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Robyn Sanderson

Publications and source records attributed to Robyn Sanderson.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
arXiv2026

The Dynamics of Old Inner Galaxy Stars in Milky Way-mass Galaxies Using FIRE-2 Simulations

Understanding how galaxies like the Milky Way assembled over cosmic time remains a central question in astrophysics. Understanding the processes that shaped their formation and evolution is greatly enhanced by the joint use of observational data and high-resolution cosmological simulations. Old stars in the inner regions of galaxies serve as powerful tracers of early dynamical events, having formed during the initial stages of galaxy assembly and retaining the kinematic imprints of those formative periods. We investigate the kinematic properties of old (age $>10$ Gyr) inner galaxy ($r_\mathrm{GC}<5$ kpc) stars in thirteen Milky Way-mass galaxies from the FIRE-2 cosmological zoom-in simulations, focusing on their origin, orbital structure, and kinematic alignment with the disk. Our analysis reveals that old stars in the inner galaxy are more likely to have been formed in their host galaxy, although accretion is seen most prominently during the earliest stages of galaxy formation. Many of these accreted stars tend to occupy kinematically hot orbits compared to their counterparts formed in the host galaxy, although some stars formed in-galaxy also retain kinematically hot orbits. Disk-like dynamics are present throughout all age bins, and are most prominent as age decreases. Although some old stellar populations retain disk-like structure, the prominence of this rotational component varies significantly across galaxies and between star populations. These results emphasize the diversity of early galaxy assembly histories and suggest that coherent angular momentum in accreted material can leave detectable kinematic signatures in present-day stellar halos.

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arXiv2026

Self-consistent dynamical modelling of the Milky Way bar with orbital frequency analysis

We present an update to the frequency analysis method for measuring the properties of a galactic bar. The method involves computing the fundamental frequencies of orbits in rotating, N-body-derived potential models, classifying the stars as members of bar supporting orbits, and finding the extent of the apo-centre distribution. In this work, we apply an updated classification criterion designed to isolate the so-called "Warm" inner Lindblad resonance (ILR) orbits. These orbits have been shown to contain the looped x1 orbits, which dominate the "shoulder regions" of the bar and largely contribute to the radial extent. We apply this method to existing Gaia, APOGEE, and OGLE data of more than 200,000 stars to constrain the properties of the Milky Way bar. We find that multiple bar lengths and pattern speeds are consistent with the data to within 5 percent.

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arXiv2026

Probing Atomic Dark Matter with Stellar Streams in Milky Way-Mass Galaxies

We present the first detailed analysis of the effects of dissipative dark matter on stellar streams. As a concrete example, we generate a cosmological hydrodynamic zoom-in simulation of a Milky Way-mass galaxy, assuming that the dark matter consists of Cold Dark Matter (CDM) with a sub-component ($\sim6\%$) of Atomic Dark Matter (ADM). The ADM subcomponent behaves as collisional, efficiently dissipative gas and allows for the formation of dense compact objects that enhance the central density of satellite galaxies, making them more resistant to tidal disruption. We show that stellar streams with stellar mass $M_{\rm{tot}, \star} \gtrsim 10^{5.5} \ \text{M}_\odot$ form later and exhibit prolonged star formation throughout their evolution, as compared to their CDM counterparts. Changes to star formation history are reflected on the chemical tracks of the stellar stream stars, where the youngest have enhanced [Fe/H] and [Mg/Fe] in the presence of ADM. Furthermore, a population of low-mass satellites with high ADM mass fractions is identified at low pericenter distances, which may affect the population of streams at $M_{\rm{tot}, \star} \lesssim 10^{5.5} \ \text{M}_\odot$. The results of this study should generalize to other dark matter models that lead to inner-density enhancements in satellites, such as elastic self-interacting dark matter in the gravothermal collapse regime.

