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S. M. Koksbang

Publications and source records attributed to S. M. Koksbang.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Diagnostic Consistency Tests of the Concordance Cosmology

The $Λ$CDM cosmological model faces increasingly significant and robust tensions among independent cosmological probes, prompting renewed scrutiny of its foundational assumptions. While General Relativity and the nature of dark energy are now routinely tested with cosmological surveys, less progress has been made testing the space-time geometry at the largest scales, and in particular testing the assumption that observables (distances, redshifs, expansion of space, etc.) on the largest scales are described by a single Friedmann-Lema\^ıtre-Robertson-Walker (FLRW) metric. In order to enable such tests, we introduce a model-independent framework that combines successive derivatives of the angular diameter distance, $d_A(z)$, with the line-of-sight expansion rate, $\mathcal{H}(z)$, to expose the physical content of well-known FLRW consistency relations. This allows us to perform diagnostic tests of the large-scale geometry, that are free of assumptions about dark energy and the theory of gravity on large scales. In addition, we derive a new nonparametric estimator for the cosmic density field that is independent of the Friedmann equations. This enables qualitatively new, observationally accessible tests of the FLRW framework and provides a stringent, model-independent diagnostic for departures from standard cosmology using current and forthcoming distance and expansion rate measurements.

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A First Observational Assessment of Cosmic Backreaction Over an Extended Redshift Range

In the recent preprint arXiv:2604.07244v1, the authors introduce a novel combination of redshift, distance, and expansion rate observables for constraining cosmic backreaction observationally. The current work presents a first application of the method, in principle yielding the first direct constraints on the total cosmic backreaction in our universe over a significant redshift range. However, we find that current data are not yet sufficient to place tight constraints on backreaction. Thus, neither vanishing nor significant backreaction can be ruled out with the presented constraints. Nonetheless, the results suggest that forthcoming survey data will enable enlightening constraints on cosmic backreaction using this method.

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Model-independent constraints on generalized FLRW consistency relations with bootstrap-based symbolic regression

The standard $Λ$CDM cosmological model faces increasing tensions between key observations, motivating tests that probe its underlying assumptions. In a companion letter, we present a model-independent framework that combines derivatives of the angular diameter distance, $d_A(z)$, and the line-of-sight expansion rate, $\mathcal{H}(z)$, to clarify the physical content of FLRW consistency relations and to construct a general-spacetime estimator of the cosmic density field. Here, we apply these tests to data, introducing a non-parametric reconstruction method based on symbolic regression combined with bootstrapping to provide data-driven uncertainty estimates. Using supernova and BAO data, we reconstruct $d_A$, $\mathcal{H}$, and their derivatives, enabling model-independent evaluation of FLRW relations and recovery of the sky-averaged density field over $z \in [0.38, \sim 2]$. Current data are too sparse to tightly constrain $\mathcal{H}(z)$, and the reconstructed density is consistent with both Planck and SH0ES $Λ$CDM. Reconstructed FLRW consistency tests show mild to moderate deviations from FLRW expectations at the $\sim 2$-$4σ$ level, although their significance depends on data selection and reconstruction stability. If these indicated deviations from an FLRW geometry are real, it would signify that most of the cosmological solutions considered for solving the cosmological tensions (evolving/interacting dark energy, new types of matter/energy, modified gravity, etc., within the FLRW framework) are ruled out. These preliminary indications highlight the importance of future, denser distance and expansion rate measurements, as well as further work toward standardizing uncertainty estimation for symbolic-regression reconstructions.

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Testing inhomogeneous cosmography in our cosmic neighborhood using CosmicFlows-4

The convergence of the third order general cosmographic expansion of the luminosity distance is examined using several versions of a semi-realistic model of our local cosmic neighborhood, based on publicly available density and velocity fields from CosmicFlows-4. The study supports earlier findings that the general cosmographic expansion diverges at surprisingly low redshifts, often well before z = 0.1. By being based on a realistically placed observer within a data-informed cosmic environment, the results underscore that convergence must be a central concern when applying the general cosmographic expansion. By showing all-sky maps of kinematic parameters, the study also highlights the substantial information we lose when relying solely on standard FLRW-based cosmography. Poor convergence does not necessarily render the information extracted by fitting data to the general cosmographic expansion meaningless. Rather, it calls for caution in interpreting this information, particularly regarding the physical meaning of the fitting coefficients, the physical scales they probe and the implicit smoothing introduced by the fit.

