arXiv subjects

Ruichu Cai

Publications and source records attributed to Ruichu Cai.

At least 91 records · Page 5Linked to original sources

arXiv2023

Transferable Time-Series Forecasting under Causal Conditional Shift

This paper focuses on the problem of semi-supervised domain adaptation for time-series forecasting, which is underexplored in literatures, despite being often encountered in practice. Existing methods on time-series domain adaptation mainly follow the paradigm designed for the static data, which cannot handle domain-specific complex conditional dependencies raised by data offset, time lags, and variant data distributions. In order to address these challenges, we analyze variational conditional dependencies in time-series data and find that the causal structures are usually stable among domains, and further raise the causal conditional shift assumption. Enlightened by this assumption, we consider the causal generation process for time-series data and propose an end-to-end model for the semi-supervised domain adaptation problem on time-series forecasting. Our method can not only discover the Granger-Causal structures among cross-domain data but also address the cross-domain time-series forecasting problem with accurate and interpretable predicted results. We further theoretically analyze the superiority of the proposed method, where the generalization error on the target domain is bounded by the empirical risks and by the discrepancy between the causal structures from different domains. Experimental results on both synthetic and real data demonstrate the effectiveness of our method for the semi-supervised domain adaptation method on time-series forecasting.

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arXiv2023

Generalization bound for estimating causal effects from observational network data

Estimating causal effects from observational network data is a significant but challenging problem. Existing works in causal inference for observational network data lack an analysis of the generalization bound, which can theoretically provide support for alleviating the complex confounding bias and practically guide the design of learning objectives in a principled manner. To fill this gap, we derive a generalization bound for causal effect estimation in network scenarios by exploiting 1) the reweighting schema based on joint propensity score and 2) the representation learning schema based on Integral Probability Metric (IPM). We provide two perspectives on the generalization bound in terms of reweighting and representation learning, respectively. Motivated by the analysis of the bound, we propose a weighting regression method based on the joint propensity score augmented with representation learning. Extensive experimental studies on two real-world networks with semi-synthetic data demonstrate the effectiveness of our algorithm.

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arXiv2023

Causal-learn: Causal Discovery in Python

Causal discovery aims at revealing causal relations from observational data, which is a fundamental task in science and engineering. We describe $\textit{causal-learn}$, an open-source Python library for causal discovery. This library focuses on bringing a comprehensive collection of causal discovery methods to both practitioners and researchers. It provides easy-to-use APIs for non-specialists, modular building blocks for developers, detailed documentation for learners, and comprehensive methods for all. Different from previous packages in R or Java, $\textit{causal-learn}$ is fully developed in Python, which could be more in tune with the recent preference shift in programming languages within related communities. The library is available at https://github.com/py-why/causal-learn.

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arXiv2023

Motif Graph Neural Network

Graphs can model complicated interactions between entities, which naturally emerge in many important applications. These applications can often be cast into standard graph learning tasks, in which a crucial step is to learn low-dimensional graph representations. Graph neural networks (GNNs) are currently the most popular model in graph embedding approaches. However, standard GNNs in the neighborhood aggregation paradigm suffer from limited discriminative power in distinguishing \emph{high-order} graph structures as opposed to \emph{low-order} structures. To capture high-order structures, researchers have resorted to motifs and developed motif-based GNNs. However, existing motif-based GNNs still often suffer from less discriminative power on high-order structures. To overcome the above limitations, we propose Motif Graph Neural Network (MGNN), a novel framework to better capture high-order structures, hinging on our proposed motif redundancy minimization operator and injective motif combination. First, MGNN produces a set of node representations w.r.t. each motif. The next phase is our proposed redundancy minimization among motifs which compares the motifs with each other and distills the features unique to each motif. Finally, MGNN performs the updating of node representations by combining multiple representations from different motifs. In particular, to enhance the discriminative power, MGNN utilizes an injective function to combine the representations w.r.t. different motifs. We further show that our proposed architecture increases the expressive power of GNNs with a theoretical analysis. We demonstrate that MGNN outperforms state-of-the-art methods on seven public benchmarks on both node classification and graph classification tasks.

