arXiv subjects

Robert M. Howie

Publications and source records attributed to Robert M. Howie.

15 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

High-Speed Observations of Lunar Impact Flashes

Lunar impact flashes provide a direct means of estimating the flux of centimetre-sized meteoroids impacting the lunar surface. However, 25-60 frames per second imaging typical of most monitoring programs limit the ability to resolve the rapid temporal evolution of the impact process, while the integration of Earthshine background restricts the detection of faint flashes. In this work, we present high-speed observations of lunar impact flashes captured at 200 and 250 FPS using the Zadko Telescope in Western Australia. We resolve the light curves of four confirmed events, revealing complex morphologies, some of which are not well modelled by simple exponential decays. One event was simultaneously detected by a second observer using a 50 FPS system, revealing a significantly faster brightness drop in the high-speed data that cannot be explained by spectral differences alone, indicating temporal integration of the vapour plume and subsequent ejecta. Our data also indicates that the initial flash intensity (representing the vapour plume) exhibits significantly less variance across events than the total luminous energy. Furthermore, we found no statistical correlation between the initial luminous energy and the total integrated energy of the flashes in this data, suggesting that the physical mechanism driving the initial vapour expansion may be physically decoupled from the longer-duration glow driven by the cooling ejecta. High temporal resolution combined with high sensitivity are therefore essential for accurately characterising the physical properties of the impactor and distinguishing the initial vapour plume from the subsequent incandescent cooling phase, although a significantly larger dataset is required to definitively constrain these mechanisms.

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arXiv2023

The Winchcombe Fireball -- that Lucky Survivor

On February 28, 2021, a fireball dropped $\sim0.6$ kg of recovered CM2 carbonaceous chondrite meteorites in South-West England near the town of Winchcombe. We reconstruct the fireball's atmospheric trajectory, light curve, fragmentation behaviour, and pre-atmospheric orbit from optical records contributed by five networks. The progenitor meteoroid was three orders of magnitude less massive ($\sim13$ kg) than any previously observed carbonaceous fall. The Winchcombe meteorite survived entry because it was exposed to a very low peak atmospheric dynamic pressure ($\sim0.6$ MPa) due to a fortuitous combination of entry parameters, notably low velocity (13.9 km/s). A near-catastrophic fragmentation at $\sim0.07$ MPa points to the body's fragility. Low entry speeds which cause low peak dynamic pressures are likely necessary conditions for a small carbonaceous meteoroid to survive atmospheric entry, strongly constraining the radiant direction to the general antapex direction. Orbital integrations show that the meteoroid was injected into the near-Earth region $\sim0.08$ Myr ago and it never had a perihelion distance smaller than $\sim0.7$ AU, while other CM2 meteorites with known orbits approached the Sun closer ($\sim0.5$ AU) and were heated to at least 100 K higher temperatures.

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arXiv2022

Minimoon still on the loose

On Aug 22, 2016, a bright fireball was observed by the Desert Fireball Network in South Australia. Its pre-atmosphere orbit suggests it was temporarily captured by the Earth-Moon system before impact. A search was conducted two years after the fall, and a meteorite was found after 6 days of searching. The meteorite appeared relatively fresh, had a mass consistent with fireball observation predictions, and was at the predicted location within uncertainties. However, the meteorite did show some weathering and lacked short-lived radionuclides ($^{58}$Co, $^{54}$Mn). A terrestrial age based on cosmogenic $^{14}$C dating was determined; the meteorite has been on the Earth's surface for $3.2\pm1.3$ kyr, ruling out it being connected to the 2016 fireball. Using an upper limit on the pleistieocene terrain age and the total searched area, we find that the contamination probability from another fall is $<2\%$. Thus, the retrieval of the "wrong" meteorite is at odds with the contamination statistics. This is a key example to show that fireball-meteorite pairings should be carefully verified.

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arXiv2022

Arpu Kuilpu: An H5 from the Outer Main Belt

On 1 June 2019, just before 7:30 PM local time, the Desert Fireball Network detected a -9.3 magnitude fireball over South Australia near the Western Australia border. The event was observed by six fireball observatories, and lasted for five seconds. One station was nearly directly underneath the trajectory, greatly constraining the trajectory solution. This trajectory's backward numerical integrations indicate that the object originated from the outer main belt with a semi-major axis of 2.75 au. A light curve was also extracted and showed that the body experienced very little fragmentation during its atmospheric passage. A search campaign was conducted with several Desert Fireball Network team members and other volunteers. One 42 g fragment was recovered within the predicted fall area based on the dark flight model. Based on measurements of short-lived radionuclides, the fragment was confirmed to be a fresh fall. The meteorite, Arpu Kuilpu, has been classified as an H5 ordinary chondrite. This marks the fifth fall recovered in Australia by the Desert Fireball Network, and the smallest meteoroid ($\simeq 2$ kg) to ever survive entry and be recovered as a meteorite.

