arXiv subjects

Rob Fender

Publications and source records attributed to Rob Fender.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Radio flares and X-ray hardening embedded in the long soft state of 4U 1543-475

We present a comprehensive multi-wavelength study of the black hole X-ray binary 4U 1543-475 during its 2021 outburst, focusing on radio flaring episodes that are commonly interpreted as signatures of episodic jet production and are embedded within states when the X-ray emission was dominated by an accretion disk component. The radio monitoring reveals at least two discrete flares that coincide with periods of enhanced Comptonized X-ray emission. Broadband spectral modelling shows a significant decrease in the reflection-to-disk flux ratio (by a factor of ~3-4) during these episodes, consistent with a temporary change in the geometry of the inner accretion flow, although the data do not allow the causal sequence to be firmly established. Optical photometry exhibits variability that broadly tracks the reflection fraction, consistent with changes in the illuminating component. The accompanying spectral hardening indicates that the radio flares were associated with short-lived excursions toward a "harder" state, departing from the soft state. X-ray timing analysis suggests that the radio flares may be associated with changes in the fractional rms variability; however, no consistent or unified pattern can be firmly established across different events. These results provide a multi-wavelength observational example of radio flaring activity in a black hole binary and highlight the complex interplay between accretion flow geometry, coronal emission, and jet-related phenomena.

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arXiv2026

Simulation-based inference for AGN jet population modelling: Towards more robust comparisons of black hole jet speeds

We present the most complete modelling of the MOJAVE 1.5 Jansky Quarter Century active galactic nuclei (AGN) jet population, using likelihood-free simulation-based inference. Due to the complex impact of a flux-limit on observed AGN data sets, careful modelling of the parent population is required. In particular, when observing and fitting to multiple data distributions likelihoods become non-intuitive. Parameter degeneracies further complicate the problem and make it suitable for likelihood-free, simulation-based inference. This method relies on a normalising flow learning the likelihood surface or posteriors directly. We extensively validate the flow to show that previous parameter estimates for the AGN jet speed distributions underestimated parameter errors significantly and do not capture the non-gaussianity of the parameter posteriors. The new results enable a better statistical comparison to other AGN population studies, but also a more accurate comparison of supermassive black hole jets with their lower mass counterparts, X-ray binaries (XRB). We find that the AGN follow a Lorentz factor distribution of the shape $N(\Gamma) \propto \Gamma^b$ with $b= -1.32_{-0.19}^{+0.20}$. This slope is consistent with the XRB Lorentz factor distribution at $2\sigma$. Simulation-based inference as a method is generally well-suited to many astrophysical problems, and this paper shows the convenient applicability of this methodology to parent population studies of jetted AGN with multiple observables specifically.

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arXiv2026

A Real-Time Jet Laboratory in Swift J1727.8-1613

We present the results of our intensive VLBI campaign on the black-hole low-mass X-ray binary (LMXB) Swift J1727.8-1613 during its 2023-2024 outburst. We observed the repeated quenching and re establishment of the highly-extended continuous jet during several transitions between hard-intermediate and soft-intermediate states, and the repeated ejection of transient jets. Using time-dependent visibility model fitting, we tracked the motion of nine discrete jet knots, obtaining some of the most precise measurements of transient jet proper motions and ejection dates in an LMXB. These ejecta were only detectable for a short time with VLBI, and some showed rapid intra-observation flux density variability that was not captured in image reconstructions. For the first time, we use time-dependent visibility modelling to fit a piecewise model for the jet knot flux densities, allowing us to create complex, non-parametric light curves of their intra-observation variability. We observed the launching of multiple ejecta across several state transitions, however, we could not identify a consistent signature of jet ejection in the available X-ray intensity or hardness data. We constrained the intrinsic speeds and bulk Lorentz factors of the jet knots, finding that Swift J1727.8-1613 launched both mildly relativistic and highly relativistic ejecta throughout its outburst. We used their proper motions to constrain a posterior distribution for the maximum inclination angle of the jet axis, which had 50th, 84th, and 99th percentiles of 40{\deg}, 50{\deg}, and 66{\deg}, respectively. These unique observations of the repeated ejection of transient jets by a single LMXB reveal that fixed parameters such as black-hole mass, black-hole spin, and spin-orbit misalignment do not uniquely determine the varying properties of transient jets, particularly their speeds and Lorentz factors.

