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S. Farrens

Publications and source records attributed to S. Farrens.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Euclid preparation. XCVIII. Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE). 5: Extensions beyond the standard modelling of theoretical probes and systematic effects

Euclid is expected to establish new state-of-the-art constraints on extensions beyond the standard LCDM cosmological model by measuring the positions and shapes of billions of galaxies. Specifically, its goal is to shed light on the nature of dark matter and dark energy. Achieving this requires developing and validating advanced statistical tools and theoretical prediction software capable of testing extensions of the LCDM model. In this work, we describe how the Euclid likelihood pipeline, Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE), has been extended to accommodate alternative cosmological models and to refine the theoretical modelling of Euclid primary probes. In particular, we detail modifications made to CLOE to incorporate the magnification bias term into the spectroscopic two-point correlation function of galaxy clustering. Additionally, we explain the adaptations made to CLOE's implementation of Euclid primary photometric probes to account for massive neutrinos and modified gravity extensions. Finally, we present the validation of these CLOE modifications through dedicated forecasts on synthetic Euclid-like data by sampling the full posterior distribution and comparing with the results of previous literature. In conclusion, we have identified in this work several functionalities with regards to beyond-LCDM modelling that could be further improved within CLOE, and outline potential research directions to enhance pipeline efficiency and flexibility through novel inference and machine learning techniques.

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Euclid preparation. XCVI. Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE). 3. Inference and Forecasts

The Euclid mission aims to measure the positions, shapes, and redshifts of over a billion galaxies to provide unprecedented constraints on the nature of dark matter and dark energy. Achieving this goal requires a continuous reassessment of the mission's scientific performance, particularly in terms of its ability to constrain cosmological parameters, as our understanding of how to model large-scale structure observables improves. In this study, we present the first scientific forecasts using CLOE (Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid), a dedicated Euclid cosmological pipeline developed to support this endeavour. Using advanced Bayesian inference techniques applied to synthetic Euclid-like data, we sample the posterior distribution of cosmological and nuisance parameters across a variety of cosmological models and Euclid primary probes: cosmic shear, angular photometric galaxy clustering, galaxy-galaxy lensing, and spectroscopic galaxy clustering. We validate the capability of CLOE to produce reliable cosmological forecasts, showcasing Euclid's potential to achieve a figure of merit for the dark energy parameters $w_0$ and $w_a$ exceeding 400 when combining all primary probes. Furthermore, we illustrate the behaviour of the posterior probability distribution of the parameters of interest given different priors and scale cuts. Finally, we emphasise the importance of addressing computational challenges, proposing further exploration of innovative data science techniques to efficiently navigate the Euclid high-dimensional parameter space in upcoming cosmological data releases.

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Euclid preparation. Refining input galaxy shape distributions for shear calibration simulations

The Euclid Wide Survey (EWS) will cover the majority of the extragalactic sky with a resolution similar to the Hubble Space Telescope. This unprecedented data set will introduce a new era of precision cosmology. However, systematic effects need to be controlled better than ever. One of the sources of systematic uncertainties in weak gravitational lensing are biases introduced during the shear measurement. Determining these biases precisely allows the calibration of cosmological measurements to within Euclid's required accuracy. The simulations that are used to determine such biases, need to resemble the real observations. In this work, we aim to learn distributions of galaxy shape parameters from real Euclid data and use the new information to augment the morphological information in the Flagship galaxy mock catalogue. The morphology is extracted using single and double-Sérsic model fits to the real data, for which we use SourceXtractor++. We train our pipeline on deep Euclid observations of a field with rich auxiliary data and then use it to simulate EWS-like data. In these simulations we compare the multiplicative bias between the morphology from the Flagship catalogue, the trained single-Sérsic morphology, and the trained double-Sérsic morphology. We find that the image simulations with the updated morphology result in a percent-level change in the multiplicative shear bias compared to the original morphology from Flagship. This bias exceeds Euclid's tight error budget by a factor of five and underlines the need for this work. Furthermore, we study the sensitivity of the multiplicative bias to key morphological parameters and show that our approach satisfies the requirements for the cosmology analysis with the first data release of Euclid.

