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Samuel Livingstone

Publications and source records attributed to Samuel Livingstone.

26 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Geometric ergodicity of the Random Walk Metropolis with position-dependent proposal covariance

We consider a Metropolis--Hastings method with proposal $\mathcal{N}(x, hG(x)^{-1})$, where $x$ is the current state, and study its ergodicity properties. We show that suitable choices of $G(x)$ can change these compared to the Random Walk Metropolis case $\mathcal{N}(x, hΣ)$, either for better or worse. We find that if the proposal variance is allowed to grow unboundedly in the tails of the distribution then geometric ergodicity can be established when the target distribution for the algorithm has tails that are heavier than exponential, but that the growth rate must be carefully controlled to prevent the rejection rate approaching unity. We also illustrate that a judicious choice of $G(x)$ can result in a geometrically ergodic chain when probability concentrates on an ever narrower ridge in the tails, something that is not true for the Random Walk Metropolis.

stat.CO↗

The Barker proposal: combining robustness and efficiency in gradient-based MCMC

There is a tension between robustness and efficiency when designing Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling algorithms. Here we focus on robustness with respect to tuning parameters, showing that more sophisticated algorithms tend to be more sensitive to the choice of step-size parameter and less robust to heterogeneity of the distribution of interest. We characterise this phenomenon by studying the behaviour of spectral gaps as an increasingly poor step-size is chosen for the algorithm. Motivated by these considerations, we propose a novel and simple gradient-based MCMC algorithm, inspired by the classical Barker accept-reject rule, with improved robustness properties. Extensive theoretical results, dealing with robustness to tuning, geometric ergodicity and scaling with dimension, suggest that the novel scheme combines the robustness of simple schemes with the efficiency of gradient-based ones. We show numerically that this type of robustness is particularly beneficial in the context of adaptive MCMC, giving examples where our proposed scheme significantly outperforms state-of-the-art alternatives.

stat.CO↗

Peskun-Tierney ordering for Markov chain and process Monte Carlo: beyond the reversible scenario

Historically time-reversibility of the transitions or processes underpinning Markov chain Monte Carlo methods (MCMC) has played a key rôle in their development, while the self-adjointness of associated operators together with the use of classical functional analysis techniques on Hilbert spaces have led to powerful and practically successful tools to characterize and compare their performance. Similar results for algorithms relying on nonreversible Markov processes are scarce. We show that for a type of nonreversible Monte Carlo Markov chains and processes, of current or renewed interest in the Physics and Statistical literatures, it is possible to develop comparison results which closely mirror those available in the reversible scenario. We show that these results shed light on earlier literature, proving some conjectures and strengthening some earlier results.

math.PR↗

Kinetic energy choice in Hamiltonian/hybrid Monte Carlo

We consider how different choices of kinetic energy in Hamiltonian Monte Carlo affect algorithm performance. To this end, we introduce two quantities which can be easily evaluated, the composite gradient and the implicit noise. Results are established on integrator stability and geometric convergence, and we show that choices of kinetic energy that result in heavy-tailed momentum distributions can exhibit an undesirable negligible moves property, which we define. A general efficiency-robustness trade off is outlined, and implementations which rely on approximate gradients are also discussed. Two numerical studies illustrate our theoretical findings, showing that the standard choice which results in a Gaussian momentum distribution is not always optimal in terms of either robustness or efficiency.

stat.CO↗

Gradient-free Hamiltonian Monte Carlo with Efficient Kernel Exponential Families

We propose Kernel Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (KMC), a gradient-free adaptive MCMC algorithm based on Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC). On target densities where classical HMC is not an option due to intractable gradients, KMC adaptively learns the target's gradient structure by fitting an exponential family model in a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space. Computational costs are reduced by two novel efficient approximations to this gradient. While being asymptotically exact, KMC mimics HMC in terms of sampling efficiency, and offers substantial mixing improvements over state-of-the-art gradient free samplers. We support our claims with experimental studies on both toy and real-world applications, including Approximate Bayesian Computation and exact-approximate MCMC.

stat.ML↗

The Geometric Foundations of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo

Although Hamiltonian Monte Carlo has proven an empirical success, the lack of a rigorous theoretical understanding of the algorithm has in many ways impeded both principled developments of the method and use of the algorithm in practice. In this paper we develop the formal foundations of the algorithm through the construction of measures on smooth manifolds, and demonstrate how the theory naturally identifies efficient implementations and motivates promising generalizations.

stat.ME↗

Information-geometric Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods using Diffusions

Recent work incorporating geometric ideas in Markov chain Monte Carlo is reviewed in order to highlight these advances and their possible application in a range of domains beyond Statistics. A full exposition of Markov chains and their use in Monte Carlo simulation for Statistical inference and molecular dynamics is provided, with particular emphasis on methods based on Langevin diffusions. After this geometric concepts in Markov chain Monte Carlo are introduced. A full derivation of the Langevin diffusion on a Riemannian manifold is given, together with a discussion of appropriate Riemannian metric choice for different problems. A survey of applications is provided, and some open questions are discussed.

stat.CO↗

Langevin diffusions and the Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithm

We provide a clarification of the description of Langevin diffusions on Riemannian manifolds and of the measure underlying the invariant density. As a result we propose a new position-dependent Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithm (MALA) based upon a Langevin diffusion in $\mathbb{R}^d$ which has the required invariant density with respect to Lebesgue measure. We show that our diffusion and the diffusion upon which a previously-proposed position-dependent MALA is based are equivalent in some cases but are distinct in general. A simulation study illustrates the gain in efficiency provided by the new position-dependent MALA.

stat.ME↗