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arXiv2026

Radio Follow-Up of Einstein Probe Fast X-Ray Transients

Fast X-ray transients (FXTs) are brief, luminous bursts of soft X-ray emission whose physical origins remain uncertain. The Einstein Probe (EP) mission has recently enabled prompt discovery of these events, providing opportunities for rapid multi-wavelength follow-up. We present a coordinated radio observing campaign targeting 20 FXTs detected by the EP in 2024. The core consists of 59 epochs with the Allen Telescope Array (ATA), sampling post-burst timescales from $\sim$1 to $\sim$65 days and reaching typical $3\sigma$ sensitivities of 0.6--1.5\,mJy across 1--8\,GHz. Two FXTs---EP240315a and EP241021a---have radio counterparts. For EP241021a, AMI-LA monitoring at 15.5\,GHz reveals a light curve peaking at $\sim$30 days with $F_{\nu}\approx1.0$\,mJy; equipartition analysis implies a Newtonian equipartition energy of $\sim3\times10^{49}$\,erg and a mildly relativistic on-axis solution with $\Gamma_{\rm on}\approx1.3$. Multi-frequency modelling of EP240315a, combining new VLA measurements with published MeerKAT, ATCA, and eMERLIN data, indicates highly relativistic early emission ($\Gamma\gtrsim3$) that decelerates with time, consistent with jetted outflow. The detections and ATA non-detections span luminosities overlapping the brightest GRB and relativistic tidal disruption event (TDE) afterglows, suggesting FXTs comprise a heterogeneous population including both relativistic and non-relativistic explosions. Under a GRB-like redshift prior, our $3\sigma$ ATA limits correspond to observer-frame specific-luminosity thresholds of $\sim10^{32}$--$10^{33}\,\mathrm{erg\ s^{-1}\ Hz^{-1}}$; for nearby events ($z\lesssim0.2$), $L_{\nu}\lesssim10^{30\text{--}31}\,\mathrm{erg\ s^{-1}\ Hz^{-1}}$. Planned ATA upgrades and next-generation arrays (SKA, DSA, ngVLA) will enable sensitive, population-level radio studies of the FXT radio sky.

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arXiv2026

Extreme particle acceleration in X-ray binaries is linked to their jets

The detection of multi-TeV radiation from a handful of black-hole X-ray binaries (BHXRBs) has positioned the source class as promising candidate to explain the cosmic-ray flux in the PeV energy range. To determine what distinguishes the systems detected in the gamma-ray range from the rest of the population, we build on existing catalogues of BHXRBs by including information on the radio and gamma-ray emission from these systems. We then compare the $>100$ TeV gamma-ray luminosity to different properties of the systems and evaluate the strength of the (rank) correlation between them. Additionally, we compare the distribution of BHXRBs with the positions of unassociated gamma-ray sources in the 1LHAASO and 1HGPS catalogues. We find no correlation with the mass of the compact object, the companion mass or the inclination angle. Instead, we find evidence for a strong correlation between the gamma-ray luminosity and the radio and hard-state X-ray luminosities in our sample. The limited number of gamma-ray detections means that this correlation cannot yet be claimed as statistically significant. We find indications that a high (>20\%) duty cycle (defined as fraction of time spent in outburst) might be a requirement for $>100$ TeV gamma-ray loudness. We find significant evidence ($>3\sigma$) that BHXRBs are located near unassociated gamma-ray sources in the region of the sky not covered by LHAASO. This evidence is only significant when comparing to BHXRBs detected in the radio band. We conclude that radio-bright BHXRBs with a high duty cycle are more likely to be detected as gamma-ray sources than sources which are not detected in the radio band or those with low duty cycles. This result indicates that the particles responsible for the gamma-ray emission are associated with the jets, either accelerated within them or via their interaction with their surroundings.

