SearcharxivSearch

arXiv subjects

Rodrigo Tenorio

Publications and source records attributed to Rodrigo Tenorio.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Gravitational-wave astronomy requires population-informed parameter estimation

Gravitational-wave events are interpreted in terms of Bayesian posteriors for their source properties inferred under unphysical reference priors. Though these parameter estimates are important intermediate data products for downstream analyses, we demonstrate that they are generically biased and therefore should not be used for astrophysical interpretation directly, as is common. Hierarchical parameter estimation is the solution, as joint analysis of the entire catalog of observations reduces statistical uncertainties and actually informs the correct prior, with population-informed event parameters now appropriate for astrophysical interpretation. As an example, we show how the most extreme measurements from a catalog can be derived and used to identify exceptional events from previous and ongoing observing runs, pointing out they are more informative about the population than any individual event. Using LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA data, we thus demonstrate that population inference is not optional to interpret gravitational-wave observations.

gr-qc

Accurate and efficient simulation-based inference for massive black-hole binaries with LISA

We develop an accurate simulation-based inference framework for high-mass ($\gtrsim\!10^7 \rm{M_\odot}$) black-hole binaries observable by LISA. The method is implemented within the DINGO gravitational-wave parameter-estimation code, extending its application from ground-based detectors to the LISA band. We train a normalizing-flow model using aligned-spin higher-mode waveform models and a low-frequency approximation of the detector response at fixed reference time. After sampling, we importance-sample to the true posterior based on the underlying likelihood and prior. We validate performance on simulated signals spanning the signal-to-noise regimes relevant for LISA observations and benchmark our new DINGO implementation against standard methods. We report robust agreement in the inferred posterior distributions up to signal-to-noise ratios of $\sim\!500$. At higher signal-to-noise ratios of $\sim\!1000$, we observe a reduction in sampling efficiency, while still yielding unbiased and tightly localized posteriors that can be used as a starting point for follow-up with traditional methods. The trained flow can generate 20 thousand posterior samples in less than a minute, establishing DINGO as a promising neural inference framework for rapid full-parameter estimation of massive black-hole binaries in the LISA band. The proposed approach allows for straightforward generalizations, including a time-dependent detector response, non-stationary noise artifacts such as gaps and glitches, and low-latency parameter estimations.

astro-ph.HE

Exceptionality of exceptional gravitational-wave events

In gravitational-wave astronomy, as in other scientific disciplines, ``exceptional'' sources attract considerable interest because they challenge our current understanding of the underlying (astro)physical processes. Crucially, ``exceptionality'' is defined only relative to the rest of the detected population. For instance, among all gravitational-wave events detected so far, GW231123 is the binary black hole with the largest total mass, while GW241110 is the binary black hole with the most strongly misaligned spin relative to the orbital angular momentum. Mandel [Astrophys. J. Lett. 996, L4 (2026)] argued that apparent ``exceptionality'' may reflect measurement error rather than an extreme true value, and suggested that the total mass of GW231123 may be significantly overestimated. Here we present a quantitative analysis that supports this conceptual point. We find that claims of ``exceptionality'' obtained under population-agnostic priors should be critically questioned whenever measurement uncertainties are comparable to the width of the underlying population. Specifically, we find that the total mass of GW231123 is unlikely to be meaningfully affected by this effect while the spin of GW241110 is far less likely to be antialigned than initially claimed: about 70% of realizations that appear to yield an ``exceptionally antialigned'' spin are in fact consistent with either nonspinning or aligned configurations.

