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Ronan Fablet

Publications and source records attributed to Ronan Fablet.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Bounded nonlinear forecasts of partially observed geophysical systems with physics-constrained deep learning

The complexity of real-world geophysical systems is often compounded by the fact that the observed measurements depend on hidden variables. These latent variables include unresolved small scales and/or rapidly evolving processes, partially observed couplings, or forcings in coupled systems. This is the case in ocean-atmosphere dynamics, for which unknown interior dynamics can affect surface observations. The identification of computationally-relevant representations of such partially-observed and highly nonlinear systems is thus challenging and often limited to short-term forecast applications. Here, we investigate the physics-constrained learning of implicit dynamical embeddings, leveraging neural ordinary differential equation (NODE) representations. A key objective is to constrain their boundedness, which promotes the generalization of the learned dynamics to arbitrary initial condition. The proposed architecture is implemented within a deep learning framework, and its relevance is demonstrated with respect to state-of-the-art schemes for different case-studies representative of geophysical dynamics.

stat.ML↗

A posteriori learning of quasi-geostrophic turbulence parametrization: an experiment on integration steps

Modeling the subgrid-scale dynamics of reduced models is a long standing open problem that finds application in ocean, atmosphere and climate predictions where direct numerical simulation (DNS) is impossible. While neural networks (NNs) have already been applied to a range of three-dimensional flows with success, two dimensional flows are more challenging because of the backscatter of energy from small to large scales. We show that learning a model jointly with the dynamical solver and a meaningful \textit{a posteriori}-based loss function lead to stable and realistic simulations when applied to quasi-geostrophic turbulence.

cs.LG↗

Joint calibration and mapping of satellite altimetry data using trainable variational models

Satellite radar altimeters are a key source of observation of ocean surface dynamics. However, current sensor technology and mapping techniques do not yet allow to systematically resolve scales smaller than 100km. With their new sensors, upcoming wide-swath altimeter missions such as SWOT should help resolve finer scales. Current mapping techniques rely on the quality of the input data, which is why the raw data go through multiple preprocessing stages before being used. Those calibration stages are improved and refined over many years and represent a challenge when a new type of sensor start acquiring data. Here we show how a data-driven variational data assimilation framework could be used to jointly learn a calibration operator and an interpolator from non-calibrated data . The proposed framework significantly outperforms the operational state-of-the-art mapping pipeline and truly benefits from wide-swath data to resolve finer scales on the global map as well as in the SWOT sensor geometry.

cs.LG↗

Learning stochastic dynamical systems with neural networks mimicking the Euler-Maruyama scheme

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are one of the most important representations of dynamical systems. They are notable for the ability to include a deterministic component of the system and a stochastic one to represent random unknown factors. However, this makes learning SDEs much more challenging than ordinary differential equations (ODEs). In this paper, we propose a data driven approach where parameters of the SDE are represented by a neural network with a built-in SDE integration scheme. The loss function is based on a maximum likelihood criterion, under order one Markov Gaussian assumptions. The algorithm is applied to the geometric brownian motion and a stochastic version of the Lorenz-63 model. The latter is particularly hard to handle due to the presence of a stochastic component that depends on the state. The algorithm performance is attested using different simulations results. Besides, comparisons are performed with the reference gradient matching method used for non linear drift estimation, and a neural networks-based method, that does not consider the stochastic term.

cs.LG↗

Learning Runge-Kutta Integration Schemes for ODE Simulation and Identification

Deriving analytical solutions of ordinary differential equations is usually restricted to a small subset of problems and numerical techniques are considered. Inevitably, a numerical simulation of a differential equation will then always be distinct from a true analytical solution. An efficient integration scheme shall further not only provide a trajectory throughout a given state, but also be derived to ensure the generated simulation to be close to the analytical one. Consequently, several integration schemes were developed for different classes of differential equations. Unfortunately, when considering the integration of complex non-linear systems, as well as the identification of non-linear equations from data, this choice of the integration scheme is often far from being trivial. In this paper, we propose a novel framework to learn integration schemes that minimize an integration-related cost function. We demonstrate the relevance of the proposed learning-based approach for non-linear equations and include a quantitative analysis w.r.t. classical state-of-the-art integration techniques, especially where the latter may not apply.

