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Sam Efromovich

Publications and source records attributed to Sam Efromovich.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

Nonparametric regression with the scale depending on auxiliary variable

The paper is devoted to the problem of estimation of a univariate component in a heteroscedastic nonparametric multiple regression under the mean integrated squared error (MISE) criteria. The aim is to understand how the scale function should be used for estimation of the univariate component. It is known that the scale function does not affect the rate of the MISE convergence, and as a result sharp constants are explored. The paper begins with developing a sharp-minimax theory for a pivotal model $Y=f(X)+σ(X,\mathbf{Z})\varepsilon$, where $\varepsilon$ is standard normal and independent of the predictor X and the auxiliary vector-covariate $\mathbf{Z}$. It is shown that if the scale $σ(x,\mathbf{z})$ depends on the auxiliary variable, then a special estimator, which uses the scale (or its estimate), is asymptotically sharp minimax and adaptive to unknown smoothness of f(x). This is an interesting conclusion because if the scale does not depend on the auxiliary covariate $\mathbf{Z}$, then ignoring the heteroscedasticity can yield a sharp minimax estimation. The pivotal model serves as a natural benchmark for a general additive model $Y=f(X)+g(\mathbf{Z})+σ(X,\mathbf{Z})\varepsilon$, where $\varepsilon$ may depend on $(X,\mathbf{Z})$ and have only a finite fourth moment. It is shown that for this model a data-driven estimator can perform as well as for the benchmark. Furthermore, the estimator, suggested for continuous responses, can be also used for the case of discrete responses. Bernoulli and Poisson regressions, that are inherently heteroscedastic, are particular considered examples for which sharp minimax lower bounds are obtained as well. A numerical study shows that the asymptotic theory sheds light on small samples.

math.ST

Adaptive estimation of and oracle inequalities for probability densities and characteristic functions

The theory of adaptive estimation and oracle inequalities for the case of Gaussian-shift--finite-interval experiments has made significant progress in recent years. In particular, sharp-minimax adaptive estimators and exact exponential-type oracle inequalities have been suggested for a vast set of functions including analytic and Sobolev with any positive index as well as for Efromovich--Pinsker and Stein blockwise-shrinkage estimators. Is it possible to obtain similar results for a more interesting applied problem of density estimation and/or the dual problem of characteristic function estimation? The answer is ``yes.'' In particular, the obtained results include exact exponential-type oracle inequalities which allow to consider, for the first time in the literature, a simultaneous sharp-minimax estimation of Sobolev densities with any positive index (not necessarily larger than 1/2), infinitely differentiable densities (including analytic, entire and stable), as well as of not absolutely integrable characteristic functions. The same adaptive estimator is also rate minimax over a familiar class of distributions with bounded spectrum where the density and the characteristic function can be estimated with the parametric rate.

math.ST

Conditional density estimation in a regression setting

Regression problems are traditionally analyzed via univariate characteristics like the regression function, scale function and marginal density of regression errors. These characteristics are useful and informative whenever the association between the predictor and the response is relatively simple. More detailed information about the association can be provided by the conditional density of the response given the predictor. For the first time in the literature, this article develops the theory of minimax estimation of the conditional density for regression settings with fixed and random designs of predictors, bounded and unbounded responses and a vast set of anisotropic classes of conditional densities. The study of fixed design regression is of special interest and novelty because the known literature is devoted to the case of random predictors. For the aforementioned models, the paper suggests a universal adaptive estimator which (i) matches performance of an oracle that knows both an underlying model and an estimated conditional density; (ii) is sharp minimax over a vast class of anisotropic conditional densities; (iii) is at least rate minimax when the response is independent of the predictor and thus a bivariate conditional density becomes a univariate density; (iv) is adaptive to an underlying design (fixed or random) of predictors.

math.ST

Estimation of the density of regression errors

Estimation of the density of regression errors is a fundamental issue in regression analysis and it is typically explored via a parametric approach. This article uses a nonparametric approach with the mean integrated squared error (MISE) criterion. It solves a long-standing problem, formulated two decades ago by Mark Pinsker, about estimation of a nonparametric error density in a nonparametric regression setting with the accuracy of an oracle that knows the underlying regression errors. The solution implies that, under a mild assumption on the differentiability of the design density and regression function, the MISE of a data-driven error density estimator attains minimax rates and sharp constants known for the case of directly observed regression errors. The result holds for error densities with finite and infinite supports. Some extensions of this result for more general heteroscedastic models with possibly dependent errors and predictors are also obtained; in the latter case the marginal error density is estimated. In all considered cases a blockwise-shrinking Efromovich--Pinsker density estimate, based on plugged-in residuals, is used. The obtained results imply a theoretical justification of a customary practice in applied regression analysis to consider residuals as proxies for underlying regression errors. Numerical and real examples are presented and discussed, and the S-PLUS software is available.

math.ST

Density estimation for biased data

The concept of biased data is well known and its practical applications range from social sciences and biology to economics and quality control. These observations arise when a sampling procedure chooses an observation with probability that depends on the value of the observation. This is an interesting sampling procedure because it favors some observations and neglects others. It is known that biasing does not change rates of nonparametric density estimation, but no results are available about sharp constants. This article presents asymptotic results on sharp minimax density estimation. In particular, a coefficient of difficulty is introduced that shows the relationship between sample sizes of direct and biased samples that imply the same accuracy of estimation. The notion of the restricted local minimax, where a low-frequency part of the estimated density is known, is introduced; it sheds new light on the phenomenon of nonparametric superefficiency. Results of a numerical study are presented.

math.ST