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Ronak Mehta

Publications and source records attributed to Ronak Mehta.

21 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Sampling-free Uncertainty Estimation in Gated Recurrent Units with Exponential Families

There has recently been a concerted effort to derive mechanisms in vision and machine learning systems to offer uncertainty estimates of the predictions they make. Clearly, there are enormous benefits to a system that is not only accurate but also has a sense for when it is not sure. Existing proposals center around Bayesian interpretations of modern deep architectures -- these are effective but can often be computationally demanding. We show how classical ideas in the literature on exponential families on probabilistic networks provide an excellent starting point to derive uncertainty estimates in Gated Recurrent Units (GRU). Our proposal directly quantifies uncertainty deterministically, without the need for costly sampling-based estimation. We demonstrate how our model can be used to quantitatively and qualitatively measure uncertainty in unsupervised image sequence prediction. To our knowledge, this is the first result describing sampling-free uncertainty estimation for powerful sequential models such as GRUs.

cs.LG↗

Robust Blind Deconvolution via Mirror Descent

We revisit the Blind Deconvolution problem with a focus on understanding its robustness and convergence properties. Provable robustness to noise and other perturbations is receiving recent interest in vision, from obtaining immunity to adversarial attacks to assessing and describing failure modes of algorithms in mission critical applications. Further, many blind deconvolution methods based on deep architectures internally make use of or optimize the basic formulation, so a clearer understanding of how this sub-module behaves, when it can be solved, and what noise injection it can tolerate is a first order requirement. We derive new insights into the theoretical underpinnings of blind deconvolution. The algorithm that emerges has nice convergence guarantees and is provably robust in a sense we formalize in the paper. Interestingly, these technical results play out very well in practice, where on standard datasets our algorithm yields results competitive with or superior to the state of the art. Keywords: blind deconvolution, robust continuous optimization

cs.CV↗

Finding Differentially Covarying Needles in a Temporally Evolving Haystack: A Scan Statistics Perspective

Recent results in coupled or temporal graphical models offer schemes for estimating the relationship structure between features when the data come from related (but distinct) longitudinal sources. A novel application of these ideas is for analyzing group-level differences, i.e., in identifying if trends of estimated objects (e.g., covariance or precision matrices) are different across disparate conditions (e.g., gender or disease). Often, poor effect sizes make detecting the differential signal over the full set of features difficult: for example, dependencies between only a subset of features may manifest differently across groups. In this work, we first give a parametric model for estimating trends in the space of SPD matrices as a function of one or more covariates. We then generalize scan statistics to graph structures, to search over distinct subsets of features (graph partitions) whose temporal dependency structure may show statistically significant group-wise differences. We theoretically analyze the Family Wise Error Rate (FWER) and bounds on Type 1 and Type 2 error. On a cohort of individuals with risk factors for Alzheimer's disease (but otherwise cognitively healthy), we find scientifically interesting group differences where the default analysis, i.e., models estimated on the full graph, do not survive reasonable significance thresholds.

stat.ML↗