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arXiv2022

Trajectory, recovery, and orbital history of the Madura Cave meteorite

On the 19th June 2020 at 20:05:07 UTC, a fireball lasting 5.5 s was observed above Western Australia by three Desert Fireball Network observatories. The meteoroid entered the atmosphere with a speed of $14.00 \pm 0.17$ km s$^{-1}$ and followed a $58^{\circ}$ slope trajectory from a height of 75 km down to 18.6 km. Despite the poor angle of triangulated planes between observatories (29$^{\circ}$) and the large distance from the observatories, a well constrained kilo-size main mass was predicted to have fallen just South of Madura in Western Australia. However, the search area was predicted to be large due to the trajectory uncertainties. Fortunately, the rock was rapidly recovered along the access track during a reconnaissance trip. The 1.072 kg meteorite called Madura Cave was classified as an L5 ordinary chondrite. The calculated orbit is of Aten type (mostly contained within the Earth's orbit), the second time only a meteorite is observed on such an orbit after Bunburra Rockhole. Dynamical modelling shows that Madura Cave has been in near-Earth space for a very long time. The NEO dynamical lifetime for the progenitor meteoroid is predicted to be $\sim87$ Myr. This peculiar orbit also points to a delivery from the main asteroid belt via the $\nu6$ resonance, and therefore an origin in the inner belt. This result contributes to drawing a picture for the existence of a present-day L chondrite parent body in the inner belt.

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arXiv2021

Taurid stream #628: a reservoir of large cometary impactors

The Desert Fireball Network observed a significant outburst of fireballs belonging to the Southern Taurid Complex of meteor showers between October 27 and November 17, 2015. At the same time, the Cameras for Allsky Meteor Surveillance project detected a distinct population of smaller meteors belonging to the irregular IAU shower #628, the s-Taurids. While this returning outburst was predicted and observed in previous work, the reason for this stream is not yet understood. 2015 was the first year that the stream was precisely observed, providing an opportunity to better understand its nature. We analyse the orbital elements of stream members, and establish a size frequency distribution from millimetre to metre size range. The stream is highly stratified with a large change of entry speed along Earth's orbit. We confirm that the meteoroids have orbital periods near the 7:2 mean-motion resonance with Jupiter. The mass distribution of this population is dominated by larger meteoroids, unlike that for the regular Southern Taurid shower. The distribution index is consistent with a gentle collisional fragmentation of weak material. A population of metre-sized objects is identified from satellite observations at a rate consistent with a continuation of the size-frequency distribution established at centimetre size. The observed change of longitude of perihelion among the s-Taurids points to recent (a few centuries ago) activity from fragmentation involving surviving asteroid 2015TX24. This supports a model for the Taurid Complex showers that involves an ongoing fragmentation cascade of comet 2P/Encke siblings following a breakup some 20,000 years ago.

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arXiv2021

The main asteroid belt: the primary source of debris on comet-like orbits

Jupiter family comets contribute a significant amount of debris to near-Earth space. However, telescopic observations of these objects seem to suggest they have short physical lifetimes. If this is true, the material generated will also be short-lived, but fireball observation networks still detect material on cometary orbits. This study examines centimeter-meter scale sporadic meteoroids detected by the Desert Fireball Network from 2014-2020 originating from Jupiter family comet-like orbits. Analyzing each event's dynamic history and physical characteristics, we confidently determined whether they originated from the main asteroid belt or the trans-Neptunian region. Our results indicate that $<4\%$ of sporadic meteoroids on JFC-like orbits are genetically cometary. This observation is statistically significant and shows that cometary material is too friable to survive in near-Earth space. Even when considering shower contributions, meteoroids on JFC-like orbits are primarily from the main-belt. Thus, the presence of genuine cometary meteorites in terrestrial collections is highly unlikely.

