arXiv subjects

S. Cole

Publications and source records attributed to S. Cole.

At least 91 records · Page 5Linked to original sources

arXiv2012

The contribution of star-forming galaxies to fluctuations in the cosmic background light

Star-forming galaxies which are too faint to be detected individually produce intensity fluctuations in the cosmic background light. This contribution needs to be taken into account as a foreground when using the primordial signal to constrain cosmological parameters. The extragalactic fluctuations are also interesting in their own right as they depend on the star formation history of the Universe and the way in which this connects with the formation of cosmic structure. We present a new framework which allows us to predict the occupation of dark matter haloes by star-forming galaxies and uses this information, in conjunction with an N-body simulation of structure formation, to predict the power spectrum of intensity fluctuations in the infrared background. We compute the emission from galaxies at far-infrared, millimetre and radio wavelengths. Our method gives accurate predictions for the clustering of galaxies both for the one halo and two halo terms. We illustrate our new framework using a previously published model which reproduces the number counts and redshift distribution of galaxies selected by their emission at $850\,μ$m. Without adjusting any of the model parameters, the predictions show encouraging agreement at high frequencies and on small angular scales with recent estimates of the extragalactic fluctuations in the background made from early data analysed by the Planck Collaboration. There are, however, substantial discrepancies between the model predictions and observations on large angular scales and at low frequencies, which illustrates the usefulness of the intensity fluctuations as a constraint on galaxy formation models.

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arXiv2012

Principles of supernova-driven winds

The formation of galaxies is regulated by a balance between the supply of gas and the rate at which it is ejected. Traditional explanations of gas ejection equate the energy required to escape the galaxy or host halo to an estimate for the energy yield from supernovae. This yield is usually assumed to be a constant fraction of the total available from the supernova, or is derived from the assumption of a consistent momentum yield. By applying these ideas in the context of a cold dark matter cosmogony, we derive a 1st-order analytic connection between these working assumptions and the expected relationship between baryon content and galaxy circular velocity, and find that these quick predictions straddle recent observational estimates. To examine the premises behind these theories in more detail, we then explore their applicability to a set of gasdynamical simulations of idealised galaxies. We show that different premises dominate to differing degrees in the simulated outflow, depending on the mass of the system and the resolution with which it is simulated. Using this study to anticipate the emergent behaviour at arbitrarily high resolution, we motivate more comprehensive analytic model which allows for the range of velocities with which the gas may exit the system, and incorporates both momentum and energy-based constraints on the outflow. Using a trial exit velocity distribution, this is shown to be compatible with the observed baryon fractions in intermediate-mass systems, but implies that current estimates for low-mass systems can not be solely accounted for by supernova winds under commonly-held assumptions.

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arXiv2011

Substructure in the stellar halos of the Aquarius simulations

We characterize substructure in the simulated stellar halos of Cooper et al. (2010) which were formed by the disruption of satellite galaxies within the cosmological N-body simulations of galactic halos of the Aquarius Project. These stellar halos exhibit a wealth of tidal features: broad overdensities and very narrow faint streams akin to those observed around the Milky Way. The substructures are distributed anisotropically on the sky, a characteristic that should become apparent in the next generation of photometric surveys. The normalized RMS of the density of stars on the sky appears to be systematically larger for our halos compared to the value estimated for the Milky Way from main sequence turn-off stars in the Sloan Digital Sky Survey. We show that this is likely to be due in part to contamination by faint QSOs and redder main sequence stars, and might suggest that ~10% of the Milky Way halo stars have formed in-situ.

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arXiv2011

A Two-Point Correlation Function For Galactic Halo Stars

We describe a correlation function statistic that quantifies the amount of spatial and kinematic substructure in the stellar halo. We test this statistic using model stellar halo realizations constructed from the Aquarius suite of six high-resolution N-body simulations in combination with the Galform semi-analytic galaxy formation model. These simulations show considerable scatter in the properties of stellar haloes. We find that our statistic can distinguish between these plausible alternatives for the global structure of the Milky Way stellar halo. We compare with observational data and show that pencil beam surveys of ~100 tracer stars (such as the Spaghetti Survey) are not sufficient to constrain the degree of structure in the Milky Way halo with this statistic. Larger area surveys with >1000 tracer stars (such as BHB stars in the Sloan Digital Sky Survey) provide much tighter constraints on comparisons between models and data. In our simulations, we find examples of haloes with spatial and kinematic substructure consistent with the available Milky Way data.