math.NA↗

Physical invariance in neural networks for subgrid-scale scalar flux modeling

In this paper we present a new strategy to model the subgrid-scale scalar flux in a three-dimensional turbulent incompressible flow using physics-informed neural networks (NNs). When trained from direct numerical simulation (DNS) data, state-of-the-art neural networks, such as convolutional neural networks, may not preserve well known physical priors, which may in turn question their application to real case-studies. To address this issue, we investigate hard and soft constraints into the model based on classical transformation invariances and symmetries derived from physical laws. From simulation-based experiments, we show that the proposed transformation-invariant NN model outperforms both purely data-driven ones as well as parametric state-of-the-art subgrid-scale models. The considered invariances are regarded as regularizers on physical metrics during the a priori evaluation and constrain the distribution tails of the predicted subgrid-scale term to be closer to the DNS. They also increase the stability and performance of the model when used as a surrogate during a large-eddy simulation. Moreover, the transformation-invariant NN is shown to generalize to regimes that have not been seen during the training phase.

physics.flu-dyn↗

Variational Deep Learning for the Identification and Reconstruction of Chaotic and Stochastic Dynamical Systems from Noisy and Partial Observations

The data-driven recovery of the unknown governing equations of dynamical systems has recently received an increasing interest. However, the identification of governing equations remains challenging when dealing with noisy and partial observations. Here, we address this challenge and investigate variational deep learning schemes. Within the proposed framework, we jointly learn an inference model to reconstruct the true states of the system and the governing laws of these states from series of noisy and partial data. In doing so, this framework bridges classical data assimilation and state-of-the-art machine learning techniques. We also demonstrate that it generalises state-of-the-art methods. Importantly, both the inference model and the governing model embed stochastic components to account for stochastic variabilities, model errors, and reconstruction uncertainties. Various experiments on chaotic and stochastic dynamical systems support the relevance of our scheme w.r.t. state-of-the-art approaches.

cs.LG↗

GeoTrackNet-A Maritime Anomaly Detector using Probabilistic Neural Network Representation of AIS Tracks and A Contrario Detection

Representing maritime traffic patterns and detecting anomalies from them are key to vessel monitoring and maritime situational awareness. We propose a novel approach -- referred to as GeoTrackNet -- for maritime anomaly detection from AIS data streams. Our model exploits state-of-the-art neural network schemes to learn a probabilistic representation of AIS tracks and a contrario detection to detect abnormal events. The neural network provides a new means to capture complex and heterogeneous patterns in vessels' behaviours, while the \textit{a contrario} detector takes into account the fact that the learnt distribution may be location-dependent. Experiments on a real AIS dataset comprising more than 4.2 million AIS messages demonstrate the relevance of the proposed method compared with state-of-the-art schemes.

cs.LG↗

Detection of Abnormal Vessel Behaviours from AIS data using GeoTrackNet: from the Laboratory to the Ocean

The constant growth of maritime traffic leads to the need of automatic anomaly detection, which has been attracting great research attention. Information provided by AIS (Automatic Identification System) data, together with recent outstanding progresses of deep learning, make vessel monitoring using neural networks (NNs) a very promising approach. This paper analyses a novel neural network we have recently introduced -- GeoTrackNet -- regarding operational contexts. Especially, we aim to evaluate (i) the relevance of the abnormal behaviours detected by GeoTrackNet with respect to expert interpretations, (ii) the extent to which GeoTrackNet may process AIS data streams in real time. We report experiments showing the high potential to meet operational levels of the model.

cs.CY↗

Learning Variational Data Assimilation Models and Solvers

This paper addresses variational data assimilation from a learning point of view. Data assimilation aims to reconstruct the time evolution of some state given a series of observations, possibly noisy and irregularly-sampled. Using automatic differentiation tools embedded in deep learning frameworks, we introduce end-to-end neural network architectures for data assimilation. It comprises two key components: a variational model and a gradient-based solver both implemented as neural networks. A key feature of the proposed end-to-end learning architecture is that we may train the NN models using both supervised and unsupervised strategies. Our numerical experiments on Lorenz-63 and Lorenz-96 systems report significant gain w.r.t. a classic gradient-based minimization of the variational cost both in terms of reconstruction performance and optimization complexity. Intriguingly, we also show that the variational models issued from the true Lorenz-63 and Lorenz-96 ODE representations may not lead to the best reconstruction performance. We believe these results may open new research avenues for the specification of assimilation models in geoscience.