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arXiv2023

A Survey on Causal Reinforcement Learning

While Reinforcement Learning (RL) achieves tremendous success in sequential decision-making problems of many domains, it still faces key challenges of data inefficiency and the lack of interpretability. Interestingly, many researchers have leveraged insights from the causality literature recently, bringing forth flourishing works to unify the merits of causality and address well the challenges from RL. As such, it is of great necessity and significance to collate these Causal Reinforcement Learning (CRL) works, offer a review of CRL methods, and investigate the potential functionality from causality toward RL. In particular, we divide existing CRL approaches into two categories according to whether their causality-based information is given in advance or not. We further analyze each category in terms of the formalization of different models, ranging from the Markov Decision Process (MDP), Partially Observed Markov Decision Process (POMDP), Multi-Arm Bandits (MAB), and Dynamic Treatment Regime (DTR). Moreover, we summarize the evaluation matrices and open sources while we discuss emerging applications, along with promising prospects for the future development of CRL.

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arXiv2023

Causal Discovery with Latent Confounders Based on Higher-Order Cumulants

Causal discovery with latent confounders is an important but challenging task in many scientific areas. Despite the success of some overcomplete independent component analysis (OICA) based methods in certain domains, they are computationally expensive and can easily get stuck into local optima. We notice that interestingly, by making use of higher-order cumulants, there exists a closed-form solution to OICA in specific cases, e.g., when the mixing procedure follows the One-Latent-Component structure. In light of the power of the closed-form solution to OICA corresponding to the One-Latent-Component structure, we formulate a way to estimate the mixing matrix using the higher-order cumulants, and further propose the testable One-Latent-Component condition to identify the latent variables and determine causal orders. By iteratively removing the share identified latent components, we successfully extend the results on the One-Latent-Component structure to the Multi-Latent-Component structure and finally provide a practical and asymptotically correct algorithm to learn the causal structure with latent variables. Experimental results illustrate the asymptotic correctness and effectiveness of the proposed method.

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arXiv2023

Structural Hawkes Processes for Learning Causal Structure from Discrete-Time Event Sequences

Learning causal structure among event types from discrete-time event sequences is a particularly important but challenging task. Existing methods, such as the multivariate Hawkes processes based methods, mostly boil down to learning the so-called Granger causality which assumes that the cause event happens strictly prior to its effect event. Such an assumption is often untenable beyond applications, especially when dealing with discrete-time event sequences in low-resolution; and typical discrete Hawkes processes mainly suffer from identifiability issues raised by the instantaneous effect, i.e., the causal relationship that occurred simultaneously due to the low-resolution data will not be captured by Granger causality. In this work, we propose Structure Hawkes Processes (SHPs) that leverage the instantaneous effect for learning the causal structure among events type in discrete-time event sequence. The proposed method is featured with the minorization-maximization of the likelihood function and a sparse optimization scheme. Theoretical results show that the instantaneous effect is a blessing rather than a curse, and the causal structure is identifiable under the existence of the instantaneous effect. Experiments on synthetic and real-world data verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.

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arXiv2023

CCSL: A Causal Structure Learning Method from Multiple Unknown Environments

Most existing causal structure learning methods assume data collected from one environment and independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). In some cases, data are collected from different subjects from multiple environments, which provides more information but might make the data non-identical or non-independent distribution. Some previous efforts try to learn causal structure from this type of data in two independent stages, i.e., first discovering i.i.d. groups from non-i.i.d. samples, then learning the causal structures from different groups. This straightforward solution ignores the intrinsic connections between the two stages, that is both the clustering stage and the learning stage should be guided by the same causal mechanism. Towards this end, we propose a unified Causal Cluster Structures Learning (named CCSL) method for causal discovery from non-i.i.d. data. This method simultaneously integrates the following two tasks: 1) clustering samples of the subjects with the same causal mechanism into different groups; 2) learning causal structures from the samples within the group. Specifically, for the former, we provide a Causality-related Chinese Restaurant Process to cluster samples based on the similarity of the causal structure; for the latter, we introduce a variational-inference-based approach to learn the causal structures. Theoretical results provide identification of the causal model and the clustering model under the linear non-Gaussian assumption. Experimental results on both simulated and real-world data further validate the correctness and effectiveness of the proposed method.