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arXiv2010

The evolution of AGN across cosmic time: what is downsizing?

We use a coupled model of the formation and evolution of galaxies and black holes (BH) to study the evolution of active galactic nuclei (AGN) in a cold dark matter universe. The model predicts the BH mass, spin and mass accretion history. BH mass grows via accretion triggered by discs becoming dynamically unstable or galaxy mergers (called the starburst mode) and accretion from quasi-hydrostatic hot gas haloes (called the hot-halo mode). By taking into account AGN obscuration, we obtain a very good fit to the observed luminosity functions (LF) of AGN (optical, soft and hard X-ray, and bolometric) for a wide range of redshifts (0<z<6). The model predicts a hierarchical build up of BH mass, with the typical mass of actively growing BHs increasing with decreasing redshift. Remarkably, despite this, we find downsizing in the AGN population, in terms of the differential growth with redshift of the space density of faint and bright AGN. This arises naturally from the interplay between the starburst and hot-halo accretion modes. The faint end of the LF is dominated by massive BHs experiencing quiescent accretion via a thick disc, primarily during the hot-halo mode. The bright end of the LF, on the other hand, is dominated by AGN which host BHs accreting close to or in excess of the Eddington limit during the starburst mode. The model predicts that the comoving space density of AGN peaks at z~3, similar to the star formation history. However, when taking into account obscuration, the space density of faint AGN peaks at lower redshift (z<2) than that of bright AGN (z~2-3). This implies that the cosmic evolution of AGN is shaped in part by obscuration.

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arXiv2010

Grand unification of AGN activity in the LambdaCDM cosmology

We track the co-evolution of supermassive black holes (SMBHs) and their host galaxies. The calculation is embedded in the GALFORM semi-analytical model which simulates the formation and evolution of galaxies in a cold dark matter (CDM) universe. During the evolution of the host galaxy, hot and cold gas are added to the SMBH by flows triggered by halo gas cooling, disc instabilities and galaxy mergers. This builds up the mass and spin of the BH, and the resulting accretion power regulates the gas cooling and subsequent star formation. The accretion flow is assumed to form a geometrically thin cool disc when the accretion rate exceeds 0.01\dot{M}_Edd, and a geometrically thick, radiatively inefficient hot flow when the accretion rate falls below this value. The resulting quasar optical luminosity function matches observations very well, and the mass of the SMBH correlates with the mass of the galaxy bulge as observed. The BH spin distribution depends strongly on whether the gas in any given accretion episode remains in the same plane (prolonged accretion) or whether, due to self-gravity, it fragments into multiple, randomly aligned accretion episodes (chaotic accretion). In the chaotic accretion model there is a clear correlation of spin with SMBH mass. Massive BHs (M>5\times10^8\Msun) are hosted by giant elliptical galaxies and are rapidly spinning, while lower mass BHs are hosted in spiral galaxies and have much lower spin. Using the Blandford-Znajek mechanism for jet production to calculate the jet power, our model is able to reproduce the radio loudness of radio galaxies, LINERS and Seyferts. This is the first confirmation that a CDM galaxy formation model can reproduce the observed phenomenology of AGN.

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arXiv2010

The Parameter Space of Galaxy Formation

Semi-analytic models are a powerful tool for studying the formation of galaxies. However, these models inevitably involve a significant number of poorly constrained parameters that must be adjusted to provide an acceptable match to the observed universe. In this paper, we set out to quantify the degree to which observational data-sets can constrain the model parameters. By revealing degeneracies in the parameter space we can hope to better understand the key physical processes probed by the data. We use novel mathematical techniques to explore the parameter space of the GALFORM semi-analytic model. We base our investigation on the Bower et al. 2006 version of GALFORM, adopting the same methodology of selecting model parameters based on an acceptable match to the local bJ and K luminosity functions. The model contains 16 parameters that are poorly constrained, and we investigate this parameter space using the Model Emulator technique, constructing a Bayesian approximation to the GALFORM model that can be rapidly evaluated at any point in parameter space. By combining successive waves of emulation, we show that only 0.26% of the initial volume is of interest for further exploration. However, within this region we show that the Bower et al. 2006 model is only one choice from an extended sub-space of model parameters that can provide equally acceptable fits. We explore the geometry of this region and begin to explore the physical connections between parameters that are exposed by this analysis. We also consider the impact of adding additional observational data to further constrain the parameter space.