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Euclid: Galaxy morphology and photometry from bulge-disc decomposition of Early Release Observations

The background galaxies in Euclid ERO images of the Perseus cluster make up a remarkable sample in its combination of 0.57 deg$^2$ area, 25.3 and 23.2 AB mag depth, as well as 0.1" and 0.3" angular resolutions, in optical and near-IR bands, respectively. We perform a morphological analysis of 2445 and 12,786 galaxies with $I_E < 21$ and $I_E < 23$, respectively. We use single-Sérsic profiles and the sums of a Sérsic bulge and an exponential disc to model these galaxies with SourceXtractor++ and analyse their parameters in order to assess their consistencies and discrepancies. The fitted galaxies to $I_E < 21$ span the various Hubble types with ubiquitous bulge and disc components, and a bulge-to-total light ratio B/T taking all values from 0 to 1. The effective radius of the single-Sérsic profile is an intermediate estimate of galaxy size, between the bulge and disc effective radii, depending on B/T. The axis ratio of the single-Sérsic profile is higher than the disc axis ratio, increasingly so with B/T. The model impacts the photometry with -0.08 to 0.01 mag median systematic $I_E$ offsets between single-Sérsic and bulge+disc total magnitudes, and a 0.05 to 0.15 mag dispersion, from low to high B/T. We measure a median $0.3$ mag bulge-disc colour difference in rest-frame $M_g - M_i$ that originates from the disc-dominated galaxies, whereas bulge-dominated galaxies have similar median colours for their components. We also measure redder-inside disc colour gradients based on 5 to 10$\%$ systematic variations of disc effective radii between the optical and near-IR bands. This analysis demonstrates the usefulness and limitations of single-Sérsic profile modelling and the power of bulge-disc decomposition for characterising the morphology of lenticulars and spirals in Euclid images. We make available the catalogues of best-fit parameters for the morphological and SED fits.

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Euclid preparation. LXXXIX. Accurate and precise data-driven angular power spectrum covariances

We develop techniques for generating accurate and precise internal covariances for measurements of clustering and weak-lensing angular power spectra. These methods have been designed to produce non-singular and unbiased covariances for Euclid's large anticipated data vector and will be critical for validation against observational systematic effects. We constructed jackknife segments that are equal in area to a high precision by adapting the binary space partition algorithm to work on arbitrarily shaped regions on the unit sphere. Jackknife estimates of the covariances are internally derived and require no assumptions about cosmology or galaxy population and bias. Our covariance estimation, called DICES (Debiased Internal Covariance Estimation with Shrinkage), first estimated a noisy covariance through conventional delete-1 jackknife resampling. This was followed by linear shrinkage of the empirical correlation matrix towards the Gaussian prediction, rather than linear shrinkage of the covariance matrix. Shrinkage ensures the covariance is non-singular and therefore invertible, which is critical for the estimation of likelihoods and validation. We then applied a delete-2 jackknife bias correction to the diagonal components of the jackknife covariance that removed the general tendency for jackknife error estimates to be biased high. We validated internally derived covariances, which used the jackknife resampling technique, on synthetic Euclid-like lognormal catalogues. We demonstrate that DICES produces accurate, non-singular covariance estimates, with the relative error improving by 33% for the covariance and 48% for the correlation structure in comparison to jackknife estimates. These estimates can be used for highly accurate regression and inference.

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Euclid Quick Data Release (Q1). AgileLens: A scalable CNN-based pipeline for strong gravitational lens identification