astro-ph.HE

Ab uno disce omnes: Single-harmonic search for extreme mass-ratio inspirals

Extreme mass-ratio inspirals (EMRIs) are one of the key sources of gravitational waves for space-based detectors such as LISA. However, their detection remains a major data analysis challenge due to the signals' complexity and length. We present a semi-coherent, time-frequency search strategy for detecting EMRI harmonics without relying on full waveform templates. We perform an injection and search campaign of single mildly-eccentric equatorial EMRIs in stationary Gaussian noise. The detection statistic is constructed solely from the EMRI frequency evolution, which is modeled phenomenologically using a Singular Value Decomposition basis. The pipeline and the detection statistic are implemented in time-frequency, enabling efficient searches over one year of data in approximately one hour on a single GPU. The search pipeline achieves 94% detection probability at $\mathrm{SNR} = 30$ for a false-alarm probability of $10^{-2}$, recovering the frequency evolution of the dominant harmonic to 1% relative error. By mapping the EMRI parameters consistent with the recovered frequency evolution, we show that the semi-coherent detection statistic enables a sub-percent precision estimation of the EMRI intrinsic parameters. These results establish a computationally efficient framework for constructing EMRI proposals for the LISA global fit.

gr-qc

Where did Heavy Binaries Go? Gravitational-wave Populations Using Delaunay Triangulation with Optimized Complexity

We investigate the joint mass-redshift evolution of the binary black-hole merger rate in the latest Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog, GWTC-4.0. We present and apply a novel non-parametric framework for modeling multi-dimensional, correlated distributions based on Delaunay triangulation. Crucially, the complexity of the model -- namely, the number, positions, and weights of triangulation nodes -- is inferred directly from the data, resulting in a highly efficient approach that requires about one to two orders of magnitude fewer parameters and significantly less calibration than current state-of-the-art methods. We find no evidence for a peak at $M_{\mathrm{tot}} \sim 70\,\mathrm{M}_{\odot}$ at low redshifts ($z \sim 0.2$), where it would correspond to the $m_1 \sim 35\,\mathrm{M}_{\odot}$ feature reported in redshift-independent mass spectrum analyses, and we infer an increased merger rate at high redshifts ($z \sim 1$) around those masses, compatible with such a peak. When related to the time-delay distribution from progenitor formation to binary black-hole merger, our results suggest that sources contributing to the $m_1 \sim 35\,\mathrm{M}_{\odot}$ feature follow a steeper (shallower) time-delay distribution at high (low) redshifts. This hints at contributions from different formation channels -- for example dense environments and isolated binary evolution, respectively -- although firm identification of specific formation pathways will require further observations and analyses.

astro-ph.HE

Learning to detect continuous gravitational waves: an open data-analysis competition

We report results of a public data-analysis challenge, hosted on the open data-science platform Kaggle, to detect simulated continuous gravitational-wave signals (CWs). These are weak signals from rapidly spinning neutron stars that remain undetected despite extensive searches. The competition dataset consisted of a population of CW signals using both simulated and real LIGO detector data matching the conditions of actual CW searches. The competition attracted more than 1,000 participants to develop realistic CW search algorithms. We describe the top 10 approaches and discuss their applicability as a pre-processing step compared to standard CW-search approaches. For the competition's dataset, we find that top approaches can reduce the computing cost by 1 to 3 orders of magnitude at a false-dismissal probability comparable to standard CW searches. Additionally, the competition drove the development of new GPU-accelerated detection pipelines, which facilitated their adoption in other areas of gravitational-wave data analysis. We release the associated dataset, which constitutes the first open standardized benchmark for CW detection, to enable reproducible method comparisons and to encourage further developments toward the first detection of these elusive signals.

gr-qc

Comparing astrophysical models to gravitational-wave data in the observable space

Comparing population-synthesis models to the results of hierarchical Bayesian inference in gravitational-wave astronomy requires a careful understanding of the domain of validity of the models fitted to data. This comparison is usually done using the inferred astrophysical distribution: from the data that were collected, one deconvolves selection effects to reconstruct the generating population distribution. In this paper, we demonstrate the benefits of instead comparing observable populations directly. In this approach, the domain of validity of the models is trivially respected, such that only the relevant parameter space regions as predicted by the astrophysical models of interest contribute to the comparison. With this in mind, it can be useful to fit the observed population directly, rather than effectively deconvolving the selection effects only to fold them back in when reconstructing the observable population. We clarify that unbiased inference of the observable compact-binary population is indeed possible. Crucially, this approach still requires incorporating selection effects, but in a manner that differs from the standard implementation. We apply our observable-space reconstruction to LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA data from their third observing run and illustrate its potential by comparing the results to the predictions of a fiducial population-synthesis model.

