arXiv subjects

Robin Wordsworth

Publications and source records attributed to Robin Wordsworth.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Helium escaping from the atmosphere of a nearby rocky exoplanet orbiting in a habitable zone

Observations of highly irradiated gas giant exoplanets have shown helium escaping from their atmospheres. There is limited evidence for atmospheres on rocky exoplanets, perhaps because they have already escaped. We report spectroscopic observations of LHS 1140b, a rocky exoplanet that orbits in the habitable zone of a nearby low-mass star. The near-infrared transit spectra show absorption by helium escaping from the planet's atmosphere. Helium absorption is detected in 2024 but not in 2025, indicating time-variable atmospheric escape. We interpret these results as indicating an upper atmosphere dominated by helium and depleted in hydrogen, with other volatile species trapped at lower altitudes, consistent with atmospheric fractionation models. No helium absorption is detected for LHS 1140c, a smaller and more heavily irradiated exoplanet in the same system.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2026

Climates of temperate rocky planets with He-dominated atmospheres

We present radiative-convective modeling of rocky exoplanets with $He$-dominated atmospheres and low envelope mass fractions. Helium has a steeper adiabatic temperature profile than $N_2$ and $H_2$ as it has fewer degrees of freedom. Line broadening differences are small, collision-induced absorption (CIA) is not important in $He$-dominated atmospheres, and Rayleigh scattering by $He$ is weak. The combined impact of these effects is that $He$-dominated atmospheres provide more warming than $N_2$-dominated atmospheres but less than $H_2$-dominated atmospheres, for the same surface pressure. For surface pressures in the range 1-20 bar, the habitable zone for rocky planets around M dwarfs with $He$-dominated atmospheres is narrower than for $H_2$-dominated atmospheres. Nonetheless, due to their large scale height compared to $N_2$ or $CO_2$-dominated atmospheres, temperate $He$-dominated atmospheres are favorable targets for characterization via transit spectroscopy with JWST.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2026

Nautilus Space Observatory: Unveiling the Diversity and Origin of Sub-Neptunes with the Nautilus Space Observatory

Sub-Neptunes are the most common class of planets in the Galaxy, yet they have no Solar System analog and remain poorly understood as a population. JWST observations have revealed atmospheres spanning a wide range of metallicities, compositions, and cloud properties, driving active debates over whether warm sub-Neptunes harbor liquid water oceans beneath H2-rich envelopes, maintain stratified H2/H2O interiors, or have well-mixed, metal-rich envelopes. Open questions also remain over what physical processes drive transitions between hazy and clear atmospheres. These are intrinsically population-level questions that single-target observations, however deep, cannot resolve. Here we argue that a sub-Neptune population survey with the Nautilus Space Observatory, a proposed constellation of large-diameter space telescopes, would deliver the first statistical map of sub-Neptune atmospheric diversity, test competing classification schemes, identify habitable candidates, and serve as a pathfinder population for the eventual habitable-worlds search. These goals are achievable across the proposed mission classes for the constellation, and this architecture is uniquely well-matched to this science case since population-level questions demand sample size and a uniform observing strategy.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2026

Nautilus Space Observatory: The Evolution of Planets and their Atmospheres

We are just beginning to explore the billion-year evolution from nascent planets in disks to mature planetary systems. Recent discoveries hint at demographic and atmospheric differences between young planets and their Gyr-old counterparts, but current facilities are limited - particularly in their ability to conduct statistical atmospheric studies over a broad period range. This white paper outlines compelling science achievable with the Nautilus Space Observatory, a proposed constellation of large-diameter space telescopes. We identify four primary scientific objectives: (1) determining the timescales over which planets evolve into sub-Neptunes and super-Earths; (2) tracking the temporal evolution of atmospheric mass-loss rates; (3) characterizing the evolution of the atmospheric mean molecular weight and C/O ratio; and (4) identifying the emergence of Helium-dominated worlds. Answering these questions requires the high spatial resolution, broad-wavelength coverage, large effective area, and parallelized multiple units that Nautilus provides. By isolating the physical processes that govern the evolution of planets and their atmospheres, these science objectives directly support NASA's Cosmic Origins and Exoplanet Exploration Programs.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2026