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On the convergence of cosmographic expansions in Lemaitre-Tolman-Bondi models

We study cosmographic expansions of the luminosity distance for a variety of Lemaitre-Tolman-Bondi models which we specify inspired by local large-scale structures of the universe. We consider cosmographic expansions valid for general spacetimes and compare to the Friedmann-Lemaitre-Robertson-Walker (FLRW) limit of the expansions as well as to its naive isotropic extrapolation to an inhomogeneous universe. The FLRW expansions are often poor near the observer but become better at higher redshifts, where the light rays have reached the FLRW background. In line with this we find that the effective Hubble, deceleration and jerk parameters of the general cosmographic expansion are often very different from the global $Λ$CDM values, with deviations up to several orders of magnitude. By comparing with the naive isotropic extrapolation of the FLRW expansion, we assess that these large deviations are mainly due to gradients of the shear. Very close to the observer, the general cosmographic expansion is always best and becomes more precise when more expansion terms are included. However, we find that the convergence radius of the general cosmographic expansion is small for all studied models and observers and the general cosmographic expansion becomes poor for most of the studied observers already before a single LTB structure has been traversed. The small radius of convergence of the general cosmographic expansion has also been indicated by earlier work and may need careful attention before we can safely apply the general cosmographic expansion to real data.

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Cosmological parameter constraints using phenomenological symbolic expressions: On the significance of symbolic expression complexity and accuracy

Phenomenological models are widely used in cosmology in relation to constraining different cosmological models, with two common examples being cosmographic expansions and modeling the equation-of-state parameter of dark energy. This work presents a study of how using different phenomenological expressions for observables and physical quantities versus using physically motivated, derived expressions affects cosmological parameter constraints. The study includes the redshift-distance relation and Hubble parameter as observables, and the dark energy equation-of-state parameter as a physical quantity, and focuses on constraining the cosmological parameter $Ω_Λ$. The observables and equation-of-state parameter are all modeled both using the physical, derived expressions and a variety of phenomenological models with different levels of accuracy and complexity. The results suggest that the complexity of phenomenological expressions only has minor impact on the parameter constraints unless the complexity is very high. The results also indicate that statistically significantly different results can be expected from parameter constraints using different phenomenological models if the models do not have very similar accuracy. This suggests that a good practice is to use multiple phenomenological models when possible, in order to assess the model dependence of results. Straightforward examples of this is that results obtained using cosmographic expansions should always be checked against similar results obtained with expansions of other order, and when using phenomenological models such as for the equation-of-state parameters, robustness of results could be assessed using fitted models from symbolic regression, similar to what is done in this study.

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Cosmic backreaction and the mean redshift drift from symbolic regression

The possibility of obtaining symbolic expressions for cosmic backreaction is explored through a case study of so-called 2-region models. By using the publicly available symbolic regression algorithm AI Feynman, it is shown that the kinematical backreaction from a single 2-region model can be well described as a function of the mean redshift (or, equivalently, the volume averaged scale factor). A single expression depending on the redshift/scale factor as well as a model parameter, $f$, that can accurately describe the backreaction for a significant range of models is naturally more complicated but is also achieved with percent-level accuracy. \newline\indent Data sets of redshift drift in the 2-region models are also considered. Again utilizing AI Feynman, expressions for the redshift drift are found. In particular, an expression for the difference between the mean redshift drift and the drift of the mean redshift in terms of the kinematical backreaction is easily obtained for a single 2-region model. An accurate symbolic expression that describes this difference for an array of 2-region models is achieved by using the redshift as a feature instead of the kinematical backreaction.

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Machine learning cosmic backreaction and its effects on observations

Symbolic expressions for cosmic backreaction and mean redshift drift in a range of 2-region models in terms of average quantities are presented. The demonstration that these expressions can be obtained constitutes the opening of a new avenue towards understanding the effects of cosmic backreaction in our universe: With a symbolic expression for the redshift drift at hand, the redshift drift can be used to constrain cosmological parameters including the large-scale expansion rate and backreaction. In addition, by introducing symbolic expressions for cosmic backreaction, this quantity can be constrained with observations such as redshift-distance measures.