gr-qc

GPU-Accelerated Searches for Long-Transient Gravitational Waves from Newborn Neutron Stars

We present a novel method to efficiently search for long-duration gravitational wave transients emitted by new-born neutron star remnants of binary neutron star coalescences or supernovae. The detection of these long-transient gravitational waves would contribute to the understanding of the properties of neutron stars and fundamental physics. Additionally, studying gravitational waves emitted by neutron stars can provide valuable tests of general relativity and offer insights into the neutron star population, of which only a small fraction appears to be observable through current electromagnetic telescopes. Our approach uses GPUs and the JAX library in Python, resulting in significantly faster processing compared to previous methods. The efficiency of this code enables wide regions of the sky to be covered, eliminating the need for precise pinpointing of mergers or supernovae. This method will be deployed in searches for long-transient gravitational waves following any detection of a binary neutron star system merger in the latest O4 science run of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA collaboration, which started in May 2023 with a significant improvement in sensitivity with respect to previous runs.

gr-qc

Scalable data-analysis framework for long-duration gravitational waves from compact binaries using short Fourier transforms

We introduce a framework based on short Fourier transforms (SFTs) to analyze long-duration gravitational wave signals from compact binaries. Targeted systems include binary neutron stars observed by third-generation ground-based detectors and massive black hole binaries observed by the LISA space mission. In short, ours is an extremely fast, scalable, and parallelizable implementation of the gravitational wave inner product, a core operation of gravitational wave matched filtering. By operating on disjoint data segments, SFTs allow for efficient handling of noise nonstationarities, data gaps, and detector-induced signal modulations. We present a pilot application to early warning problems in both ground- and space-based next-generation detectors. Overall, SFTs reduce the computing cost of evaluating an inner product by three to five orders of magnitude, depending on the specific application, with respect to a nonoptimized approach. We release public tools to operate using the SFT framework, including a vectorized and hardware-accelerated reimplementation of a time-domain waveform. The inner product is the key building block of all gravitational wave data treatments; by speeding up this low-level element so massively, SFTs provide an extremely promising solution for current and future gravitational wave data-analysis problems.

gr-qc

One-stop strategy to search for long-duration gravitational-wave signals

Blind continuous gravitational-wave (CWs) searches are a significant computational challenge due to their long duration and weak amplitude of the involved signals. To cope with such problem, the community has developed a variety of data-analysis strategies which are usually tailored to specific CW searches; this prevents their applicability across the nowadays broad landscape of potential CW source. Also, their sensitivity is typically hard to model, and thus usually requires a significant computing investment. We present fasttracks, a massively-parallel engine to evaluate detection statistics for generic CW signals using GPU computing. We demonstrate a significant increase in computational efficiency by parallelizing the brute-force evaluation of detection statistics without using any computational approximations. Also, we introduce a simple and scalable postprocessing which allows us to formulate a generic semianalytic sensitivity estimate algorithm. These proposals are tested in a minimal all-sky search in data from the third observing run of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration. The strategies discussed here will become increasingly relevant in the coming years as long-duration signals become a standard observation of future ground-based and space-borne detectors.

gr-qc

Mind the step: On the frequency-domain analysis of gravitational-wave memory waveforms