The dark and featureless surface of rocky exoplanet LHS 3844 b from JWST mid-infrared spectroscopy

JWST has opened a new era in the study of rocky exoplanets, enabling direct characterization of their surfaces with mid-infrared spectroscopy. Different types of rock have distinct spectral features that are diagnostic of the chemical composition and other physical properties like surface texture. Measurements of these features can provide valuable clues about a planet's geologic history and interior processes. Here we report a JWST 5-12 micron thermal emission spectrum for the rocky exoplanet LHS 3844 b. It is best matched by a dark, low-silica surface, such as basalt or other olivine-rich materials. The spectrum rules out fresh powder surfaces; however, space weathering can darken the powders and make them more consistent with the data. The data also disfavor trace concentrations of CO$_2$ or SO$_2$ gas (with 5-sigma and 3-sigma upper limits of 100 mbar and 10 microbar, respectively). Taken together, these results are well fit by an old, space-weathered surface with no evidence of accumulated volcanic gases.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2026

Analytic Modeling of Tidally Locked Rocky Planet Atmospheres Across Dynamical Regimes

We present a new first-principles analytic approach to interpreting eclipses and phase curves of rocky planets. Observations with JWST have reported nondetections of atmospheres around the majority of hot rocky planets orbiting M dwarfs. However, most of these "bare rock" inferences are based on models that are ill-suited to many currently observable planets, as they were developed for use on cooler, slower-rotating bodies. In particular, these models rely on the weak temperature gradient assumption, in which rotation is neglected and temperature gradients can be simply related to wind speeds. We find that this assumption may not be valid for over 40% of terrestrials observed with JWST, including TRAPPIST-1b, GJ 367b, and TOI-2445b. Our simple new four-box model does not rely on this assumption, and instead allows the heat transport efficiency to be specified or follow scalings derived herein. This method is fast, interpretable, physically motivated, reproduces previous general circulation model results, and can be used as a starting point for more detailed modeling. We observe that the longitudinal temperature structure of tidally locked terrestrials depends strongly on the atmospheric circulation. Considering the applicable range of atmospheric dynamical regimes, we find that a given planet's nightside temperature can plausibly vary by 100s of Kelvin (from detectable to undetectable). Furthermore, a planet's dayside energy balance can display complex behavior, with degeneracies between surface pressure and dayside temperature. Illustrating an application to observations, we find that assumptions about atmospheric dynamics and longitudinal temperature structure can bias atmospheric constraints at the order-of-magnitude level.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2025

Atmospheric collapse and re-inflation through impacts for terrestrial planets around M dwarfs

Detection of an atmosphere around a terrestrial exoplanet will be a major milestone in the field, but our observational capacities are biased towards to tidally locked, close-in planets orbiting M-dwarf stars. The atmospheres of these planets are vulnerable to atmospheric erosion and collapse due to condensation of volatiles on the nightside. However, these collapsed volatiles accumulated as nightside ice constitute a stable reservoir that could be re-vaporised by meteorite impacts and re-establish the atmospheres. Through a simple energy balance model applied to atmospheric evolution simulations with stochastic impacts, we assess the viability and importance of this mechanism for CO$_2$ atmospheres. We find that moderate-sized impactors ($5-10 \rm{km}$ diameter) occurring at a frequency of $1-100 \rm{Gyr}^{-1}$ can regenerate observable transient atmospheres on previously airless planets. We focus on specific targets from the JWST DDT Rocky Worlds programme, and compute the fraction of their evolution spent with a transient CO$_2$ atmosphere generated through this mechanism. We find this fraction can reach $70\%$ for GJ 3929 b, $50\%$ for LTT 1445 Ac, $80\%$ for LTT 1445 Ab, at high impact rates and strong CO$_2$ outgassing over the planet's lifetime. We also show that atmospheric collapse can shield volatiles from escape, particularly in the early, high-XUV phase of M-dwarf evolution. Overall, our work suggests that terrestrial planet atmospheres may not evolve monotonically but instead may be shaped by episodic external forcings.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2025