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arXiv2026

Modeling Globular Cluster Stellar Streams with a Basis-Expansion N-body Code

Globular cluster stellar streams probe galaxy-formation processes and can potentially reveal the distribution of dark matter in galaxies. In many theoretical studies, streams are modeled with particle-spray or direct N-body codes. But particle-spray methods abstract away the internal dynamics of the progenitor by making strong assumptions about the escape physics, while direct N-body is prohibitively expensive for realistic (N>10^5) systems. In this paper, we present the stream-modeling capabilities of KRIOS, a new basis-expansion N-body code for collisional stellar dynamics, that bridges this runtime vs. accuracy gap. We show that KRIOS reproduces NBODY6++GPU cluster models, and their associated streams, more accurately than particle spray in a fraction of the NBODY6++GPU wall-clock time. We then compare KRIOS to various particle-spray methods on 10 orbits similar to known Milky Way streams. The morphology and kinematics of these streams most disagree when the progenitor is tightly bound to the host, as these systems are often subject to stronger tidal forces. Finally, we discuss which elements of the progenitor physics are most important for modeling stellar streams and how these might be incorporated into particle-spray methods.

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arXiv2026

Kinematic Signatures in the Stellar Halo from Cosmological Encounters between the Milky Way and its Clouds

Recent theoretical and observational analysis of the interaction between the Milky Way (MW) and LMC suggest that it has a significant dynamical impact on the MW's stellar halo. We investigate this effect using simulations from the Latte project, a simulation suite from the Feedback In Realistic Environments 2 (FIRE-2) Project. By comparing simulations with and without an LMC-analog interaction, we show that fully cosmological LMC interactions create prominent velocity asymmetry in the stellar halo of the MW, resulting from both barycentric displacement (the "reflex motion") and the dynamical wake of the LMC. The strength and direction of this asymmetry depend on the mass ratio at pericenter and orbit of the LMC analog. We perform a spherical-harmonic decomposition of the velocities of halo star particles to confirm that the identified signatures are LMC-induced and persist even when LMC star particles are removed. We also show that this strategy separates and individually detects the dipole (l=1) of the global reflex motion and the quadrupole (l=2) of the local wake. These asymmetries are consistent with those identified in previous work using non-cosmological simulations; the dipole is easily distinguishable from other complex halo substructure using spherical harmonics while the quadrupole is sometimes confused. These findings support the detectability of MW--LMC interaction signatures in upcoming observational surveys of the MW stellar halo.

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arXiv2026

Discovery of the First Five Carbon-Enhanced Metal-Poor Stars in the LMC

A substantial fraction of metal-poor stars in the local Milky Way halo exhibit large overabundances of carbon. These stars, dubbed Carbon-Enhanced Metal-Poor (CEMP) stars, provide crucial constraints on the nature of the early universe including the earliest nucleosynthetic events. Whether these stars exist at similar rates in nearby galaxies is a major open question with implications for the environmental dependence of early chemical evolution. Here, we present the discovery of the first five CEMP stars in the Milky Way's largest dwarf companion, the LMC, using SDSS-V spectra from the BOSS instrument. We measure metallicities ranging from [Fe/H] = -2.1 to -3.2 and evolutionary state corrected carbon enhancements of [C/Fe] = +1.2 to +2.4, placing these stars among the most metal-poor and carbon-rich ever identified in the LMC. Their absolute carbon abundances and metallicities classify them as Group I CEMP stars, suggesting binary mass-transfer origins, though neutron-capture abundance measurements are required to confirm whether this classification scheme applies beyond the Milky Way. Although these stars were selected as the most promising CEMP candidates from the SDSS-V sample, likely biasing this initial sample toward higher absolute carbon abundances, their discovery suggests that previous null detections of CEMP stars in the LMC were caused by metallicity-sensitive photometric targeting biases against high [C/H] stars. A forthcoming analysis of the full spectroscopic sample will push to lower carbon abundances, providing a more complete census and enabling critical tests of whether environmental differences shape the formation channels and frequencies of CEMP stars in this system.