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arXiv2010

Galactic stellar haloes in the CDM model

We present six simulations of galactic stellar haloes formed by the tidal disruption of accreted dwarf galaxies in a fully cosmological setting. Our model is based on the Aquarius project, a suite of high resolution N-body simulations of individual dark matter haloes. We tag subsets of particles in these simulations with stellar populations predicted by the Galform semi-analytic model. Our method self-consistently tracks the dynamical evolution and disruption of satellites from high redshift. The luminosity function and structural properties of surviving satellites, which agree well with observations, suggest that this technique is appropriate. We find that accreted stellar haloes are assembled between 1<z<7 from less than 5 significant progenitors. These progenitors are old, metal-rich satellites with stellar masses similar to the brightest Milky Way dwarf spheroidals. In contrast to previous stellar halo simulations, we find that several of these major contributors survive as self-bound systems to the present day. Both the number of these significant progenitors and their infall times are inherently stochastic. This results in great diversity among our stellar haloes, which amplifies small differences between the formation histories of their dark halo hosts. The masses and density/surface-brightness profiles of the stellar haloes are consistent with expectations from the Milky Way and M31. Each halo has a complex structure, consisting of well-mixed components, tidal streams, shells and other subcomponents. This structure is not adequately described by smooth models. We find one example of an accreted thick disk. Contrasts in age and metallicity between halo stars and those in surviving satellites are in broad agreement with recent observations. [Abridged]

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arXiv2010

The spatial distribution of cold gas in hierarchical galaxy formation models

The distribution of cold gas in dark matter haloes is driven by key processes in galaxy formation: gas cooling, galaxy mergers, star formation and reheating of gas by supernovae. We compare the predictions of four different galaxy formation models for the spatial distribution of cold gas. We find that satellite galaxies make little contribution to the abundance or clustering strength of cold gas selected samples, and are far less important than they are in optically selected samples. The halo occupation distribution function of present-day central galaxies with cold gas mass > 10^9 h^-1 Msun is peaked around a halo mass of ~ 10^11 h^-1 Msun, a scale that is set by the AGN suppression of gas cooling. The model predictions for the projected correlation function are in good agreement with measurements from the HI Parkes All-Sky Survey. We compare the effective volume of possible surveys with the Square Kilometre Array with those expected for a redshift survey in the near-infrared. Future redshift surveys using neutral hydrogen emission will be competitive with the most ambitious spectroscopic surveys planned in the near-infrared.

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arXiv2009

Modelling galaxy clustering: Is new physics needed in galaxy formation models?

The clustering amplitude of galaxies depends on their intrinsic luminosity. We compare the properties of publicly available galaxy formation models with clustering measurements from the two-degree field galaxy redshift survey. The model predictions show the same qualitative behaviour as the data but fail to match the observations at the level of accuracy at which current measurements can be made. We demonstrate that this is due to the model producing too many satellite galaxies in massive haloes. We implement simple models to describe two new processes, satellite-satellite mergers and the tidal dissolution of satellites to investigate their impact on the predicted clustering. We find that both processes need to be included in order to produce a model which matches the observations.

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arXiv2006

The broken hierarchy of galaxy formation

Recent observations of the distant Universe suggest that much of the stellar mass of bright galaxies was already in place at $z>1$. This presents a challenge for models of galaxy formation because massive halos are assembled late in hierarchical cosmologies such as cold dark matter (CDM). In this paper, we discuss a new implementation of the Durham semi-analytic model in which feedback due to active galactic nuclei (AGN) is assumed to quench cooling flows in massive halos. This mechanism naturally creates a break in the local galaxy luminosity function at bright magnitudes. The model is implemented within the Millennium N-body simulation; the accurate dark matter merger trees and large number of realizations of the galaxy formation process that the simulation provides results in highly accurate statistics. After adjusting the values of the physical parameters in the model by reference to the properties of local galaxies, we use it to investigate the evolution of the K-band luminosity and galaxy stellar mass functions. We also calculate the volume averaged star formation rate density of the Universe as a function of redshift and the way in which this is apportioned amongst galaxies of different mass. The model robustly predicts a substantial population of massive galaxies out to redshift $z\sim 5$ and a star formation rate density which rises with increasing redshift in objects of all masses. Although observational data on these properties have been cited as evidence for ``anti-hierarchical'' galaxy formation, we find that when AGN feedback is taken into account, the fundamentally hierachical CDM model provides a very good match to these observations.