Characterizing the Radiative-Convective Structure of Dense Rocky Planet Atmospheres

We use a one-dimensional line-by-line radiative-convective model to simulate hot, dense terrestrial-planet atmospheres. We find that strong shortwave absorption by H2O and CO2 inhibits near-surface convection, reducing surface temperatures by up to approximately 2000 K compared to fully convective predictions. Pure CO2 atmospheres are typically 1000 K cooler than pure H2O atmospheres, with only a few percent of H2O needed to elevate surface temperatures by hundreds of kelvin for a fixed incident stellar radiation. We also show that minor greenhouse gases such as SO2 and NH3 have a limited warming effect when H2O is abundant. Even at insolation values as high as 12,500 W/m2 (about 37 times Earth's current solar flux), planets with mixed CO2-H2O envelopes have surface temperatures in the 1200 to 2000 K range, limiting surface melting. Our results highlight the critical role of shortwave heating on magma ocean planets and the need for improved high-temperature spectroscopy beyond 20,000 cm-1.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2025

Applied Astrobiology: An Integrated Approach to the Future of Life in Space

Searching for extraterrestrial life and supporting human life in space are traditionally regarded as separate challenges. However, there are significant benefits to an approach that treats them as different aspects of the same essential inquiry: How can we conceptualize life beyond our home planet?

physics.pop-ph↗

arXiv2025

The atmospheric entry of cometary impactors

Cometary impacts play an important role in the early evolution of Earth, and other terrestrial exoplanets. Here, we present a numerical model for the interaction of weak, low-density cometary impactors with planetary atmospheres, which includes semi-analytical parameterisations for the ablation, deformation, and fragmentation of comets. Deformation is described by a pancake model, as is appropriate for weakly cohesive, low-density bodies, while fragmentation is driven by the growth of Rayleigh-Taylor instabilities. The model retains sufficient computational simplicity to investigate cometary impacts across a large parameter space, and permits simple description of the key physical processes controlling the interaction of comets with the atmosphere. We apply our model to two case studies. First, we consider the cometary delivery of prebiotic feedstock molecules. This requires the survival of comets during atmospheric entry, which is determined by three parameters: the comet's initial radius, bulk density, and atmospheric surface density. There is a sharp transition between the survival and catastrophic fragmentation of comets at a radius of about 150m, which increases with increasing atmospheric surface density and decreasing cometary density. Second, we consider the deposition of mass and kinetic energy in planetary atmospheres during cometary impacts, which determines the strength and duration of any atmospheric response. We demonstrate that mass loss is dominated by fragmentation, not ablation. Small comets deposit their entire mass within a fraction of an atmospheric scale height, at an altitude determined by their initial radius. Large comets lose only a small fraction of their mass to ablation in the lower atmosphere.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2025

An Oxidation Gradient Straddling the Small Planet Radius Valley

We present a population-level view of volatile gas species (H$_2$, He, H$_2$O, O$_2$, CO, CO$_2$, CH$_4$) distribution during the sub-Neptune to rocky planet transition, revealing in detail the dynamic nature of small planet atmospheric compositions. Our novel model couples the atmospheric escape model $\texttt{IsoFATE}$ with the magma ocean-atmosphere equilibrium chemistry model $\texttt{Atmodeller}$ to simulate interior-atmosphere evolution over time for sub-Neptunes around G, K and M stars. Chiefly, our simulations reveal that atmospheric mass fractionation driven by escape and interior-atmosphere exchange conspire to create a distinct oxidation gradient straddling the small-planet radius valley. We discover a key mechanism in shaping the oxidation landscape is the dissolution of water into the molten mantle, which shields oxygen from early escape, buffers the escape rate, and leads to oxidized secondary atmospheres following mantle outgassing. Our simulations reproduce a prominent population of He-rich worlds along the upper edge of the radius valley, revealing that they are stable on shorter timescales than previously predicted. Our simulations also robustly predict a broad population of O$_2$-dominated atmospheres on close-in planets around low mass stars, posing a potential source of false positive biosignature detection and marking a high-priority opportunity for the first-ever atmospheric O$_2$ detection. We motivate future atmospheric characterization surveys by providing a target list of planet candidates predicted to have O$_2$-, He-, and deuterium-rich atmospheres.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2024