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arXiv2026

Dense, multi-phase accretion disk atmosphere in the low-luminosity state of black hole transientV4641 Sgr

We present soft X-ray spectroscopy of the black-hole X-ray binary V4641~Sgr with the \textit{XMM-Newton} Reflection Grating Spectrometer (RGS). The RGS spectrum shows narrow emission features from N\,\textsc{vi--vii} and O\,\textsc{vii--viii} superimposed on a partially covered disk blackbody continuum. A blind Gaussian search confirms the presence of significant lines at the expected rest wavelengths. He-like triplet ratios (high $G$, low $R$) and full photoionization modelling both indicate a dense, photoionized plasma. Small redshifted velocities of $\sim 540$--$720\ \mathrm{km\ s^{-1}}$ are suggested, which are consistent with quasi-static or slowly flowing gas away from the observer after accounting for systematics. Photoionization modelling requires two \textsc{xstar} components with an intermediate ionization parameter ($\log\xi \simeq 3.1$) and a low ionization parameter ($\log\xi \simeq 0.36$), respectively. The simultaneous EPIC-pn spectrum suggests highly ionized Fe emission structures, hinting at an additional, more highly ionized component. These results imply the existence of a radially extended, multiphase, and dense disk atmosphere in the source. We compare the source with other X-ray binaries showing similar emission lines. V4641~Sgr shares a similarly high inclination with other sources; however, the presence of low ionization emission lines distinguishes it from the rest.

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arXiv2026

The Nearest Galactic Nucleus: Studying the Galactic Centre with SKA-Mid

The Galactic Centre is the nearest nucleus of a galaxy and the most extreme environment that we can observe down to physical scales of a few hundred astronomical units. There is no other region in the Milky Way that can match its unique characteristics, such as its stellar density, turbulence and temperature of the interstellar medium, strong large scale magnetic field, concentration of stellar remnants, or mean star formation rate. The Galactic Centre is a unique target to understand the physics of galactic nuclei and study a large number of rare objects, such as extremely massive stars and stellar remnants, at a well-defined distance. The Galactic Centre has been and is being studied intensively with the most advanced facilities. In this chapter, we advocate for a large-area, multi-wavelength continuum survey with the Square Kilometre Array of an area of about 2.0deg x 0.4deg (~290pc x 60pc), centred on the massive black hole Sagittarius A* and for repeated deep observations of the nuclear star cluster over a decade, which will allow the community to address multiple science problems with single dataset.

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arXiv2026

The link between obscured accretion and mildly relativistic precessing jets

We have recently shown evidence that the most relativistic jets (with Lorentz factor >2) from stellar-mass black holes in X-ray binary systems may be locked to a fixed axis, likely the spin axis of the black hole. Slower, mildly relativistic jets (with velocities typically ~ 0.3c) are often seen to precess and can be associated with both neutron stars and black holes. In this paper we demonstrate an additional clear link between highly obscured systems and these lower-velocity, precessing jets. We speculate that this link may be due to mass-loading of the jets close to their launch sites, since these obscured systems are likely to be examples of (sometimes persistent, other times transient) super-Eddington accretion. The fastest relativistic jets are now seen to be both locked to a fixed direction, likely the black hole spin axis, and to be launched in low-density environments, while jets launched in dense environments are generally slower and very likely to precess.

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arXiv2026

On The Nature of Einstein Probe Transient EP250916a: Insights from X-ray, Optical, and Radio Observations