We present an end-to-end, iterative pipeline for efficient identification of strong galaxy--galaxy lensing systems, applied to the Euclid Q1 imaging data. Starting from VIS catalogues, we reject point sources, apply a magnitude cut (I$_E$ $\leq$ 24) on deflectors, and run a pixel-level artefact/noise filter to build 96 $\times$ 96 pix cutouts; VIS+NISP colour composites are constructed with a VIS-anchored luminance scheme that preserves VIS morphology and NISP colour contrast. A VIS-only seed classifier supplies clear positives and typical impostors, from which we curate a morphology-balanced negative set and augment scarce positives. Among the six CNNs studied initially, a modified VGG16 (GlobalAveragePooling + 256/128 dense layers with the last nine layers trainable) performs best; the training set grows from 27 seed lenses (augmented to 1809) plus 2000 negatives to a colour dataset of 30,686 images. After three rounds of iterative fine-tuning, human grading of the top 4000 candidates ranked by the final model yields 441 Grade A/B candidate lensing systems, including 311 overlapping with the existing Q1 strong-lens catalogue, and 130 additional A/B candidates (9 As and 121 Bs) not previously reported. Independently, the model recovers 740 out of 905 (81.8%) candidate Q1 lenses within its top 20,000 predictions, considering off-centred samples. Candidates span I$_E$ $\simeq$ 17--24 AB mag (median 21.3 AB mag) and are redder in Y$_E$--H$_E$ than the parent population, consistent with massive early-type deflectors. Each training iteration required a week for a small team, and the approach easily scales to future Euclid releases; future work will calibrate the selection function via lens injection, extend recall through uncertainty-aware active learning, explore multi-scale or attention-based neural networks with fast post-hoc vetters that incorporate lens models into the classification.

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Euclid preparation. Impact of redshift distribution uncertainties on the joint analysis of photometric galaxy clustering and weak gravitational lensing

One of the $\textit{Euclid}$ mission's key projects is the so-called 3$\times$2pt analysis, that is, the combination of cosmic shear, photometric galaxy clustering, and galaxy-galaxy lensing. Although $\textit{Euclid}$ has established quality requirements for the photo-$z$ accuracy needed for the weak lensing galaxy sample, no such requirements have been set for the photometric clustering sample. In this paper, we investigate the impact of redshift uncertainties on $\textit{Euclid}$'s photometric galaxy clustering analysis and its combination with weak gravitational lensing, focusing on data release 1 (DR1). In particular, we study whether having precise knowledge of the mean of the redshift distributions per bin is sufficient to avoid biases in the resulting cosmological constraints or whether accuracy in the higher-order moments of the distribution is required. We evaluate the results based on their constraining power on $w_{\mathrm{0}}$ and $w_{a}$ and define thresholds for the precision and accuracy of $\textit{Euclid}$'s redshift distribution of the photometric clustering sample. We find that the redshift distributions of the photometric clustering sample must be known at an accuracy of 0.004(1+$z$) in the mean in order to recover 80$\%$ of the constraining power in $\textit{Euclid}$'s DR1 $w_{\mathrm{0}}w_{a}$CDM 3$\times$2pt analysis. The impact of the uncertainty on the width is negligible, provided the mean redshift is constrained with sufficient accuracy. For most sources of redshift distribution error, attaining the requirement on the mean will also reduce uncertainty in the width well below the required level.

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Euclid preparation. Simulated galaxy catalogues for non-standard cosmological models

Stage-IV galaxy surveys will provide the opportunity to test cosmological models and the underlying theory of gravity with unparalleled precision. In this context, it is crucial for the Euclid mission to leverage its spectroscopic and photometric probes to systematically investigate and incorporate non-standard cosmological models, including modified gravity, alternative dark energy scenarios, massive neutrinos, and primordial non-Gaussianity. We produce and release publicly simulated galaxy catalogues from a broad suite of non-standard cosmological simulations, which we processed through a model-independent analytical pipeline, making use of Rockstar for halo identification, and a modified version of the SciPic library for the galaxy-halo connection using the halo occupation distribution framework. We investigate their galaxy-clustering characteristics via the multipoles of the 2PCF in redshift space and VDG, a highly performant model for galaxy clustering. Across a wide range of models, the linear growth rate multiplied by the matter density within spheres of radius 12,Mpc, fs12, exhibits a notable robustness to the choice of cosmological template. Compared to previous works, our study extends this result to numerous scenarios with markedly distinct gravitational or dark energy dynamics. We find that the most of the scatter in cosmological parameter inference already appears when using the cosmological model of the simulations as templates. Using a `wrong' template can also introduce an additional scatter, although with smaller amplitude. Often, we find deviations much larger than error bars, meaning that the Gaussian approximation for the covariance might need to be further studied. Future cosmological investigations must broaden their scope to include a diverse array of non-standard theoretical frameworks, extending beyond LCDM and rudimentary dynamic dark energy models.