physics.comp-ph↗

Joint learning of variational representations and solvers for inverse problems with partially-observed data

Designing appropriate variational regularization schemes is a crucial part of solving inverse problems, making them better-posed and guaranteeing that the solution of the associated optimization problem satisfies desirable properties. Recently, learning-based strategies have appeared to be very efficient for solving inverse problems, by learning direct inversion schemes or plug-and-play regularizers from available pairs of true states and observations. In this paper, we go a step further and design an end-to-end framework allowing to learn actual variational frameworks for inverse problems in such a supervised setting. The variational cost and the gradient-based solver are both stated as neural networks using automatic differentiation for the latter. We can jointly learn both components to minimize the data reconstruction error on the true states. This leads to a data-driven discovery of variational models. We consider an application to inverse problems with incomplete datasets (image inpainting and multivariate time series interpolation). We experimentally illustrate that this framework can lead to a significant gain in terms of reconstruction performance, including w.r.t. the direct minimization of the variational formulation derived from the known generative model.

cs.LG↗

Filtering Internal Tides From Wide-Swath Altimeter Data Using Convolutional Neural Networks

The upcoming Surface Water Ocean Topography (SWOT) satellite altimetry mission is expected to yield two-dimensional high-resolution measurements of Sea Surface Height (SSH), thus allowing for a better characterization of the mesoscale and submesoscale eddy field. However, to fulfill the promises of this mission, filtering the tidal component of the SSH measurements is necessary. This challenging problem is crucial since the posterior studies done by physical oceanographers using SWOT data will depend heavily on the selected filtering schemes. In this paper, we cast this problem into a supervised learning framework and propose the use of convolutional neural networks (ConvNets) to estimate fields free of internal tide signals. Numerical experiments based on an advanced North Atlantic simulation of the ocean circulation (eNATL60) show that our ConvNet considerably reduces the imprint of the internal waves in SSH data even in regions unseen by the neural network. We also investigate the relevance of considering additional data from other sea surface variables such as sea surface temperature (SST).

physics.ao-ph↗

PDE-NetGen 1.0: from symbolic PDE representations of physical processes to trainable neural network representations

Bridging physics and deep learning is a topical challenge. While deep learning frameworks open avenues in physical science, the design of physically-consistent deep neural network architectures is an open issue. In the spirit of physics-informed NNs, PDE-NetGen package provides new means to automatically translate physical equations, given as PDEs, into neural network architectures. PDE-NetGen combines symbolic calculus and a neural network generator. The later exploits NN-based implementations of PDE solvers using Keras. With some knowledge of a problem, PDE-NetGen is a plug-and-play tool to generate physics-informed NN architectures. They provide computationally-efficient yet compact representations to address a variety of issues, including among others adjoint derivation, model calibration, forecasting, data assimilation as well as uncertainty quantification. As an illustration, the workflow is first presented for the 2D diffusion equation, then applied to the data-driven and physics-informed identification of uncertainty dynamics for the Burgers equation.

physics.comp-ph↗

Learning Endmember Dynamics in Multitemporal Hyperspectral Data Using a State-Space Model Formulation

Hyperspectral image unmixing is an inverse problem aiming at recovering the spectral signatures of pure materials of interest (called endmembers) and estimating their proportions (called abundances) in every pixel of the image. However, in spite of a tremendous applicative potential and the avent of new satellite sensors with high temporal resolution, multitemporal hyperspectral unmixing is still a relatively underexplored research avenue in the community, compared to standard image unmixing. In this paper, we propose a new framework for multitemporal unmixing and endmember extraction based on a state-space model, and present a proof of concept on simulated data to show how this representation can be used to inform multitemporal unmixing with external prior knowledge, or on the contrary to learn the dynamics of the quantities involved from data using neural network architectures adapted to the identification of dynamical systems.

