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Rohit K. Patra

Publications and source records attributed to Rohit K. Patra.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

Generative Sequential Notification Optimization via Multi-Objective Decision Transformers

Notifications are an important communication channel for delivering timely and relevant information. Optimizing their delivery involves addressing complex sequential decision-making challenges under constraints such as message utility and user fatigue. Offline reinforcement learning (RL) methods, such as Conservative Q-Learning (CQL), have been applied to this problem but face practical challenges at scale, including instability, sensitivity to distribution shifts, limited reproducibility, and difficulties with explainability in high-dimensional recommendation settings. We present a Decision Transformer (DT) based framework that reframes policy learning as return-conditioned supervised learning, improving robustness, scalability, and modeling flexibility. Our contributions include a real-world comparison with CQL, a multi-reward design suitable for non-episodic tasks, a quantile regression approach to return-to-go conditioning, and a production-ready system with circular buffer-based sequence processing for near-real-time inference. Extensive offline and online experiments in a deployed notification system show that our approach improves notification utility and overall session activity while minimizing user fatigue. Compared to a multi-objective CQL-based agent, the DT-based approach achieved a +0.72% increase in sessions for notification decision-making at LinkedIn by making notification recommendation more relevant.

cs.LG

Least Squares Estimation of a Quasiconvex Regression Function

We develop a new approach for the estimation of a multivariate function based on the economic axioms of quasiconvexity (and monotonicity). On the computational side, we prove the existence of the quasiconvex constrained least squares estimator (LSE) and provide a characterization of the function space to compute the LSE via a mixed integer quadratic programme. On the theoretical side, we provide finite sample risk bounds for the LSE via a sharp oracle inequality. Our results allow for errors to depend on the covariates and to have only two finite moments. We illustrate the superior performance of the LSE against some competing estimators via simulation. Finally, we use the LSE to estimate the production function for the Japanese plywood industry and the cost function for hospitals across the US.

stat.ME

Dimension reduction for integrative survival analysis

We propose a constrained maximum partial likelihood estimator for dimension reduction in integrative (e.g., pan-cancer) survival analysis with high-dimensional covariates. We assume that for each population in the study, the hazard function follows a distinct Cox proportional hazards model. To borrow information across populations, we assume that all of the hazard functions depend only on a small number of linear combinations of the predictors. We estimate these linear combinations using an algorithm based on "distance-to-set" penalties. This allows us to impose both low-rankness and sparsity. We derive asymptotic results which reveal that our regression coefficient estimator is more efficient than fitting a separate proportional hazards model for each population. Numerical experiments suggest that our method outperforms related competitors under various data generating models. We use our method to perform a pan-cancer survival analysis relating protein expression to survival across 18 distinct cancer types. Our approach identifies six linear combinations, depending on only 20 proteins, which explain survival across the cancer types. Finally, we validate our fitted model on four external datasets and show that our estimated coefficients can lead to better prediction than popular competitors.

stat.ME

On Least Squares Estimation under Heteroscedastic and Heavy-Tailed Errors

We consider least squares estimation in a general nonparametric regression model. The rate of convergence of the least squares estimator (LSE) for the unknown regression function is well studied when the errors are sub-Gaussian. We find upper bounds on the rates of convergence of the LSE when the errors have uniformly bounded conditional variance and have only finitely many moments. We show that the interplay between the moment assumptions on the error, the metric entropy of the class of functions involved, and the "local" structure of the function class around the truth drives the rate of convergence of the LSE. We find sufficient conditions on the errors under which the rate of the LSE matches the rate of the LSE under sub-Gaussian error. Our results are finite sample and allow for heteroscedastic and heavy-tailed errors.

math.ST

Semiparametric Efficiency in Convexity Constrained Single Index Model

We consider estimation and inference in a single index regression model with an unknown convex link function. We introduce a convex and Lipschitz constrained least squares estimator (CLSE) for both the parametric and the nonparametric components given independent and identically distributed observations. We prove the consistency and find the rates of convergence of the CLSE when the errors are assumed to have only $q \ge 2$ moments and are allowed to depend on the covariates. When $q\ge 5$, we establish $n^{-1/2}$-rate of convergence and asymptotic normality of the estimator of the parametric component. Moreover, the CLSE is proved to be semiparametrically efficient if the errors happen to be homoscedastic. {We develop and implement a numerically stable and computationally fast algorithm to compute our proposed estimator in the R package~\texttt{simest}}. We illustrate our methodology through extensive simulations and data analysis. Finally, our proof of efficiency is geometric and provides a general framework that can be used to prove efficiency of estimators in a wide variety of semiparametric models even when they do not satisfy the efficient score equation directly.

math.ST

A semi-parametric model for target localization in distributed systems

Distributed systems serve as a key technological infrastructure for monitoring diverse systems across space and time. Examples of their widespread applications include: precision agriculture, surveillance, ecosystem and physical infrastructure monitoring, animal behavior and tracking, disaster response and recovery to name a few. Such systems comprise of a large number of sensor devices at fixed locations, wherein each individual sensor obtains measurements that are subsequently fused and processed at a central processing node. A key problem for such systems is to detect targets and identify their locations, for which a large body of literature has been developed focusing primarily on employing parametric models for signal attenuation from target to device. In this paper, we adopt a nonparametric approach that only assumes that the signal is nonincreasing as function of the distance between the sensor and the target. We propose a simple tuning parameter free estimator for the target location, namely, the simple score estimator (SSCE). We show that the SSCE is $\sqrt{n}$ consistent and has a Gaussian limit distribution which can be used to construct asymptotic confidence regions for the location of the target. We study the performance of the SSCE through extensive simulations, and finally demonstrate an application to target detection in a video surveillance data set.

stat.ME

A machine--vision method for automatic classification of stellar halo substructure

Tidal debris structures formed from disrupted satellites contain important clues about the assembly histories of galaxies. To date, studies of these structures have been hampered by reliance on by-eye identification and morphological classification which leaves their interpretation significantly uncertain. In this work we present a new machine-vision technique based on the Subspace-Constrained Mean Shift (SCMS) algorithm which can perform these tasks automatically. SCMS finds the location of the high-density `ridges' that define substructure morphology. After identification, the coefficients of an orthogonal series density estimator are used to classify points on the ridges as part of a continuum between shell-like or stream-like debris, from which a global morphological classification can be determined. We dub this procedure Subspace Constrained Unsupervised Detection of Structure (SCUDS). By applying this tool to controlled N--body simulations of minor mergers we demonstrate that the extracted classifications correspond to the well--understood underlying physics of phase mixing. The application of SCUDS to resolved stellar population data from near-future surveys will inform our understanding of the buildup of galaxies stellar halos.

astro-ph.GA