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Euclid preparation. Galaxy power spectrum modelling in redshift space

Accurate modelling of redshift-space distortions (RSD) is essential for maximizing the cosmological information extracted from large galaxy redshift surveys. In preparation for the forthcoming analysis of the Euclid spectroscopic data, we investigate three approaches to modelling RSD effects on the power spectrum multipoles of mock H$α$ emission line galaxies. We focus on two one-loop perturbation theory models -- the effective field theory (EFT) and velocity difference generator (${\rm VDG_ \infty}$) -- which differ in their treatment of the real-to-redshift space mapping on small scales, and a third approach, the BACCO emulator, which adopts a hybrid strategy combining perturbation theory with high-resolution N-body simulations. We assess the ability of these models to recover key cosmological parameters, including the expansion rate $h$, the cold dark matter density parameter $ω_{\rm c}$, and the scalar amplitude $A_{\rm s}$, across four redshift bins spanning $0.9 \leq z \leq 1.8$. In each bin, we find that ${\rm VDG_ \infty}$ and BACCO outperform the EFT model across all scales up to $k_{max} \lesssim 0.35 h\,Mpc^{-1} $. While BACCO saturates in constraining power at intermediate scales and higher redshift, the ${\rm VDG_ \infty}$ model continues to improve parameter constraints beyond $k_{max} \gtrsim 0.30 h\,Mpc^{-1}$. The EFT model, although robust on large scales, exhibits significant parameter biases for $k_{max} \gtrsim 0.25 h\,Mpc^{-1}$, limiting its applicability to Euclid-like H$α$ samples. Among the full perturbation theory-based models, the enhanced treatment of small-scale RSD effects in ${\rm VDG_ \infty}$ improves cosmological parameter constraints by up to a factor of two.

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Euclid: Galaxy SED reconstruction in the PHZ processing function: impact on the PSF and the role of medium-band filters

Weak lensing surveys require accurate correction for the point spread function (PSF) when measuring galaxy shapes. For a diffraction-limited PSF, as arises in space-based missions, this correction depends on each galaxy SED. In the Euclid mission, galaxy SED reconstruction, a tasks of the photometric-redshift processing function (PHZ PF), relies on broad- and medium-band ancillary photometry. The limited wavelength sampling of the Euclid VIS passband and signal-to-noise ratio may affect the reconstruction accuracy and translate into biases in the weak lensing measurements. In this study, we present the methodology, which is employed in the Euclid PHZ PF, for reconstructing galaxy SEDs at 55 wavelengths, sampling the VIS passband every 10 nm, and we assess whether it fulfils the accuracy requirements imposed on the Euclid PSF model. We employ both physics- and data-driven methods, focusing on a new approach of template-based flux correction and Gaussian processes, and we introduce an SED metric whose bias propagates into PSF quadrupole moment errors. Our findings demonstrate that Gaussian processes and template fitting meet the requirements only in specific, but complementary, redshift intervals. We therefore propose a hybrid approach, which leverages both methods. This solution proves to be effective in meeting the Euclid accuracy requirements for most of the redshift range of the survey. Finally, we investigate the impact on the SED reconstruction of a new set of 16 evenly-spaced medium-band filters for the Subaru telescope, providing quasi-spectroscopic coverage of the VIS passband. This study shows promising results, ensuring accurate SED reconstruction and meeting the mission PSF requirements. This work thus provides not only the methodological foundation of galaxy SED reconstruction in the Euclid PHZ PF, but also a roadmap for future improvements using a new medium-band survey.