eess.IV↗

Learning Generalized Quasi-Geostrophic Models Using Deep Neural Numerical Models

We introduce a new strategy designed to help physicists discover hidden laws governing dynamical systems. We propose to use machine learning automatic differentiation libraries to develop hybrid numerical models that combine components based on prior physical knowledge with components based on neural networks. In these architectures, named Deep Neural Numerical Models (DNNMs), the neural network components are used as building-blocks then deployed for learning hidden variables of underlying physical laws governing dynamical systems. In this paper, we illustrate an application of DNNMs to upper ocean dynamics, more precisely the dynamics of a sea surface tracer, the Sea Surface Height (SSH). We develop an advection-based fully differentiable numerical scheme, where parts of the computations can be replaced with learnable ConvNets, and make connections with the single-layer Quasi-Geostrophic (QG) model, a baseline theory in physical oceanography developed decades ago.

cs.LG↗

End-to-end learning of energy-based representations for irregularly-sampled signals and images

For numerous domains, including for instance earth observation, medical imaging, astrophysics,..., available image and signal datasets often involve irregular space-time sampling patterns and large missing data rates. These sampling properties may be critical to apply state-of-the-art learning-based (e.g., auto-encoders, CNNs,...), fully benefit from the available large-scale observations and reach breakthroughs in the reconstruction and identification of processes of interest. In this paper, we address the end-to-end learning of representations of signals, images and image sequences from irregularly-sampled data, i.e. when the training data involved missing data. From an analogy to Bayesian formulation, we consider energy-based representations. Two energy forms are investigated: one derived from auto-encoders and one relating to Gibbs priors. The learning stage of these energy-based representations (or priors) involve a joint interpolation issue, which amounts to solving an energy minimization problem under observation constraints. Using a neural-network-based implementation of the considered energy forms, we can state an end-to-end learning scheme from irregularly-sampled data. We demonstrate the relevance of the proposed representations for different case-studies: namely, multivariate time series, 2D images and image sequences.

cs.CV↗

Learning Latent Dynamics for Partially-Observed Chaotic Systems

This paper addresses the data-driven identification of latent dynamical representations of partially-observed systems, i.e., dynamical systems for which some components are never observed, with an emphasis on forecasting applications, including long-term asymptotic patterns. Whereas state-of-the-art data-driven approaches rely on delay embeddings and linear decompositions of the underlying operators, we introduce a framework based on the data-driven identification of an augmented state-space model using a neural-network-based representation. For a given training dataset, it amounts to jointly learn an ODE (Ordinary Differential Equation) representation in the latent space and reconstructing latent states. Through numerical experiments, we demonstrate the relevance of the proposed framework w.r.t. state-of-the-art approaches in terms of short-term forecasting performance and long-term behaviour. We further discuss how the proposed framework relates to Koopman operator theory and Takens' embedding theorem.

stat.ML↗

EM-like Learning Chaotic Dynamics from Noisy and Partial Observations

The identification of the governing equations of chaotic dynamical systems from data has recently emerged as a hot topic. While the seminal work by Brunton et al. reported proof-of-concepts for idealized observation setting for fully-observed systems, {\em i.e.} large signal-to-noise ratios and high-frequency sampling of all system variables, we here address the learning of data-driven representations of chaotic dynamics for partially-observed systems, including significant noise patterns and possibly lower and irregular sampling setting. Instead of considering training losses based on short-term prediction error like state-of-the-art learning-based schemes, we adopt a Bayesian formulation and state this issue as a data assimilation problem with unknown model parameters. To solve for the joint inference of the hidden dynamics and of model parameters, we combine neural-network representations and state-of-the-art assimilation schemes. Using iterative Expectation-Maximization (EM)-like procedures, the key feature of the proposed inference schemes is the derivation of the posterior of the hidden dynamics. Using a neural-network-based Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) representation of these dynamics, we investigate two strategies: their combination to Ensemble Kalman Smoothers and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)-based variational approximations of the posterior. Through numerical experiments on the Lorenz-63 system with different noise and time sampling settings, we demonstrate the ability of the proposed schemes to recover and reproduce the hidden chaotic dynamics, including their Lyapunov characteristic exponents, when classic machine learning approaches fail.

cs.LG↗