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arXiv2025

Shaping the Milky Way. II. The dark matter halo's response to the LMC's passage in a cosmological context

The distribution of dark matter in the Milky Way (MW) is expected to exhibit a large-scale dynamical response to the recent infall of the LMC. This event produces a dynamical friction wake and shifts the MW's halo density center. The structure of this response encodes information about the LMC- MW mass ratio, the LMC's orbit, the MW halo's pre-infall structure and could provide constraints on dark matter physics. To extract this information, a method to separate these effects and recover the initial shape of the MW's halo is required. Here, we use basis function expansions to analyze the halo response in eighteen simulations of MW-LMC-like interactions from the MWest cosmological, dark-matter-only zoom-in simulations. The results show that mergers similar to the LMC consistently generate a significant dipole and a secondary quadrupole response in the halo. The dipole arises from the host density center displacement and halo distortions, and its amplitude scales as the square of the MW-LMC mass ratio, peaking 0.2-0.7 Gyr after the LMC's pericenter. The quadrupole's strength depends primarily on the original axis ratios of the host halo, though contributions from the dynamical friction wake cause it to peak less than 0.3 Gyr before pericenter. Future measurements of both the dipole and quadrupole imprints of the LMC's passage in the density of the MW's stellar halo should be able to disentangle these effects and provide insight into the initial structure of the MW's halo, the MW's response, and the mass of the LMC.

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arXiv2025

Rise of the forsaken relics: connecting present-day stellar streams and phase-mixed galaxies to the Epoch of Reionization

The `near-far' approach to studying reionization leverages the star formation histories of the Milky Way (MW) or Local Group (LG) galaxies, derived from resolved photometry, to infer the low-mass/faint-end of the stellar mass functions (SMFs) or the ultraviolet luminosity functions (UVLFs) of high-redshift galaxies ($z \gtrsim 6$), beyond the current JWST detection limits ($M_{\mathrm{UV}} \gtrsim -15$). Previous works considered only intact low-mass galaxies in the MW and LG, neglecting disrupted galaxies such as stellar streams and phase-mixed objects. Using the FIRE-2 simulations, we show that these disrupted galaxies contribute up to $\sim50\%$ of the total stellar mass budget of the proto-MW/LG at $z =6-9$. Including all the progenitors of these disrupted galaxies improves the normalization of the recovered SMFs/UVLFs by factors of $\sim2-3$ and reduces the halo-to-halo variation in the slope by $\sim20-40\%$. This enables robust constraints down to at least the resolution limit of the simulations, near $M_\star$ $\sim$ $10^{5}$ $M_\odot$ or $M_{\mathrm{UV}} \sim -10$ at $z \gtrsim 6$. We also show that `fossil record' reconstructions - which assume each present-day system descends from a single reionization-era progenitor - are sensitive to the stellar mass/UV magnitude thresholds, which introduces bias in the inferred low-mass/faint-end slopes. Additionally, we demonstrate that neglecting disrupted systems underestimates the contribution of galaxies with $M_{\mathrm{UV}} \lesssim -15$ to the reionization-era UV luminosity density. Finally, we estimate that a significant fraction ($\sim50\%$) of streams with $M_\star$ $\gtrsim$ $10^{6}$ $M_\odot$ at $z=0$ should be detectable from upcoming Rubin Observatory and Roman Space Telescope observations.

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arXiv2025

Inferring Stellar Densities with Flexible Models I: The Distribution of RR Lyrae in the Milky Way with $\textit{Gaia}$ DR3

Understanding the formation and evolutionary history of the Milky Way requires detailed mapping of its stellar components, which preserve fossil records of the Galaxy's assembly through cosmic time. RR Lyrae stars are particularly well-suited for this endeavor, as they are old, standard candle variables that probe the Galaxy's earliest formation epochs. In this work, we employ a hierarchical Bayesian Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) to characterize the three-dimensional density distribution of RR Lyrae stars in the Milky Way over the galactocentric radius ($R$) of $\approx 0.2-120~\rm{kpc}$. This approach provides a flexible framework for modeling complex stellar distributions, particularly in the inner Galaxy where the bulge, disk, and halo components overlap. Our analysis reveals that the inner Galaxy ($R\lesssim10~\rm{kpc}$) is dominated by a distinct prolate stellar population with axis ratio $q$=1.31. Consistent with previous work, we find the halo follows a $r^{-4}$ power-law profile that flattens within 12 kpc of the Galactic center. We also confirm the outer halo ($R\gtrsim10~\rm{kpc}$) is oblate $q$=0.70 with a tilt angle of $18^{\circ}$. We report for the first time that this tilt aligns the halo major axis in the direction of the Sagittarius dwarf galaxy. These results establish GMMs as an effective and flexible tool for modeling Galactic structure and provide new constraints on the distribution of old stars in the inner Galaxy.