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Euclid preparation. Calibrated intrinsic galaxy alignments in the Euclid Flagship simulation

Intrinsic alignments of galaxies are potentially a major contaminant of cosmological analyses of weak gravitational lensing. We construct a semi-analytic model of galaxy ellipticities and alignments in the \Euclid Flagship simulation to predict this contamination in Euclid's weak lensing observations. Galaxy shapes and orientations are determined by the corresponding properties of the host haloes in the underlying $N$-body simulation, as well as the relative positions of galaxies within their halo. Alignment strengths are moderated via stochastic misalignments, separately for central and satellite galaxies and conditional on the galaxy's redshift, luminosity, and rest-frame colour. The resulting model is calibrated against galaxy ellipticity statistics from the COSMOS Survey, selected alignment measurements based on Sloan Digital Sky Survey samples, and galaxy orientations extracted from the Horizon-AGN hydrodynamic simulation at redshift $z=1$. The best-fit model has a total of 12 alignment parameters and generally reproduces the calibration data sets well within the $1σ$ statistical uncertainties of the observations and the \flagship simulation, with notable exceptions for the most luminous sub-samples on small physical scales. The statistical power of the calibration data and the volume of the single \flagship realisation are still too small to provide informative prior ranges for intrinsic alignment amplitudes in relevant galaxy samples. As a first application, we predict that \Euclid end-of-mission tomographic weak gravitational lensing two-point statistics are modified by up to order $10\,\%$ due to intrinsic alignments.

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Euclid preparation. LXXXV. Toward a DR1 application of higher-order weak lensing statistics

This is the second paper in the HOWLS (higher-order weak lensing statistics) series exploring the usage of non-Gaussian statistics for cosmology inference within Euclid. With respect to our first paper, we develop a full tomographic analysis based on realistic photometric redshifts that allows us to derive Fisher forecasts in the ($σ_8$, $w_0$) plane for a Euclid-like data release 1 (DR1) setup. We find that the five higher-order statistics (HOS) that satisfy the Gaussian likelihood assumption of the Fisher formalism (one-point probability distribution function, $\ell$1-norm, peak counts, Minkowski functionals, and Betti numbers) each outperform the shear two-point correlation functions by a factor of $2.5$ on the $w_0$ forecasts, with only marginal improvement when used in combination with two-point estimators, suggesting that every HOS is able to retrieve both the non-Gaussian and Gaussian information of the matter density field. The similar performance of the different estimators is explained by a homogeneous use of multi-scale and tomographic information, optimized to lower computational costs. These results hold for the three mass mapping techniques of the Euclid pipeline, aperture mass, Kaiser--Squires, and Kaiser--Squires plus, and they are unaffected by the application of realistic star masks. Finally, we explored the use of HOS with the Bernardeau--Nishimichi--Taruya (BNT) nulling scheme approach, finding promising results toward applying physical scale cuts to HOS.

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Euclid: Improving redshift distribution reconstruction using a deep-to-wide transfer function

The Euclid mission seeks to understand the Universe expansion history and the nature of dark energy, which requires a very accurate estimate of redshift distribution. Achieving this accuracy relies on reference samples with spectroscopic redshifts, together with a procedure to match them to survey sources for which only photometric redshifts are available. One important source of systematic uncertainty is the mismatch in photometric properties between galaxies in the Euclid survey and the reference objects. We develop a method to degrade the photometry of objects with deep photometry to match the properties of any shallower survey in the multi-band photometric space, preserving all the correlations between the fluxes and their uncertainties. We compare our transfer method with more demanding image-based methods, such as Balrog from the Dark Energy Survey Collaboration. According to metrics, our method outperforms Balrog. We implement it in the redshift distribution reconstruction, based on the self-organising map approach of arXiv:1509.03318, and test it using a realistic sample from the Euclid Flagship Simulation. We find that the key ingredient is to ensure that the reference objects are distributed in the colour space the same way as the wide-survey objects, which can be efficiently achieved with our transfer method. In our best implementation, the mean redshift biases are consistently reduced across the tomographic bins, bringing a significant fraction of them within the Euclid accuracy requirements in all tomographic bins. Equally importantly, the tests allow us to pinpoint which step in the calibration pipeline has the strongest impact on achieving the required accuracy. Our approach also reproduces the overall redshift distributions, which are crucial for applications such as angular clustering.