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Redshift drift in a universe with structure II: Light rays propagated through a Newtonian N-body simulation

The redshift drift is computed along light rays propagating through a simulated universe based on the Newtonian N-body simulation code GADGET-2 combined with a perturbed Friedmann-Lemaitre-Robertson-Walker metric in the Newtonian gauge. It is found that the mean redshift drift is equal to the drift of the mean redshift to the precision of the numerical computations and that this is due to a high degree of cancellation between two dominant components of the redshift drift. This result is contrary to earlier findings based on inhomogeneous cosmological models exhibiting cosmic backreaction. \newline\indent For simplicity, the results neglect contributions from optical drift. Based on a study of the redshift drift in a Lemaitre-Tolman-Bondi model, the optical drift effects are estimated to be at most of order 10\% of the redshift drift signal. In addition, it is found that the redshift drift contribution from peculiar acceleration of the emitter is negligible in the simulation setup. However, it is expected that the contribution from peculiar acceleration of the emitter is suppressed in the setup due to low resolution of structures and it is hence expected that this contribution will be larger for real observations.

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Quantifying effects of inhomogeneities and curvature on gravitational wave standard siren measurements of $H(z)$

For a flat $Λ$CDM universe, the dipole of the luminosity distance can be utilized to measure the Hubble parameter. It is here shown that this is not the case in more general settings where curvature and cosmic backreaction is permitted. This implies that a discordance between $H(z)$ measurements obtained using such dipole luminosity distance data and "true"/actual $H(z)$ data obtained from e.g. cosmic chronometers is a signal of curvature and/or cosmic backreaction. \newline\indent By considering mock future gravitational wave measurements of the Hubble parameter obtained through the dipole luminosity distance, it is shown that already a $1\%$ curvature could in principle just barely show up in the determination. However, for realistic mock data generation using models with as much as 5 \% curvature, parameter estimates do not yield reliable measures of inconsistency between the false $H(z)$ measurements and true measurements of $H(z)$. At the same time, cosmic backreaction is hard to detect even if it makes up $10\%$ of the "energy budget" in the current universe, even when considering a highly idealized situation with low errors. The results concerning backreaction are based on specific "scaling solutions" to the backreaction problem and the study shows that the possibility of detecting a signal of backreaction through the dipole of the luminosity distance depends strongly on the particular backreaction model.

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Redshift drift in an inhomogeneous universe: averaging and the backreaction conjecture

An expression for the average redshift drift in a statistically homogeneous and isotropic dust universe is given. The expression takes the same form as the expression for the redshift drift in FLRW models. It is used for a proof-of-principle study of the effects of backreaction on redshift drift measurements by combining the expression with two-region models. The study shows that backreaction can lead to positive redshift drift at low redshifts, exemplifying that a positive redshift drift at low redshifts does not require dark energy. Moreover, the study illustrates that models without a dark energy component can have an average redshift drift observationally indistinguishable from that of the standard model according to the currently expected precision of ELT measurements. In an appendix, spherically symmetric solutions to Einstein's equations with inhomogeneous dark energy and matter are used to study deviations from the average redshift drift and effects of local voids.

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Understanding the Dyer-Roeder approximation as a consequence of local cancellations of projected shear and expansion rate fluctuations

It is shown with several concrete examples that the Dyer-Roeder approximation is valid in spacetimes which fulfill the condition that fluctuations in the expansion rate along a light ray locally cancels with the shear contribution to the redshift. This is the case for standard cosmological scenarios including perturbed FLRW spacetimes, N-body simulations and Swiss-cheese models. With another concrete example it is then illustrated that it is possible to construct statistically homogeneous and effectively statistically isotropic cosmological models which do not fulfill the condition. In this case, the Dyer-Roeder approximation is invalid. Instead, the mean redshift-distance relation can be described using a relation based on the spatial averages of the transparent part of the spacetime.

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Searching for signals of inhomogeneity using multiple probes of the cosmic expansion rate H(z)

It is argued that cosmic chronometers yield estimates of the spatially averaged expansion rate even in a universe that is not well described by a global FLRW model - as long as the Universe is statistically homogeneous and isotropic with a sufficiently small homogeneity scale. On the other hand, measurements of the expansion rate based on observations of redshift drift will not in general yield estimates of the spatially averaged expansion rate - but it will in the case where the universe is described well by a single FLRW model on large scales. Therefore, a disagreement between measurements of the expansion rate based on cosmic chronometers versus redshift drift is an expected signal of non-negligible cosmic backreaction.