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arXiv2025

A map of the outer gas disk of the Galaxy with direct distances from young stars

For more than fifty years, astronomers have mapped the neutral hydrogen gas in the Galaxy assuming kinematically derived distances. We employ the distances of nearby young stars, which trace the gas from which they formed, in longitude-latitude-velocity space to map this gas without using kinematic distances. We denote this new method "pattern matching". Analysis of simulated spiral galaxies indicates that our pattern matching distances are 24% more accurate than kinematic distances for gas within 15 kpc of the Sun. The two methods provide similar agreement with parallaxes towards these masers, although the kinematic method shows a small systematic offset in the distance that is not present in the pattern matching distance. Using parallaxes and velocities for masers, we show that this novel method, when matched with nearby Cepheids, performs well compared to kinematics. This analysis is restricted to sources that have a reasonably good match with a member of our Cepheid sample. The distances derived here, and the associated map, have broad utility - from improving our understanding of star formation and the dynamical structure of the Galaxy, to informing 3-D dust maps.

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arXiv2024

Cosmological predictions for minor axis stellar density profiles in the inner regions of Milky Way-mass galaxies

$\Lambda$CDM cosmology predicts the hierarchical formation of galaxies which build up mass by merger events and accreting smaller systems. The stellar halo of the Milky Way has proven to be useful a tool for tracing this accretion history. However, most of this work has focused on the outer halo where dynamical times are large and the dynamical properties of accreted systems are preserved. In this work, we investigate the inner galaxy regime, where dynamical times are relatively small and systems are generally completely phase-mixed. Using the FIRE-2 and Auriga cosmological zoom-in simulation suites of Milky Way-mass galaxies, we find the stellar density profiles along the minor axis (perpendicular to the galactic disk) within the NFW scale radii (R$\approx$15 kpc) are best described as an exponential disk with scale height <0.3 kpc and a power law component with slope $\alpha\approx$-4. The stellar density amplitude and slope for the power law component is not significantly correlated with metrics of the galaxy's accretion history. Instead, we find the stellar profiles strongly correlate with the dark matter profile. Across simulation suites, the galaxies studied in this work have a stellar to dark matter mass ratio that decreases as $1/r^2$ along the minor axis.

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arXiv2024

Efficient and accurate force replay in cosmological-baryonic simulations

We construct time-evolving gravitational potential models for a Milky Way-mass galaxy from the FIRE-2 suite of cosmological-baryonic simulations using basis function expansions. These models capture the angular variation with spherical harmonics for the halo and azimuthal harmonics for the disk, and the radial or meridional plane variation with splines. We fit low-order expansions (4 angular/harmonic terms) to the galaxy's potential for each snapshot, spaced roughly 25 Myr apart, over the last 4 Gyr of its evolution, then extract the forces at discrete times and interpolate them between adjacent snapshots for forward orbit integration. Our method reconstructs the forces felt by simulation particles with high fidelity, with 95% of both stars and dark matter, outside of self-gravitating subhalos, exhibiting errors $\leq$4% in both the disk and the halo. Imposing symmetry on the model systematically increases these errors, particularly for disk particles, which show greater sensitivity to imposed symmetries. The majority of orbits recovered using the models exhibit positional errors $\leq$10% for 2-3 orbital periods, with higher errors for orbits that spend more time near the galactic center. Approximate integrals of motion are retrieved with high accuracy even with a larger potential sampling interval of 200 Myr. After 4 Gyr of integration, 43% and 70% of orbits have total energy and angular momentum errors within 10%, respectively. Consequently, there is higher reliability in orbital shape parameters such as pericenters and apocenters, with errors $\sim$10% even after multiple orbital periods. These techniques have diverse applications, including studying satellite disruption in cosmological contexts.