Gravitational-wave memory is characterized by a signal component that persists after a transient signal has decayed. Treating such signals in the frequency domain is non-trivial, since discrete Fourier transforms assume periodic signals on finite time intervals. In order to reduce artifacts in the Fourier transform, it is common to use recipes that involve windowing and padding with constant values. Here we discuss how to regularize the Fourier transform in a straightforward way by splitting the signal into a given sigmoid function that can be Fourier transformed in closed form, and a residual which does depend on the details of the gravitational-wave signal and has to be Fourier transformed numerically, but does not contain a persistent component. We provide a detailed discussion of how to map between continuous and discrete Fourier transforms of signals that contain a persistent component. We apply this approach to discuss the frequency-domain phenomenology of the $(\ell=2, m=0)$ spherical harmonic mode, which contains both a memory and an oscillatory ringdown component.

gr-qc

Toward a computationally-efficient follow-up pipeline for blind continuous gravitational-wave searches

The sensitivity of continuous gravitational-wave (CW) searches for unknown neutron stars (NSs) is limited by their parameter space breadth. To fit within reasonable computing budgets, hierarchical schemes are used to identify interesting candidates using affordable methods. The resulting sensitivity depends on the number of candidates selected to follow-up. In this work, we present a novel framework to evaluate the effectiveness of stochastic CW follow-ups. Our results allow for a significant reduction of the computing cost of pyfstat, a well-established follow-up method. We also simplify the setup of multistage follow-ups by removing the need for parameter-space metrics. The study was conducted on Gaussian and real O3 Advanced LIGO data covering both isolated and binary sources. These results will have a positive impact on the sensitivity of all-sky searches in the forthcoming observing runs of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA collaboration.

gr-qc

Assessing the similarity of continuous gravitational-wave signals to narrow instrumental artifacts

Continuous gravitational-wave signals (CWs) are long-lasting quasi-monochromatic gravitational-wave signals expected to be emitted by rapidly-rotating non-axisymmetric neutron stars. Depending on the rotational frequency and sky location of the source, certain CW signals may behave in a similar manner to narrow-band artifacts present in ground-based interferometric detectors. Part of the detector-characterisation tasks in the current generation of interferometric detectors (Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo, and KAGRA) aim at understanding the origin of these narrow artifacts, commonly known as ``spectral lines''. It is expected that similar tasks will continue after the arrival of next-generation detectors (e.g. Einstein Telescope and Cosmic Explorer). Typically, a fraction of the observed lines in a given detector can be associated to one or more instrumental causes; others, however, have an unknown origin. In this work, we assess the similarity of CW signals to spectral lines in order to understand whether a CW may be mistaken for a noise artifact. Albeit astrophysically unlikely, our results do not rule out the possibility of a CW signal being visible in the detector's power spectrum.

gr-qc

Blind-search constraints on the sub-kiloparsec population of continuous gravitational-wave sources

We use the latest all-sky continuous gravitational-wave (CW) searches to estimate constraints on the sub-kiloparsec population of unknown neutron stars (NS). We then extend this analysis to the forthcoming LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observing runs and the third generation (3G) of ground-based interferometric detectors (Einstein Telescope and Cosmic Explorer). We find that sources with ellipticities greater than $\epsilon \gtrsim 10^{-7}$ can be well-constrained by current and future detectors regardless of their frequency. 3G detectors will extend these constraints down to $\epsilon \gtrsim 10^{-8}$ across the whole sensitive band and $\epsilon \gtrsim 10^{-9}$ above $1\,\textrm{kHz}$. We do not expect $\epsilon \lesssim 10^{-8}$ sources to be constrained below $1\,\textrm{kHz}$. Finally, we discuss the potential impact of using astronomical priors on all-sky searches in terms of sensitivity and computing cost. The populations here described can be used as a guide to set up future all-sky CW searches.

gr-qc

Convolutional neural network search for long-duration transient gravitational waves from glitching pulsars