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arXiv2019

Recreating the OSIRIS-REx Slingshot Manoeuvre from a Network of Ground-Based Sensors

Optical tracking systems typically trade-off between astrometric precision and field-of-view. In this work, we showcase a networked approach to optical tracking using very wide field-of-view imagers that have relatively low astrometric precision on the scheduled OSIRIS-REx slingshot manoeuvre around Earth on September 22nd, 2017. As part of a trajectory designed to get OSIRIS-REx to NEO 101955 Bennu, this flyby event was viewed from 13 remote sensors spread across Australia and New Zealand to promote triangulatable observations. Each observatory in this portable network was constructed to be as lightweight and portable as possible, with hardware based off the successful design of the Desert Fireball Network. Over a 4 hour collection window, we gathered 15,439 images of the night sky in the predicted direction of the OSIRIS-REx spacecraft. Using a specially developed streak detection and orbit determination data pipeline, we detected 2,090 line-of-sight observations. Our fitted orbit was determined to be within about 10~km of orbital telemetry along the observed 109,262~km length of OSIRIS-REx trajectory, and thus demonstrating the impressive capability of a networked approach to SSA.

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arXiv2019

A Dynamic Trajectory Fit to Multi-Sensor Fireball Observations

Meteorites with known orbital origins are key to our understanding of Solar System formation and the source of life on Earth. However, these pristine samples of space material are incredibly rare. Less than 40 of the 60,000 meteorites held in collections around the world have known dynamical origins. Fireball networks have been developed globally in a unified effort to increase this number by using multiple observatories to record, triangulate, and dynamically analyse ablating meteoroids as they enter our atmosphere. The accuracy of the chosen meteoroid triangulation method directly influences the accuracy of the determined orbit and the likelihood of possible meteorite recovery. There are three leading techniques for meteoroid triangulation discussed in the literature: the Method of Planes, the Straight Line Least Squares method, and the Multi-Parameter Fit method. Here we describe an alternative method to meteoroid triangulation, called the Dynamic Trajectory Fit. This approach uses the meteoroid's 3D dynamic equations of motion to fit a realistic trajectory directly to multi-sensor line-of-sight observations. This method has the ability to resolve fragmentation events, fit systematic observatory timing offsets, and determine mass estimates of the meteoroid along its observable trajectory. Through a comprehensive Monte-Carlo analysis of over 100,000 trajectory simulations, we find this new method to more accurately estimate meteoroid trajectories of slow entry events ($<$25\,km/s) and events observed from low convergence angles ($<$10$^{\circ}$) compared to existing meteoroid triangulation techniques. Additionally, we triangulate an observed fireball event with visible fragmentation using the various triangulation methods to show that the proposed Dynamic Trajectory Fit implementing fragmentation to best match the captured multi-sensor line-of-sight data.

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arXiv2019

Fireball streak detection with minimal CPU processing requirements for the Desert Fireball Network data processing pipeline

The detection of fireballs streaks in astronomical imagery can be carried out by a variety of methods. The Desert Fireball Network--DFN--uses a network of cameras to track and triangulate incoming fireballs to recover meteorites with orbits. Fireball detection is done on-camera, but due to the design constraints imposed by remote deployment, the cameras are limited in processing power and time. We describe the processing software used for fireball detection under these constrained circumstances. A cascading approach was implemented, whereby computationally simple filters are used to discard uninteresting portions of the images, allowing for more computationally expensive analysis of the remainder. This allows a full night's worth of data; over 1000 36 megapixel images to be processed each day using a low power single board computer. The algorithms chosen give a single camera successful detection large fireball rate of better than 96 percent, when compared to manual inspection, although significant numbers of false positives are generated. The overall network detection rate for triangulated large fireballs is estimated to be better than 99.8 percent, by ensuring that there are multiple double stations chances to detect one fireball.

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arXiv2019

Determining fireball fates using the $α$-$β$ criterion

As fireball networks grow, the number of events observed becomes unfeasible to manage by manual efforts. Reducing and analysing big data requires automated data pipelines. Triangulation of a fireball trajectory can swiftly provide information on positions and, with timing information, velocities. However, extending this pipeline to determine the terminal mass estimate of a meteoroid is a complex next step. Established methods typically require assumptions to be made of the physical meteoroid characteristics (such as shape and bulk density). To determine which meteoroids may have survived entry there are empirical criteria that use a fireball's final height and velocity - low and slow final parameters are likely the best candidates. We review the more elegant approach of the dimensionless coefficient method. Two parameters, $α$ (ballistic coefficient) and $β$ (mass-loss), can be calculated for any event with some degree of deceleration, given only velocity and height information. $α$ and $β$ can be used to analytically describe a trajectory with the advantage that they are not mere fitting coefficients; they also represent the physical meteoroid properties. This approach can be applied to any fireball network as an initial identification of key events and determine on which to concentrate resources for more in depth analyses. We used a set of 278 events observed by the Desert Fireball Network to show how visualisation in an $α$ - $β$ diagram can quickly identify which fireballs are likely meteorite candidates.