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arXiv2023

The Debris of the "Last Major Merger" is Dynamically Young

The Milky Way's (MW) inner stellar halo contains an [Fe/H]-rich component with highly eccentric orbits, often referred to as the "last major merger." Hypotheses for the origin of this component include Gaia-Sausage/Enceladus (GSE), where the progenitor collided with the MW proto-disk 8-11 Gyr ago, and the Virgo Radial Merger (VRM), where the progenitor collided with the MW disk within the last 3 Gyr. These two scenarios make different predictions about observable structure in local phase space, because the morphology of debris depends on how long it has had to phase mix. The recently-identified phase-space folds in Gaia DR3 have positive caustic velocities, making them fundamentally different than the phase-mixed chevrons found in simulations at late times. Roughly 20\% of the stars in the prograde local stellar halo are associated with the observed caustics. Based on a simple phase-mixing model, the observed number of caustics are consistent with a merger that occurred 1--2 Gyr ago. We also compare the observed phase-space distribution to FIRE-2 Latte simulations of GSE-like mergers, using a quantitative measurement of phase mixing (2D causticality). The observed local phase-space distribution best matches the simulated data 1--2 Gyr after collision, and certainly not later than 3 Gyr. This is further evidence that the progenitor of the "last major merger" did not collide with the MW proto-disk at early times, as is thought for the GSE, but instead collided with the MW disk within the last few Gyr, consistent with the body of work surrounding the VRM.

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arXiv2023

The proto-galaxy of Milky Way-mass haloes in the FIRE simulations

Observational studies are finding stars believed to be relics of the earliest stages of hierarchical mass assembly of the Milky Way (i.e., proto-Galaxy). In this work, we contextualize these findings by studying the masses, ages, spatial distributions, morphology, kinematics, and chemical compositions of proto-galaxy populations from the 13 Milky Way (MW)-mass galaxies from the FIRE-2 cosmological zoom-in simulations. Our findings indicate that proto-Milky Way populations: i) can have a stellar mass range between $1\times10^{8}<\mathrm{M}_{\star}<2\times10^{10}[\mathrm{M}_{\odot}]$, a virial mass range between $3\times10^{10}<\mathrm{M}_{\star}<6\times10^{11}[\mathrm{M}_{\odot}]$, and be as young as $8 \lesssim \mathrm{Age} \lesssim 12.8$ [Gyr] ($1\lesssim z \lesssim 6$); ii) are predominantly centrally concentrated, with $\sim50\%$ of the stars contained within $5-10$ kpc; iii) on average show weak but systematic net rotation in the plane of the host's disc at $z=0$ (i.e., $0.25\lesssim\langle\kappa/\kappa_{\mathrm{disc}}\rangle\lesssim0.8$); iv) present [$\alpha$/Fe]-[Fe/H] compositions that overlap with the metal-poor tail of the host's old disc; v) tend to assemble slightly earlier in Local Group-like environments than in systems in isolation. Interestingly, we find that ~60% of the proto-Milky Way galaxies are comprised by 1 dominant system ($1/5\lesssim$M$_{\star}$/M$_{\star,\mathrm{proto-Milky Way}}$$\lesssim4/5$) and 4-5 lower mass systems (M$_{\star}$/M$_{\star,\mathrm{proto-Milky Way}}$$\lesssim1/10$); the other ~40% are comprised by 2 dominant systems and 3-4 lower mass systems. These massive/dominant proto-Milky Way fragments can be distinguished from the lower mass ones in chemical-kinematic samples, but appear (qualitatively) indistinguishable from one another. Our results could help observational studies disentangle if the Milky Way formed from one or two dominant systems.

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arXiv2023

Synthetic Gaia DR3 surveys from the FIRE cosmological simulations of Milky-Way-mass galaxies

The third data release (DR3) of Gaia has provided a five-fold increase in the number of radial velocity measurements of stars, as well as a stark improvement in parallax and proper motion measurements. To help with studies that seek to test models and interpret Gaia DR3, we present nine Gaia synthetic surveys, based on three solar positions in three Milky-Way-mass galaxies of the Latte suite of the Fire-2 cosmological simulations. These synthetic surveys match the selection function, radial velocity measurements, and photometry of Gaia DR3, adapting the code base Ananke, previously used to match the Gaia DR2 release in Sanderson et al. 2020. The synthetic surveys are publicly available and can be found at http://ananke.hub.yt/. Similarly to the previous release of Ananke, these surveys are based on cosmological simulations and thus able to model non-equilibrium dynamical effects, making them a useful tool in testing and interpreting Gaia DR3.