Machine learning can be a powerful tool to discover new signal types in astronomical data. We here apply it to search for long-duration transient gravitational waves triggered by pulsar glitches, which could yield physical insight into the mostly unknown depths of the pulsar. Current methods to search for such signals rely on matched filtering and a brute-force grid search over possible signal durations, which is sensitive but can become very computationally expensive. We develop a method to search for post-glitch signals on combining matched filtering with convolutional neural networks, which reaches similar sensitivities to the standard method at false-alarm probabilities relevant for practical searches, while being significantly faster. We specialize to the Vela glitch during the LIGO-Virgo O2 run, and set upper limits on the gravitational-wave strain amplitude from the data of the two LIGO detectors for both constant-amplitude and exponentially decaying signals.

astro-ph.HE

Search for Gravitational Waves from Scorpius X-1 in LIGO O3 Data With Corrected Orbital Ephemeris

Improved observational constraints on the orbital parameters of the low-mass X-ray binary Scorpius~X-1 were recently published in Killestein et al (2023). In the process, errors were corrected in previous orbital ephemerides, which have been used in searches for continuous gravitational waves from Sco~X-1 using data from the Advanced LIGO detectors. We present the results of a re-analysis of LIGO detector data from the third observing run of Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo using a model-based cross-correlation search. The corrected region of parameter space, which was not covered by previous searches, was about 1/3 as large as the region searched in the original O3 analysis, reducing the required computing time. We have confirmed that no detectable signal is present over a range of gravitational-wave frequencies from $25\textrm{Hz}$ to $1600\textrm{Hz}$, analogous to the null result of Abbott et al (2022). Our search sensitivity is comparable to that of Abbott et al (2022), who set upper limits corresponding, between $100\textrm{Hz}$ and $200\textrm{Hz}$, to an amplitude $h_0$ of about $10^{-25}$ when marginalized isotropically over the unknown inclination angle of the neutron star's rotation axis, or less than $4\times 10^{-26}$ assuming the optimal orientation.

astro-ph.HE

Prospects for detecting transient quasi-monochromatic gravitational waves from glitching pulsars with current and future detectors

Pulsars are rotating neutron stars that emit periodic electromagnetic radiation. While pulsars generally slow down as they lose energy, some also experience glitches: spontaneous increases of their rotational frequency. According to several models, these glitches can also lead to the emission of long-duration transient gravitational waves (GWs). We present detection prospects for such signals by comparing indirect energy upper limits on GW strain for known glitches with the sensitivity of current and future ground-based GW detectors. We first consider the optimistic case of generic constraints based on the glitch size and find that realistic matched-filter searches in the fourth LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observing run(O4) could make a detection, or set constraints below these indirect upper limits, for equivalents of 36 out of 726 previously observed glitches, and 74 in the O5 run. With the third-generation Einstein Telescope or Cosmic Explorer, 35-40% of glitches would be accessible. When specialising to a scenario where transient mountains produce the post-glitch GW emission, following the Yim & Jones model, the indirect upper limits are stricter. Out of the smaller set of 119 glitches with measured healing parameter, as needed for predictions under that model, only 6 glitches would have been within reach for O4 and 14 for O5, with a similar percentage as before with third generation detectors. We also discuss how this model matches the observed glitch population.

astro-ph.HE

General-relativistic precession in a black-hole binary

The general-relativistic phenomenon of spin-induced orbital precession has not yet been observed in strong-field gravity. Gravitational-wave observations of binary black holes (BBHs) are prime candidates, since we expect the astrophysical binary population to contain precessing binaries. Imprints of precession have been investigated in several signals, but no definitive identification of orbital precession has been reported in any one of the 84 BBH observations to date by the Advanced LIGO and Virgo detectors. Here we report the measurement of strong-field precession in the LIGO-Virgo-Kagra (LVK) gravitational-wave signal GW200129. The binary's orbit precesses at a rate ten orders of magnitude faster than previous weak-field measurements from binary pulsars. We also find that the primary black hole is likely highly spinning. According to current binary population estimates a GW200129-like signal is extremely unlikely, and therefore presents a direct challenge to many current binary formation models.

gr-qc