Greenhouse warming potential of a suite of gas species on early Mars evaluated using a radiative-convective climate model

Abundant geomorphological and geochemical evidence of liquid water on the surface of early Mars during the late Noachian and early Hesperian periods needs to be reconciled with a fainter young Sun. While a dense CO2 atmosphere and related warming mechanisms are potential solutions to the early Mars climate problem, further investigation is warranted. Here, we complete a comprehensive survey of the warming potential of all known greenhouse gases and perform detailed calculations for 15 different minor gas species under early Martian conditions. We find that of these 15 species, H2O2, HNO3, NH3, SO2, and C2H4 cause significant greenhouse warming at concentrations of ~0.1 ppmv or greater. However, the most highly effective greenhouse gas species also tend to be more condensable, soluble and vulnerable to photolytic destruction. To provide a reference for future atmospheric evolution and photochemical studies, we have made our warming potential database freely available online.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2024

The Feasibility of Asynchronous Rotation via Thermal Tides for Diverse Atmospheric Compositions

The equilibrium rotation rate of a planet is determined by the sum of torques acting on its solid body. For planets with atmospheres, the dominant torques are usually the gravitational tide, which acts to slow the planet's rotation rate, and the atmospheric thermal tide, which acts to spin up the planet. Previous work demonstrated that rocky planets with thick atmospheres may produce strong enough thermal tides to avoid tidal locking, but a study of how the strength of the thermal tide depends on atmospheric properties has not been done. In this work, we use a combination of simulations from a global climate model and analytic theory to explore how the thermal tide depends on the shortwave and longwave optical depth of the atmosphere, the surface pressure, and the absorbed stellar radiation. We find that for planets in the habitable zones of M stars only high-pressure but low-opacity atmospheres permit asynchronous rotation owing to the weakening of the thermal tide at high longwave and shortwave optical depths. We conclude that asynchronous rotation may be very unlikely around low-mass stars, which may limit the potential habitability of planets around M stars.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2024

Nightside Clouds on Tidally-locked Terrestrial Planets Mimic Atmosphere-Free Scenarios

We investigate the impact of nightside cloud formation on the observable night-day contrast of tidally-locked terrestrial planet atmospheres. We demonstrate that, in the case where the planetary dayside is only 10s of Kelvin hotter than the planetary nightside, the presence of optically thick nightside clouds can lead to observations that mimic a planet without an atmosphere, despite the planet actually hosting a significant (10 bar) atmosphere. The scenario presented in this work requires a level of intrinsic atmospheric day/night temperature contrast such that the nightside can form clouds while the dayside is too hot for cloud formation to occur. This scenario is most likely for hotter terrestrials and terrestrials with low volatile inventories. We thus note that a substantial dayside/nightside temperature difference alone does not robustly indicate that a planet does not host an atmosphere and additional observations and modeling are essential for characterization. We further discuss several avenues for future study to improve our understanding of the terrestrial planets and how best to characterize them with JWST.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2024

Pursuing Truth: Improving Retrievals on Mid-Infrared Exo-Earth Spectra with Physically Motivated Water Abundance Profiles and Cloud Models

