arXiv subjects

Rodrigo Calderón

Publications and source records attributed to Rodrigo Calderón.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Deus ex $H_0$ -- Is evidence for dynamical dark energy conditioned on early cosmology?

Some free-form reconstructions of the dark energy equation of state suggest that dynamical dark energy is the only explanation for the observed data. In this letter we argue that early Universe solutions to the Hubble tension (around or before recombination) generically cause the evidence for this claim to strongly reduce, establishing a tight connection between the early and late cosmology. In particular, the level of evidence for dynamical dark energy depends on the parameters $H_0 r_\mathrm{d}$ and $\Omega_\mathrm{m}$ and early universe solutions typically push towards higher values of $H_0 r_\mathrm{d}$ and lower values of $\Omega_\mathrm{m}$, where such evidence is reduced.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2025

Impact of ACT DR6 and DESI DR2 for Early Dark Energy and the Hubble tension

The data release six of the Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT DR6) and the second data release from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI DR2) recently became available. In light of these data, we update constraints on the Early Dark Energy (EDE) resolution to the Hubble tension. While ACT DR6 does not favor EDE over the core cosmological model $\Lambda$CDM, it allows for a significantly larger maximum contribution of EDE, $f_{\rm EDE}$, in the pre-recombination era than the latest analysis of {\it Planck} NPIPE despite increased precision at small angular scales. Moreover, EDE rises the value of $H_0r_s$, improving consistency between CMB and DESI DR2 data. We find a residual tension with SH0ES of $\sim 2 \sigma$ for the combination of {\it Planck} at $\ell <1000$ + ACT DR6 + lensing + Pantheon-plus + DESI DR2, a significant decrease from $3.7 \sigma$ for analyses that use NPIPE and SDSS BAO data. A profile likelihood analysis reveals significant prior-volume effects in Bayesian analyses which do not include SH$0$ES, with confidence intervals of $f_{\rm EDE}=0.09\pm 0.03$ and $H_0= 71.0\pm1.1$ km/s/Mpc. When including DESI data, the EDE model with $H_0=73$ km/s/Mpc provides a better fit than the $\Lambda$CDM model with $H_0=68.4$ km/s/Mpc. The inclusion of SH$0$ES data rises the preference well above $5\sigma$, with $\Delta\chi^2=-35.4$. Our work demonstrates that after ACT DR6 and DESI DR2, EDE remains a potential resolution to the Hubble tension.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2024

Model-independent cosmology with joint observations of gravitational waves and $\gamma$-ray bursts

Multi-messenger (MM) observations of binary neutron star (BNS) mergers provide a promising approach to trace the distance-redshift relation, crucial for understanding the expansion history of the Universe and, consequently, testing the nature of Dark Energy (DE). While the gravitational wave (GW) signal offers a direct measure of the distance to the source, high-energy observatories can detect the electromagnetic counterpart and drive the optical follow-up providing the redshift of the host galaxy. In this work, we exploit up-to-date catalogs of $\gamma$-ray bursts (GRBs) supposedly coming from BNS mergers observed by the Fermi $\gamma$-ray Space Telescope and the Neil Gehrels Swift Observatory, to construct a large set of mock MM data. We explore how combinations of current and future generations of GW observatories operating under various underlying cosmological models would be able to detect GW signals from these GRBs. We achieve the reconstruction of the GW parameters by means of a novel prior-informed Fisher matrix approach. We then use these mock data to perform an agnostic reconstruction of the DE phenomenology, thanks to a machine learning method based on forward modeling and Gaussian Processes (GP). Our study highlights the paramount importance of observatories capable of detecting GRBs and identifying their redshift. In the best-case scenario, the GP constraints are 1.5 times more precise than those produced by classical parametrizations of the DE evolution. We show that, in combination with forthcoming cosmological surveys, fewer than 40 GW-GRB detections will enable unprecedented precision on $H_\mathrm{0}$ and $\Omega_\mathrm{m}$, and accurately reconstruct the DE density evolution.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2024

On the implications of the `cosmic calibration tension' beyond $H_0$ and the synergy between early- and late-time new physics

The `cosmic calibration tension' is a $> 5σ$ discrepancy between the cosmological distance ladder built from baryonic acoustic oscillations (BAO) calibrated by the Planck/$Λ$CDM sound horizon ($r_s$) and Type Ia supernovae (SN1a) calibrated instead with the S$H_0$ES absolute magnitude, assuming the distance-duality relationship (DDR) holds. In this work, we emphasize the consequences of this tension beyond the value of the Hubble constant $H_0$, and the implications for physics beyond $Λ$CDM. Of utmost importance, it implies a larger physical matter density $ω_m\equiv Ω_m h^2$, as both the fractional matter density $Ω_m$ and $h\equiv H_0/100$ km/s/Mpc are well constrained from late-time data. New physics in the pre-recombination era must thus be able to decrease $r_s$ while either reducing the value of $Ω_m$, or increasing the value of $ω_m$. Assuming a $Λ$CDM-like primordial power spectrum, this necessarily results in an increase in the clustering amplitude $σ_8$. Deviations from $Λ$CDM in the late-time expansion history cannot resolve the calibrator tension but can help relax the required shifts to the matter density and $σ_8$: it is in that sense that a combination of early and late-time new physics may help alleviate the tension. More precisely, models that modify the pre-recombination expansion history can accommodate the increase in $ω_m$ without the need for additional modifications. It is those models which only affect recombination that require additional deviations at late-times to be successful. Hence, the `cosmic calibration tension' points either to a targeted modification of the pre-recombination expansion history, or to a broader change affecting multiple cosmic epochs.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2023