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Euclid: Photometric redshift calibration with self-organising maps

The Euclid survey aims to trace the evolution of cosmic structures up to redshift $z$ $\sim$ 3 and beyond. Its success depends critically on obtaining highly accurate mean redshifts for ensembles of galaxies $n(z)$ in all tomographic bins, essential for deriving robust cosmological constraints. However, photometric redshifts (photo-$z$s) suffer from systematic biases arising from various sources of uncertainty. To address these challenges, we utilised self-organising maps (SOMs) with mock samples resembling the Euclid Wide Survey (EWS), to validate Euclid's uncertainty requirement of $|Δ\langle z \rangle| = \langle z_{\text{est}} \rangle - \langle z \rangle \leq 0.002 (1+z)$ per tomographic bin, assuming DR3-level data. We observe that defining the redshift tomography using the mean spectroscopic redshift (spec-$z$) per SOM cell, results in none of the ten tomographic redshift bins satisfying the requirement. In contrast, the redshift tomography on the photo-$z$s of the EWS-like sample yields superior results, with eight out of ten bins [$0 < z\leq 2.5$] meeting the Euclid requirement. To enhance the realism of our study, we morph our calibration sample to mimic the C3R2 survey in incremental steps. In this context, a maximum of six out of ten bins meet the requirement, strongly advocating the adoption of a redshift tomography defined by the photo-$z$s of individual galaxies rather than the commonly used mean spec-$z$ of SOM cells. To examine the impact on the expected biases for $Ω_{\text{m}}$, $σ_{8}$, and $Δw_{0}$ measured by Euclid, we perform a Fisher forecast for cosmic shear only, based on our redshift uncertainties. Here, we find that even under an evaluation of the uncertainty where the impact of the redshift bias is substantial, most absolute biases remain below 0.1$σ$ in the idealised scenario and below 0.3$σ$ in the more realistic case.

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Euclid preparation. Review of forecast constraints on dark energy and modified gravity

The Euclid mission has been designed to provide, as one of its main deliverables, information on the nature of the gravitational interaction, which determines the expansion of the Universe and the formation of structures. Thus, Euclid has the potential to test deviations from general relativity that will allow us to shed light on long-lasting problems in the standard cosmological model, $Λ$CDM. Euclid will mainly do this by using two complementary probes: weak gravitational lensing and galaxy clustering. In this paper we review pre-launch Euclid analyses for dark energy and modified gravity. These include forecast constraints with future Euclid data on cosmological parameters for different cosmological models, such as a time-varying dark energy component, phenomenological modifications of the perturbation sector and specific modified gravity models, with further extensions that include neutrino physics and the coupling to the electromagnetic sector through the fine-structure constant. We review the study of the impact of nonlinear clustering methods on beyond-$Λ$CDM constraints with Euclid. This is of fundamental importance to efficiently predict the large-scale clustering of matter and dark matter halos, given that we will have access to a wealth of information on scales beyond the linear regime. We inspect the extension of theoretical predictions for observable quantities in alternative cosmologies to $Λ$CDM at fully nonlinear scales by means of $N$-body simulations. We discuss the impact of relativistic corrections in extended cosmological models. Overall, this review highlights the significant potential of the Euclid mission to tightly constrain parameters of dark energy and modified gravity models, or perhaps to detect possible signatures of a $Λ$CDM failure.