Atmospheric retrievals are widely used to constrain exoplanet properties from observed spectra. We investigate how the common nonphysical retrieval assumptions of vertically constant molecule abundances and cloud-free atmospheres affect our characterization of an exo-Earth (an Earth-twin orbiting a Sun-like star). Specifically, we use a state-of-the-art retrieval framework to explore how assumptions for the $\mathrm{H_2O}$ profile and clouds affect retrievals. In a first step, we validate different retrieval models on a low-noise simulated 1D mid-infrared (MIR) spectrum of Earth. Thereafter, we study how these assumptions affect the characterization of Earth with the Large Interferometer For Exoplanets (LIFE). We run retrievals on LIFE mock observations based on real disk-integrated MIR Earth spectra. The performance of different retrieval models is benchmarked against ground truths derived from remote sensing data. We show that assumptions for the $\mathrm{H_2O}$ abundance and clouds directly affect our characterization. Overall, retrievals that use physically motivated models for the $\mathrm{H_2O}$ profile and clouds perform better on the empirical Earth data. For observations of Earth with LIFE, they yield accurate estimates for the radius, pressure-temperature structure, and the abundances of $\mathrm{CO_2}$, $\mathrm{H_2O}$, and $\mathrm{O_3}$. Further, at $R=100$, a reliable and bias-free detection of the biosignature $\mathrm{CH_4}$ becomes feasible. We conclude that the community must use a diverse range of models for temperate exoplanet atmospheres to build an understanding of how different retrieval assumptions can affect the interpretation of exoplanet spectra. This will enable the characterization of distant habitable worlds and the search for life with future space-based instruments.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2024

Strong fractionation of deuterium and helium in sub-Neptune atmospheres along the radius valley

We simulate atmospheric fractionation in escaping planetary atmospheres using IsoFATE, a new open-source numerical model. We expand the parameter space studied previously to planets with tenuous atmospheres that exhibit the greatest helium and deuterium enhancement. We simulate the effects of EUV-driven photoevaporation and core-powered mass loss on deuterium-hydrogen and helium-hydrogen fractionation of sub-Neptune atmospheres around G, K, and M stars. Our simulations predict prominent populations of deuterium- and helium-enhanced planets along the upper edge of the radius valley with mean equilibrium temperatures of 370 K and as low as 150 K across stellar types. We find that fractionation is mechanism-dependent, so constraining He/H and D/H abundances in sub-Neptune atmospheres offers a unique strategy to investigate the origin of the radius valley around low-mass stars. Fractionation is also strongly dependent on retained atmospheric mass, offering a proxy for planetary surface pressure as well as a way to distinguish between desiccated enveloped terrestrials and water worlds. Deuterium-enhanced planets tend to be helium-dominated and CH4-depleted, providing a promising strategy to observe HDO in the 3.7 um window. We present a list of promising targets for observational follow-up.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2024

Fermi Resonance and the Quantum Mechanical Basis of Global Warming

Although the scientific principles of anthropogenic climate change are well-established, existing calculations of the warming effect of carbon dioxide rely on spectral absorption databases, which obscures the physical foundations of the climate problem. Here we show how CO2 radiative forcing can be expressed via a first-principles description of the molecule's key vibrational-rotational transitions. Our analysis elucidates the dependence of carbon dioxide's effectiveness as a greenhouse gas on the Fermi resonance between the symmetric stretch mode $\nu_1$ and bending mode $\nu_2$. It is remarkable that an apparently accidental quantum resonance in an otherwise ordinary three-atom molecule has had such a large impact on our planet's climate over geologic time, and will also help determine its future warming due to human activity. In addition to providing a simple explanation of CO2 radiative forcing on Earth, our results may have implications for understanding radiation and climate on other planets.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2021

Episodic deluges in simulated hothouse climates

Earth's distant past and potentially its future include extremely warm "hothouse" climate states, but little is known about how the atmosphere behaves in such states. One distinguishing characteristic of hothouse climates is that they feature lower-tropospheric radiative heating, rather than cooling, due to the closing of the water vapor infrared window regions. Previous work has suggested that this could lead to temperature inversions and significant changes in cloud cover, but no previous modeling of the hothouse regime has resolved convective-scale turbulent air motions and cloud cover directly, thus leaving many questions about hothouse radiative heating unanswered. Here, we conduct simulations that explicitly resolve convection and find that lower-tropospheric radiative heating in hothouse climates causes the hydrologic cycle to shift from a quasi-steady regime to a "relaxation oscillator" regime, in which precipitation occurs in short and intense outbursts separated by multi-day dry spells. The transition to the oscillatory regime is accompanied by strongly enhanced local precipitation fluxes, a significant increase in cloud cover, and a transiently positive (unstable) climate feedback parameter. Our results indicate that hothouse climates may feature a novel form of "temporal" convective self-organization, with implications for both cloud coverage and erosion processes.

astro-ph.EP↗