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arXiv2019

Developing a Cost-Effective Radiometer for Fireball Light Curves

Fireball light curves can give insight into the meteor ablation process which can be used to improve fireball trajectory and mass modelling. To this aim, the Desert Fireball Network (DFN) is developing a low cost add-on fireball radiometer to supplement existing observatories. The objective is to collect radiometric data on fireballs across a wide spectral range at 1000 samples per second with sensitivity to a large dynamic range (mV $\in$[-4, -20]), whilst maintaining a low cost. Here we discuss the current prototype design and first light results.

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arXiv2018

Observation of metre-scale impactors by the Desert Fireball Network

The Earth is impacted by 35-40 metre-scale objects every year. These meteoroids are the low mass end of impactors that can do damage on the ground. Despite this they are very poorly surveyed and characterised, too infrequent for ground based fireball bservation efforts, and too small to be efficiently detected by NEO telescopic surveys whilst still in interplanetary space. We want to evaluate the suitability of different instruments for characterising metre-scale impactors and where they come from. We use data collected over the first 3 years of operation of the continent-scale Desert Fireball Network, and compare results with other published results as well as orbital sensors. We find that although the orbital sensors have the advantage of using the entire planet as collecting area, there are several serious problems with the accuracy of the data, notably the reported velocity vector, which is key to getting an accurate pre-impact orbit and calculating meteorite fall positions. We also outline dynamic range issues that fireball networks face when observing large meteoroid entries.

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arXiv2018

3D Meteoroid Trajectories

Meteoroid modelling of fireball data typically uses a one dimensional model along a straight line triangulated trajectory. The assumption of a straight line trajectory has been considered an acceptable simplification for fireballs, but it has not been rigorously tested. The unique capability of the Desert Fireball Network (DFN) to triangulate discrete observation times gives the opportunity to investigate the deviation of a meteoroid's position to different model fits. Here we assess the viability of a straight line assumption for fireball data in two meteorite-dropping test cases observed by the Desert Fireball Network (DFN) in Australia -- one over 21 seconds (\textit{DN151212\_03}), one under 5 seconds (\textit{DN160410\_03}). We show that a straight line is not valid for these two meteorite dropping events and propose a three dimensional particle filter to model meteoroid positions without any straight line constraints. The single body equations in three dimensions, along with the luminosity equation, are applied to the particle filter methodology described by \citet{Sansom2017}. Modelling fireball camera network data in three dimensions has not previously been attempted. This allows the raw astrometric, line-of-sight observations to be incorporated directly. In analysing these two DFN events, the triangulated positions based on a straight line assumption result in the modelled meteoroid positions diverging up to $3.09\, km$ from the calculated observed point (for \textit{DN151212\_03}). Even for the more typical fireball event, \textit{DN160410\_03}, we see a divergence of up to $360$\,m. As DFN observations are typically precise to $<100$\,m, it is apparent that the assumption of a straight line is an oversimplification that will affect orbit calculations and meteorite search regions for a significant fraction of events.

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arXiv2018

The Dingle Dell meteorite: a Halloween treat from the Main Belt

We describe the fall of the Dingle Dell (L/LL 5) meteorite near Morawa in Western Australia on October 31, 2016. The fireball was observed by six observatories of the Desert Fireball Network (DFN), a continental scale facility optimised to recover meteorites and calculate their pre-entry orbits. The $30\,\mbox{cm}$ meteoroid entered at 15.44 $\mbox{km s}^{-1}$, followed a moderately steep trajectory of $51^{\circ}$ to the horizon from 81 km down to 19 km altitude, where the luminous flight ended at a speed of 3.2 $\mbox{km s}^{-1}$. Deceleration data indicated one large fragment had made it to the ground. The four person search team recovered a 1.15 kg meteorite within 130 m of the predicted fall line, after 8 hours of searching, 6 days after the fall. Dingle Dell is the fourth meteorite recovered by the DFN in Australia, but the first before any rain had contaminated the sample. By numerical integration over 1 Ma, we show that Dingle Dell was most likely ejected from the main belt by the 3:1 mean-motion resonance with Jupiter, with only a marginal chance that it came from the $nu_6$ resonance. This makes the connection of Dingle Dell to the Flora family (currently thought to be the origin of LL chondrites) unlikely.

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