We report multi-wavelength studies of the transient EP250916a, detected by the Einstein Probe on 2025 September 16. Located at low Galactic latitude, the source exhibited a rapid X-ray brightening, reaching an unabsorbed 0.5--10 keV flux of $(6.4 \pm 0.1) \times 10^{-10}$ erg cm$^{-2}$ s$^{-1}$, followed by a plateau and a two-stage decay lasting over 40 days. Swift/XRT monitoring shows a persistently hard spectrum ($\Gamma \approx 1.6$--2.2) with only modest softening during decay, while a NuSTAR observation confirms a hard-state continuum extending up to 70 keV. Timing analysis of XMM-Newton data reveals a weak quasi-periodic oscillation (QPO) at $\sim$13 Hz. No other coherent pulsations or thermonuclear bursts are detected. Broadband spectral modeling favors a nonthermal power-law continuum with partial-covering absorption, and shows no significant thermal disk component. Optical imaging obtained with NOT/ALFOSC, LCO, and GaiaDR3 identifies two faint sources within the 2 arcsec Swift/XRT positional uncertainty. A MeerKAT observation at 1.28 GHz yielded no radio counterpart, with a 3$\sigma$ upper limit of 60 $\mu$Jy beam$^{-1}$. The combination of a long-lasting outburst, a hard nonthermal X-ray spectrum, a weak QPO detection, the absence of coherent timing features, and faint potential optical counterparts disfavors a stellar-flare or extragalactic origin and supports an accreting compact-object scenario. Comparisons with similar faint, hard-state transients place EP250916a within a growing population of low-luminosity, hard-state black hole X-ray binary candidates.

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arXiv2026

Blackholistic 2026 meeting report

Accretion and relativistic jet formation take place across the black hole mass range, from black holes of just a few solar masses to those in excess of ten billion. Despite the enormous range in scales, qualitative similarities and quantitative scalings appear to connect the entire population. In March 2026, researchers from across the black hole mass spectrum met in Oxford to educate, explore and forge new research directions. This is a brief report on the meeting and an opportunity to advertise the archive of talks, discussion sessions and posters.

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arXiv2026

The Homogeneous MeerKAT and Swift/XRT X-ray Binary Radio:X-ray Plane

During the hard and quiescent spectral states in X-ray binaries, a non-linear correlation is observed between radio and X-ray luminosities, providing a valuable tool to probe the connection between accretion and jet production. This relation was originally thought to define a single 'standard' correlation spanning several orders of magnitude in X-ray luminosity, and was extended to active galactic nuclei by including a mass term. However, subsequent studies revealed a more complex picture, with some sources deviating from the standard correlation and instead populating distinct tracks. To date, all large studies of the radio:X-ray plane have combined data from multiple telescopes, introducing uncertainties due to differing instrument systematics and flux conversions between observing frequencies, thereby complicating comparisons and limiting constraints. ThunderKAT was a five-year programme on the MeerKAT radio telescope that monitored X-ray binaries in outburst, and ran alongside SwiftKAT which provided quasi-simultaneous Swift/XRT X-ray coverage. We present the full set of light curves from these programmes, comprising 948 radio and 1029 X-ray data points. An important finding is the frequent detection of unresolved radio emission during the soft state, likely dominated by previously launched jet ejecta. Using these data, we construct the largest, observationally homogeneous X-ray binary radio:X-ray plane to date. We relate these results to the physical mechanisms proposed to drive inter-source diversity, and outline directions for future observational and theoretical work. This paper is accompanied by a public data release of the ThunderKAT and SwiftKAT measurements and a compiled radio:X-ray plane, available through an interactive website.

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arXiv2026

Detection of an Extremely Luminous Radio Counterpart to the Be/X-ray Binary A0538-66

We present the discovery of radio emission from the Be/X-ray binary A0538-66 with the Australian Square Kilometre Array Pathfinder (ASKAP), and results from a subsequent weekly monitoring campaign with the MeerKAT radio telescope. A0538-66, located in the Large Magellanic Cloud, hosts a neutron star with a short spin period ($P \approx 69$ ms) in a highly eccentric $\approx16.6$-day orbit. Its rare episodes of super-Eddington accretion, rapid optical and X-ray flares, and other peculiar properties make it an interesting system among high-mass X-ray binaries. Our MeerKAT data reveal that it is also one of the most radio-luminous neutron star X-ray binaries observed to date, reaching $\approx 3 \times 10^{22}~\text{erg}~\text{s}^{-1} \text{Hz}^{-1}$, with radio emission that appears to be orbitally modulated. We consider several possible mechanisms for the radio emission, and place A0538-66 in context by comparing it to similar systems.