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arXiv2006

The nature of (sub)-mm galaxies in hierarchical models

We present a hierarchical galaxy formation model which can account for the number counts of sources detected through their emission at sub-millimetre wavelengths. The first stage in our approach is an ab initio calculation of the star formation histories for a representative sample of galaxies, which is carried out using the semi-analytical galaxy formation model GALFORM. These star formation histories are then input into the spectro-photometric code GRASIL, to produce a spectral energy distribution for each galaxy. Dust extinction and emission are treated self consistently in our model, without having to resort to ad-hoc assumptions about the amount of attenuation by dust or the temperature at which the dust radiates. We argue that it is necessary to modify the form of the stellar initial mass function in starbursts in order to match the observed number of sub-mm sources, if we are to retain the previous good matches enjoyed between observations and model predictions in the local universe. We also list some other observational tests that have been passed by our model.

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arXiv2006

Cosmological parameters from CMB measurements and the final 2dFGRS power spectrum

We derive constraints on cosmological parameters using the power spectrum of galaxy clustering measured from the final two-degree field galaxy redshift survey (2dFGRS) and a compilation of measurements of the temperature power spectrum and temperature-polarization cross-correlation of the cosmic microwave background radiation. We analyse a range of parameter sets and priors, allowing for massive neutrinos, curvature, tensors and general dark energy models. In all cases, the combination of datasets tightens the constraints, with the most dramatic improvements found for the density of dark matter and the energy-density of dark energy. If we assume a flat universe, we find a matter density parameter of $Ω_{\rm m}=0.237 \pm 0.020$, a baryon density parameter of $Ω_{\rm b} = 0.041 \pm 0.002$, a Hubble constant of $H_{0}=74\pm2 {\rm kms}^{-1}{\rm Mpc}^{-1}$, a linear theory matter fluctuation amplitude of $σ_{8}=0.77\pm0.05$ and a scalar spectral index of $n_{\rm s}=0.954 \pm 0.023$ (all errors show the 68% interval). Our estimate of $n_{\rm s}$ is only marginally consistent with the scale invariant value $n_{\rm s}=1$; this spectrum is formally excluded at the 95% confidence level. However, the detection of a tilt in the spectrum is sensitive to the choice of parameter space. If we allow the equation of state of the dark energy to float, we find $w_{\rm DE}= -0.85_{-0.17}^{+0.18}$, consistent with a cosmological constant. We also place new limits on the mass fraction of massive neutrinos: $f_ν < 0.105$ at the 95% level, corresponding to $\sum m_ν < 1.2$ eV.

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arXiv2005

The Effect of Gravitational Recoil on Black Holes Forming in a Hierarchical Universe

Galactic bulges are known to harbour central black holes whose mass is tightly correlated with the stellar mass and velocity dispersion of the bulge. In a hierarchical universe, mergers of subgalactic units are accompanied by the amalgamation of bulges and the likely coalescence of galactocentric black holes. In these mergers, the beaming of gravitational radiation during the plunge phase of the black hole collision can impart a linear momentum kick or ``gravitational recoil'' to the remnant. If large enough, this kick will eject the remnant from the galaxy and populate intergalactic space with wandering black holes. Using a semi-analytic model of galaxy formation, we investigate the effect of black hole ejections on the scatter in the relation between black hole and bulge mass. We find that although not the dominant source of the measured scatter, they do make a significant contribution and may be used to set a constraint, v_kick<500 km/s, on the typical kick velocity, in agreement with values found from general relativistic calculations. Even for the more modest kick velocities implied by these calculations, we find that a substantial number of central black holes are ejected from the progenitors of present day galaxies, giving rise to a population of wandering intrahalo and intergalactic black holes whose distribution we investigate in high-resolution N-body simulations of Milk-Way mass halos. We find that intergalactic black holes make up only ~2-3% of the total galactic black hole mass but, within a halo, wandering black holes can contribute up to about half of the total black hole mass orbiting the central galaxy. Intrahalo black holes offer a natural explanation for the compact X-ray sources often seen near the centres of galaxies and for the hyperluminous non-central X-ray source in M82.