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arXiv2023

The Galactic Center with Roman

We advocate for a Galactic center (GC) field to be added to the Galactic Bulge Time Domain Survey (GBTDS). The new field would yield high-cadence photometric and astrometric measurements of an unprecedented ${\sim}$3.3 million stars toward the GC. This would enable a wide range of science cases, such as finding star-compact object binaries that may ultimately merge as LISA-detectable gravitational wave sources, constraining the mass function of stars and compact objects in different environments, detecting populations of microlensing and transiting exoplanets, studying stellar flares and variability in young and old stars, and monitoring accretion onto the central supermassive black hole. In addition, high-precision proper motions and parallaxes would open a new window into the large-scale dynamics of stellar populations at the GC, yielding insights into the formation and evolution of galactic nuclei and their co-evolution with the growth of the supermassive black hole. We discuss the possible trade-offs between the notional GBTDS and the addition of a GC field with either an optimal or minimal cadence. Ultimately, the addition of a GC field to the GBTDS would dramatically increase the science return of Roman and provide a legacy dataset to study the mid-plane and innermost regions of our Galaxy.

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arXiv2023

The far side of the Galactic bar/bulge revealed through semi-regular variables

The Galactic bulge and bar are critical to our understanding of the Milky Way. However, due to the lack of reliable stellar distances, the structure and kinematics of the bulge/bar beyond the Galactic center have remained largely unexplored. Here, we present a method to measure distances of luminous red giants using a period-amplitude-luminosity relation anchored to the Large Magellanic Cloud, with random uncertainties of 10-15% and systematic errors below 1-2%. We apply this method to data from the Optical Gravitational Lensing Experiment (OGLE) to measure distances to $190,302$ stars in the Galactic bulge and beyond out to 20 kpc. Using this sample we measure a distance to the Galactic center of $R_0$ = $8108\pm106_{\rm stat}\pm93_{\rm sys}$ pc, consistent with astrometric monitoring of stars orbiting Sgr A*. We cross-match our distance catalog with Gaia DR3 and use the subset of $39,566$ overlapping stars to provide the first constraints on the Milky Way's velocity field ($V_R,V_\phi,V_z$) beyond the Galactic center. We show that the $V_R$ quadrupole from the bar's near side is reflected with respect to the Galactic center, indicating that the bar is both bi-symmetric and aligned with the inner disk, and therefore dynamically settled along its full extent. We also find that the vertical height $V_Z$ map has no major structure in the region of the Galactic bulge, which is inconsistent with a current episode of bar buckling. Finally, we demonstrate with N-body simulations that distance uncertainty plays a major factor in the alignment of the major and kinematic axes of the bar and distribution of velocities, necessitating caution when interpreting results for distant stars.

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arXiv2023

The dark side of FIRE: predicting the population of dark matter subhaloes around Milky Way-mass galaxies

A variety of observational campaigns seek to test dark-matter models by measuring dark-matter subhaloes at low masses. Despite their predicted lack of stars, these subhaloes may be detectable through gravitational lensing or via their gravitational perturbations on stellar streams. To set measurable expectations for subhalo populations within LambdaCDM, we examine 11 Milky Way (MW)-mass haloes from the FIRE-2 baryonic simulations, quantifying the counts and orbital fluxes for subhaloes with properties relevant to stellar stream interactions: masses down to 10^6 Msun, distances < 50 kpc of the galactic center, across z = 0 - 1 (lookback time 0 - 8 Gyr). We provide fits to our results and their dependence on subhalo mass, distance, and lookback time, for use in (semi)analytic models. A typical MW-mass halo contains ~16 subhaloes >10^7 Msun (~1 subhalo >10^8 Msun) within 50 kpc at z = 0. We compare our results with dark-matter-only versions of the same simulations: because they lack a central galaxy potential, they overpredict subhalo counts by 2-10x, more so at smaller distances. Subhalo counts around a given MW-mass galaxy declined over time, being ~10x higher at z = 1 than at z = 0. Subhaloes have nearly isotropic orbital velocity distributions at z = 0. Across our simulations, we also identified 4 analogs of Large Magellanic Cloud satellite passages; these analogs enhance subhalo counts by 1.4-2.7 times, significantly increasing the expected subhalo population around the MW today. Our results imply an interaction rate of ~5 per Gyr for a stream like GD-1, sufficient to make subhalo-stream interactions a promising method of measuring dark subhaloes.

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