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arXiv2022

TEA: A Sequential Recommendation Framework via Temporally Evolving Aggregations

Sequential recommendation aims to choose the most suitable items for a user at a specific timestamp given historical behaviors. Existing methods usually model the user behavior sequence based on the transition-based methods like Markov Chain. However, these methods also implicitly assume that the users are independent of each other without considering the influence between users. In fact, this influence plays an important role in sequence recommendation since the behavior of a user is easily affected by others. Therefore, it is desirable to aggregate both user behaviors and the influence between users, which are evolved temporally and involved in the heterogeneous graph of users and items. In this paper, we incorporate dynamic user-item heterogeneous graphs to propose a novel sequential recommendation framework. As a result, the historical behaviors as well as the influence between users can be taken into consideration. To achieve this, we firstly formalize sequential recommendation as a problem to estimate conditional probability given temporal dynamic heterogeneous graphs and user behavior sequences. After that, we exploit the conditional random field to aggregate the heterogeneous graphs and user behaviors for probability estimation, and employ the pseudo-likelihood approach to derive a tractable objective function. Finally, we provide scalable and flexible implementations of the proposed framework. Experimental results on three real-world datasets not only demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed method but also provide some insightful discoveries on sequential recommendation.

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arXiv2022

THP: Topological Hawkes Processes for Learning Causal Structure on Event Sequences

Learning causal structure among event types on multi-type event sequences is an important but challenging task. Existing methods, such as the Multivariate Hawkes processes, mostly assumed that each sequence is independent and identically distributed. However, in many real-world applications, it is commonplace to encounter a topological network behind the event sequences such that an event is excited or inhibited not only by its history but also by its topological neighbors. Consequently, the failure in describing the topological dependency among the event sequences leads to the error detection of the causal structure. By considering the Hawkes processes from the view of temporal convolution, we propose a Topological Hawkes process (THP) to draw a connection between the graph convolution in the topology domain and the temporal convolution in time domains. We further propose a causal structure learning method on THP in a likelihood framework. The proposed method is featured with the graph convolution-based likelihood function of THP and a sparse optimization scheme with an Expectation-Maximization of the likelihood function. Theoretical analysis and experiments on both synthetic and real-world data demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method

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arXiv2022

Time-Series Domain Adaptation via Sparse Associative Structure Alignment: Learning Invariance and Variance

Domain adaptation on time-series data is often encountered in the industry but received limited attention in academia. Most of the existing domain adaptation methods for time-series data borrow the ideas from the existing methods for non-time series data to extract the domain-invariant representation. However, two peculiar difficulties to time-series data have not been solved. 1) It is not a trivial task to model the domain-invariant and complex dependence among different timestamps. 2) The domain-variant information is important but how to leverage them is almost underexploited. Fortunately, the stableness of causal structures among different domains inspires us to explore the structures behind the time-series data. Based on this inspiration, we investigate the domain-invariant unweighted sparse associative structures and the domain-variant strengths of the structures. To achieve this, we propose Sparse Associative structure alignment by learning Invariance and Variance (SASA-IV in short), a model that simultaneously aligns the invariant unweighted spare associative structures and considers the variant information for time-series unsupervised domain adaptation. Technologically, we extract the domain-invariant unweighted sparse associative structures with a unidirectional alignment restriction and embed the domain-variant strengths via a well-designed autoregressive module. Experimental results not only testify that our model yields state-of-the-art performance on three real-world datasets but also provide some insightful discoveries on knowledge transfer.