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arXiv2005

Galaxy Groups in the 2dFGRS: the number density of groups

The abundance of galaxy clusters as a function of mass is determined using the 2dFGRS Percolation-Inferred Galaxy Group (2PIGG) catalogue. This is used to estimate the amplitude of the matter fluctuation spectrum, parametrised by the linear theory rms density fluctuations in spheres of 8Mpc/h, sigma_8. The best-fitting value for this parameter is highly correlated with the mean matter density in the Universe, Omega_m, and is found to satisfy sigma_8=0.25Omega_m^{-0.92-4.5(Omega_m-0.22)^2}+/-10%(statistical)+/-20% (systematic) for 0.18<Omega_m<0.50, assuming that Omega_m+Omega_Lambda=1. This gives sigma_8=0.89 when Omega_m=0.25. A ~20% correction has been applied to undo the systematic bias inherent in the measurement procedure. Mock catalogues, constructed from large cosmological N-body simulations, are used to help understand and model these systematic errors. The abundance of galaxy groups as a function of group bj band luminosity is also determined. This is used in conjunction with the halo mass function, determined from simulations, to infer the variation of halo mass-to-light ratio over four orders of magnitude in halo mass. The mass-to-light ratio shows a minimum value of 100hM_sol/L_sol in the bj band at a total group luminosity of L_bJ ~ 5.10^9Lsol/h^2. Together with the observed Tully-Fisher relation, this implies that the observed rotation speed of Tully-Fisher galaxies is within ~10% of the typical circular speed of haloes hosting brightest galaxies of the same luminosity.

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arXiv2005

A multi-wavelength model of galaxy formation

We present new results from a multi-wavelength model of galaxy formation, which combines a semi-analytical treatment of the formation of galaxies within the CDM framework with a sophisticated treatment of absorption and emission of radiation by dust. We find that the model, which incorporates a top-heavy IMF in bursts, agrees well with the evolution of the rest-frame far-UV luminosity function over the range z=0-6, with the IR number counts in all bands measured by SPITZER, and with the observed evolution of the mid-IR luminosity function for z=0-2.

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arXiv2005

The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: Power-spectrum analysis of the final dataset and cosmological implications

We present a power spectrum analysis of the final 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey, employing a direct Fourier method. The sample used comprises 221,414 galaxies with measured redshifts. We investigate in detail the modelling of the sample selection. A new angular mask is derived, based on revisions to the photometric calibration. The redshift selection function is determined by dividing the survey according to rest-frame colour, and deducing a self-consistent treatment of k-corrections and evolution for each population. The covariance matrix for the power-spectrum estimates is determined using two different approaches to the construction of mock surveys which are used to demonstrate that the input cosmological model can be correctly recovered. We are confident that the 2dFGRS power spectrum can be used to infer the matter content of the universe. On large scales, our estimated power spectrum shows evidence for the `baryon oscillations' that are predicted in CDM models. Fitting to a CDM model, assuming a primordial $n_{s}=1$ spectrum, $h=0.72$ and negligible neutrino mass, the preferred parameters are $Ω_{M} h = 0.168 \pm 0.016$ and a baryon fraction $Ω_{b} /Ω_{M} = 0.185\pm0.046$ (1$σ$ errors). The value of $Ω_{M} h$ is $1σ$ lower than the $0.20 \pm 0.03$ in our 2001 analysis of the partially complete 2dFGRS. This shift is largely due to the signal from the newly-sampled regions of space, rather than the refinements in the treatment of observational selection. This analysis therefore implies a density significantly below the standard $Ω_{M} =0.3$: in combination with CMB data from WMAP, we infer $Ω_{M} =0.231\pm 0.021$. (Abridged.)

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arXiv2005

The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: luminosity functions by density environment and galaxy type

We use the 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey to measure the dependence of the bJ-band galaxy luminosity function on large-scale environment, defined by density contrast in spheres of radius 8h-1Mpc, and on spectral type, determined from principal component analysis. We find that the galaxy populations at both extremes of density differ significantly from that at the mean density. The population in voids is dominated by late types and shows, relative to the mean, a deficit of galaxies that becomes increasingly pronounced at magnitudes brighter than M_bJ-5log10h <-18.5. In contrast, cluster regions have a relative excess of very bright early-type galaxies with M_bJ-5log10h < -21. Differences in the mid to faint-end population between environments are significant: at M_bJ-5log10h=-18 early and late-type cluster galaxies show comparable abundances, whereas in voids the late types dominate by almost an order of magnitude. We find that the luminosity functions measured in all density environments, from voids to clusters, can be approximated by Schechter functions with parameters that vary smoothly with local density, but in a fashion which differs strikingly for early and late-type galaxies. These observed variations, combined with our finding that the faint-end slope of the overall luminosity function depends at most weakly on density environment, may prove to be a significant challenge for models of galaxy formation.

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