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Roger Lederman

Publications and source records attributed to Roger Lederman.

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Coordinating Spot and Contract Supply in Freight Marketplaces

The freight industry is undergoing a digital revolution, with an ever-growing volume of transactions being facilitated by digital marketplaces. A core capability of these marketplaces is the fulfillment of demand for truckload movements (loads) by procuring the services of carriers who execute them. Notably, these services are procured both through long-term contracts, where carriers commit capacity to execute loads (e.g., contracted fleet of drivers or lane-level commitments), and through short-term spot marketplaces, where carriers can agree to move individual loads for the offered price. This naturally couples two canonical problems of the transportation industry: contract assignment and spot pricing. In this work, we model and analyze the problem of coordinating long-term contract supply and short-term spot supply to minimize total procurement costs. We develop a Dual Frank Wolfe algorithm to compute shadow prices which allow the spot pricing policy to account for the committed contract capacity. We show that our algorithm achieves small relative regret against the optimal -- but intractable -- dynamic programming benchmark when the size of the market is large. Importantly, our Dual Frank Wolfe algorithm is computationally efficient, modular, and only requires oracle access to spot-pricing protocols, making it ideal for large-scale markets. Finally, we evaluate our algorithm on semi-synthetic data from a major Digital Freight Marketplace, and find that it yields significant savings ($\approx 10\%$) compared to a popular status-quo method.

cs.DS

Choice Modeling and Pricing for Scheduled Services

We describe a novel framework for discrete choice modeling and price optimization for settings where scheduled service options (often hierarchical) are offered to customers, which is applicable across many businesses including some within Amazon. In such business settings, the customers would see multiple options, often substitutable, with their features and their prices. These options typically vary in the start and/or end time of the service requested, such as the date of service or a service time window. The costs and demand can vary widely across these different options, resulting in the need for different prices. We propose a system which allows for segmenting the marketplace (as defined by the particular business) using decision trees, while using parametric discrete choice models within each market segment to accurately estimate conversion behavior. Using parametric discrete choice models allows us to capture important behavioral aspects like reference price effects which naturally occur in scheduled service applications. In addition, we provide natural and fast heuristics to do price optimization. For one such Amazon business where we conducted a live A/B experiment, this new framework outperformed the existing pricing system in every key metric, increasing our target performance metric by 19%, while providing a robust platform to support future new services of the business. The model framework has now been in full production for this business since Q4 2023.

econ.GN