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arXiv2022

Causal Discovery with Multi-Domain LiNGAM for Latent Factors

Discovering causal structures among latent factors from observed data is a particularly challenging problem. Despite some efforts for this problem, existing methods focus on the single-domain data only. In this paper, we propose Multi-Domain Linear Non-Gaussian Acyclic Models for Latent Factors (MD-LiNA), where the causal structure among latent factors of interest is shared for all domains, and we provide its identification results. The model enriches the causal representation for multi-domain data. We propose an integrated two-phase algorithm to estimate the model. In particular, we first locate the latent factors and estimate the factor loading matrix. Then to uncover the causal structure among shared latent factors of interest, we derive a score function based on the characterization of independence relations between external influences and the dependence relations between multi-domain latent factors and latent factors of interest. We show that the proposed method provides locally consistent estimators. Experimental results on both synthetic and real-world data demonstrate the efficacy and robustness of our approach.

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arXiv2022

SADGA: Structure-Aware Dual Graph Aggregation Network for Text-to-SQL

The Text-to-SQL task, aiming to translate the natural language of the questions into SQL queries, has drawn much attention recently. One of the most challenging problems of Text-to-SQL is how to generalize the trained model to the unseen database schemas, also known as the cross-domain Text-to-SQL task. The key lies in the generalizability of (i) the encoding method to model the question and the database schema and (ii) the question-schema linking method to learn the mapping between words in the question and tables/columns in the database schema. Focusing on the above two key issues, we propose a Structure-Aware Dual Graph Aggregation Network (SADGA) for cross-domain Text-to-SQL. In SADGA, we adopt the graph structure to provide a unified encoding model for both the natural language question and database schema. Based on the proposed unified modeling, we further devise a structure-aware aggregation method to learn the mapping between the question-graph and schema-graph. The structure-aware aggregation method is featured with Global Graph Linking, Local Graph Linking, and Dual-Graph Aggregation Mechanism. We not only study the performance of our proposal empirically but also achieved 3rd place on the challenging Text-to-SQL benchmark Spider at the time of writing.

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arXiv2022

REST: Debiased Social Recommendation via Reconstructing Exposure Strategies

The recommendation system, relying on historical observational data to model the complex relationships among the users and items, has achieved great success in real-world applications. Selection bias is one of the most important issues of the existing observational data based approaches, which is actually caused by multiple types of unobserved exposure strategies (e.g. promotions and holiday effects). Though various methods have been proposed to address this problem, they are mainly relying on the implicit debiasing techniques but not explicitly modeling the unobserved exposure strategies. By explicitly Reconstructing Exposure STrategies (REST in short), we formalize the recommendation problem as the counterfactual reasoning and propose the debiased social recommendation method. In REST, we assume that the exposure of an item is controlled by the latent exposure strategies, the user, and the item. Based on the above generation process, we first provide the theoretical guarantee of our method via identification analysis. Second, we employ a variational auto-encoder to reconstruct the latent exposure strategies, with the help of the social networks and the items. Third, we devise a counterfactual reasoning based recommendation algorithm by leveraging the recovered exposure strategies. Experiments on four real-world datasets, including three published datasets and one private WeChat Official Account dataset, demonstrate significant improvements over several state-of-the-art methods.

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arXiv2021

Time Series Domain Adaptation via Sparse Associative Structure Alignment

Domain adaptation on time series data is an important but challenging task. Most of the existing works in this area are based on the learning of the domain-invariant representation of the data with the help of restrictions like MMD. However, such extraction of the domain-invariant representation is a non-trivial task for time series data, due to the complex dependence among the timestamps. In detail, in the fully dependent time series, a small change of the time lags or the offsets may lead to difficulty in the domain invariant extraction. Fortunately, the stability of the causality inspired us to explore the domain invariant structure of the data. To reduce the difficulty in the discovery of causal structure, we relax it to the sparse associative structure and propose a novel sparse associative structure alignment model for domain adaptation. First, we generate the segment set to exclude the obstacle of offsets. Second, the intra-variables and inter-variables sparse attention mechanisms are devised to extract associative structure time-series data with considering time lags. Finally, the associative structure alignment is used to guide the transfer of knowledge from the source domain to the target one. Experimental studies not only verify the good performance of our methods on three real-world datasets but also provide some insightful discoveries on the transferred knowledge.