On the consistency of $Λ$CDM with CMB measurements in light of the latest Planck, ACT, and SPT data

Using Gaussian Processes we perform a thorough, non-parametric consistency test of the $Λ$CDM model when confronted with state-of-the-art TT, TE, and EE measurements of the anisotropies in the Cosmic Microwave Background by the Planck, ACT, and SPT collaborations. Using $Λ$CDM's best-fit predictions to the TTTEEE data from Planck, we find no statistically significant deviations when looking for signatures in the residuals across the different datasets. The results of SPT are in good agreement with the $Λ$CDM best-fit predictions to the Planck data, while the results of ACT are only marginally consistent. However, when using the best-fit predictions to CamSpec -- a recent reanalysis of the Planck data -- as the mean function, we find larger discrepancies between the datasets. Our analysis also reveals an interesting feature in the polarisation (EE) measurements from the CamSpec analysis, which could be explained by a slight underestimation of the covariance matrix. Interestingly, the disagreement between CamSpec and Planck/ACT is mainly visible in the residuals of the TT spectrum, the latter favoring a scale-invariant tilt $n_s\simeq1$, which is consistent with previous findings from parametric analyses. We also report some features in the EE measurements captured both by ACT and SPT which are independent of the chosen mean function and could be hinting towards a common physical origin. For completeness, we repeat our analysis using the best-fit spectra to ACT+WMAP as the mean function. Finally, we test the internal consistency of the Planck data alone by studying the high and low-$\ell$ ranges separately, finding no discrepancy between small and large angular scales.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2023

Joint reconstructions of growth and expansion histories from stage-IV surveys with minimal assumptions. II. Modified gravity and massive neutrinos

Based on a formalism introduced in our previous work, we reconstruct the phenomenological function $G_{\rm eff}(z)$ describing deviations from General Relativity (GR) in a model-independent manner. In this alternative approach, we model $μ\equiv G_\mathrm{eff}/G$ as a Gaussian process and use forecasted growth-rate measurements from a stage-IV survey to reconstruct its shape for two different toy models. We follow a two-step procedure: (i) we first reconstruct the background expansion history from Supernovae (SNe) and Baryon Acoustic Oscillation (BAO) measurements; (ii) we then use it to obtain the growth history $fσ_8$, that we fit to redshift-space distortions (RSD) measurements to reconstruct $G_\mathrm{eff}$. We find that upcoming surveys such as the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) might be capable of detecting deviations from GR, provided the dark energy behavior is accurately determined. We might even be able to constrain the transition redshift from $G\to G_\mathrm{eff}$ for some particular models. We further assess the impact of massive neutrinos on the reconstructions of $G_\mathrm{eff}$ (or $μ$) assuming the expansion history is given, and only the neutrino mass is free to vary. Given the tight constraints on the neutrino mass, and for the profiles we considered in this work, we recover numerically that the effect of such massive neutrinos does not alter our conclusions. Finally, we stress that incorrectly assuming a $Λ$CDM expansion history leads to a degraded reconstruction of $μ$, and/or a non-negligible bias in the ($Ω_\mathrm{m,0}$,$σ_{8,0}$)-plane.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2021

Negative cosmological constant in the dark sector?

We consider the possibility that the dark sector of our Universe contains a negative cosmological constant dubbed $λ$. For such models to be viable, the dark sector should contain an additional component responsible for the late-time accelerated expansion rate ($X$). We explore the departure of the expansion history of these models from the concordance $Λ$ Cold Dark Matter model. For a large class of our models the accelerated expansion is transient with a nontrivial dependence on the model parameters. All models with $w_X>-1$ will eventually contract and we derive an analytical expression for the scale factor $a(t)$ in the neighborhood of its maximal value. We find also the scale factor for models ending in a Big Rip in the regime where dustlike matter density is negligible compared to $λ$. We address further the viability of such models, in particular when a high $H_0$ is taken into account. While we find no decisive evidence for a nonzero $λ$, the best models are obtained with a phantom behavior on redshifts $z\gtrsim 1$ with a higher evidence for nonzero $λ$. An observed value for $h$ substantially higher than $0.70$ would be a decisive test of their viability.

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