130b at the edge of the `radius cliff'. This result hints that the mini-Neptune population may not a homogeneous formation history; rather, volatile-rich ex-situ formation also contributes to its population.

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arXiv2026

Uncovering the Rapidly Evolving Orbits of the Dynamic TOI-201 System

Studying planetary interactions in exoplanet systems informs theories of planet formation and evolution, providing essential context for understanding our own solar system. We combine spectroscopy, transit photometry, transit timing variations, and astrometry to characterize the TOI-201 system. The co-transiting system consists of a super-Earth, warm Jupiter, and massive companion at 5.8, 53, and 2900 day orbital periods, respectively. We perform dynamical simulations to study the past and future of the system. von-Zeipel-Kozai-Lidov oscillations emerge as the most plausible scenario to explain the outer companion's high orbital eccentricity, with planet-planet scattering a possible but less likely contender. Due to non-zero mutual inclinations between the planets, the system is visibly evolving on very short timescales, with the current co-transiting configuration ending in 200 years.

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arXiv2026

Multicolour Validation of Two Temperate Mini-Neptunes Around M-dwarf Habitable Zones

For small planets orbiting within the habitable zones of their host stars, multicolour validation via photometric transit observations offers an efficient alternative to prioritize targets before intensive radial-velocity follow-up, thereby expanding the sample of habitable-zone exoplanets amenable for atmospheric characterisation. In this study, we validate two exceptional habitable-zone TESS candidates, orbiting around M-dwarfs, as genuine planets, precisely determining their transit and physical parameters. We perform Bayesian model comparison by jointly fitting multicolour light curves from TESS and ground-based follow-up, including observations with HiPERCAM at the 10.4-m GTC. Our approach uses wavelength-dependent transit depth variations and precise transit geometry to reject false positives. We validate TOI-2094 b and TOI-7166 b as two new benchmark temperate mini-Neptunes. TOI-2094 b (1.90 $R_{\oplus}$) orbits its M3V star with a period of $\sim$18.79 days, well within the habitable zone ($\sim$0.98 Earth insolation). TOI-7166 b (2.39 $R_{\oplus}$) orbits its M4.5V host star with a period of $\sim$12.92 days, placing it near the inner edge of the habitable zone ($\sim$1.93 Earth insolation). Statistical mass and density estimates suggest that TOI-2094 b may be a volatile-rich planet, such as a water world or a gaseous planet, and is less likely to be rocky, while TOI-7166 b is likely to be volatile-rich. Both planets are of great interest for detailed atmospheric characterisation with the JWST and future ELTs, which requires further precise mass measurements.

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arXiv2026

An Adolescent and Near-Resonant Planetary System Near the End of Photoevaporation

Young exoplanets provide vital insights into the early dynamical and atmospheric evolution of planetary systems. Many multi-planet systems younger than 100 Myr exhibit mean-motion resonances, likely established through convergent disk migration. Over time, however, these resonant chains are often disrupted, mirroring the Nice model proposed for the Solar System. We present a detailed characterization of the ~200-Myr-old TOI-2076 system, which contains four sub-Neptune planets between 1.4 and 3.5 Earth radii. We demonstrate that its planets are near but not locked in mean-motion resonances, making the system dynamically fragile. The four planets have comparable core masses but display a monotonic increase in hydrogen and helium (H/He) envelope mass fractions (stripped-1%-5%-5%) with decreasing stellar insolation. This trend is consistent with atmospheric mass-loss due to photoevaporation, which predicts that the envelopes of irradiated planets either erode completely or stabilize at a residual level of ~1% by mass within the first few hundred million years, with more distant, less-irradiated planets retaining most of primordial envelopes. Additionally, previous detections of metastable helium outflows rule out a pure water-world scenario for TOI-2076 planets. Our finding provides direct observational evidence that the dynamical and atmospheric reshaping of compact planetary systems begin early, offering an empirical anchor for models of their long-term evolution.

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