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arXiv2026

Cosmic rays, gamma rays and neutrinos from discrete black hole X-ray binary ejecta

The origin of cosmic rays from outside the Solar system are unknown, as they are deflected by the interstellar magnetic field. Supernova remnants are the main candidate for cosmic rays up to PeV energies but due to lack of evidence, they cannot be concluded as the sources of the most energetic Galactic CRs. We investigate discrete ejecta produced in state transitions of black hole X-ray binary systems as a potential source of cosmic rays, motivated by recent $>100$ TeV $\gamma$-ray detections by LHAASO. Starting from MAXI J1820+070, we examine the multi-wavelength observations and find that efficient particle acceleration may take place (i.e. into a robust power-law), up to $\sim2\times 10^{16}\mu^{-1/2}$ eV, where $\mu$ is the ratio of particle energy to magnetic energy. From these calculations, we estimate the global contribution of ejecta to the entire Galactic spectrum to be $\sim1\%$, with the cosmic ray contribution rising to $\sim5\%$ at PeV energies, assuming roughly equal energy in non-thermal protons, non-thermal electrons and magnetic fields. In addition, we calculate associated $\gamma$-ray and neutrino spectra of the MAXI J1820+070 ejecta to investigate new detection methods with CTAO, which provide strong constraints on initial ejecta size of order $10^7$ Schwarzschild radii ($10^{-5}$ pc) assuming a period of adiabatic expansion.

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arXiv2026

Stellar-mass black holes on the millimetre fundamental plane of black hole accretion

Recent work revealed the existence of a galaxy "millimetre fundamental plane of black hole accretion", a tight correlation between nuclear $1$mm luminosity, intrinsic $2$ - $10$keV X-ray luminosity and supermassive black hole mass, originally discovered for nearby low- and high-luminosity active galactic nuclei. Here we use mm and X-ray data of $5$ X-ray binaries (XRBs) to demonstrate that these stellar-mass black holes also lie on the mm fundamental plane, as they do at radio wavelengths. One source for which we have multi-epoch observations shows evidence of deviations from the plane after a state change, suggesting that the plane only applies to XRBs in the hard state, as is true again at radio wavelengths. We show that both advection-dominated accretion flows and compact jet models predict the existence of the plane across the entire range of black hole masses, although these models vary in their ability to accurately predict the XRB black hole masses.

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arXiv2026

Large-scale radio bubbles around the black hole transient V4641 Sgr

Black holes (BHs) in microquasars can launch powerful relativistic jets that have the capacity to travel up to several parsecs from the compact object and interact with the interstellar medium. Recently, the detection of large-scale very-high-energy (VHE) gamma-ray emission around the black hole transient V4641 Sgr and other BH-jet systems suggested that jets from microquasars may play an important role in the production of galactic cosmic rays. V4641 Sgr is known for its superluminal radio jet discovered in 1999, but no radio counterpart of a large-scale jet has been observed. The goal of this work is to search for a radio counterpart of the extended VHE source. We observed V4641 Sgr with the MeerKAT radio telescope at the L and UHF bands and produced deep maps of the field using high dynamic range techniques. We report the discovery of a large-scale (35 pc), bow-tie-shaped, diffuse, radio structure around V4641 Sgr, with similar angular size to the extended X-ray emission discovered by XRISM. However, it is not spatially coincident with the extended VHE emission. After discussing the association of the structure with V4641 Sgr, we investigate the nature of the emission mechanism. We suggest that the bow-tie structure arose from the long-term action of large-scale jets or disk winds from V4641 Sgr. If the emission mechanism is of synchrotron origin, the radio/X-ray extended structure implies acceleration of electrons up to more than 100 TeV as far as tens of parsecs from the black hole.