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On the relationship between mean observations, spatial averages and the Dyer-Roeder approximation in Einstein-Straus models

The redshift and redshift-distance relation in different Einstein-Straus models are considered. Specifically, the mean of these observables along 1000 light rays in different specific models are compared with predictions based on the Dyer-Roeder approximation and relations based on spatial averaging. It is shown that in certain limits, including those studied earlier in the literature, the Dyer-Roeder approximation and relations based on spatial averages agree with each other to a good precision regarding the redshift and redshift-distance relation and make good predictions of the mean of the exact relations. In limits where the two methods disagree, the Dyer-Roeder approximation clearly yields the better approximation of the true mean. This is explained by demonstrating the effect of boundary terms and integrated Sachs-Wolfe contributions but it is pointed out that the result seems to be valid for other Swiss-cheese models as well. Lastly, an expression for the redshift drift in Einstein-Straus models is presented and used for studying the behavior of this quantity in particular Einstein-Straus models.

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Observations in statistically homogeneous, locally inhomogeneous cosmological toy-models without FLRW backgrounds

Observations are studied in toy-models constituting exact cosmological solutions to the Einstein equation which are statistically homogeneous but locally inhomogeneous, without an a priori introduced FLRW background and with "structures" evolving fairly slowly. The mean redshift-distance relation and redshift drift along 500 light rays in each of two models are compared to relations based on spatial averages. The relations based on spatial averages give a good reproduction of the mean redshift-distance relation, although most convincingly in the model where the kinematical backreaction is subpercent. In both models, the mean redshift drift clearly differs from the drift of the mean redshift. This indicates that redshift drift could be an important tool for testing the backreaction conjecture as redshift drift appears to distinguish between local and global effects. The method presented for computing the redshift drift is straightforward to generalize and can thus be utilized to fairly easily compute this quantity in a general spacetime.

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Another look at redshift drift and the backreaction conjecture

Earlier studies have conjectured that redshift drift is described by spatially averaged quantities and thus becomes positive if the average expansion of the Universe accelerates. This conclusion is reevaluated here by considering exact light propagation in a simple toy-model with average accelerated expansion. The toy-model and light propagation setup is explicitly designed for concordance between spatial averages and averages along light rays. While it is verified that redshift-distance relations are well described by average quantities in this setup, it is found that the redshift drift is not. Specifically, the redshift drift is negative despite the on-average late-time accelerated expansion of the model. This result implies that measuring redshift drift signals at low redshifts gives the potential for directly falsifying the backreaction conjecture. However, the results are based on a toy-model so it is in principle possible that the result is an artifact and that redshift drift is in reality well described by spatially averaged quantities. The result therefore highlights the importance of developing \emph{exact} solutions to the Einstein equations which exhibit average accelerated expansion without local expansion so that the relation between spatial averages and observations can be firmly established.

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Light path averages in spacetimes with non-vanishing average spatial curvature

Effects of inhomogeneities on observations have been vastly studied using both perturbative methods, N-body simulations and Swiss cheese solutions to the Einstein equations. In nearly all cases, such studied setups assume vanishing spatial background curvature. While a spatially flat Friedmann-Lemaitre-Robertson-Walker model is in accordance with observations, a non-vanishing curvature is not ruled out. It is therefore important to note that, as has been pointed out in the literature, 1 dimensional averages might not converge to volume averages in non-Euclidean space. If this is indeed the case, it will affect the interpretation of observations in spacetimes with non-vanishing average spatial curvature. This possibility is therefore studied here by computing the integrated expansion rate and shear, the accumulated density contrast, and fluctuations in the redshift-distance relation in Swiss cheese models with different background curvatures. It is found that differences in mean and dispersion of these quantities in the different models are small and naturally attributable to differences in background expansion rate and density contrasts. Thus, the study does not yield an indication that the relationship between 1 dimensional spatial averages and volume averages depends significantly on background curvature.

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Towards statistically homogeneous and isotropic perfect fluid universes with cosmic backreaction

A method for constructing statistically homogeneous and isotropic perfect fluid universe models with significant cosmic backreaction is proposed. The method is illustrated using a simplified model constructed as a Swiss-cheese model with Lemaitre-Tolman-Bondi structures. The model exhibits significant cosmic backreaction and is used to study methods proposed in the literature for relating volume averaged quantities with observations. The comparison shows a poor agreement between exact redshift-distance relations and the relations predicted by schemes based on volume averages. Most of these deviations are, however, clearly exaggerated by peculiarities of the example model, such as large local expansion rates.

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