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Euclid preparation. Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE). 6: Impact of systematic uncertainties on the cosmological analysis

Extracting cosmological information from the Euclid galaxy survey will require modelling numerous systematic effects during the inference process. This implies varying a large number of nuisance parameters, which have to be marginalised over before reporting the constraints on the cosmological parameters. This is a delicate process, especially with such a large parameter space, which could result in biased cosmological results. In this work, we study the impact of different choices for modelling systematic effects and prior distribution of nuisance parameters for the final Euclid Data Release, focusing on the 3$\times$2pt analysis for photometric probes and the galaxy power spectrum multipoles for the spectroscopic probes. We explore the effect of intrinsic alignments, linear galaxy bias, magnification bias, multiplicative cosmic shear bias and shifts in the redshift distribution for the photometric probes, as well as the purity of the spectroscopic sample. We find that intrinsic alignment modelling has the most severe impact with a bias up to $6\,σ$ on the Hubble constant $H_0$ if neglected, followed by mis-modelling of the redshift evolution of galaxy bias, yielding up to $1.5\,σ$ on the parameter $S_8\equivσ_8\sqrt{Ω_{\rm m} /0.3}$. Choosing a too optimistic prior for multiplicative bias can also result in biases of the order of $0.7\,σ$ on $S_8$. We also find that the precision on the estimate of the purity of the spectroscopic sample will be an important driver for the constraining power of the galaxy clustering full-shape analysis. These results will help prioritise efforts to improve the modelling and calibration of systematic effects in Euclid.

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Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in \Euclid (CLOE). 1. Theoretical recipe

As the statistical precision of cosmological measurements increases, the accuracy of the theoretical description of these measurements needs to increase correspondingly in order to infer the underlying cosmology that governs the Universe. To this end, we have created the Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE), which is a novel cosmological parameter inference pipeline developed within the Euclid Consortium to translate measurements and covariances into cosmological parameter constraints. In this first in a series of six papers, we describe the theoretical recipe of this code for the Euclid primary probes. These probes are composed of the photometric 3x2pt observables of cosmic shear, galaxy-galaxy lensing, and galaxy clustering, along with spectroscopic galaxy clustering. We provide this description in both Fourier and configuration space for standard and extended summary statistics, including the wide range of systematic uncertainties that affect them. This includes systematic uncertainties such as intrinsic galaxy alignments, baryonic feedback, photometric and spectroscopic redshift uncertainties, shear calibration uncertainties, sample impurities, photometric and spectroscopic galaxy biases, as well as magnification bias. The theoretical descriptions are further able to accommodate both Gaussian and non-Gaussian likelihoods and extended cosmologies with non-zero curvature, massive neutrinos, evolving dark energy, and simple forms of modified gravity. These theoretical descriptions that underpin CLOE will form a crucial component in revealing the true nature of the Universe with next-generation cosmological surveys such as Euclid.

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Euclid preparation. XLI. Galaxy power spectrum modelling in real space

We investigate the accuracy of the perturbative galaxy bias expansion in view of the forthcoming analysis of the Euclid spectroscopic galaxy samples. We compare the performance of an Eulerian galaxy bias expansion, using state-of-art prescriptions from the effective field theory of large-scale structure (EFTofLSS), against a hybrid approach based on Lagrangian perturbation theory and high-resolution simulations. These models are benchmarked against comoving snapshots of the Flagship I N-body simulation at $z=(0.9,1.2,1.5,1.8)$, which have been populated with H$α$ galaxies leading to catalogues of millions of objects within a volume of about $58\,h^{-3}\,{\rm Gpc}^3$. Our analysis suggests that both models can be used to provide a robust inference of the parameters $(h, ω_{\rm c})$ in the redshift range under consideration, with comparable constraining power. We additionally determine the range of validity of the EFTofLSS model in terms of scale cuts and model degrees of freedom. From these tests, it emerges that the standard third-order Eulerian bias expansion can accurately describe the full shape of the real-space galaxy power spectrum up to the maximum wavenumber $k_{\rm max}=0.45\,h\,{\rm Mpc}^{-1}$, even with a measurement precision well below the percent level. In particular, this is true for a configuration with six free nuisance parameters, including local and non-local bias parameters, a matter counterterm, and a correction to the shot-noise contribution. Fixing either tidal bias parameters to physically-motivated relations still leads to unbiased cosmological constraints. We finally repeat our analysis assuming a volume that matches the expected footprint of Euclid, but without considering observational effects, as purity and completeness, showing that we can get consistent cosmological constraints over this range of scales and redshifts.

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