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arXiv2025

Kinematics show consistency between stellar mass and supermassive black hole parent population jet speeds

Jets from stellar-mass and supermassive black holes provide the unique opportunity to study similar processes in two very different mass regimes. Historically, the apparent speeds of black hole x-ray binary (BHXRBs) jets have been observed to be lower than jet speeds from active galactic nuclei (AGN) and specifically blazars. In this work, we show that selection effects could be the primary cause of the observed population differences. For the first time, it is possible to perform a statistical analysis of the underlying BHXRB jet Lorentz factor distribution. We use both the Anderson-Darling test and apply nested sampling to this problem. With Bayes factors, we confirm that the Lorentz factor distribution of BHXRBs is best described with a power law, the same model that has been applied to AGN jets. For a Lorentz factor distribution following $\rm N(\Gamma) \propto \Gamma^b$ we find a value for the exponent of $b=-2.64_{-0.55}^{+0.46}$. This exponent is consistent with values found in AGN population studies, within $1\sigma$ for \textit{Swift}-BAT and \textit{Fermi}-LAT selected AGN. The best-fit exponent for the radio selected MOJAVE sample is just above our $2 \sigma$ limit. This is a remarkable agreement given the different scales at which the jets are observed. The observed slower apparent speeds in BHXRBs are largely due to the much larger inclinations in this sample. Furthermore, nested sampling confirms that $\Gamma_{\rm max}$ is completely unconstrained using this method. Therefore, based on kinematics alone, BHXRB jets are broadly consistent with being just as relativistic as those from supermassive black holes.

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arXiv2025

A multiwavelength study of the Galactic center black hole candidate MAXI J1744-294

For the first time in nearly a decade, a bright transient was detected in the central parsec (pc) of the Galaxy. MAXI J1744-294, or -- as it was known in its previous life -- Swift J174540.2-290037, was discovered in outburst by the MAXI telescope in January 2025. We present the results of a broadband, multi-wavelength study of MAXI J1744-294, including data from the NuSTAR, Chandra, XMM-Newton, Swift, and NICER X-ray telescopes, as well as complementary radio and near-infrared observations. We analyze the changing X-ray emission as the outburst evolved from the high/soft to the low/hard state. Using relativistic reflection features in the data, we estimate a spin of $a>0.92$ and viewing inclination $\theta=28^{+3}_{-4}$ deg, consistent with the parameters measured for Swift J174540.2-290037. Based on the spectral and temporal characteristics of MAXI J1744-294, we reaffirm its classification as a candidate black hole (BH) low-mass X-ray binary (LMXB) -- the third candidate BH transient discovered within 20 arcsec of the Galactic supermassive black hole Sgr~A*. This work provides further evidence for a cusp of BH-LMXBs in the central pc of our Galaxy, as argued for in previous observational studies and suggested by analytical and theoretical work. Our ongoing multi-wavelength study, involving a complementary range of observatories and spanning different outburst states, can serve as a model for future time domain astrophysics research.

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arXiv2025

XRISM reveals a variable, multi-phase outflow-inflow structure during the X-ray obscured 2024 outburst of the black hole transient V4641 Sgr

We report the results of a simultaneous X-ray and optical spectroscopy campaign on the Galactic black hole X-ray binary V4641 Sgr, carried out with XRISM and the Seimei telescope during a low-luminosity phase towards the end of its 2024 outburst. Despite a very low X-ray luminosity of $10^{34}$ erg s$^{-1}$, the continuum spectrum is well reproduced by a disk blackbody model with a high inner disk temperature ($1.8$ keV). XRISM/Resolve provides the highest-resolution X-ray spectrum ever obtained from the source, and several strong, narrow emission lines were detected, resolved and characterized at a high significance level. The continuum shape and narrow emission lines both indicate that the inner disk region is obscured by the surrounding high-density gas, and the intrinsic luminosity is several orders of magnitude higher. In the simultaneous optical observation from the Seimei telescope, the line features are largely dominated by the optical companion. Although we detect a clear emission component in H$\alpha$ that could originate from a cold outflow or the disk atmosphere, there are no signs of the strong outflow signatures historically detected in this source. In X-rays, the combination of significantly redshifted ($\sim 700$ km s$^{-1}$) and weakly blueshifted ($\sim-250$ km s$^{-1}$) components, all varying strongly on ks timescales, along with a marginally significant (99.2%) highly blueshifted ($\sim-1200$ km s$^{-1}$) component, indicates a complex, inhomogeneous outflow geometry. This is corroborated by the erratic long-term evolution of the source seen in the complementary X-ray monitoring, and radio detections spanning 3 orders of magnitude.

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