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arXiv2021

Graph Domain Adaptation: A Generative View

Recent years have witnessed tremendous interest in deep learning on graph-structured data. Due to the high cost of collecting labeled graph-structured data, domain adaptation is important to supervised graph learning tasks with limited samples. However, current graph domain adaptation methods are generally adopted from traditional domain adaptation tasks, and the properties of graph-structured data are not well utilized. For example, the observed social networks on different platforms are controlled not only by the different crowd or communities but also by the domain-specific policies and the background noise. Based on these properties in graph-structured data, we first assume that the graph-structured data generation process is controlled by three independent types of latent variables, i.e., the semantic latent variables, the domain latent variables, and the random latent variables. Based on this assumption, we propose a disentanglement-based unsupervised domain adaptation method for the graph-structured data, which applies variational graph auto-encoders to recover these latent variables and disentangles them via three supervised learning modules. Extensive experimental results on two real-world datasets in the graph classification task reveal that our method not only significantly outperforms the traditional domain adaptation methods and the disentangled-based domain adaptation methods but also outperforms the state-of-the-art graph domain adaptation algorithms.

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arXiv2021

FRITL: A Hybrid Method for Causal Discovery in the Presence of Latent Confounders

We consider the problem of estimating a particular type of linear non-Gaussian model. Without resorting to the overcomplete Independent Component Analysis (ICA), we show that under some mild assumptions, the model is uniquely identified by a hybrid method. Our method leverages the advantages of constraint-based methods and independent noise-based methods to handle both confounded and unconfounded situations. The first step of our method uses the FCI procedure, which allows confounders and is able to produce asymptotically correct results. The results, unfortunately, usually determine very few unconfounded direct causal relations, because whenever it is possible to have a confounder, it will indicate it. The second step of our procedure finds the unconfounded causal edges between observed variables among only those adjacent pairs informed by the FCI results. By making use of the so-called Triad condition, the third step is able to find confounders and their causal relations with other variables. Afterward, we apply ICA on a notably smaller set of graphs to identify remaining causal relationships if needed. Extensive experiments on simulated data and real-world data validate the correctness and effectiveness of the proposed method.

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arXiv2020

Semi-Supervised Disentangled Framework for Transferable Named Entity Recognition

Named entity recognition (NER) for identifying proper nouns in unstructured text is one of the most important and fundamental tasks in natural language processing. However, despite the widespread use of NER models, they still require a large-scale labeled data set, which incurs a heavy burden due to manual annotation. Domain adaptation is one of the most promising solutions to this problem, where rich labeled data from the relevant source domain are utilized to strengthen the generalizability of a model based on the target domain. However, the mainstream cross-domain NER models are still affected by the following two challenges (1) Extracting domain-invariant information such as syntactic information for cross-domain transfer. (2) Integrating domain-specific information such as semantic information into the model to improve the performance of NER. In this study, we present a semi-supervised framework for transferable NER, which disentangles the domain-invariant latent variables and domain-specific latent variables. In the proposed framework, the domain-specific information is integrated with the domain-specific latent variables by using a domain predictor. The domain-specific and domain-invariant latent variables are disentangled using three mutual information regularization terms, i.e., maximizing the mutual information between the domain-specific latent variables and the original embedding, maximizing the mutual information between the domain-invariant latent variables and the original embedding, and minimizing the mutual information between the domain-specific and domain-invariant latent variables. Extensive experiments demonstrated that our model can obtain state-of-the-art performance with cross-domain and cross-lingual NER benchmark data sets.

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